1.Application of ARIMA model in predicting pediatric red blood cell usage
Yuanqi YANG ; Bolin HE ; Pusheng WEN ; Xuesong PENG ; Juan HU ; Yuxia GUO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2023;36(9):822-826
【Objective】 To explore the feasibility of using autoregressive moving average model (ARIMA) to predict the dosage of suspended red blood cells in children, and to provide a basis for the development of clinical blood reserve plans in children's hospitals. 【Methods】 ARIMA model was constructed using the total blood consumption of clinical suspended red blood cells from March 2016 to May 2022 at the Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University as the data source by SPSS26.0 software. The optimal model was used to predict the clinical suspended red blood cell consumption from June to October 2022, and the predictive effect of the model was tested. 【Results】 ARIMA(0, 1, 1) (0, 1, 1)