1.Expert consensus on monoclonal antibody immunoprophylaxis against respiratory syncytial virus in infants and young children in tropical and subtropical regions of China.
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(11):1291-1300
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is one of the main pathogens of acute lower respiratory tract infection in infants and young children and shows a year-round transmission pattern in tropical and subtropical regions, posing a serious health threat, especially to infants under one year of age. Current treatment is mainly symptomatic and supportive, and antiviral drugs have limited efficacy. In recent years, with advances in monoclonal antibody development, the long-acting RSV monoclonal antibody nirsevimab has been introduced into clinical practice worldwide, including in China, and has become a core intervention for immunoprophylaxis in infants and young children. Recommendations are proposed in this consensus based on the latest domestic and international evidence and the epidemiological characteristics of tropical and subtropical regions in China. They cover: epidemiological features of RSV; disease burden and clinical manifestations of RSV infection; dosage and administration of RSV monoclonal antibodies; efficacy and safety of RSV monoclonal antibodies; year-round immunoprophylaxis strategies for infants and young children; immunoprophylaxis strategies for infants and young children with special health conditions; coadministration of RSV monoclonal antibodies with vaccines in the national immunization program; and management measures for immunoprophylaxis with long-acting RSV monoclonal antibodies. The aim is to provide scientific and standardized guidance for frontline clinical and public health practice to reduce the incidence, severity, and public health burden of RSV infection in infants and young children.
Humans
;
Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology*
;
Infant
;
Antibodies, Monoclonal/adverse effects*
;
Child, Preschool
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Consensus
2.Neuropsychological development status and risk factors in small for gestational age infants at corrected ages 12-24 months.
Ran TAN ; Li-Ya MA ; Chang LIU ; Qian LYU ; Bi-Lan DING ; Wan-Xiang XIAO
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(11):1339-1345
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the status and risk factors of neuropsychological development in small for gestational age (SGA) infants at corrected 12-24 months of age.
METHODS:
Clinical data were retrospectively collected for 754 SGA infants at corrected ages 12-24 months in Shenzhen Bao'an Women and Children's Hospital between April 2018 and December 2023. Developmental quotient (DQ) levels were analyzed. According to the presence of global developmental delay (GDD), participants were divided into a GDD group (71 cases) and a control group (683 cases), and the incidence and influencing factors of GDD were investigated.
RESULTS:
In the high-risk preterm SGA group, the total DQ and DQ in all domains were lower than in the full-term SGA group (P<0.017). The overall incidence of GDD was 9.4% (71/754) and increased with decreasing gestational age (P<0.017). Compared with the control group, the GDD group had higher proportions of males; low-risk and high-risk preterm birth; mothers with less than a bachelor's degree; multiple birth; neonatal hypoglycemia; neonatal pneumonia; neonatal respiratory distress syndrome; bronchopulmonary dysplasia; and, at corrected 12-24 months, low body weight, growth retardation, and microcephaly. The length of neonatal hospital stay was longer in the GDD group than in the control group (P<0.05). The weight-for-age Z score, length-for-age Z score, and head circumference-for-age Z score at birth and at corrected 12-24 months were lower in the GDD group than in the control group (P<0.05). Multivariable logistic regression showed that male sex and maternal education below a bachelor's degree were independent risk factors for GDD in SGA infants (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Neuropsychological development in preterm SGA infants is comparatively delayed; male SGA infants born to mothers with less than a bachelor's degree should receive priority attention.
Humans
;
Female
;
Male
;
Infant, Small for Gestational Age/psychology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Infant
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Child Development
;
Developmental Disabilities/epidemiology*
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Child, Preschool
3.Disease burden and trend of melanoma among middle-aged and elderly population in China from 1990 to 2020, and prediction for 2022 to 2035.
Lyuxin GUAN ; Ziqin GAN ; Guangtao HUANG ; Suchun HOU ; Yansi LYU
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(1):1-9
OBJECTIVES:
To analyze the disease burden of melanoma among middle-aged and elderly populations in China, and to predict the future trend.
METHODS:
Data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 were utilized to collect incidence and mortality rates of melanoma, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and corresponding age crude rates among the middle-aged and elderly population in China during 1990 and 2021. Additionally, the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was employed to assess the temporal trends. Age-period-cohort (APC) and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models were utilized to compute age, period, and cohort effects on incidence and mortality rates of melanoma, as well as to predict future trends up to 2035.
RESULTS:
During 1990-2021, the incidence rate of melanoma for males was higher than that for females among the middle-aged and elderly population in China, and the overall incidence rate increased annually with an EAPC of 2.13 (1.90-2.36), while the overall mortality rate and DALY rate showed a declining trend with an EAPC of -0.28 (-0.41--0.15) and -0.54 (-0.68--0.41), respectively. The results of the APC model analysis revealed that age effects on both incidence and mortality rates of melanoma in China's middle-aged and elderly population were significant, with both increasing with age. Period and cohort effects showed an upward trend for incidence rates but a downward trend for mortality rates. Moreover, the period and cohort effects for mortality rates were not significant among females. In the BAPC prediction model, the number of incidences of melanoma in middle-aged and elderly people in China would increase dramatically. By 2035, the number of incidence cases is expected to reach approximately 9600 (males) and 10 300 (females), corresponding to an incidence rate of 2.66/105 and 2.67/105, respectively. The number of deaths is projected to be about 2600 (males) and 3500 (females) by 2035, corresponding to a mortality rate of 0.72/105 and 0.91/105, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
The disease burden of melanoma among the middle-aged and elderly population in China remains substantial and is expected to increase over the next decade.
Humans
;
Melanoma/mortality*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Aged
;
Middle Aged
;
Male
;
Female
;
Incidence
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Bayes Theorem
;
Cost of Illness
;
Skin Neoplasms/epidemiology*
4.Sex and age distribution of global disease burden of calcific aortic valve disease.
Xiangning DENG ; Xinyu SUI ; Nan LI ; Jieli FENG ; Shaomin CHEN ; Xinye XU ; Yida TANG ; Yupeng WANG
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(1):21-27
OBJECTIVES:
To analyze sex and age distribution of global disease burden of calcific aortic valve disease (CAVD) from 1990 to 2021.
METHODS:
CAVD data during 1990-2021 were obtained from the IHME website for Global Burden of Disease (GBD). The prevalence, mortality, years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were analyzed by gender and age groups. Joinpoint regression was used to calculate annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC).
RESULTS:
In 2021, there were 13.32 million CAVD patients and 142 000 deaths caused by CAVD globally. Age-standardized prevalence was higher in males (193.2/105) than that in females (128.9/105). Patients in 65-<85 age group accounted for 64.0% of total cases, while those ≥85 years old accounted for 16.1%. From 1990 to 2021, prevalence increased in both sexes with an AAPC of 0.72% for males and 0.57% for females, respectively. Prevalence grew fastest from 2000 to 2010, slowed thereafter, and declined from 2015 to 2021. In <65 years old, the mortality of males was 2.4 times higher than that of females, while in ≥85 years old, mortality of females (117.3/105) exceeded that of males (99.1/105). YLD rates increased with age, and were higher in males for all age groups. DALY rates decreased overall but increased in ≥85 years old, with a greater increase in females.
CONCLUSIONS
There are significant gender and age disparities in global disease burden of CAVD, with the elderly, especially super-elderly females deserving particular attention. It is recommended to develop personalized intervention strategies for these populations.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Calcinosis/mortality*
;
Prevalence
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Middle Aged
;
Aortic Valve/pathology*
;
Aortic Valve Stenosis/epidemiology*
;
Age Distribution
;
Adult
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Sex Distribution
;
Global Health
;
Aortic Valve Disease/epidemiology*
;
Sex Factors
5.Global disease burden of cervical cancer and the association of screening coverage with quality of disease management.
Chang SUN ; Abdalle Abdi MUSTAFE ; Bingqing LIU ; Yuanying MA ; Weiguo LYU
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(3):281-288
OBJECTIVES:
To analyze the global disease burden of cervical cancer and the association between screening coverage and the quality of disease management.
METHODS:
The data of global burden of cervical cancer 2021 and the data of cervical cancer screening 2019 were obtained from IHME Global Burden of Disease (GBD) and the WHO global health observatory, respectively. The age-standardized disease burden index was calculated, the quality of care index (QCI) was determined with principal component analysis, and the correlation between QCI and cervical cancer screening coverage was examined with linear regression analysis by regions and populations.
RESULTS:
The burden of cervical cancer and the quality of management exhibited significant variability across countries with differing levels of social development. The indicators of cervical cancer burden in China were close to the average level of countries with higher socio-demographic index (SDI). The global QCI was 22.22 (10.50, 35.43), and that of China was 26.30. The global screening coverage rate for cervical cancer was 42% (12%, 86%) and that in China was 31%. After adjusting for the social development level of countries, the coverage level of cervical cancer screening was associated with QCI (β=0.27, P<0.01), with no difference between low and high SDI countries (P>0.05). The association was significantly stronger among 25-30 years old women (β=1.48, P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
There are discrepancies in both the disease burden of cervical cancer and the quality of disease management among countries with different socioeconomic levels, and there is still considerable room for improvement in China. Expanding coverage of cervical cancer screening may be an effective strategy to enhance the management quality of cervical cancer, particularly among younger women where the screening benefits are most pronounced.
Humans
;
Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/prevention & control*
;
Female
;
Early Detection of Cancer
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Mass Screening
;
Quality of Health Care
;
Disease Management
;
Adult
;
Middle Aged
6.Construction of a mixed valvular heart disease-related age-adjusted comorbidity index and its predictive value for patient prognosis.
Murong XIE ; Haiyan XU ; Bin ZHANG ; Yunqing YE ; Zhe LI ; Qingrong LIU ; Zhenyan ZHAO ; Junxing LYU ; Yongjian WU
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(2):230-240
OBJECTIVES:
To create a mixed valvular heart disease (MVHD)-related age-adjusted comorbidity index (MVACI) model for predicting mortality risk of patients with MVHD.
METHODS:
A total of 4080 patients with moderate or severe MVHD in the China-VHD study were included. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality. A MVACI model prediction model was constructed based on the mortality risk factors identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Restricted cubic splines were used to assess the relationship between MVACI scores and 2-year all-cause mortality. The optimal threshold, determined by the maximum Youden index from receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, was used to stratify patients. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate 2-year all-cause mortality and compared using the Log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were employed to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI), evaluating the association between MVACI scores and mortality. Paired ROC curves were used to compare the discriminative ability of MVACI scores with the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation Ⅱ(EuroSCORE Ⅱ) or the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) in predicting 2-year clinical outcomes, while calibration curves assessed the calibration of these models. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on etiology, treatment strategies, and disease severity.
RESULTS:
Multivariate analysis identified the following variables independently associated with 2-year all-cause mortality in patients: pulmonary hypertension, myocardiopathy, heart failure, low body weight (body mass index <18.5 kg/m2), anaemia, hypoalbuminemia, renal insufficiency, cancer, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class and age. The score was independently associated with the risk of all-cause mortality, and exhibited good discrimination (AUC=0.777, 95%CI: 0.755-0.799) and calibration (Brier score 0.062), with significantly better predictive performance than EuroSCORE Ⅱ or ACCI (both adjusted P<0.01). The internal validation showed that the MVACI model's predicted probability of 2-year all-cause mortality was generally consistent with the actual probability. The AUCs for predicting all-cause mortality risk were all above 0.750, and those for predicting adverse events were all above 0.630. The prognostic value of the score remained consistent in patients regardless of their etiology, therapeutic option, and disease severity.
CONCLUSIONS
The MVACI was constructed in this study based on age and comorbidities, and can be used for mortality risk prediction and risk stratification of MVHD patients. It is a simple algorithmic index and easy to use.
Humans
;
Prognosis
;
Comorbidity
;
Heart Valve Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Risk Factors
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Age Factors
;
Risk Assessment
;
Adult
;
ROC Curve
7.The association between biological aging markers and valvular heart diseases.
Xiangjing LIU ; Da LUO ; Zheng HU ; Hangyu TIAN ; Hong JIANG ; Jing CHEN
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(2):241-249
OBJECTIVES:
To analyze the association between biological aging markers (phenotypic age and phenotypic age acceleration) and valvular heart diseases.
METHODS:
Research subjects who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were selected from the UK Biobank from 2006 to 2010. The phenotypic age and phenotypic age acceleration were calculated. Cox multivariate analysis was used to examine the relationship between the aging markers and valvular heart diseases. Sensitivity analysis was conducted by removing missing values and subgroup analysis. The predictive accuracy of phenotypic age and phenotypic age acceleration for valvular heart diseases was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and a clinical decision curve was generated based on logistic regression.
RESULTS:
A total of 411 687 subjects were included in the study, among whom there were 14 258 patients with valvular heart diseases. The overall median follow-up time was 12.80 years, the median follow-up time for patients with non-rheumatic aortic valve diseases (n=5238), non-rheumatic mitral valve diseases (n=4558), and non-rheumatic tricuspid valve diseases (n=411) were 12.82 years, 12.83 years and 12.84 years, respectively. After adjusting for demographic factors (gender, race, education, Townsend deprivation index), anthropometric factors (body mass index), lifestyle factors (smoking, alcohol consumption, Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension score), hypertension and hyperlipidemia, Cox multivariate analysis showed phenotypic age and phenotypic age acceleration were independent risk factors for valvular heart diseases, including non-rheumatic aortic valve diseases, non-rheumatic mitral valve diseases, and non-rheumatic tricuspid valve diseases (phenotypic age: corrected HR=1.04, P<0.01; phenotypic age acceleration: corrected HR=1.03, P<0.01), which was also confirmed by sensitivity analysis. ROC curves and clinical decision curves demonstrated that compared with the phenotypic age acceleration, phenotypic age had higher accuracy (the areas and the curves were 0.721 and 0.599) and higher net benefit in predicting valvular heart diseases. Moreover, compared with a single indicator, the combination of the two indicators had higher accuracy (the area under the curve was 0.725) and higher net benefit.
CONCLUSIONS
Phenotypic age and phenotypic age acceleration,as markers of biological aging, are independent risk factors for valvular heart diseases. Compared with phenotypic age acceleration, phenotypic age has a greater advantage in predicting valvular heart diseases. Overall, the combination of the two indicators offers a more effective approach for predicting valvular heart diseases.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Heart Valve Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Aging
;
Adult
;
Biomarkers
;
Phenotype
;
Risk Factors
;
Aged, 80 and over
8.Advances in stroke after transcatheter aortic valve replacement.
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(2):167-174
With the clinical generalization and popularization of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), cerebrovascular events related to TAVR occur more frequently, which significantly impairs neurocognitive function, increases mortality, and seriously affects prognosis and quality of life in these patients. However, the reported incidence rates of TAVR-related stroke differ in literature due to inconsistent diagnostic criteria. According to the onset time, TAVR-related stroke can be divided into acute (≤24 h), subacute (24 h-30 d), early (31 d-1 year) and late (>1 year) types, and the cause of stroke generally varies according to the onset time. Both surgical (balloon aortic valvuloplasty, types of transcatheter heart valve, alternative access) and non-surgical (valvular calcium burden, bicuspid aortic valve, subclinical leaflet thrombosis, postoperative new-onset atrial fibrillation) can be related to the occurrence of TAVR-related stroke. Postprocedural monitoring, postprocedural antithrombotic therapy, and cerebral embolic protection devices are important for the prevention of TAVR-related stoke. This article reviews the research progress on TAVR-related stroke, focusing on its epidemiology, risk factors and preventive measures, aiming to provide reference for the clinical management of stroke in TAVR.
Humans
;
Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement/adverse effects*
;
Stroke/epidemiology*
;
Postoperative Complications/etiology*
;
Aortic Valve Stenosis/surgery*
;
Risk Factors
9.Association between Chinese visceral adiposity index and the risk of nephrolithiasis.
Wei ZHANG ; Shengqi ZHENG ; Tianchi HUA ; Yifan LI ; Qibing FAN
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(3):382-389
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the association between Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) and the risk of nephrolithiasis.
METHODS:
This cross-sectional study analyzed data from 78 438 Chinese adults who underwent ultrasound examinations during health screening at the Health Examination Center of Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University. Participants were divided into quartiles (Q1-Q4 groups) based on CVAI. Multivariate logistic regression models were utilized to evaluate the association between CVAI and nephrolithiasis risk, followed by subgroup analyses to further explore potential relationships. The performance of CVAI in predicting the risk of nephrolithiasis was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.
RESULTS:
Increased CVAI was significantly associated with a higher risk of nephrolithiasis, with prevalence rising from 3.36% in the Q1 group to 10.67% in the Q4 group (P<0.01). In adjusted models, CVAI was positively correlated with the prevalence rate of nephrolithiasis (OR=1.002, 95%CI: 1.001-1.004, P<0.01). The risks of nephrolithiasis in the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups were 1.196-fold (95%CI: 1.069-1.338, P<0.01), 1.260-fold (95%CI: 1.109-1.433, P<0.01), and 1.316-fold (95%CI: 1.125-1.539, P<0.01) higher than in the Q1 group, respectively. Subgroup analysis revealed that CVAI was positively associated with the risk of nephrolithiasis in male participants, individuals aged <60 years, the hypertension group, populations with or without diabetes mellitus, and the normal body mass index subgroup. Genders and age had an interaction effect on the correlation between CVAI and the risk of nephrolithiasis development (both P<0.05). The ROC curve analysis demonstrated that CVAI exhibited superior predictive efficacy compared to waist circumference, body mass index, visceral adiposity index, weight-adjusted waist index, cardiometabolic index and body shape index, with an area under the curve of 0.622.
CONCLUSIONS
In Chinese adults, CVAI is positively associated with the risk of nephrolithiasis development, which may serve as a potential predictive marker for nephrolithiasis.
Humans
;
Nephrolithiasis/etiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
Adult
;
Intra-Abdominal Fat
;
Risk Factors
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Adiposity
;
Aged
;
Logistic Models
;
Obesity, Abdominal/epidemiology*
;
East Asian People
10.Multimorbidity patterns and associated hospitalization costs among different age groups of patients in a single medical center.
Tao LI ; Xiaolin XU ; Yangyang CHENG ; Kai LIN
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(4):423-433
OBJECTIVES:
To analyze the multimorbidity patterns and core diseases among hospitalized patients in different age groups and to explore the impacts of multimorbidity patterns on hospitalization costs.
METHODS:
Electronic medical records of adult inpatients (aged ≥18 years) from Ningbo Medical Center Lihuili Hospital between January 1, 2018, and June 30, 2023 were collected. The multimorbidity status involving 53 specific diseases was analyzed across different age groups. Association rule mining was used to identify common multimorbidity patterns. Complex network analysis was used to identify core diseases within the multimorbidity networks. Generalized estimating equations (GEE) were used to analyze the impact of different multimorbidity patterns on hospitalization costs.
RESULTS:
The prevalence of multimorbidity among the 359 402 adult inpatients was 38.51%, with higher rates observed in males (43.60%) and elderly patients (58.29%). Association rule mining identified 15 common multimorbidity patterns, which exhibited differences across age groups. The most prevalent multimorbidity pattern overall was "diabetes→hypertension" (support=7.04%, confidence=62.17%, lift=2.17). In the young adult group, the most prevalent pattern was "dyslipidemia→chronic liver disease" (support=1.19%, confidence=53.17%, lift=6.04). In the middle-aged group, it was "diabetes→hypertension" (support=4.84%, confidence=50.28%, lift=2.15). In the elderly group, it was "coronary heart disease, diabetes→hypertension" (support=2.38%, confidence=77.43%, lift=1.63). Complex network analysis revealed that the core diseases within multimorbidity networks differed across age groups. The core disease identified in the young adult group was chronic liver disease (degree centrality=50, betweenness centrality=0.055, closeness centrality=0.963). Core diseases in the middle-aged group included hypertension, chronic liver disease, and diabetes (all with degree centrality=52, betweenness centrality=0.022, closeness centrality=1.000). Core diseases in the elderly group comprised hypertension, diabetes, malignant tumors, chronic liver disease, thyroid disease, anemia, and arrhythmia (all with degree centrality=52, betweenness centrality=0.009, closeness centrality=1.000). Generalized estimating equations analysis indicated that, most multimorbidity patterns were significantly associated with increased hospitalization costs. However, the magnitude of cost increase varied across different multimorbidity patterns. Specifically, hospitalization costs for patients with patterns such as "heart failure→hypertension", "stroke→hypertension", "malignant tumor, diabetes→hypertension", "stroke, diabetes→hypertension", and "diabetes, heart failure→hypertension" were more than double those of patients without any target diseases.
CONCLUSIONS
Multimorbidity patterns and core diseases among hospitalized patients differ significantly across age groups, and different patterns exert varying impacts on hospitalization costs. These findings underscore the necessity for age-stratified and multimorbidity pattern specific management strategies.
Humans
;
Multimorbidity
;
Male
;
Hospitalization/economics*
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Age Factors
;
Young Adult
;
Adolescent
;
Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology*
;
Electronic Health Records
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Hospital Costs
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Hypertension/economics*
;
Liver Diseases/epidemiology*

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