1.Machine Learning-Based Prediction of COVID-19 Severity and Progression to Critical Illness Using CT Imaging and Clinical Data
Subhanik PURKAYASTHA ; Yanhe XIAO ; Zhicheng JIAO ; Rujapa THEPUMNOEYSUK ; Kasey HALSEY ; Jing WU ; Thi My Linh TRAN ; Ben HSIEH ; Ji Whae CHOI ; Dongcui WANG ; Martin VALLIÈRES ; Robin WANG ; Scott COLLINS ; Xue FENG ; Michael FELDMAN ; Paul J. ZHANG ; Michael ATALAY ; Ronnie SEBRO ; Li YANG ; Yong FAN ; Wei-hua LIAO ; Harrison X. BAI
Korean Journal of Radiology 2021;22(7):1213-1224
Objective:
To develop a machine learning (ML) pipeline based on radiomics to predict Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity and the future deterioration to critical illness using CT and clinical variables.
Materials and Methods:
Clinical data were collected from 981 patients from a multi-institutional international cohort with real-time polymerase chain reaction-confirmed COVID-19. Radiomics features were extracted from chest CT of the patients. The data of the cohort were randomly divided into training, validation, and test sets using a 7:1:2 ratio. A ML pipeline consisting of a model to predict severity and time-to-event model to predict progression to critical illness were trained on radiomics features and clinical variables. The receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC), concordance index (C-index), and time-dependent ROC-AUC were calculated to determine model performance, which was compared with consensus CT severity scores obtained by visual interpretation by radiologists.
Results:
Among 981 patients with confirmed COVID-19, 274 patients developed critical illness. Radiomics features and clinical variables resulted in the best performance for the prediction of disease severity with a highest test ROC-AUC of 0.76 compared with 0.70 (0.76 vs. 0.70, p = 0.023) for visual CT severity score and clinical variables. The progression prediction model achieved a test C-index of 0.868 when it was based on the combination of CT radiomics and clinical variables compared with 0.767 when based on CT radiomics features alone (p < 0.001), 0.847 when based on clinical variables alone (p = 0.110), and 0.860 when based on the combination of visual CT severity scores and clinical variables (p = 0.549). Furthermore, the model based on the combination of CT radiomics and clinical variables achieved time-dependent ROC-AUCs of 0.897, 0.933, and 0.927 for the prediction of progression risks at 3, 5 and 7 days, respectively.
Conclusion
CT radiomics features combined with clinical variables were predictive of COVID-19 severity and progression to critical illness with fairly high accuracy.
2.Machine Learning-Based Prediction of COVID-19 Severity and Progression to Critical Illness Using CT Imaging and Clinical Data
Subhanik PURKAYASTHA ; Yanhe XIAO ; Zhicheng JIAO ; Rujapa THEPUMNOEYSUK ; Kasey HALSEY ; Jing WU ; Thi My Linh TRAN ; Ben HSIEH ; Ji Whae CHOI ; Dongcui WANG ; Martin VALLIÈRES ; Robin WANG ; Scott COLLINS ; Xue FENG ; Michael FELDMAN ; Paul J. ZHANG ; Michael ATALAY ; Ronnie SEBRO ; Li YANG ; Yong FAN ; Wei-hua LIAO ; Harrison X. BAI
Korean Journal of Radiology 2021;22(7):1213-1224
Objective:
To develop a machine learning (ML) pipeline based on radiomics to predict Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity and the future deterioration to critical illness using CT and clinical variables.
Materials and Methods:
Clinical data were collected from 981 patients from a multi-institutional international cohort with real-time polymerase chain reaction-confirmed COVID-19. Radiomics features were extracted from chest CT of the patients. The data of the cohort were randomly divided into training, validation, and test sets using a 7:1:2 ratio. A ML pipeline consisting of a model to predict severity and time-to-event model to predict progression to critical illness were trained on radiomics features and clinical variables. The receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC), concordance index (C-index), and time-dependent ROC-AUC were calculated to determine model performance, which was compared with consensus CT severity scores obtained by visual interpretation by radiologists.
Results:
Among 981 patients with confirmed COVID-19, 274 patients developed critical illness. Radiomics features and clinical variables resulted in the best performance for the prediction of disease severity with a highest test ROC-AUC of 0.76 compared with 0.70 (0.76 vs. 0.70, p = 0.023) for visual CT severity score and clinical variables. The progression prediction model achieved a test C-index of 0.868 when it was based on the combination of CT radiomics and clinical variables compared with 0.767 when based on CT radiomics features alone (p < 0.001), 0.847 when based on clinical variables alone (p = 0.110), and 0.860 when based on the combination of visual CT severity scores and clinical variables (p = 0.549). Furthermore, the model based on the combination of CT radiomics and clinical variables achieved time-dependent ROC-AUCs of 0.897, 0.933, and 0.927 for the prediction of progression risks at 3, 5 and 7 days, respectively.
Conclusion
CT radiomics features combined with clinical variables were predictive of COVID-19 severity and progression to critical illness with fairly high accuracy.
3.Correction: Analyses of oligodontia phenotypes and genetic etiologies.
Mengqi ZHOU ; Hong ZHANG ; Heather CAMHI ; Figen SEYMEN ; Mine KORUYUCU ; Yelda KASIMOGLU ; Jung-Wook KIM ; Hera KIM-BERMAN ; Ninna M R YUSON ; Paul J BENKE ; Yiqun WU ; Feng WANG ; Yaqin ZHU ; James P SIMMER ; Jan C-C HU
International Journal of Oral Science 2021;13(1):35-35
4.Analyses of oligodontia phenotypes and genetic etiologies.
Mengqi ZHOU ; Hong ZHANG ; Heather CAMHI ; Figen SEYMEN ; Mine KORUYUCU ; Yelda KASIMOGLU ; Jung-Wook KIM ; Hera KIM-BERMAN ; Ninna M R YUSON ; Paul J BENKE ; Yiqun WU ; Feng WANG ; Yaqin ZHU ; James P SIMMER ; Jan C-C HU
International Journal of Oral Science 2021;13(1):32-32
Oligodontia is the congenital absence of six or more teeth and comprises the more severe forms of tooth agenesis. Many genes have been implicated in the etiology of tooth agenesis, which is highly variable in its clinical presentation. The purpose of this study was to identify associations between genetic mutations and clinical features of oligodontia patients. An online systematic search of papers published from January 1992 to June 2021 identified 381 oligodontia cases meeting the eligibility criteria of causative gene mutation, phenotype description, and radiographic records. Additionally, ten families with oligodontia were recruited and their genetic etiologies were determined by whole-exome sequence analyses. We identified a novel mutation in WNT10A (c.99_105dup) and eight previously reported mutations in WNT10A (c.433 G > A; c.682 T > A; c.318 C > G; c.511.C > T; c.321 C > A), EDAR (c.581 C > T), and LRP6 (c.1003 C > T, c.2747 G > T). Collectively, 20 different causative genes were implicated among those 393 cases with oligodontia. For each causative gene, the mean number of missing teeth per case and the frequency of teeth missing at each position were calculated. Genotype-phenotype correlation analysis indicated that molars agenesis is more likely linked to PAX9 mutations, mandibular first premolar agenesis is least associated with PAX9 mutations. Mandibular incisors and maxillary lateral incisor agenesis are most closely linked to EDA mutations.
Humans
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Phenotype
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Wnt Proteins