1.Global burden of non-communicable diseases attributable to kidney dysfunction with projection into 2040.
Jing CHEN ; Chunyang LI ; Ci Li Nong BU ; Yujiao WANG ; Mei QI ; Ping FU ; Xiaoxi ZENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(11):1334-1344
BACKGROUND:
Spatiotemporal disparities exist in the disease burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) attributable to kidney dysfunction, which has been poorly assessed. The present study aimed to evaluate the spatiotemporal trends of the global burden of NCDs attributable to kidney dysfunction and to predict future trends.
METHODS:
Data on NCDs attributable to kidney dysfunction, quantified using deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) Study in 2019. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of age-standardized rate (ASR) was calculated with linear regression to assess the changing trend. Pearson's correlation analysis was used to determine the association between ASR and sociodemographic index (SDI) for 21 GBD regions. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to predict future trends up to 2040.
RESULTS:
Between 1990 and 2019, the absolute number of deaths and DALYs from NCDs attributable to kidney dysfunction increased globally. The death cases increased from 1,571,720 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 1,344,420-1,805,598) in 1990 to 3,161,552 (95% UI: 2,723,363-3,623,814) in 2019 for both sexes combined. Both the ASR of death and DALYs increased in Andean Latin America, the Caribbean, Central Latin America, Southeast Asia, Oceania, and Southern Sub-Saharan Africa. In contrast, the age-standardized metrics decreased in the high-income Asia Pacific region. The relationship between SDI and ASR of death and DALYs was negatively correlated. The BAPC model indicated that there would be approximately 5,806,780 death cases and 119,013,659 DALY cases in 2040 that could be attributed to kidney dysfunction. Age-standardized death of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and CKD attributable to kidney dysfunction were predicted to decrease and increase from 2020 to 2040, respectively.
CONCLUSION
NCDs attributable to kidney dysfunction remain a major public health concern worldwide. Efforts are required to attenuate the death and disability burden, particularly in low and low-to-middle SDI regions.
Humans
;
Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Male
;
Female
;
Risk Factors
;
Middle Aged
;
Kidney Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Bayes Theorem
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Global Health
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
2.The association between an individual's development of non-communicable diseases and their spouse's development of the same disease: the Longitudinal Survey of Middle-aged and Elderly Persons.
Tomohiko UKAI ; Takahiro TABUCHI ; Hiroyasu ISO
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():23-23
BACKGROUND:
Studies have shown that married couples often share similar lifestyles, as well as lifestyle-associated conditions such as diabetes, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia. This study aims to prospectively investigate the association between an individual's development of a non-communicable disease and the subsequent development of the same condition in their spouse.
METHODS:
This population-based cohort study utilized 12 waves of annual prospective surveys from 2005 onwards in Japan, with a discrete-time design. A total of 9,417 middle-aged couples (18,834 participants; discrete-time observations = 118,876) were included. Each participant whose spouse had developed one of six conditions was propensity score-matched with five controls whose spouses had not been diagnosed with the condition: diabetes [n = 1374 vs n = 6870], hypertension [n = 2657 vs n = 13285], hypercholesterolemia [n = 3321 vs n = 16605], stroke [n = 567 vs n = 2835], coronary heart disease (CHD) [n = 1093 vs n = 5465] or cancer [n = 923 vs n = 4615]. Using conditional logistic regression, we assessed participants' development of the same condition within three years following their spouse's diagnosis.
RESULTS:
Participants whose spouses had developed diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, or CHD were more likely to develop the same condition within three years. The odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were: 1.96 (1.53-2.50), 1.20 (1.06-1.36), 1.63 (1.47-1.81) and 1.43 (1.05-1.95), respectively. No significant associations were observed in stroke [1.69 (0.80-3.58)] or cancer [1.08 (0.75-1.54)].
CONCLUSION
Spouses of individuals recently diagnosed with certain metabolic conditions are at a higher risk of developing those conditions themselves. These findings may provide valuable guidance for targeting and personalizing chronic disease screening and prevention efforts.
Humans
;
Spouses/statistics & numerical data*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Japan/epidemiology*
;
Longitudinal Studies
;
Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Prospective Studies
;
Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Adult
;
Hypertension/epidemiology*
3.Burden of non-communicable diseases attributable to population aging in China, 1990‒2050.
Jun Yan XI ; Yan Xia ZHANG ; Xiao LIN ; Yuan Tao HAO
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57(5):667-673
Objective: The direction and intensity of population aging on the burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in China from 1990 to 2019 were analyzed, and the burden of NCDs in 2050 was predicted. Methods: The disease-specific disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study.The differences in indicators from 1990 to 2019 were attributed to the contribution of age structure, population size, and all other causes. The Bayesian age-time-cohort models were used to predict DALYs from NCDs to 2050. Results: The absolute level of DALYs caused by NCDs increased by 7.460 million from 1990 to 2019, and the age structure contributed 186.0% (95% Uncertainty Intervals (UIs): 178.4%-193.6%), population size contributed 77.0% (95% UIs: 69.5%-80.8%), all other causes contributed -163.0% (95% UIs:-163.1%- -159.3%). DALYs caused by NCDs consist of 2.527 million YLLs and 4.934 million YLDs, in which the contribution of age structure to YLLs and YLDs was 414.6% (95% UIs: 396.2%-432.5%) and 69.1% (95% UIs: 66.7%-71.4%), respectively. From 2019 to 2050, the diseases with increased DALYs due to changes in age structure are cardiovascular diseases, neoplasms, chronic respiratory diseases, neurological disorders, sense organ diseases, diabetes and kidney diseases, musculoskeletal disorders, digestive diseases, mental disorders, and skin and subcutaneous diseases in descending order. Conclusions: From 1990 to 2019, except for skin and subcutaneous diseases, the burden of other NCDs attributable to population aging increased, mainly due to disability. By 2050, the burden of NCDsattributable to population aging will continue to rise.
Humans
;
Life Expectancy
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Bayes Theorem
;
Global Health
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Aging
;
Global Burden of Disease
4.Research progress on the comorbidity between hepatitis B virus infection and noncommunicable diseases.
Jin Zhao XIE ; Tian Yi LI ; Lu Xin ZHENG ; Sen Yao CAI ; Jing GU ; Yuan Tao HAO
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57(9):1523-1528
With the decline in hepatitis B virus (HBV) incidence and the increase in the life expectancy of infected individuals, the population infected with HBV is experiencing rapid aging, leading to an escalating risk of co-morbid chronic noncommunicable diseases (NCDs). This study summarizes research related to the comorbidity between HBV and NCDs, discussing the aging of the HBV-infected population, the mechanisms, prevalence, and management of this comorbidity. This study provides insights into potential directions for future research on the comorbidity between HBV and NCDs and aims to provide a basis for further research and the development of prevention and treatment strategies for the comorbidity of NCDs among HBV-infected individuals in China.
Humans
;
Hepatitis B virus
;
Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Hepatitis B/epidemiology*
;
Comorbidity
;
China/epidemiology*
5.Research progress on the comorbidity between hepatitis B virus infection and noncommunicable diseases.
Jin Zhao XIE ; Tian Yi LI ; Lu Xin ZHENG ; Sen Yao CAI ; Jing GU ; Yuan Tao HAO
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57(9):1523-1528
With the decline in hepatitis B virus (HBV) incidence and the increase in the life expectancy of infected individuals, the population infected with HBV is experiencing rapid aging, leading to an escalating risk of co-morbid chronic noncommunicable diseases (NCDs). This study summarizes research related to the comorbidity between HBV and NCDs, discussing the aging of the HBV-infected population, the mechanisms, prevalence, and management of this comorbidity. This study provides insights into potential directions for future research on the comorbidity between HBV and NCDs and aims to provide a basis for further research and the development of prevention and treatment strategies for the comorbidity of NCDs among HBV-infected individuals in China.
Humans
;
Hepatitis B virus
;
Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology*
;
Hepatitis B/epidemiology*
;
Comorbidity
;
China/epidemiology*
6.Spatial lifecourse epidemiology in chronic non-communicable disease research.
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(5):755-760
In recent years, the research focus on determinants of chronic non-communicable diseases has shifted from non-spatial factors (e.g., lifestyle behaviors) to spatial factors (e.g., natural and built environments). As the intersection of lifecourse epidemiology and spatial epidemiology, spatial lifecourse epidemiology is a research area in the field of health geography. It combines advanced spatial technologies, including geographic information systems, surveying, remote sensing, location-based services and artificial intelligence, to accurately retrace, measure, and simulate individuals' exposures across the life course (i.e., exposome); and adopts lifecourse models, including the accumulation of risk model and critical/sensitive period models, to investigate the impact of individuals' exposures in the past on their health status at different stages of life. This paper introduces the theories, main analysis approaches and focus of spatial lifecourse epidemiology in the research of chronic non-communicable diseases for the purpose of better understanding and applications of spatial lifecourse epidemiology in the research of determinants of chronic non-communicable diseases, providing important reference for future research, facilitating the development of health geography to eventually achieve precise health management over the lifecourse.
Artificial Intelligence
;
Epidemiology
;
Forecasting
;
Geography
;
Health Status
;
Humans
;
Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology*
7.Noncommunicable Disease Mortality with Population Aging in Eastern, Central, and Western Regions of China: Current Status and Projection to 2030.
Cui Hong YANG ; Ya Li CHEN ; Ning LI ; Zi Xing WANG ; Wei HAN ; Fang XUE ; Peng WU ; Wen Tao GU ; Jin DU ; Jing Mei JIANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2022;35(10):976-980
8.Construction and application of comprehensive system of chronic diseases surveillance in Zhejiang province.
Ru Ying HU ; Wei Wei GONG ; Jie Ming ZHONG ; Jin PAN ; Hao WANG ; Meng WANG ; Fang Rong FEI ; Min YU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(9):1485-1490
To construct a non-communicable disease system recommended by WHO, develop the key techniques and promote their applications, obtain the main health indicators and understand the prevalence of chronic diseases, and provide support for the prevention, control and research of chronic diseases. Based on factor analysis, K-means clustering and multi-cluster random sampling, 30 typical sampling areas at provincial level were designed and constructed; By referring to WHO's Non-communicable Disease Surveillance Framework and the American behavioral risk factor sampling and questionnaire and combined with China's actual needs, a comprehensive surveillance system for chronic diseases, covering morbidity and mortality, risk factor exposure and community management and control of chronic diseases, was established, a "5+12+1" quality control system for surveillance data collection, management, analysis and feedback was formed and a three-level surveillance information management platform and information technology construction standards in the province were established, resulting the integration of life registration, chronic disease case reporting and community chronic disease management. Using these key techniques, we have obtained high-quality surveillance data of the whole province, produced the main health indicators, carried out research of chronic diseases, and analyze the prevalence and changing trend of the main chronic diseases and related risk factors to boost the government's practical projects for the reform of the people's livelihood and facilitate the construction of "Healthy Zhejiang". The successful experiences and key techniques have been applied in the construction of chronic disease surveillance system in some provinces in China.
China/epidemiology*
;
Chronic Disease
;
Chronic Disease Indicators
;
Humans
;
Noncommunicable Diseases
;
Prevalence
9.Progress in research of family-based cohort study on common chronic non-communicable diseases in rural population in northern China.
M Y WANG ; X TANG ; X Y QIN ; Y Q WU ; J LI ; P GAO ; S P HUANG ; N LI ; D L YANG ; T REN ; T WU ; D F CHEN ; Y H HU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(1):94-97
Family-based cohort study is a special type of study design, in which biological samples and environmental exposure information of the member in a family are collected and related follow up is conducted. Family-based cohort study can be applied to explore the effect of genetic factors, environmental factors, gene-gene interaction, and gene-environment interaction in the etiology of complex diseases. This paper summarizes the objectives, methods and results, as well as the opportunities and challenges of the family-based cohort study on common chronic non-communicable diseases in rural population in northern China.
China/epidemiology*
;
Chronic Disease/ethnology*
;
Cohort Studies
;
Female
;
Gene-Environment Interaction
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Noncommunicable Diseases/ethnology*
;
Research Design
;
Rural Population
10.Implementing the strategy of 'Healthy China' and strengthening the setting-up of National Demonstration Areas, for Comprehensive Prevention and Control of Non-communicable Diseases.
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(4):391-393
The former Ministry of Health launched a project regarding National Demonstration Areas for Comprehensive Prevention and Control of Non-communicable Diseases (NCDs) in 2010. This study combined quantitative and qualitative methods, using epidemiological, anthropological and sociological methods to carry out process assessment, effectiveness and case study to evaluate the outcomes of the Demonstration Areas in China. A government leading body, under multi-sectoral cooperation pattern set for prevention and control of NCDs in the Demonstration Areas, was established. All the health related indicators of the residents from the NCDs appeared better than the national average level, showing the fact that the first phase goal on the establishment of Demonstration Areas was materialized. Papers that included in this issue "Evaluation on China National Demonstration Areas for NCDs Prevention and Control" elaborated the implementation status and effectiveness of the Demonstration Areas. It was our hope to provide reference for scaling up the Demonstration Areas and dynamic management in the future.
China/epidemiology*
;
Chronic Disease/epidemiology*
;
Health Promotion/organization & administration*
;
Humans
;
National Health Programs/organization & administration*
;
Noncommunicable Diseases/prevention & control*
;
Population Surveillance
;
Preventive Health Services/organization & administration*
;
Public Health

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail