1.Prediction of neural tube defect using support vector machine.
Jin-Feng WANG ; Xin LIU ; Yi-Lan LIAO ; Hong-Yan CHEN ; Wan-Xin LI ; Xiao-Ying ZHENG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2010;23(3):167-172
OBJECTIVETo predict neural tube birth defect (NTD) using support vector machine (SVM).
METHODThe dataset in the pilot area was divided into non overlaid training set and testing set. SVM was trained using the training set and the trained SVM was then used to predict the classification of NTD.
RESULTNTD rate was predicted at village level in the pilot area. The accuracy of the prediction was 71.50% for the training dataset and 68.57% for the test dataset respectively.
CONCLUSIONResults from this study have shown that SVM is applicable to the prediction of NTD.
China ; epidemiology ; Humans ; Neural Tube Defects ; epidemiology ; Pilot Projects
2.Prevalence of major external birth defects in high and low risk areas in China, 2003.
Zhi-wen LI ; Ai-guo REN ; Le ZHANG ; Zhan-ying GUO ; Song LI ; Rong-wei YE ; Rui-qin ZHAI ; Lin-tao JIA ; Yan-ping XIAO ; Mai-hui ZHAO ; Yin-zhong LI ; Xin ZHU ; Min-xia ZHOU ; Zhu LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2005;26(4):252-257
OBJECTIVETo study the prevalence rates of birth defects in high and low risk areas in China.
METHODSA population-based surveillance system on birth defects was used to obtain the prevalence rates of 24 kinds of major external birth defects from > or = 20 weeks of gestation to 7 days of life in selected areas in Shanxi and Jiangsu provinces.
RESULTSThe birth prevalence of birth defects (232.4 per 10,000 births) and neural tube defects (NTDs) (138.7 per 10,000 births) in four counties of Shanxi province were significantly higher than that in Taiyuan city (75.3 and 28.2 per 10,000 births, respectively). There was no significant difference for all selected birth defects between Wuxi city and Xishan counties in low risk areas. There was a 6.1-fold of higher prevalence for NTDs in Taiyuan city compared with that in Wuxi areas (4.6 per 10,000 births). In four counties of Shanxi province, the prevalence rates of anencephaly, spina bifida, hydrocephaly, cleft palate alone and polydactyly were significantly higher than in Wuxi areas. The NTDs prevalence rate in four counties of Shanxi was 30.2 times higher than in Wuxi areas. When compared with previous surveillance data, the NTDs prevalence rate did not present obvious declining trend in high risk areas. The birth prevalence rate had a 31.8% decrease when births were calculated after 28 gestational weeks and compared with those from 20 gestational weeks.
CONCLUSIONNTDs remained to be the most common birth defect seen in Shanxi province. The birth prevalence rate of NTDs in some areas of Shanxi province was among the highest that ever reported in the world in comparison with data from other countries and regions. The current prevalence rate in high risk areas in Shanxi province did not clearly show a declining trend. Programs on surveillance and prenatal diagnosis were proved to have made big impact on the rates of major external birth defects.
China ; epidemiology ; Congenital Abnormalities ; epidemiology ; Female ; Humans ; Male ; Neural Tube Defects ; epidemiology ; Prevalence ; Surveys and Questionnaires
3.The epidemiology of neural tube defects in high-prevalence and low-prevalence areas of China.
Li-jun PEI ; Zhu LI ; Song LI ; Shi-xin HONG ; Rong-wei YE ; Xin CHEN ; Jun-chi ZHENG ; Tai-mei WANG ; Xiu-qin ZHAO ; Lan XIAO ; Li-na WANG ; Bo-lan ZHANG ; Zhi-xin LIU ; Yong-lan ZHOU ; Mei-fang JIANG ; Xia-mei SUN ; Hai-lan CHEN ; Min LI ; Xiao-ling YANG ; Quan-zhen SHEN ; Pei-yun SHAO ; Lian-yun XIE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2003;24(6):465-470
OBJECTIVETo describe the epidemiology of neural tube defects (NTDs) in high- and low-prevalence areas of China.
METHODSBirth defects surveillance data, collected from 1992 through 1994 was analyzed. These data were collected as part of the Sino-American cooperative project on NTDs prevention. We classified NTDs as anencephaly, encephalocele, high-level and low-level spina bifida (SB) according to location of the lesion (high vs low) and whether the defect was isolated or occurred in association with other birth defects. Rates were compared in the high-prevalence (North) region and the low-prevalence (South) region, after adjusted for classification, urban and rural, season and sex, and calculated the adjusted rate of NTDs.
RESULTSAmong seven hundred and eighty-four NTDs cases in 326 874 recorded births (include in livebirth, stillbirth and fetal death with a gestational age of at least 20 weeks), the overall NTDs prevalence in the North was 5.57/1,000 births, and in the South was 0.88/1 000. There were also significant differences in the prevalence of anencephaly, encephalocele, high-level and low-level SB between North (0.97, 0.49, 2.75 and 1.11/1,000 birth) and South (0.36, 0.15, 0.21 and 0.14/1,000 birth) (P < 0.01), with adjusted prevalences in the North 3 - 7 times higher than those in the South. There were significant difference between urban (2.04) and rural areas (6.57/1,000 birth) in the North (P < 0.01), urban (0.52) and rural areas (0.95/1,000 birth) in the South (P < 0.05). Adjusted prevalence rates in the rural were 3 - 4 times higher than those of urban in the North and 1.6 - 1.9 times higher than in the South; The seasonal rate of high-level SB increased between September and November in the North (3.44/1,000 birth), while the seasonal rate of anencephaly decreased between September and November (0.18/1,000 birth) in the South. However there were no seasonal changes in other classified NTDs both in the South and North.
CONCLUSIONSThe birth prevalence of NTDs in the North of China was the highest in the world. There were significant differences between the North and the South, urban and rural. There was seasonal change in high-level SB in the North, which was in accordance to the phenotype of NTDs. It was suggested that there might exist etiological heterogeneity among anecephalus, low- and high-level SB.
China ; epidemiology ; Female ; Humans ; Incidence ; Male ; Neural Tube Defects ; epidemiology ; Seasons
4.Unusual patterns of neural tube defects in a high risk region of northern China.
Gong CHEN ; Li-Jun PEI ; Jian HUANG ; Xin-Ming SONG ; Liang-Ming LIN ; Xue GU ; Jian-Xin WU ; Fang WANG ; Ji-Lei WU ; Jia-Peng CHEN ; Ju-Fen LIU ; Ruo-Lei XIN ; Ting ZHANG ; Xiao-Ying ZHENG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2009;22(4):340-344
OBJECTIVETo study the prevalence of different types of neural tube defects (NTDs) in Luliang Prefecture, Shanxi province, where the prevalence of NTDs is unusually high and the correlation between NTDs prevalence and patterns.
METHODSA surveillance population-based birth defects was performed in Luliang Prefecture, Shanxi province.
RESULTSThe results of our study showed that the prevalence of NTDs was 2-fold higher in Luliang Prefecture than in other areas of Shanxi province. Unusual patterns of NTDs were found, however, multiple NTDs were relatively common in Luliang Prefecture, accounting for over 13% of all NTDs cases in China.
CONCLUSIONThe prevalence of NTDs is associated with its patterns.
Child, Preschool ; China ; epidemiology ; Humans ; Infant ; Infant, Newborn ; Neural Tube Defects ; classification ; epidemiology ; Risk Factors
5.Sex distribution of neural tube defects and their birth outcome in high- and low-prevalence areas of China.
Li-Jun PEI ; Zhu LI ; Song LI ; Shi-Xin HONG ; Hong WANG ; Tai-Mei WANG ; Xiu-Qin ZHAO ; Yu-Bei GUAN ; Lan XIAO ; Li-Na WANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2003;37(5):338-341
OBJECTIVETo describe and analyze epidemiological characteristics of babies with neural tube defects (NTD) by sex and birth outcome in a high-prevalence and a low-prevalence areas of China.
METHODSBirth defects surveillance data collected from 1992 through 1994, as a part of the Sino-American cooperative project on NTD prevention, were used to classify NTD as four categories, i.e., anencephaly, encephalocele, high-level and low-level spina bifida according to the sites of lesion (high vs. low level lesion were cervicothoracic and lumbosacral, respectively). Each category was sub-classified, according to single or compound defect, as isolated external defects (including those with NTD only) or multiple external defects (including those with NTD and another major external birth defects that is not the sequence of a defect such as cleft lip with or without cleft palate). The rates of anencephalus, encephalocele, high- and low-level spina bifida (SB) in males and females and their sex ratios were calculated, adjusted for urban and rural areas, season, category and birth outcome by sex and sites of lesions (high vs. low).
RESULTSTotally, 784 NTD cases were identified from 326 874 recorded births (including live births, stillbirths and fetal deaths with a gestation age of at least 20 weeks). The prevalence rates of anencephalus (1.30 per 1 000 female births) and high-level SB (3.99) in females were higher than those (0.66 and 1.66 per 1 000 male births) in males in the high-prevalence northern regions; with adjusted prevalence rates of females 1.8 - 2.1 times greater than those of males. In the low-prevalence southern regions, the prevalence of high- (0.32 per 1 000 female births) and low-level SB (0.21) in female were higher than those in males, with high- and low-level SB rate of 0.10 and 0.09 per 1 000 male births), with adjusted rates for females of 1.3 - 1.6 times higher than in males. Isolated NTD accounted for more than 80% of all NTD cases, and the prevalence of isolated NTD in females (2.57) was higher than that in males (1.40).
CONCLUSIONSThe sex differences in NTD existed between north and south, in accordance with the phenotype of NTD. It suggested that proportion of high level SB and anencephalus in females could increase as the prevalence of NTD going up, anencephaly, high- and low-level SB had the different genetic and environmental background.
China ; epidemiology ; Female ; Humans ; Infant, Newborn ; Male ; Neural Tube Defects ; epidemiology ; Prevalence ; Sex Distribution
6.Maternal periconceptional folic acid supplementation and its effects on the prevalence of fetal neural tube defects.
Lei JIN ; Cheng WANG ; Jie ZHANG ; Wen Ying MENG ; Jia Yu ZHANG ; Jin Hui YU ; Gui Yin LIN ; Ming Kun TONG ; Lei JIN
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2020;52(4):719-725
OBJECTIVE:
To find out the status of folic acid supplementation among women, to evaluate the prevention effects on neural tube defects (NTDs), and to explore the factors impact on folic acid supplementation compliance.
METHODS:
Based on the routine data of 92 121 women in prenatal health care and birth defect surveillance system in Tongzhou District of Beijing from 2013 to 2018, we described the prevalence of periconceptional folic acid supplementation, pre-pregnancy folic acid supplementation and regularly folic acid supplementation (compliance supplementation). Trend χ2 tests were used to evaluate the change of folic acid supplementation prevalence. The prevalence difference among the women with folic acid supplementation and without supplementation were tested with Fisher's exact test. Factors asso-ciated with folic acid supplementation compliance rate were analyzed with univariate and multivariate Logistic regression model.
RESULTS:
The prevalence of periconceptional folic acid supplementation during the six years was 90.08% and it was increased from 2013 to 2018, but the rate of pre-pregnancy and regular supplementation was only 41.5% and declined from 2013 to 2018, especially 2013 to 2015. The prevalence of NTDs among the fetuses whose mothers took folic acid during periconceptional period was 5.5/10 000, while the prevalence for the fetuses whose mothers did not take folic acid was 19.7/10 000 (P < 0.001), the rates ratio was 27.9% (χ2=23.74, P < 0.001). The difference between the prevalence of NTDs among the fetuses whose mothers took folic acid only and multiple micronutrients was not statistically significant. After controlling the confounding factors, it was found that the compliant folic acid supplementation rates in women, whose household registrations were outside Beijing and whose education levels were junior high school or below, and who were younger than 25 years old, and who were multiparas and who were pre-pregnancy underweight or obese, were lower than those of the corresponding control groups (P < 0.05).
CONCLUSION
The rate of folic acid supplementation among women in Tongzhou District of Beijing was relatively high, but their compliance was poor. Women who did not take folic acid during periconception seriously affected the prevention effect of NTDs. We should focus on women who are younger than 25 years old, lower educated, pre-pregnancy underweight or obese, multiparas and nonlocal household registers, in order to improve the periconceptional folic acid supplementation compliance and improve the effects of NTDs prevention.
Adult
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Beijing
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Dietary Supplements
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Female
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Fetus
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Folic Acid
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Humans
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Neural Tube Defects/epidemiology*
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Pregnancy
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Prevalence
7.PSO/ACO algorithm-based risk assessment of human neural tube defects in Heshun County, China.
Yi Lan LIAO ; Jin Feng WANG ; Ji Lei WU ; Jiao Jiao WANG ; Xiao Ying ZHENG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2012;25(5):569-576
OBJECTIVETo develop a new technique for assessing the risk of birth defects, which are a major cause of infant mortality and disability in many parts of the world.
METHODSThe region of interest in this study was Heshun County, the county in China with the highest rate of neural tube defects (NTDs). A hybrid particle swarm optimization/ant colony optimization (PSO/ACO) algorithm was used to quantify the probability of NTDs occurring at villages with no births. The hybrid PSO/ACO algorithm is a form of artificial intelligence adapted for hierarchical classification. It is a powerful technique for modeling complex problems involving impacts of causes.
RESULTSThe algorithm was easy to apply, with the accuracy of the results being 69.5%±7.02% at the 95% confidence level.
CONCLUSIONThe proposed method is simple to apply, has acceptable fault tolerance, and greatly enhances the accuracy of calculations.
Algorithms ; Artificial Intelligence ; China ; epidemiology ; Environmental Exposure ; adverse effects ; Humans ; Infant, Newborn ; Models, Biological ; Neural Tube Defects ; epidemiology ; Risk Factors
8.The survey of birth defects rate based on birth registration system.
Min YU ; Zhiguang PING ; Shuiping ZHANG ; Yuying HE ; Rui DONG ; Xiong GUO
Chinese Medical Journal 2015;128(1):7-14
BACKGROUNDTo investigate the surveillance trend of birth defects, incidence, distribution, occurrence regularity, and their relevant factors in Xi'an City in the last 10 years for proposing control measures.
METHODSThe birth defects monitoring data of infants during perinatal period (28 weeks of gestation to 7 days after birth) were collected from obstetrics departments of all hospitals during 2003-2012. Microsoft Excel 2003 was used for data input, and Statistical Package for the Social Sciences version 16.0 (International Business Machines Corporation, New York, NY, USA) was used for descriptive analysis. χ2 test, Spearman correlation and linear-by-linear association trend test were used for statistical analyses.
RESULTSThe birth defect rate declined from 9.18% in 2003 to 7.00% in 2012 (χ2 = 45.001, P < 0.01) with a mean value of 7.85%, which is below the Chinese national average level (χ2 = 20.451, P < 0.01). The order of five most common birth defects has changed. The incidence of congenital heart disease (CHD) increased with time, particularly after 2012, it became the most frequent type (r s = 0.808, P < 0.001). Till then, the number of neural tube defects (NTDs) declined significantly (χ2 = 76.254, P < 0.01). The average birth defects rate of 8.11% in rural areas was higher than that in urban areas (7.56%, χ2 = 7.919, P < 0.01) and much higher in males (8.28%) than that in females (7.18%, χ2 = 32.397, P < 0.01). Maternal age older than 35 years (χ2 = 35.298, P < 0.01) is the most dangerous age bracket of birth defects than maternal age younger than 20 years (χ2 = 7.128, P < 0.01).
CONCLUSIONSA downward trend of birth defects was observed in Xi'an City from 2003 to 2012. NTDs significantly decreased after large-scale supplemental folic acid intervention, while the incidence rate of CHD significantly increased.
Congenital Abnormalities ; epidemiology ; Data Collection ; Female ; Humans ; Infant, Newborn ; Neural Tube Defects ; epidemiology ; Pregnancy ; Quality Control ; Vital Statistics
9.Dietary factors and the risk of neural tube defects: a case-control study in Shanxi province, China.
Zhi-wen LI ; Ai-guo REN ; Le ZHANG ; Zhan-ying GUO ; Yong-sheng JIN ; Zhu LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2006;27(10):831-835
OBJECTIVEDietary factors that could potentially be related to the risk of birth defects are still unknown in Shanxi province, a region with high prevalence of neural tube defects(NTDs) in China. The main aim of this study was to evaluate the association between NTDs and local dietary factors.
METHODSA population-based case-control study was conducted during 2003-2005 in four selected counties of Shanxi province with 363 NTDs cases ascertained and 523 control babies without any external birth defects.
RESULTSBy multivariate logistic regression analysis, we found the NTDs risk was significantly associated with low consumption of meat and legume, high consumption of pickled vegetables, noncentralized supply of drinking water and drinking tea after adjusting for maternal education level and birth defects history. A significant dose response trend was found between the NTDs risk and the lower frequencies of meat and legume consumption and higher frequency of pickled vegetable consumption, with population attributable risks (PAR) of 69.4%, 22.0% and 18.5%, respectively. Mothers who got their drinking water from river or pond during periconceptional period were more likely to have a NTD-affected pregnancy [OR = 3.42, 95% CI: 1.44-8.09, population attributable risk (PAR) = 4.7%] compared with those who utilized tap or well water. Those who drank tea everyday had an elevated risk of having a NTD-affected pregnancy compared with those who didn't (OR = 4.65, 95% CI: 1.41-15.36, PAR = 2.6%).
CONCLUSIONHigher intake of meat and legume protects a woman from having a NTD-affected pregnancy, and consumption of pickled vegetables, drinking water from river or pond and drinking tea everyday increase the risk of having such a pregnancy in the study population.
Case-Control Studies ; China ; epidemiology ; Diet ; Female ; Humans ; Meat ; Neural Tube Defects ; epidemiology ; Pregnancy ; Risk Factors ; Vegetables ; Water Supply
10.Dynamic monitoring of neural tube defects in China during 1996 to 2000.
Li DAI ; Jun ZHU ; Guangxuan ZHOU ; Yanping WANG ; Yanqiao WU ; Lei MIAO ; Juan LIANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2002;36(6):402-405
OBJECTIVEThe database from Chinese Birth Defects Monitoring Network was used to describe the epidemiological features and secular trends of neural tube defects (NTDs) prevalence during Jan. 1996 to Dec. 2000, including anencephaly, spina bifida and encephalocele.
METHODSData were collected with hospital-based cluster sampling method. During the period, all live or still births with 28 weeks or more of gestation were assessed within seven days after delivery.
RESULTSThere were 2 873 case with NTDs identified from 2 281 616 births, with an overall prevalence rate of 12.95 per 10,000 births. And, the prevalence rates of anencephaly, spina bifida and encephalocele were 5.02 per 10,000, 6.30 per 10,000 and 1.64 per 10,000, respectively. Significant falls in overall prevalence rates of NTDs and of anencephaly were observed. The prevalence rates of NTDs were 9.75 per 10,000 and 15.96 per 10,000 in male and female births, respectively, 7.76 per 10,000 and 25.20 per 10,000 in the urban and rural areas, respectively, and 19.90 per 10,000 and 5.81 per 10,000 in north and south China, respectively. The prevalence was higher in the groups with maternal age of less than 20 years and more than 30 years than in those other maternal ages. Preterm babies and babies with low birth weight accounted for 50.9% and 50.6% of perinatal babies with NTDs, respectively, with a perinatal mortality of 77.8%.
CONCLUSIONSIn China, the occurrence of NTDs was higher in female births than in male births, higher in the rural than in the urban, and higher in the north than in the south. Annual prevalence rate of NTDs in China presented a declining trend, but still higher than that in the other countries at the same time period. Babies with NTDs were in poor birth quality, higher perinatal mortality and poor prognosis. Effective preventive measures and prenatal diagnosis should be strengthened to reduce the occurrences of neural tube defects.
Adult ; China ; epidemiology ; Female ; Folic Acid ; administration & dosage ; Humans ; Incidence ; Infant, Newborn ; Male ; Neural Tube Defects ; epidemiology ; prevention & control ; Pregnancy