1.Association between body mass index and coronary heart disease in Qingdao: a prospective study.
Jia Hui SONG ; Chi PAN ; Fei Fei LI ; Xiao Jia XUE ; Yu GUO ; Pei PEI ; Xiao Cao TIAN ; Shao Jie WANG ; Ru Qin GAO ; Zeng Chang PANG ; Zhengming CHEN ; Liming LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(9):1357-1363
Objective: To analyze the association between body mass index (BMI) and coronary heart disease. Methods: The data for the present study were from the prospective cohort study of China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) in Qingdao, a total of 33 355 participants aged 30-79 years were included in the study. Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between BMI and coronary heart disease. Results: During the follow-up for an average 9.2 years, a total of 2 712 cases of ischemic heart disease (IHD) and 420 cases of major coronary events (MCE) were found. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that, compared with participants with normal BMI, the participants who were overweight had a 41% and 87% higher risk of IHD and MCE, the adjusted HR were 1.41 (95%CI: 1.27-1.56) and 1.87 (95%CI: 1.43-2.44), respectively. The participants who were obesity had 91% and 143% higher risk of IHD and MCE, the adjusted HR were 1.91 (95%CI: 1.72-2.13) and 2.43 (95%CI: 1.82-3.24), respectively. Conclusion: Overweight and obesity might increase the risk for IHD and MCE.
Body Mass Index
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Coronary Disease/epidemiology*
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Humans
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Myocardial Ischemia/epidemiology*
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Obesity/epidemiology*
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Overweight/epidemiology*
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Prospective Studies
2.Study on the baseline physical activity and the risk of ischemic cardiovascular diseases.
Xing ZHANG ; Gao-Qiang XIE ; Lin-Feng ZHANG ; Xian LI ; Lian-Cheng ZHAO ; Ying LI ; Bei-Fan ZHOU ; Yang-Feng WU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2006;27(11):930-933
OBJECTIVETo examine the associations between physical activity measures [metabolic equivalents of energy expenditure (MET) per hour per day] and ischemic cardiovascular diseases (ICVD) in Chinese population.
METHODSA survey on cardiovascular risk factors was conducted in different areas of China in fall 1998. People aged 35 to 59 but without a history of coronary heart and stroke at baseline were prospectively followed and 11 849 subjects whose information were complete at the end of second follow-up were valid. Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) for incident ischemic cardiovascular diseases and the different measures of physical activity.
RESULTSDuring a mean follow-up period of 5.9 years, 84 incident ischemic cardiovascular events were ascertained. We examined the HRs of ischemic cardiovascular events for a 1-unit change in METs value, which were included in the models as continuous variable. There were negative association of METs values found with ischemic cardiovascular events in total, urban, rural, male and female subjects, and statistical significance in the urban (HRs = 0.22, 95% CI: 0.05-0.95) but the association was weakened after adjustment for demographic factors. When further adjustment for other intermediate factors, the significance in the urban was again attenuated. When the urban males and females, rural males and females were divided into 3 groups according to their respective tertiles and the combination of different population groups, the factors of male/female and urban/ rural were equally distributed in different groups, and no more adjustment in the Cox model. The multivariate - adjusted (age and education attainment) HRs associated with the tertiles, from lowest to highest, were: 1, 1.03 and 0.65 (P(trend) = 0.170) for the total, 1, 0.72 and 0.64 for the urban, 1, 1.49 and 0.72 for the rural, 1, 1.05 and 0.59 for men, 1, 0.90 and 0.84 for women.
CONCLUSIONThe totality of our findings pointed to METs per hour per day seemed to be weakly associated with a reduction in ischemic cardiovascular events incidence among urban middle-aged adults.
China ; epidemiology ; Energy Metabolism ; Female ; Humans ; Male ; Myocardial Ischemia ; epidemiology ; Risk Factors ; Rural Health ; Urban Health
3.Comparison of the exposure rates of risk factors and inducing factors of acute myocardial infarction between younger and aged adults.
Cong-gang HUANG ; Rui LI ; Hui-ping ZUO ; Zheng-yan WANG ; Rong-hua HE ; Yong-guang ZOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2007;28(3):282-285
OBJECTIVETo study the clinical characteristics of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) among younger adults and to explore the possible mechanisms of early myocardial infarction, combined with the newly discovered risk factors of coronary heart disease.
METHODSData on comparative analysis to the exposure rates of the risk factors and inducing factors of non-CAD patients with two groups of AMI patients including younger adults group (< or =40 years old) and aged adults group (> or =50 years old). Coronary angiography was applied.
RESULTSThere were differences noticed between the frequencies of risk factors of the two AMI groups. In younger adults group the exposure rates of smoking, hyperlipidemia, positive family history, C-reactive protein (CRP) and fibrinogen were markedly higher, while in elderly group the exposure rates of hypertension, smoking, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, CRP, fibrinogen and homocysteine (HCY) were markedly higher (P < 0.05). Although the clustering status of risk factors of the younger adult group was not higher than that of the elderly group. There were obvious inducing factors before the patients were attacked by AMI and the inducing factors inclined to cluster, which had obvious dose-reaction relationships with the occurrence of AMI in young people.
CONCLUSIONEarly AMI of younger adults might relate to the clustering status of inducing factors. The coexistence of several kinds of inducing factors was resulted in the occurrence of AMI of the atherosclerosis (As) and non-As patients by means of myocardial ischemia accumulation effect.
Adult ; Age Factors ; Aged ; Atherosclerosis ; epidemiology ; China ; epidemiology ; Coronary Angiography ; Humans ; Middle Aged ; Myocardial Infarction ; epidemiology ; pathology ; Myocardial Ischemia ; epidemiology ; Risk Factors
4.Development and validation of ischemic heart disease and stroke prognostic models using large-scale real-world data from Japan.
Shigeto YOSHIDA ; Shu TANAKA ; Masafumi OKADA ; Takuya OHKI ; Kazumasa YAMAGISHI ; Yasushi OKUNO
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2023;28():16-16
BACKGROUND:
Previous cardiovascular risk prediction models in Japan have utilized prospective cohort studies with concise data. As the health information including health check-up records and administrative claims becomes digitalized and publicly available, application of large datasets based on such real-world data can achieve prediction accuracy and support social implementation of cardiovascular disease risk prediction models in preventive and clinical practice. In this study, classical regression and machine learning methods were explored to develop ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke prognostic models using real-world data.
METHODS:
IQVIA Japan Claims Database was searched to include 691,160 individuals (predominantly corporate employees and their families working in secondary and tertiary industries) with at least one annual health check-up record during the identification period (April 2013-December 2018). The primary outcome of the study was the first recorded IHD or stroke event. Predictors were annual health check-up records at the index year-month, comprising demographic characteristics, laboratory tests, and questionnaire features. Four prediction models (Cox, Elnet-Cox, XGBoost, and Ensemble) were assessed in the present study to develop a cardiovascular disease risk prediction model for Japan.
RESULTS:
The analysis cohort consisted of 572,971 invididuals. All prediction models showed similarly good performance. The Harrell's C-index was close to 0.9 for all IHD models, and above 0.7 for stroke models. In IHD models, age, sex, high-density lipoprotein, low-density lipoprotein, cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure had higher importance, while in stroke models systolic blood pressure and age had higher importance.
CONCLUSION
Our study analyzed classical regression and machine learning algorithms to develop cardiovascular disease risk prediction models for IHD and stroke in Japan that can be applied to practical use in a large population with predictive accuracy.
Humans
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Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology*
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Prognosis
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Prospective Studies
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Japan/epidemiology*
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Stroke/etiology*
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Myocardial Ischemia/epidemiology*
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Risk Assessment/methods*
5.Air Temperature Affects the Hospital Admission for Cardiovascular Diseases among Rural Residents in Dingxi City.
Yan-Ru WANG ; Ji-Yuan DONG ; Ren-Qing YANG ; Ning LIU
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2022;44(2):188-198
Objective To explore the effect of air temperature on the hospitalization of rural residents with cardiovascular diseases and its lag effect in Dingxi city. Methods The meteorological data and air pollution data of Dingxi city from 2018 to 2019,as well as the daily hospitalization data of rural residents due to cardiovascular diseases,were collected.The distributed lag non-linear models were employed to analyze the relationship between daily mean air temperature and the number of inpatients with cardiovascular diseases.Meanwhile,stratified analysis was carried out according to gender,age,and disease. Results There was a non-linear relationship between air temperature and the number of hospitalized rural residents with cardiovascular diseases in Dingxi city.The exposure-response curve approximated a bell shape.The curves for different cardiovascular diseases appeared similar shapes,with different temperature thresholds.Low temperature(-7 ℃) and moderately low temperature(0 ℃) exhibited a cumulative lag effect on the number of patients hospitalized with cardiovascular diseases.With a cumulative lag of 7 days at -7 ℃ and 14 days at 0 ℃,the RR values peaked,which were 1.121(95% CI=1.002-1.255) and 1.198(95% CI=1.123-1.278),respectively.With a cumulative lag of 14 days at 0 ℃,the RR values were 1.034(95% CI=1.003-1.077) and 1.039(95% CI=1.004-1.066) for the number of hospitalized patients with ischemic heart disease and heart rhythm disorders,respectively.The cumulative lag effects of moderately high temperature(17 ℃) and high temperature(21 ℃) on ischemic heart disease,heart rhythm disorders,and cerebrovascular disease all peaked on that day.Specifically,the RR values at 17 ℃ and 21 ℃ were 1.148(95% CI=1.092-1.206) and 1.176(95% CI=1.096-1.261) for ischemic heart disease,1.071(95% CI=1.001-1.147) and 1.112(95% CI=1.011-1.223) for heart rhythm disorders,and 1.084(95% CI=1.025-1.145) and 1.094(95% CI=1.013-1.182) for cerebrovascular disease,respectively.There was no cumulative lag effect of air temperature on the number of hospitalized patients with heart failure.In addition,stratified analysis showed that low temperature(-7 ℃) and moderately low temperature(0 ℃) affected the number of hospitalized female patients with cardiovascular diseases,and only moderately low temperature(0 ℃) affected males.The cumulative lag effect of high temperature on females was higher than that on males.Air temperature exhibited a stronger impact on female patients than on male patients. Additionally,the population aged<65 years old was more sensitive to low temperature and high temperature than that aged ≥65 years old. Conclusions Air temperature changes increase the hospitalization risk of rural residents with cardiovascular diseases in Dingxi city,which presents a lag effect.The effects of air temperature on patients hospitalized due to cardiovascular diseases varied among different etiologies,genders,and ages.It is necessary to emphasize on the impact of temperature changes on health in residents,especially for key populations such as females,people aged<65 years old,and those with ischemic heart disease.
Aged
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Air Pollutants/analysis*
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Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology*
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Cerebrovascular Disorders
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China/epidemiology*
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Female
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Hospitalization
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Hospitals
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Humans
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Male
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Myocardial Ischemia/epidemiology*
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Temperature
6.Changing profiles of cardiovascular disease and risk factors in China: a secondary analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.
Huan WANG ; Hao ZHANG ; Zhiyong ZOU
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(20):2431-2441
BACKGROUND:
Understanding the changing profiles of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and modifiable risk factors is essential for CVD prevention and control. We aimed to report the comprehensive trends in CVD and risk factors in China from 1990 to 2019.
METHODS:
Data on the incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of total CVD and its 11 subtypes for China were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The CVD burden attributable to 12 risk factors was also retrieved. A secondary analysis was conducted to summarize the leading causes of CVD burden and attributable risk factors.
RESULTS:
From 1990 to 2019, the number of CVD incidence, death, and DALYs considerably increased by 132.8%, 89.1%, and 52.6%, respectively. Stroke, ischemic heart disease, and hypertensive heart disease accounted for over 95.0% of CVD deaths in 2019 and remained the top three causes during the past 30 years. Between 1990 and 2019, the age-standardized rate of stroke decreased significantly (percentage of decreased incidence: -9.3%; death: -39.8%; DALYs: -41.6%), while the rate of ischemic heart disease increased (percentage of increased incidence: 11.5%; death: 17.6%; DALYs: 2.2%). High systolic blood pressure, unhealthy diet, tobacco, and air pollution continued to be the major contributors to CVD deaths and DALYs (attributing to over 70% of the CVD burden), and the high body mass index (BMI)-associated CVD burden had the largest increase between 1990 and 2019.
CONCLUSIONS
The significant increases in the number of CVD incident cases, deaths, and DALYs suggest that the CVD burden is still a concern. Intensified strategies and policies are needed to maintain promising progress in stroke and to reduce the escalating burden of ischemic heart disease. The CVD burden attributable to risk factors has not yet made adequate achievements; even worse, high BMI has contributed to the increasing CVD burden.
Humans
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Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology*
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Global Burden of Disease
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Quality-Adjusted Life Years
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Risk Factors
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Myocardial Ischemia/epidemiology*
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Stroke/epidemiology*
7.Serum triglyceride is an independent risk factor for acute coronary heart disease events in 35 - 64 years old Chinese-Chinese Multi-provincial Cohort Study..
Miao WANG ; Dong ZHAO ; Wei WANG ; Jing LIU ; Jun LIU ; Sa LIU ; Jia-Yi SUN ; Lan-Ping QIN ; Zhao-Su WU
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2008;36(10):940-943
OBJECTIVETo evaluate the association between serum triglyceride (TG) and the cardiovascular diseases (CVD) risk in Chinese population.
METHODSA total of 30, 378 men and women aged 35 - 64 years old were recruited in the Chinese-Chinese Multi-provincial Cohort Study (CMCS). The serum TG and other CVD risk factors were measured. All subjects were followed up annually or biannually for acute CVD events from 1992 to 2004. A Cox regression model was established to identify the association between TG and risk of CVD events.
RESULTSThe accumulative incidence rate of acute coronary heart disease (CHD) events increased from 62.6/100 000 in the low TG groups to 168.4/100 000 in the high TG group divided by the quartile. TG was identified as an independent risk factor for CHD after adjustment for the confounding risk factors by a Cox regression model. Compared subjects with TG < 0.81 mmol/L, CHD risk increased 81% and 59% in subjects with TG 1.15 - 1.59 mmol/L and TG >/= 1.60 mmol/L, respectively (all P < 0.05). There was no significant association between TG level and the risks of hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke events (P > 0.05).
CONCLUSIONSerum TG is an independent risk factor for acute CHD events in Chinese population aged 35 - 64.
Cohort Studies ; Coronary Disease ; epidemiology ; Humans ; Myocardial Ischemia ; Risk Factors ; Triglycerides ; blood
8.Bilirubin and risk of ischemic heart disease in Korea: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study
Christina JEON ; Ji Young LEE ; Sun Ju LEE ; Keum Ji JUNG ; Heejin KIMM ; Sun Ha JEE
Epidemiology and Health 2019;41(1):2019034-
OBJECTIVES: Bilirubin is an endogenous antioxidant that protects cells against oxidative stress. Increased plasma levels of bilirubin have been associated with a reduced risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD) in previous studies. Nonetheless, whether those associations reflect a true protective effect of bilirubin on IHD, rather than confounding or reverse causation, remains unknown. Therefore, we applied two-sample Mendelian randomization to evaluate the causal association between bilirubin levels and IHD risk in a Korean population.METHODS: A total of 5 genetic variants—TRPM8 (rs10490012), USP40 (rs12993249), ATG16L1 (rs2119503), SLCO1B1 (rs4149014), and SLCO1B3 (rs73233620)—were selected as genetic instruments for serum bilirubin levels using a community-based cohort, the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study, comprising 33,598 subjects. We then evaluated their impact on IHD using the Korean Cancer Prevention Study-II cohort.RESULTS: Among the 5 instrumental variables that showed significant associations with serum bilirubin levels, rs12993249 (USP40) showed the most significant association (p<2.36×10−105). However, we found no significant association between serum bilirubin levels and IHD. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated a consistent association, suggesting that our observations were robust.CONCLUSIONS: Using two-sample Mendelian randomization, we found no association between serum bilirubin levels and IHD. Further studies that confirm the observed interactions among other ethnicities are warranted.
Bilirubin
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Cohort Studies
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Epidemiology
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Genome
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Korea
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Myocardial Ischemia
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Oxidative Stress
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Plasma
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Random Allocation
9.Bilirubin and risk of ischemic heart disease in Korea: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study
Christina JEON ; Ji Young LEE ; Sun Ju LEE ; Keum Ji JUNG ; Heejin KIMM ; Sun Ha JEE
Epidemiology and Health 2019;41(1):e2019034-
OBJECTIVES: Bilirubin is an endogenous antioxidant that protects cells against oxidative stress. Increased plasma levels of bilirubin have been associated with a reduced risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD) in previous studies. Nonetheless, whether those associations reflect a true protective effect of bilirubin on IHD, rather than confounding or reverse causation, remains unknown. Therefore, we applied two-sample Mendelian randomization to evaluate the causal association between bilirubin levels and IHD risk in a Korean population. METHODS: A total of 5 genetic variants—TRPM8 (rs10490012), USP40 (rs12993249), ATG16L1 (rs2119503), SLCO1B1 (rs4149014), and SLCO1B3 (rs73233620)—were selected as genetic instruments for serum bilirubin levels using a community-based cohort, the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study, comprising 33,598 subjects. We then evaluated their impact on IHD using the Korean Cancer Prevention Study-II cohort. RESULTS: Among the 5 instrumental variables that showed significant associations with serum bilirubin levels, rs12993249 (USP40) showed the most significant association (p<2.36×10−105). However, we found no significant association between serum bilirubin levels and IHD. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated a consistent association, suggesting that our observations were robust. CONCLUSIONS: Using two-sample Mendelian randomization, we found no association between serum bilirubin levels and IHD. Further studies that confirm the observed interactions among other ethnicities are warranted.
Bilirubin
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Cohort Studies
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Epidemiology
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Genome
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Korea
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Myocardial Ischemia
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Oxidative Stress
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Plasma
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Random Allocation
10.Analysis of the burden of disease attributable to high temperature exposure in China and globally from 1990 to 2019.
Cheng Cheng LI ; Xiao Mei LI ; Yun Hao XU ; Ming Yue LI ; Chun Ping WANG
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2023;41(4):271-276
Objective: To analyze the burden of disease attributable to high temperature exposure in China and globally from 1990 to 2019, and to study the current burden of disease in relevant populations. Methods: In October 2021, based on data from the global burden of disease 2019 (GBD 2019) study, population attributable fraction (PAF), number of deaths, mortality, disability-adjusted life year (DALY) and DALY rate of Chinese and global populations with different ages and genders in 1990 and 2019 were extracted and analyzed. The rate of change was calculated, the mortality rate was normalized by the age structure of the world standard population, and the causes of disease burden caused by high temperature exposure of Chinese residents were analyzed. Results: In 2019, compared with 1990, the PAF of Chinese and global population decreased by 43.98% and 12.41% respectively, the number of deaths increased by 29.55% and 49.40% respectively, the crude mortality rate increased by 7.81% and 3.30% respectively, the DALY decreased by 48.12% and 14.41% respectively, and the DALY rate decreased by 56.82% and 40.82% respectively. The mortality rate of the ≥70 age group was higher than that of other groups. The disease burden indicators such as PAF, standardized mortality and DALY attributable to high temperature exposure in men were higher than those in women. In 2019, the main cause of DALY affected by high temperature exposure in Chinese population was ischemic heart disease (84400 person-years), and the main cause of death was ischemic heart disease (4900 cases). Conclusion: The burden of diseases attributable to high temperature exposure is still serious in China and the world at large. Targeted interventions should be formulated for men, the elderly and people with occupational exposure, and a sound surveillance system should be established to reduce the burden of diseases caused by high temperature exposure.
Humans
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Male
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Female
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Aged
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Quality-Adjusted Life Years
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Temperature
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Cost of Illness
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China/epidemiology*
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Myocardial Ischemia