1.Characteristics and trends of drowning mortality among Chinese residents from 2010 to 2021
WANG Jie ; SUN Nenghong ; MU Hongjie ; WANG Yun ; GAO Zhe ; LÜ ; Juncheng
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(11):1135-1139
Objective:
To analyze the characteristics and trends of drowning mortality among Chinese residents from 2010 to 2021, so as to provide a basis for developing targeted prevention strategies and reducing the burden of drowning deaths.
Methods:
Data on drowning mortality among Chinese residents from 2010 to 2021 were collected from the China Cause of Death Surveillance Dataset (2010-2021). The crude mortality was calculated and then standardized using the data from the Sixth National Population Census in 2010. The characteristics of drowning mortality were analyzed by genders, regions, and ages. The average annual percent change (AAPC) was employed to assess the trend in drowning mortality.
Results:
From 2010 to 2021, the overall crude drowning mortality among Chinese residents was 3.53/100 000, with a standardized mortality of 3.34/100 000, both showed decreasing trends (AAPC=-2.438% and -3.739%, both P<0.05). The crude and standardized mortality were higher in males than in females (4.55/100 000 vs. 2.47/100 000, 4.43/100 000 vs. 2.16/100 000, both P<0.05). Both the crude drowning mortality (AAPC=-2.974% and -1.337%) and standardized drowning mortality (AAPC=-3.806% and -3.599%) among males and females showed decreasing trends, respectively (all P<0.05). The crude and standardized drowning mortality were higher in rural residents than in urban residents (4.13/100 000 vs. 2.35/100 000, 3.86/100 000 vs. 2.27/100 000, both P<0.05). Both the crude and standardized drowning mortality in rural residents showed decreasing trends (AAPC=-3.343% and -4.515%, both P<0.05), whereas no statistically significant trends were observed in urban residents (both P>0.05). Both the crude and standardized drowning mortality were higher in western residents than in eastern residents and central residents (4.30/100 000 vs. 2.89/100 000 and 3.66/100 000, 4.14/100 000 vs. 2.64/100 000 and 3.49/100 000, all P<0.05). The standardized mortality showed decreasing trends in eastern, central and western residents (AAPC=-3.237%, -2.344%, and -5.467%, all P<0.05). The groups aged ≥65 years and 1-<5 years experienced relatively high crude drowning mortality of 8.81/105 and 7.38/105, respectively. Decreasing trends were observed in groups aged <1 year, 1-<5 years, and 5-<15 years (AAPC=-14.126%, -11.452%, and -7.443%, all P<0.05). In contrast, no statistically significant trends were observed in the other age groups (all P>0.05).
Conclusions
The overall drowning mortality rate among Chinese residents showed a declining trend from 2010 to 2021. However, the risks of drowning mortality remained relatively high among males, rural residents, residents in the western region, children, and the elderly.
2.The Valvular Heart Disease-specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) score in patients with moderate or severe valvular heart disease.
Mu-Rong XIE ; Bin ZHANG ; Yun-Qing YE ; Zhe LI ; Qing-Rong LIU ; Zhen-Yan ZHAO ; Jun-Xing LV ; De-Jing FENG ; Qing-Hao ZHAO ; Hai-Tong ZHANG ; Zhen-Ya DUAN ; Bin-Cheng WANG ; Shuai GUO ; Yan-Yan ZHAO ; Run-Lin GAO ; Hai-Yan XU ; Yong-Jian WU
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2025;22(9):759-774
BACKGROUND:
Based on the China-VHD database, this study sought to develop and validate a Valvular Heart Disease- specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) for predicting mortality risk in patients with VHD.
METHODS & RESULTS:
The China-VHD study was a nationwide, multi-centre multi-centre cohort study enrolling 13,917 patients with moderate or severe VHD across 46 medical centres in China between April-June 2018. After excluding cases with missing key variables, 11,459 patients were retained for final analysis. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality, with 941 deaths (10.0%) observed during follow-up. The VHD-ACI was derived after identifying 13 independent mortality predictors: cardiomyopathy, myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pulmonary artery hypertension, low body weight, anaemia, hypoalbuminaemia, renal insufficiency, moderate/severe hepatic dysfunction, heart failure, cancer, NYHA functional class and age. The index exhibited good discrimination (AUC, 0.79) and calibration (Brier score, 0.062) in the total cohort, outperforming both EuroSCORE II and ACCI (P < 0.001 for comparison). Internal validation through 100 bootstrap iterations yielded a C statistic of 0.694 (95% CI: 0.665-0.723) for 2-year mortality prediction. VHD-ACI scores, as a continuous variable (VHD-ACI score: adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.263 (1.245-1.282), P < 0.001) or categorized using thresholds determined by the Yoden index (VHD-ACI ≥ 9 vs. < 9, adjusted HR (95% CI): 6.216 (5.378-7.184), P < 0.001), were independently associated with mortality. The prognostic performance remained consistent across all VHD subtypes (aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, mitral regurgitation, tricuspid valve disease, mixed aortic/mitral valve disease and multiple VHD), and clinical subgroups stratified by therapeutic strategy, LVEF status (preserved vs. reduced), disease severity and etiology.
CONCLUSION
The VHD-ACI is a simple 13-comorbidity algorithm for the prediction of mortality in VHD patients and providing a simple and rapid tool for risk stratification.
3.Simultaneous detection of 34 emerging contaminants in tap water by HPLC-MS/MS and health risk assessment
Yixuan CAO ; Ziwei YUAN ; Xiaoxi MU ; Chenshan LV ; Haiyan CUI ; Tao WANG ; Zhiwen WEI ; Zhongbing CHEN ; Hongyan ZOU ; Keming YUN ; Meng HU
Chinese Journal of Forensic Medicine 2024;39(1):31-38
Objective To establish a simultaneous detection approach for 34 emerging contaminants(ECs)in tap water by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry(HPLC-MS/MS).Human health risk assessment was performed according to the detection results from 43 tap water samples.Methods Tap water samples were concentrated and extracted by solid phase extraction,and then blown to near dry by nitrogen at 40℃.The sample extracts were dissolved in methanol-water solution(95:5,VN)to 0.5 mL for analyzing.Agilent Jet Stream Electrospray Ionization(AJS ESI)and the multiple reaction monitoring(MRM)mode were performed for MS to acquire the data of 34 ECs.A database including precursor ion,product ion and retention times was established accordingly.Results The average linear correlation coefficients(r)of 34 kinds of ECs was 0.995 9.The limits of detection were 0.01~0.60 ng/L and the recoveries were between 60.7%and 119.8%.The intra-group precisions were between 0.05%~9.89%and the intra-day precisions were between 0.20%~14.40%for the spiked samples.The method was applied to analyze 43 tap water samples and a total of 15 ECs were detected.According to the results,the detection rate of caffeine was the highest(84%),and the concentration range was ND~74.42 ng/L.Among all the ECs detected,1,2,3-benzotriazole had the highest concentration(ND~361.15 ng/L),where detection rate was 44%.Humans may be exposed to these ECs by drinking the tap water.The human health risk assessments of 12 kinds of ECs were carried out,however,the estimated risk was negligible(risk quotient<0.01).Conclusion The method is simple,highly sensitive and selective,and could meet the detection needs of ECs at trace level in tap water.There was no human health risk posed for ECs identified in 43 tap water samples analyzed by this method.
4. Effects of metabolites of eicosapentaenoic acid on promoting transdifferentiation of pancreatic OL cells into pancreatic β cells
Chao-Feng XING ; Min-Yi TANG ; Qi-Hua XU ; Shuai WANG ; Zong-Meng ZHANG ; Zi-Jian ZHAO ; Yun-Pin MU ; Fang-Hong LI
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2024;40(1):31-38
Aim To investigate the role of metabolites of eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) in promoting the transdifferentiation of pancreatic α cells to β cells. Methods Male C57BL/6J mice were injected intraperitoneally with 60 mg/kg streptozocin (STZ) for five consecutive days to establish a type 1 diabetes (T1DM) mouse model. After two weeks, they were randomly divided into model groups and 97% EPA diet intervention group, 75% fish oil (50% EPA +25% DHA) diet intervention group, and random blood glucose was detected every week; after the model expired, the regeneration of pancreatic β cells in mouse pancreas was observed by immunofluorescence staining. The islets of mice (obtained by crossing GCG
5.Stability study of umbilical cord mesenchymal stem cells formulation in large-scale production
Wang-long CHU ; Tong-jing LI ; Yan SHANGGUAN ; Fang-tao HE ; Jian-fu WU ; Xiu-ping ZENG ; Tao GUO ; Qing-fang WANG ; Fen ZHANG ; Zhen-zhong ZHONG ; Xiao LIANG ; Jun-yuan HU ; Mu-yun LIU
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2024;59(3):743-750
Umbilical cord mesenchymal stem cells (UC-MSCs) have been widely used in regenerative medicine, but there is limited research on the stability of UC-MSCs formulation during production. This study aims to assess the stability of the cell stock solution and intermediate product throughout the production process, as well as the final product following reconstitution, in order to offer guidance for the manufacturing process and serve as a reference for formulation reconstitution methods. Three batches of cell formulation were produced and stored under low temperature (2-8 ℃) and room temperature (20-26 ℃) during cell stock solution and intermediate product stages. The storage time intervals for cell stock solution were 0, 2, 4, and 6 h, while for intermediate products, the intervals were 0, 1, 2, and 3 h. The evaluation items included visual inspection, viable cell concentration, cell viability, cell surface markers, lymphocyte proliferation inhibition rate, and sterility. Additionally, dilution and culture stability studies were performed after reconstitution of the cell product. The reconstitution diluents included 0.9% sodium chloride injection, 0.9% sodium chloride injection + 1% human serum albumin, and 0.9% sodium chloride injection + 2% human serum albumin, with dilution ratios of 10-fold and 40-fold. The storage time intervals after dilution were 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 h. The reconstitution culture media included DMEM medium, DMEM + 2% platelet lysate, 0.9% sodium chloride injection, and 0.9% sodium chloride injection + 1% human serum albumin, and the culture duration was 24 h. The evaluation items were viable cell concentration and cell viability. The results showed that the cell stock solution remained stable for up to 6 h under both low temperature (2-8 ℃) and room temperature (20-26 ℃) conditions, while the intermediate product remained stable for up to 3 h under the same conditions. After formulation reconstitution, using sodium chloride injection diluted with 1% or 2% human serum albumin maintained a viability of over 80% within 4 h. It was observed that different dilution factors had an impact on cell viability. After formulation reconstitution, cultivation in medium with 2% platelet lysate resulted in a cell viability of over 80% after 24 h. In conclusion, the stability of cell stock solution within 6 h and intermediate product within 3 h meets the requirements. The addition of 1% or 2% human serum albumin in the reconstitution diluent can better protect the post-reconstitution cell viability.
6.Rapid Screening of 34 Emerging Contaminants in Surface Water by UHPLC-Q-TOF-MS
Chen-Shan LÜ ; Yi-Xuan CAO ; Xiao-Xi MU ; Hai-Yan CUI ; Tao WANG ; Zhi-Wen WEI ; Ke-Ming YUN ; Meng HU
Journal of Forensic Medicine 2024;40(1):30-36
Objective To establish a rapid screening method for 34 emerging contaminants in surface water by ultra-high performance liquid chromatography-quadrupole-time of flight mass spectrometry(UHPLC-Q-TOF-MS).Methods The pretreatment conditions of solid phase extraction(SPE)were op-timized by orthogonal experimental design and the surface water samples were concentrated and ex-tracted by Oasis? HLB and Oasis? MCX SPE columns in series.The extracts were separated by Kine-tex? EVO C18 column,with gradient elution of 0.1%formic acid aqueous solution and 0.1%formic acid methanol solution.Q-TOF-MS'fullscan'and'targeted MS/MS'modes were used to detect 34 emerging contaminants and to establish a database with 34 emerging contaminants precursor ion,prod-uct ion and retention times.Results The 34 emerging contaminants exhibited good linearity in the con-centration range respectively and the correlation coefficients(r)were higher than 0.97.The limit of de-tection was 0.2-10 ng/L and the recoveries were 81.2%-119.2%.The intra-day precision was 0.78%-18.70%.The method was applied to analyze multiple surface water samples and 6 emerging contaminants were detected,with a concentration range of 1.93-157.71 ng/L.Conclusion The method is simple and rapid for screening various emerging contaminants at the trace level in surface water.
7.Epidemiological characteristics of human respiratory syncytial virus among acute respiratory infection cases in 16 provinces of China from 2009 to 2023
Aili CUI ; Baicheng XIA ; Zhen ZHU ; Zhibo XIE ; Liwei SUN ; Jin XU ; Jing XU ; Zhong LI ; Linqing ZHAO ; Xiaoru LONG ; Deshan YU ; Bing ZHU ; Feng ZHANG ; Min MU ; Hui XIE ; Liang CAI ; Yun ZHU ; Xiaoling TIAN ; Bing WANG ; Zhenguo GAO ; Xiaoqing LIU ; Binzhi REN ; Guangyue HAN ; Kongxin HU ; Yan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;58(7):945-951
Objective:To understand the epidemiological characteristics of human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV) among acute respiratory infection (ARI) cases in 16 provinces of China from 2009 to 2023.Methods:The data of this study were collected from the ARI surveillance data from 16 provinces in China from 2009 to 2023, with a total of 28 278 ARI cases included in the study. The clinical specimens from ARI cases were screened for HRSV nucleic acid from 2009 to 2023, and differences in virus detection rates among cases of different age groups, regions, and months were analyzed.Results:A total of 28 278 ARI cases were enrolled from January 2009 to September 2023. The age of the cases ranged from<1 month to 112 years, and the age M ( Q1, Q3) was 3 years (1 year, 9 years). Among them, 3 062 cases were positive for HRSV nucleic acid, with a total detection rate of 10.83%. From 2009 to 2019, the detection rate of HRSV was 9.33%, and the virus was mainly prevalent in winter and spring. During the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the detection rate of HRSV fluctuated between 6.32% and 18.67%. There was no traditional winter epidemic peak of HRSV from the end of 2022 to the beginning of 2023, and an anti-seasonal epidemic of HRSV occurred from April to May 2023. About 87.95% (2 693/3 062) of positive cases were children under 5 years old, and the difference in the detection rate of HRSV among different age groups was statistically significant ( P<0.001), showing a decreasing trend of HRSV detection rate with the increase of age ( P<0.001). Among them, the HRSV detection rate (25.69%) was highest in children under 6 months. Compared with 2009-2019, the ranking of HRSV detection rates in different age groups changed from high to low between 2020 and 2023, with the age M (Q1, Q3) of HRSV positive cases increasing from 1 year (6 months, 3 years) to 2 years (11 months, 3 years). Conclusion:Through 15 years of continuous HRSV surveillance analysis, children under 5 years old, especially infants under 6 months old, are the main high-risk population for HRSV infection. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the prevalence and patterns of HRSV in China have changed.
8.Investigation and disposal of a cluster of suspected neonatal bloodstream infection with carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae
Yu-Lin LI ; Wen-Ting CHEN ; Xue-Yun LI ; Chan NIE ; Song-Tao HAN ; Li-Yuan CHEN ; Lan TANG ; Zhen-Yu WANG ; Ya-Hui LI ; Yan XU ; Xia MU
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(8):1031-1036
Objective To investigate the causes of a cluster of suspected neonatal carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae(CRKP)bloodstream infection(BSI)in the neonatal department of a hospital,and provide references for the effective control of the occurrence of healthcare-associated infection(HAI).Methods Epidemiological in-vestigation on 3 neonates with CRKP BSI in the neonatal department from January 31 to February 6,2023 was per-formed.Specimens from environmental object surfaces were taken for environmental hygiene monitoring,and effec-tive control measures were taken according to the risk factors.Results From January 31 to February 6,2023,a to-tal of 60 neonates were admitted in the neonatal department,including 16 with peripherally inserted central venous catheter(PICC).Three neonates had CRKP BSI,with a incidence of 5.00%.There were 33 hospitalized neonates on the day(February 7)when the cluster of HAI was reported,with a prevalence rate of 9.09%(3/33).CRKP BSI rate in the neonatal department of this hospital from January 31 to February 6,2023 was higher than that in 2022(P<0.001).The incubators of the 3 neonates with CRKP BSI were in the same ward and adjacent to each other.The first neonate with CRKP BSI(who developed BSI on January 31)underwent PICC maintenance on Feb-ruary 4,and the other 2 neonates with PICC maintenance immediately following the first one also developed CRKP BSI.CRKP were isolated from blood culture of all 3 neonates,and antimicrobial susceptibility testing results were consistent.Conclusion The occurrence of the cluster event of neonatal CRKP BSI may be related to the failure of strict implementation of aseptic procedures during PICC maintenance and cross contamination among items.
9.Current situation and prospect of surgical treatment of perihilar cholangiocarcinoma
Yi-Yu HU ; Si-Yu WANG ; Zhe-Yu ZHU ; Rong LIANG ; Wei-Min WANG ; Chun-Mu MIAO ; Xiong DING ; Yun-Bing WANG
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2024;33(11):959-962
Perihilar cholangiocarcinoma(PHC)is a common malignancy of biliary tract,for which surgery is the most effective treatment.However,its prognosis is not satisfactory even after surgical resection.In recent years,there have been some new advances in the surgical treatment of PHC.In this paper,we reviewed the existing literatures,demonstrated the current situation of preoperative biliary drainage,liver hyperplasia,hepatic resection,liver transplantation and minimally invasive surgery in the treatment of PHC,and prospected the future research direction.
10.Research status of risk prediction model of post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis
Zhe-Yu ZHU ; Yi-Yu HU ; Peng CHEN ; Fei-Fan WU ; Si-Yu WANG ; Wei-Min WANG ; Chun-Mu MIAO ; Yun-Bing WANG ; Xiong DING
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2024;33(12):1105-1109
Post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis(PEP)is one of the most common complications after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography(ERCP).Numerous PEP prediction models have been established based on different statistical methods at home and abroad.The PEP prediction model,as a tool for evaluating and screening high-risk populations,can provide a basis for medical staff to find high-risk PEP patients early and take effective preventive measures.In recent years,new PEP prediction models have appeared one after another,but there is still a lack of recognized reliable prediction models in clinic.This article reviews the research status of PEP risk prediction models,aim to provide a direction for establishing a more reliable,accurate,and practical PEP risk prediction model in the later period.


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