1.Spatiotemporal clustering analysis and ARIMA-SVM model prediction of hand-foot-mouth disease in Zibo City in 2018- 2023
Ming FENG ; Ling ZHANG ; Tao SUN ; Haixia CAO ; Haining ZHU ; Ling WANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):76-80
Objective To analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) in Zibo City, to explore the key incidence areas, and to find a suitable prediction model, so as to provide reference for the prevention and control of HFMD. Methods The spatiotemporal clustering characteristics of HFMD in Zibo City from 2018 to 2023 were analyzed by using SaTScan 10.0.2 software and ArcGIS 10.7 software. A combination model of ARIMA and SVM was established, and the prediction results were verified and compared. Results Spatial clustering analysis showed that there was spatial clustering of the incidence of HFMD in various townships of Zibo City from 2020 to 2022. The high-high clustering areas and Getis-Ord hot spot areas were mainly concentrated in some main urban areas of Zhangdian District, Zichuan District, and Huantai County. A total of 2-5 aggregation areas were detected by spatiotemporal scanning analysis. The first-type aggregation areas were mainly concentrated in the towns of Zhangdian District, Huantai County, Linzi District, Zhoucun District and Gaoxin District. The aggregation months were July, August, September and November. The model prediction results showed that the ARIMA-SVM combined model was more accurate than the traditional ARIMA model. Conclusion There is a spatiotemporal clustering of hand-foot-mouth disease in Zibo City. The ARIMA-SVM combined model can be used to predict the incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in Zibo City, and to strengthen health education and disease monitoring in high-risk areas and populations during the epidemic months.
2.Orthopedic manipulation combined with percutaneous reduction and Kirschner wire internal fixation for Sanders typeⅡand Ⅲ calcaneal fractures.
Feng DAI ; Jin-Tao LIU ; Zhi-Gang ZHANG ; Xue-Qiang SHEN ; Li-Ming WU ; Peng-Fei YU ; Hong JIANG
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(3):306-310
OBJECTIVE:
To explore clinical effects of bone setting manipulation combined with pry reduction and Kirschner needle internal fixation in treating SandersⅡ-Ⅲ calcaneal fracture.
METHODS:
Clinical data of 52 patients with types Sanders Ⅱand Ⅲ calcaneal fracture (foot) treated with bone-setting manipulation combined with pry reduction and Kirscher needle internal fixation from July 2017 to July 2019 were retrospectively analyzed, including 43 males and 9 females, aged from 31 to 72 years old with an average of (50.83±10.48) years old; 15 patients with Sanders typeⅡ and 37 patients with Sanders type Ⅲ. The changes of Bühler angle, Gissane angle, calcaneus width and calcaneus height before operation and 24 months after operation were compared, and Maryland foot function score was performed to evaluate clinical effects.
RESULTS:
All patients were followed up from 24 to 60 months with an average of (41.50±9.86)months. The fracture healed normally and the healing time was (11.00±0.95) weeks. Bühler angle, Gissane angle, calcaneal bone width and calcaneal bone height were increased from (16.37±8.36)°, (96.27±9.62)°, (46.82±4.67) mm, (38.41±3.58) mm before operation to (31.48±8.24)°, (111.62±8.69)°, (42.06±4.83) mm, (44.21±3.82) mm at 24 months after operation, and the difference were statistically significant (P<0.01). Postoperative Maryland score at 24 months was (93.04±8.83), 40 patients got excellent result, 7 good and 5 fair.
CONCLUSION
Orthopedic manipulation combined with percutaneous reduction and Kirschner wire internal fixation could significantly improve Bühler angle, Gissane angle, width, and height of Sanders typeⅡ and Ⅲ calcaneal fractures, and the curative effect is satisfactory.
Humans
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Male
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Female
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Calcaneus/surgery*
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Middle Aged
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Fracture Fixation, Internal/methods*
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Adult
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Aged
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Fractures, Bone/therapy*
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Retrospective Studies
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Bone Wires
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Manipulation, Orthopedic/methods*
3.A strategy to reduce unnecessary prostate biopsies in patients with tPSA >10 ng ml -1 and PI-RADS 1-3.
Qi-Fei DONG ; Yi-Xun LIU ; Yu-Han CHEN ; Yi-Fan MA ; Tao ZHOU ; Xue-Feng FAN ; Xiang YU ; Chang-Ming WANG ; Jun XIAO
Asian Journal of Andrology 2025;27(4):531-536
We propose a strategy to reduce unnecessary prostate biopsies in Chinese patients with total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA) >10 ng ml -1 and Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) scores between 1 and 3. Clinical data derived from 517 patients of The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC (Hefei, China) from January 2020 to December 2023 who met the screening criteria for the study were retrospectively collected. Independent predictors were identified via univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The diagnostic capacity of clinical variables was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC). A prostate biopsy strategy was developed via risk stratification. Of the 517 patients, 17/348 (4.9%) with PI-RADS 1-2 were diagnosed with clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa), and 27/169 (16.0%) patients with PI-RADS 3 were diagnosed with csPCa. The appropriate prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD) cut-off values were 0.45 ng ml -2 for PI-RADS 1-2 patients and 0.3 ng ml -2 for PI-RADS 3 patients. The appropriate prostate volume (PV) cut-off values were 40 ml for PI-RADS 1-2 patients and 50 ml for PI-RADS 3 patients. The prostate biopsy strategy based on PSAD and PV developed in this study can reduce unnecessary prostate biopsies in patients with tPSA >10 ng ml -1 and PI-RADS 1-3. In the study, 66.5% (344/517) patients did not need to undergo prostate biopsy, at the expense of missing only 1.7% (6/344) patients with csPCa.
Humans
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Male
;
Prostatic Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging*
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Prostate-Specific Antigen/blood*
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Aged
;
Middle Aged
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Prostate/diagnostic imaging*
;
Unnecessary Procedures/statistics & numerical data*
;
Biopsy/statistics & numerical data*
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China
;
ROC Curve
4.Expert consensus on prognostic evaluation of cochlear implantation in hereditary hearing loss.
Xinyu SHI ; Xianbao CAO ; Renjie CHAI ; Suijun CHEN ; Juan FENG ; Ningyu FENG ; Xia GAO ; Lulu GUO ; Yuhe LIU ; Ling LU ; Lingyun MEI ; Xiaoyun QIAN ; Dongdong REN ; Haibo SHI ; Duoduo TAO ; Qin WANG ; Zhaoyan WANG ; Shuo WANG ; Wei WANG ; Ming XIA ; Hao XIONG ; Baicheng XU ; Kai XU ; Lei XU ; Hua YANG ; Jun YANG ; Pingli YANG ; Wei YUAN ; Dingjun ZHA ; Chunming ZHANG ; Hongzheng ZHANG ; Juan ZHANG ; Tianhong ZHANG ; Wenqi ZUO ; Wenyan LI ; Yongyi YUAN ; Jie ZHANG ; Yu ZHAO ; Fang ZHENG ; Yu SUN
Journal of Clinical Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2025;39(9):798-808
Hearing loss is the most prevalent disabling disease. Cochlear implantation(CI) serves as the primary intervention for severe to profound hearing loss. This consensus systematically explores the value of genetic diagnosis in the pre-operative assessment and efficacy prognosis for CI. Drawing upon domestic and international research and clinical experience, it proposes an evidence-based medicine three-tiered prognostic classification system(Favorable, Marginal, Poor). The consensus focuses on common hereditary non-syndromic hearing loss(such as that caused by mutations in genes like GJB2, SLC26A4, OTOF, LOXHD1) and syndromic hereditary hearing loss(such as Jervell & Lange-Nielsen syndrome and Waardenburg syndrome), which are closely associated with congenital hearing loss, analyzing the impact of their pathological mechanisms on CI outcomes. The consensus provides recommendations based on multiple round of expert discussion and voting. It emphasizes that genetic diagnosis can optimize patient selection, predict prognosis, guide post-operative rehabilitation, offer stratified management strategies for patients with different genotypes, and advance the application of precision medicine in the field of CI.
Humans
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Cochlear Implantation
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Prognosis
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Hearing Loss/surgery*
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Consensus
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Connexin 26
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Mutation
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Sulfate Transporters
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Connexins/genetics*
5.Research Path and Paradigm of Digitization and Intelligentization of Ancient TCM Books Based on the Deep Integration of Knowledge Element Theory and Clinical Needs
Feng YANG ; Yi ZHANG ; Xiaohua TAO ; Jianfeng LI ; Tao LUO ; Jingling CHANG ; Jian CHEN ; Liyun CHEN ; Ming DAI ; Fenglan WANG ; Xiang LU
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;65(12):1201-1207
With the rapid development of information technology, research on ancient TCM books has shifted from the traditional collation and digitization into intelligent knowledge service, thereby achieving the deep integration of ancient TCM books collation and clinical needs. Based on the clinical problem and knowledge element theory, we implemented in-depth indexing and knowledge mining for 600 kinds of ancient TCM books, built a knowledge sharing service platform for ancient TCM books by integrating database, cloud platform, knowledge graph and other technologies, and carried out the thematic literature research and developed databases for four major diseases including stroke, heart failure, liver cirrhosis, and diabetes. The digital intelligence products have been applied in hundreds of hospitals for evaluation and feedback. Finally, through "digital processing plus intelligent application", the two-way interaction between ancient TCM books and current clinical practice is realized, and the path and paradigm of ancient TCM books knowledge serving the modern prevention and control of major diseases is formed, providing reference for the innovative utilization of ancient TCM books.
6.Epidemiological investigation of the first psittacosis death case in Hangzhou City,China
Zhe WANG ; Zhou SUN ; Shuang FENG ; Ming-Yong TAO ; Xin-Ye JIN ; Yi WANG ; Liu-Wen YANG
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2024;40(1):90-94
This study was aimed at performing epidemiologic investigation of the first psittacosis death case in Hangzhou City,to provide a reference for the investigation and disposal of psittacosis cases,as well as prevention and control.Epidemio-logic data were collected through field epidemiologic investigation,and close contacts and environmental samples were collected for pathogenicity testing.The first symptom in the patient was cough,which did not raise concerns at the time.Several days later,the patient developed abdominal distension and black stools,and visited two medical institutions for treatment and hospi-talization.The patient's sputum and peripheral blood were tested for Chlamydia psittaci infection by metagenomic analysis via next-generation sequencing.Samples collected from the patient's family members,close contacts,and home environment test-ed negative with real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction.The patient later died of gastrointestinal bleeding.This article is the first report of a case of psittacosis contracted from exposure to a sick parrot in Hangzhou City,in a patient who died be-cause of an underlying disease.Operational training should be provided for medical personnel,and early diagnosis with mNGS and treatment of patients with underlying diseases should be performed as early as possible to avoid fatality.In addition,health education should be carried out to raise public awareness of the disease.
7.Chinese expert consensus on refined diagnosis,treatment,and management of advanced primary liver cancer(2023 edition)
Liu XIUFENG ; Xia FENG ; Chen YUE ; Sun HUICHUAN ; Yang ZHENGQIANG ; Chen BO ; Zhao MING ; Bi XINYU ; Peng TAO ; Ainiwaer AIZIER ; Luo ZHIWEN ; Wang FUSHENG ; Lu YINYING ; National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases ; Society of Hepatology,Beijing Medical Association ; Translational Medicine Branch,China Association of Gerontology and Geriatrics
Liver Research 2024;8(2):61-71
Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC),commonly known as primary liver cancer,is a major cause of malignant tumors and cancer-related deaths in China,accounting for approximately 85%of all cancer cases in the country.Several guidelines have been used to diagnose and treat liver cancer.However,these guidelines provide a broad definition for classifying advanced liver cancer,with an emphasis on a singular approach,without considering treatment options for individual patients.Therefore,it is necessary to establish a comprehensive and practical expert consensus,specifically for China,to enhance the diagnosis and treatment of HCC using the Delphi method.The classification criteria were refined for Chinese patients with HCC,and the corresponding optimal treatment regimen recommendations were developed.These recommendations took into account various factors,including tumor characteristics,vascular tumor thrombus grade,distant metastasis,liver function status,portal hypertension,and the hepatitis B virus replication status of patients with primary HCC,along with treatment prognosis.The findings and rec-ommendations provide detailed,scientific,and reasonable individualized diagnosis and treatment strategies for clinicians.
8.Long non-coding RNA PART1 Inhibits Proliferation and Invasion of Laryngeal Squamous Carcinoma Cells
Hao WU ; Wen-Tao ZHANG ; Feng-Feng JIA ; Ming LIU ; Jian-Jun ZHU
Chinese Journal of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology 2024;40(7):976-986
Long non-coding RNA(lncRNA)PART1,a competing endogenous RNA(ceRNA),plays a crucial role in the occurrence and development of various tumors.However,research on PART1 in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma(LSCC)remains scarce.Based on preliminary lncRNA sequencing data,we found that PART1 was sig-nificantly downregulated in LSCC tissues.Further analysis of sequencing and clinical data from public databases such as TCGA revealed 146 differentially expressed lncRNAs(95 upregulated and 51 downregulated)and 2 424 differentially expressed mRNAs when comparing LSCC tumor and adjacent tissues.The results showed that PART1 was generally downregulated in LSCC(P<0.0001),and patients with high PART1 expression had significantly better prognosis(P<0.05).We used bioinformatics methods to construct the ceRNA regulatory network of PART1 in LSCC and identified the miRNAs and mRNAs interacting with it.Under laboratory conditions,the im-portance of PART1 in LSCC cells was validated in vitro.Overexpression vectors significantly increased the expres-sion of PART1 in LSCC cells(P<0.001).Experiments including 5-ethynyl-2'-deoxyuridine staining,apoptosis analysis,scratch healing assay,Transwell assay,and phalloidin staining showed that overexpression of PART1 sig-nificantly affected the proliferation,apoptosis,migration,and invasion of LSCC cells in vitro(P<0.001).There-fore,PART1 may suppress the occurrence and development of LSCC.This study provides a theoretical basis for e-lucidating the role of PART1 in LSCC.
9.Development and validation of a dynamic prediction tool for post-endo-scopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography early biliary tract infection in patients with choledocholithiasis
Peng LI ; Chao LIANG ; Jia-Feng YAN ; Chun-Hui GAO ; Zhi-Jie MA ; Zhan-Tao XIE ; Ming-Jie SUN
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(6):692-699
Objective To develop a prediction tool for post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography(ER-CP)early biliary tract infection(PEEBI)in patients with choledocholithiasis,and assist clinical decision-making be-fore ERCP and early personalized intervention after ERCP.Methods An observational bidirectional cohort study was adopted to select inpatients with choledocholithiasis who underwent ERCP in a hospital.Directed acyclic graph(DAGs)and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)were used to predict PEEBI based on lo-gistic regression,and the models were compared and validated internally and externally.Results From January 1,2020 to September 30,2023,a total of 2 121 patients with choledocholithiasis underwent ERCP were enrolled,of whom 77(3.6%)developed PEEBI,mostly in the first 2 days after surgery(66.2%).The major influencing fac-tors for PEEBI were non-iatrogenic patient-related factors,namely diabetes mellitus(OR=2.43,95%CI:1.14-4.85),bile duct malignancy(OR=3.95,95%CI:1.74-8.31)and duodenal papillary diverticulum(OR=4.39,95%CI:1.86-9.52).Compared with the LASSO model,the DAGs model showed higher ability(3.0%)in com-prehensive discrimination(P=0.007),as well as good differentiation performance(D=0.133,P=0.894)and cal-ibration performance(x2=5.499,P=0.703)in external validation.Conclusion The DAGs model constructed in this study has good predictive performance.With the help of this tool,targeted early preventive measures in clinical practice can be taken to reduce the occurrence of PEEBI.
10.A retrospective study on two different surgical robots to assist total knee arthroplasty
Hong-Ping WANG ; Ming-You WANG ; Zhuo-Dong TANG ; Qi-Feng TAO ; Yu-Ping LAN
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(9):870-877
Objective To compare early clinical and imaging results of domestic HURWA and imported Brainlab Knee3 surgical robot-assisted knee replacement.Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on 93 patients with knee os-teoarthritis(KOA)who underwent robot-assisted descending total knee arthroplasty(TKA)from January 2021 to July 2023,and they were divided into BRATKA group and HRATKA group according to use of robotic system.There were 40 patients in BRATKA group,including 16 males and 24 females,aged from 55 to 90 years old with an average of(64.3±7.0)years old;27 patients with grade Ⅲ and 13 patients with grade Ⅳ according to Kellgren-Lawrence(K-L);18 patients on the right side and 22 patients on the left side;the courses of disease ranged from 1 to 30 years with an average of(15.3±7.6)years;imported Brainlab Knee3 surgical robot assisted system was adopted.There were 53 patients in HRATKA group,including 18 males and 35 females,aged from 52 to 81 years old with an average of(64.4±8.5)years old;30 patients with grade Ⅲ and 23 patients with grade Ⅳ;21 patients on the right side and 32 patients on the left side;the courses of disease ranged from 1 to 32 years with an average of(16.4±7.9)years;HURWA surgical robot assisted system was adopted.Operation time,perioperative total blood loss,incision length and postoperative complications were compared between two groups.Deviation angle of hip-knee-an-kle angle(HKAA)before operation and on the first day after operation was compared between two groups.Later tibal compo-nent(LTC),frontal femoral component(FFC),later femoral component(LFC)and frontal tibal component(FTC)at 1 day af-ter on the first day after operation was compared between two groups.Knee Society score(KSS),visual analogue scale(VAS)and range of motion(ROM)of knee joint were compared between two groups before operation and on the 3rd and 90th day af-ter operation.Results Both groups were followed up for 11 to 18 months with an average of(14.4±2.1)months,and the wounds of all patients healed well.Operation time and incision length of BRATKA group were(132.1±34.6)min and(12.9±1.9)cm,while(94.1±10.8)min and(14.8±2.1)cm in HRATKA group,respectively,and the differences between two groups were statistically significant(P<0.05).There were no significant difference in perioperative total blood loss and preoperative deviation angle of HKAA between two groups(P>0.05).Deviation angle of HKAA,FFC angle and LFC angle in BRATKA group were(1.90±0.91)°,(87.90±1.51)°and(9.00±3.2)°,respectively;while(0.93±1.04)°,(89.03±0.96)° and(7.63±0.59)° in HRATKA group,respectively,and the differences between two groups were statistically significant(P<0.05).There were no significant dif-ferences in FTC and LTC between two groups(P>0.05).There were no significant differences in VAS of knee rest and exercise,KSS score and ROM of knee joint between two groups before operation and 3 days and 90 days after operation(P>0.05).There was no significant difference in complications between two groups(P>0.05).Conclusion Postoperative imaging of two robot systems showed good lower limb force line.The domestic HRATKA group had better LFC,FFC angle and HKA deviation angle than the imported BRATKA group,but there were no significant difference in postoperative knee function and pain relief.


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