1.Clinical value of the model for end-stage liver disease score in predicting the prognosis of liver transplantation in patients with end-stage liver disease.
Jie SUN ; Zhen-hui GUO ; Tian-shun LAI ; You-qing TANG ; Lei SU ; Feng HUO ; Shao-ping WANG ; Miao-shui PU ; Qiang WEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2008;28(9):1731-1742
OBJECTIVETo assess the value of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) in predicting the early-stage outcome of liver transplantation in patients with end-stage liver disease.
METHODSThe MELD scores of 87 liver transplantation recipients with end-stage liver disease were calculated, and their early-stage complications and mortality were analyzed.
RESULTSThe incidence of severe complications was 20.7%; in these recipients, with the 28-day and 3-month survival rates of 89.7%; and 88.5%;, respectively. The mean MELD scores showed significant differences between the complication-free group and survival group (14.6 vs 12.9, P<0.05), and also between the complication group and death group (21.6 vs 29.4, P<0.05). Compared to patients with MELD no greater than 15, patients with MELD between 16 and 24 showed significantly increased complication rate but had comparable survival rate (P>0.05); but in patients with MELD no less than 25, the survival rate was significantly decreased with also increased complication rate.
CONCLUSIONSA higher MELD score before liver transplantation is associated with greater likeliness of early-stage complication rate and mortality. High MELD score (over 25) can be a useful index in predicting severe complications and death in patients undergoing liver transplantation.
Adult ; Aged ; Female ; Hepatitis B, Chronic ; complications ; Humans ; Liver Cirrhosis ; etiology ; surgery ; Liver Failure ; etiology ; pathology ; surgery ; Liver Transplantation ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Models, Biological ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies ; Severity of Illness Index ; Survival Analysis ; Young Adult