1.Construction of interpretable predictive model of acupuncture for methadone reduction in patients undergoing methadone maintenance treatment based on machine learning and SHAP.
Baochao FAN ; Qiao ZHANG ; Chen CHEN ; Yiming CHEN ; Peiming ZHANG ; Liming LU
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2025;45(10):1363-1370
OBJECTIVE:
To construct a predictive model for the reduction in methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) and evaluate the effects of different interventions and other clinical factors on methadone reduction using Shapley additive explanations (SHAP).
METHODS:
Two clinical trials of acupuncture for methadone reduction in MMT patients were analyzed, and the baseline data, MMT related information, intervention measures, the data related to dose-reduction outcomes were collected. The predictive model was constructed by means of 6 machine learning algorithms including support vector machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), logistic regression (LR), Naive Bayes (NB), random forest (RF) and categorical-boosting (CatBoost), and 2 integration methods, blending-ensemble method (Blending) and Stacking-ensemble method (Stacking). SHAP was employed for the interpretability analysis of the optimal model.
RESULTS:
A total of 251 MMT patients were included, 128 cases in the acupuncture group and 123 cases in the non-acupuncture group. CatBoost and Stacking performed optimally in the test set. CatBoost obtained an accuracy of 0.780 0±0.060 8, a precision of 0.500 0±0.120 0, a recall of 0.818 2±0.140 2, F1 score of 0.620 7±0.114 0, and receiver operating characteristic-area under curve (ROC-AUC) of 0.857 8±0.140 2 for the subjects. In MMT patients with acupuncture as an adjunctive therapy, the top 5 important features for methadone reduction, included intervention measures, body mass index (BMI), the duration of MMT, the history of opioid use and occupation; and SHAP values were 1.25, 0.36, 0.21, 0.19 and 0.12, respectively. The SHAP feature dependence plot showed that BMI, MMT duration and the history of opioid use presented a nonlinear negative correlation with the reduction effect.
CONCLUSION
In acupuncture as adjunctive therapy for methadone reduction, the clinical factors should be considered comprehensively; and the interpretable predictive model provides a scientific basis for it, which is conducive to the improvement of clinical strategy of acupuncture for methadone reduction and the development of personalized reduction scheme.
Humans
;
Methadone/therapeutic use*
;
Acupuncture Therapy
;
Adult
;
Female
;
Male
;
Machine Learning
;
Middle Aged
;
Opiate Substitution Treatment
;
Young Adult
2.Analysis of withdrawal status and influencing factors in patients receiving methadone maintenance treatment in Hubei province.
Kai YANG ; Xi WU ; Heng TANG ; Hong Lin JIANG ; Li Na LI ; Tang WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(10):1645-1650
Objective: To analyze the withdrawal in patients receiving methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) and its related influencing factors in Hubei province. Methods: The patients receiving MMT in clinics in Hubei province were selected from June 2006 to December 2021. The general demographic data, drug abuse history, and MMT information were collected. The survival data of patients with MMT were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox proportional hazards model was used for multivariate analysis. Results: A total of 26 716 patients receiving MMT were included in this study, and the gender ratio between men and women was 3.34∶1(20 557∶6 159). The duration of MMT was 0.01-15.72 years, and the median duration was 2.21 (95%CI: 2.16-2.26) years. At the end of the follow-up, the withdrawal proportion was 86.75% (23 175/26 716). MMT's 0-year, 2-year, 4-year, 9-year and 14-year cumulative probabilities appeared as 67.61%, 40.24%, 30.03%, 15.49% and 6.56%, respectively. Results from the Cox proportional hazards regression model showed that the factors of the withdrawal risk were higher in patients receiving MMT, including minority nationality (HR=1.66,95%CI:1.52-1.82), having jobs (HR=1.05, 95%CI:1.01-1.08), no history of compulsory isolation or detoxification (HR=1.04, 95%CI:1.01-1.09) and the enrollment in 2016-2021 (HR=1.46,95%CI:1.35-1.58). The factors of the withdrawal risk were lower in patients receiving MMT, including 60-year-olds or above (HR=0.56,95%CI:0.42-0.75), college degree or above education level (HR=0.83, 95%CI:0.75-0.91), outpatient services of other cities (HR=0.90, 95%CI:0.87-0.93), drug use for 20 years or more (HR=0.72, 95%CI:0.66-0.80), 90 mg or more per daily dosage (HR=0.73,95%CI:0.69-0.78) and the enrollment in 2011-2015 (HR=0.93,95%CI:0.89-0.97). Conclusions: The withdrawal proportions of patients receiving MMT were high in Hubei province. The withdrawal influencing factors were complex. The daily dose was an essential factor that can be intervened under the safe MMT condition, and a higher dose should be appropriately prescribed.
Male
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Humans
;
Female
;
Methadone/therapeutic use*
;
Opiate Substitution Treatment
;
Ambulatory Care
;
Cities
3.Association between DRD2 gene polymorphisms and the dosage used on methadone maintenance treatment program.
L X DUAN ; X L LI ; P W HU ; R LUO ; X LUO ; Y Y CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(2):194-198
Objective: To investigate the association between three single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) genes DRD2 (rs1800497, rs6275, and rs1799978) and the dosage used on methadone maintenance treatment (MMT). Methods: From the methadone maintenance treatment centers, 257 MMT patients were recruited to participate in a case-control study and divided into two groups-control groups under low dosage (n=89) and case (n=168) group with high dosage. Quanto software was used to estimate the sample size as 180. Information related to social-demographic status, history on drug use and medication were collected. And DRD2 SNPs were genotyped to explore the relationship between polymorphism of DRD2 gene and the dosage of methadone maintenance treatment. Results: Distributions of DRD2 rs6275 between different groups were significantly different. Patients carrying TC genotype needed lower dose of methadone when compared to the patients that carrying CC genotype counterparts (OR=0.338, 95% CI: 0.115-0.986). Patients that carrying C allele at rs6275 needed lower methadone dose than those that carrying genotype TT (OR=0.352, 95% CI: 0.127-0.975). Distributions of genotypes, alles in the other two SNPs (rs1800497, rs1799978) were not significantly different between groups under different dosages. Conclusion: DRD2 rs6275 was associated with dosage of methadone used for the MMT patients. However, no significant associations were found between rs1800497, rs1799978 and the dosage of methadone.
Alleles
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Case-Control Studies
;
Drug Dosage Calculations
;
Genotype
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Humans
;
Methadone/therapeutic use*
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Opiate Substitution Treatment
;
Opioid-Related Disorders/rehabilitation*
;
Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide/genetics*
;
Receptors, Dopamine D2/genetics*
4.Current situation on new psychoactive substances abuse among methadone maintenance treatment patients in China.
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(4):536-540
Methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) greatly contributed to the successful outcomes of prevention and control on both AIDS and drug abuse in China. However, the features on drug abuse changed in the past decades, and the prevalence of new psychoactive substances abuse potentially somehow offset the achievement of MMT. This paper concised the information on research and surveys of this issue that targeting on the current situation, characteristics, related factors and relevant public health problem on new psychoactive substances abuse, among patients who have been on MMT, in China.
Adult
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Methadone/therapeutic use*
;
Opiate Substitution Treatment
;
Prevalence
;
Psychotropic Drugs/adverse effects*
;
Substance Abuse Treatment Centers
;
Substance-Related Disorders/epidemiology*
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
5.New psychoactive substances abuse among patients with access to methadone maintenance treatment in Jiangsu province: a case-control study.
Z CHENG ; G H CHEN ; M M DAI ; W LUO ; P LYU ; X B CAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(5):625-630
Objective: To explore the reasons and factors associated with new psychoactive substances abuse among patients with access to methadone maintenance treatment (MMT). Methods: A well-developed questionnaire and urine tests were used to collect information about demographic characteristics, condition of MMT and drug abuse, family and social support of MMT clients. A 1∶1 matched case-control study was conducted, and conditional logistic regression model was used to identify factors associated with new psychoactive substances abuse. Results: A total of 212 (106 pairs) clients receiving MMT were recruited, and most of them were males (78.3%, 166/212), married or cohabitant (48.6%, 103/212) and unemployed (63.2%, 134/212). The average age of the clients was (45.1±7.2) years. The main types of abused new psychoactive substances were benzodiazepine (62.3%, 66/106) and methamphetamine (39.6%, 42/106). The proportion of abusing multi new psychoactive substances was 8.5% (9/106). Results from multivariate conditional logistic regression analysis indicated that using opioid drug during the past 6 months of MMT treatment might increase the risk of abusing new psychoactive substances (OR=3.25, 95%CI: 1.35-7.79), benzodiazepine (OR=3.25, 95%CI: 1.11- 9.47) and methamphetamine (OR=13.31, 95%CI: 1.12-158.01). Moreover, MMT for more than9 years reduced the risk of abuse of new psychoactive substances (OR=0.03, 95%CI: 0.01-0.21), benzodiazepine (OR=0.02, 95%CI: 0.00-0.36) and methamphetamine (OR=0.02, 95%CI: 0.00-0.69). Conclusion: Less new psychoactive substances abuse might be associated with longer duration of MMT treatment. And inappropriate support from family and friends might increase the risk of abusing new psychoactive substances in MMT clients, especially in clients who used opioid.
Adult
;
Case-Control Studies
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Drug Users/statistics & numerical data*
;
Humans
;
Logistic Models
;
Male
;
Methadone/therapeutic use*
;
Methamphetamine
;
Middle Aged
;
Opiate Substitution Treatment
;
Prevalence
;
Psychotropic Drugs/adverse effects*
;
Substance Abuse Detection/statistics & numerical data*
;
Substance Abuse Treatment Centers
;
Substance-Related Disorders/epidemiology*
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
6.Related factors and interaction on HIV/HCV co-infection of patients access to methadone maintenance treatment.
T YAO ; D FENG ; M H PAN ; Y P CHENG ; C X LI ; J WANG ; Y L FENG ; J SHI ; T SU ; Q CHEN ; S SHI ; S P WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(5):631-635
Objective: To estimate the prevalence of HIV/HCV co-infection and explore the influence factors and their interaction on HIV/HCV co-infection of patient's access to methadone maintenance treatment (MMT). Methods: A face to face interviews were conducted among 750 patients at two MMT clinics in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. The questionnaires information included demographic characteristics, HIV and HCV infection status, history of drug abuse, urine test for morphine, high risk sex behaviors, needle sharing, dropped out etc. Methods of χ(2) test one-way, multivariate logistic regression and interactions were used to analyze the related factors of HIV/HCV co-infection. Results: The study subjects included 750 participants, 18.31% (127/691) of patients were co-infected with HIV and HCV. The HIV/HCV co-infection rate in patients who shared needles with others or dropped out of treatment was 35.84% (81/226) and 19.88% (64/322) respectively, which were higher than those who have never shared needles or dropped out (9.89%, 46/465 and 17.07%, 63/369). Logistic regression analysis results showed that after adjusted for confounding factors, patients who shared needles (OR=4.50, 95%CI: 2.72-7.43) and dropped out of treatment (OR=1.71, 95%CI: 1.04-2.80) were more likely to be infected with HIV/HCV. Interaction analysis showed that sharing needles and dropping out of treatment exist additive effect on co-infection of HIV and HCV (RERI=4.21, AP=0.44, SI=1.95). Conclusions: Needle sharing and dropping out of treatment are associated with HIV/HCV co-infection. Health education, psychological counseling and other measures should be taken to reduce needle sharing and dropping out of MMT.
China/epidemiology*
;
Coinfection/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
HIV Infections/epidemiology*
;
Hepatitis C/diagnosis*
;
Humans
;
Logistic Models
;
Male
;
Methadone/therapeutic use*
;
Morphine
;
Needle Sharing
;
Opiate Substitution Treatment
;
Prevalence
;
Risk Factors
;
Sexual Behavior
;
Substance Abuse, Intravenous/drug therapy*
;
Substance-Related Disorders
7.An overview on the opioid substitution therapy service model.
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(12):1655-1659
When facing the worldwide abuse of opioid substance, one of the effective responses is opioid substitution therapy (OST). However, different OST service patterns may affect the therapeutic outcome. Using the System Engineering Initiative for Patient Safety (SEIPS) model, we can analyze the factors that affecting the outcomes of patients from the perspective work system. In this paper, SEIPS model is used to describe the existing OST service model. According to the operation mechanism of the methadone maintenance treatment in China and the existing OST service model, some suggestions are put forward to carry out effective OST service in the country.
Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects*
;
China
;
Delivery of Health Care
;
Humans
;
Methadone/therapeutic use*
;
Opiate Substitution Treatment
;
Opioid-Related Disorders/therapy*
;
Treatment Outcome
8.Association between negative emotion and interpersonal sensitivity among patients in methadone maintenance treatment.
Jin YANG ; Jifeng LI ; Guanyi XU ; Huihua DENG ; Zuhong LU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2015;49(8):705-709
OBJECTIVETo analyze interpersonal sensitivity level and influencing factors among patients in methadone maintenance treatment.
METHODSFrom 2010 June to 2011 June, the research was performed in Center of Methadone Maintenance Treatment of Nanjing Baixia District Hospital. A total of 272 methadone maintenance treatment was studied using a self-designed questionnaire, interpersonal sensitivity scale in symptom check list (SCL-90), self-rating depression scale (SDS), self-rating anxiety scale (SAS). If interpersonal sensitivity level ≥ 2 points, it was positive. In this study, through independent sample t test, analysis of the social demographic characteristics, depression and anxiety, interpersonal sensitivity level. Non conditional logistic regression analysis was used to explore a variety of factors, and the relationship of these factors with interpersonal sensitivity.
RESULTSThe depression score, the anxiety score and the level of interpersonal relationship sensitivity in 272 methadone maintenance treatment (1.65 ± 0.51, 47.66 ± 8.58, 42.38 ± 9.40) was higher than the national norm (1.65 ± 0.51, 41.88 ± 10.57, 29.78 ± 0.46) (t values were 8.23, 17.63 and 22.27, respectively; all P values < 0.001). In 272 methadone maintenance treatment, the percentage of men was 75.0% (204/272) and the percentage of women was 25.0% (68/272). SDS score of male and female was (48.38 ± 8.30) and (45.90 ± 9.34) points (t = 5.67, P = 0.037); Aged 20-29, 30-39, 40-49 and ≥ 50 years old group, SDS scores were (48.26 ± 7.59), (47.73 ± 8.38), (47.79 ± 9.22) and (48.09 ± 6.33) points (F = 3.90, P = 0.046); According to the drug's time, divided into 1-3, 4-6 and ≥ 7 years group, SDS scores were (45.92 ± 7.47), (47.41 ± 7.57) and (48.07 ± 8.57) points (F = 4.49, = 0.039). SAS score of male and female was (41.21 ± 9.53) and (42.91 ± 9.42) points (t = 2.23, P = 0.043). The positive rate of interpersonal sensitivity was 47.1% (128/272). Multivariate analysis showed that, with SDS and SAS scores increased by 1, respectively, interpersonal sensitivity increased 23.23 (8.62-96.68) and 11.97 (6.42-19.27) points.
CONCLUSIONInterpersonal sensitivity level in methadone maintenance treatment was higher than normal and depression; anxiety and depression both were the risk factors of interpersonal sensitivity level.
Adult ; Anxiety ; Depression ; Female ; Humans ; Interpersonal Relations ; Male ; Methadone ; therapeutic use ; Middle Aged ; Opiate Substitution Treatment ; psychology ; Risk Factors ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Young Adult
9.Health economic evaluation for the extension clinics of methadone maintenance treatment.
Guang ZHANG ; Yi-yun HU ; Hui XUE ; Duo SHAN ; Ying SUN ; Yue-cheng YANG ; Song DUAN ; Jiang-ping SUN
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2013;47(11):996-1000
OBJECTIVETo discuss the cost, cost-effectiveness, and cost-utility of the extension methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) clinics and provide the evidences of the strategy of scaling up the extension MMT clinics.
METHODSA study was conducted in Dehong prefecture, Yunnan province, including Mang, Ruili city, Longchuan, Yingjiang, Lianghe county. 117 newly enrolling heroin addict patients in 17 extension MMT clinics were recruited as subjects from December 2010 to February 2011. An interview was conducted by the trained interviewers for the quality of life score of patients, and the cost of drug use was calculated. Table of outpatient costs of methadone maintenance treatment clinic of Dehong prefecture in Yunnan was used for collecting and calculating the fixed cost, operating cost of the clinics, and the unit cost and incremental cost of the patients from 2008 to 2010. Cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of the extension clinics were analyzed by using the Markov model.
RESULTSThe total spending of extension clinics for 2008, 2009, and 2010 on average was ¥57 294, ¥80 752 and ¥74 739 respectively, or about ¥4379 annually per patient. The cost of averting one HIV infection was ¥316 509; the cost of averting one acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) patients was ¥508 676; and the cost of averting one death was ¥152 330. The cost of obtaining one life year (LY) was ¥3696 and the cost of obtaining one quality adjusted life year (QALY) was ¥9014. Comparing with drug users, the incremental cost utility ratio (ICUR) of the patients of the extension MMT clinics were -7074 yuan/QALY and -7162 yuan/LY.
CONCLUSIONThe extension MMT clinic service is lower in cost, and better in cost-effectiveness and cost-utility.
Ambulatory Care Facilities ; economics ; China ; Cost-Benefit Analysis ; Health Expenditures ; Heroin Dependence ; therapy ; Humans ; Methadone ; economics ; therapeutic use ; Opiate Substitution Treatment ; economics
10.Effectiveness of intervention services provided by social workers in methadone maintenance treatment clinics.
Jing GU ; Yu-teng ZHAO ; Ying ZHONG ; Chu-jun XU ; Wen-liang PAN ; Li-rui FAN ; Hui-fang XU ; Ming WANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2012;46(11):999-1003
OBJECTIVETo investigate the effectiveness of psychosocial services provided by social workers in reducing dropout rate and increasing treatment dosage in methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) users.
METHODSFrom May in 2009 to April in 2010, 300 MMT users were recruited from three MMT clinics in Guangzhou, and were randomly allocated into the intervention group and the control groups. The control group (152 cases) received standard MMT services while the intervention group (148 cases) received additional services provided by social workers. Methadone dosage, dropout rate, perceptions toward MMT etc. were compared between the two groups.
RESULTSThe 1-month dropout rate of the control and intervention groups were 19.7% (30/152) and 6.8% (10/148) (P < 0.05) respectively; the 6-month dropout rate of the control and intervention groups were 75.5% (115/152) and 50.7% (75/148) (P < 0.05) respectively. The intervention group had higher average treatment dosage than the control group ((56.0 ± 21.2) vs (64.4 ± 23.1) ml/d, (58.0 ± 24.0) vs (66.1 ± 26.6) ml/d, P < 0.05). At 1-month and 6-month, the intervention group had higher scores of MMT-related perception ((1.26 ± 0.68) vs (1.84 ± 0.95), (1.55 ± 0.83) vs (2.44 ± 1.23), P < 0.05), self-efficacy of maintenance ((3.68 ± 1.33) vs (4.20 ± 1.05), (3.80 ± 1.38) vs (4.43 ± 0.79), P < 0.05) and satisfaction toward MMT((4.08 ± 0.54) vs (4.15 ± 0.60), (4.01 ± 0.67) vs (4.31 ± 0.64), P < 0.05) as compared to the control group. The reverse was true for the score of negative experiences ((1.05 ± 0.86) vs (0.96 ± 0.92), (1.46 ± 0.87) vs (1.11 ± 1.07), P < 0.05).
CONCLUSIONThe psychosocial interventions provided by social workers were effective in reducing dropout rate, increasing treatment dosage and improving cognitions of MMT users.
Adult ; Female ; Heroin Dependence ; drug therapy ; Humans ; Male ; Methadone ; administration & dosage ; therapeutic use ; Opiate Substitution Treatment ; Patient Compliance ; Social Work ; Substance Abuse Treatment Centers ; Treatment Outcome

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