Objective To explore the risk factors for platelet transfusion refractoriness(PTR)in patients with hemato-logical disorders,construct a prediction model and validate the model efficacy.Methods Patients with hematological disor-ders who received platelet transfusion therapy in the Chengdu Second People's Hospital from December 2021 to December 2022 were retrospectively included to judge the effectiveness of platelet transfusion and screened for risk factors by univariate and multivariate logistic regression.A prediction model for PTR was constructed using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and decision curve(DCA)to assess the differentiation,calibration and clinical value of the model,respectively.Results A total of 334 hematological patients were included,including 168 males and 176 females,with a PTR incidence of 40.4%.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that platelet transfusion vol-ume,erythrocyte transfusion volume,and neutrophil ratio were risk factors for PTR(P<0.05).A prediction model for PTR in hematological patients was established based on these risk factors.The area under the model's curve was 0.8377(95%CI:0.723-0.772),the sensitivity was 58.52%,and the specificity was 89.95%.The calibration curve showed that the S∶P was 0.964,the maximum absolute difference Emax was 0.032,and the average absolute difference Eavg was 0.009.The DCA a-nalysis showed that the model had clinical application value when the risk threshold ranged from 0.2 to 0.9.Conclusion The PTR prediction model based on platelet transfusion volume,erythrocyte transfusion volume and neutrophil ratio can pro-vide a basis for effective platelet transfusion in hematological patients.

[Objective] To validate and optimize the platelet transfusion refractoriness (PTR) prediction model for patients with hematological disorders established by our center. [Methods] The data of patients with hematological diseases who received platelet transfusions from December 2021 to December 2022 were used as the training set, and data from January 2023 to December 2023 as the validation set. The validation set data was used to validate the predictive model constructed on the training set. Relevant risk factors for PTR were collected through literature review and preliminary studies。 The patients were divided into effective and ineffective groups according to the corrected count increment (CCI) of platelet counts. Predictive factors were screened using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. The calibration of the model were assessed via calibration curves, while discrimination, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves Clinical utility was further analyzed with decision curve analysis (DCA). [Results] The Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) goodness-of-fit test for the validation set yielded S: P=0.000, indicating that the original model needs optimization. Baseline comparisons and logistic regression identified the number of red blood cell units (RBCU) and platelet units (PLT-U) transfused as key predictors for the optimized model. The H-L goodness-of-fit test S: P values for the training and validation sets were 0.930 and 0.056, respectively; the ROC areas were 0.793 5 and 0.809 4, specificities 90.95% and 84.21%, sensitivities 59.26% and 70.04%, and accuracies 78.14% and 74.10%, respectively. DCA demonstrated clinical net benefit within a prediction probability threshold range of 0.2-0.8. [Conclusion] Transfusion volumes of RBC-U and PLT-U were inversely associated with PTR in hematological patients. The resulting PTR prediction model exhibits moderate predictive efficacy and clinical benefit.