1.A Systematic Review of Methodology: Time Series Regression Analysis for Environmental Factors and Infectious Diseases
Chisato Imai ; Masahiro Hashizume
Tropical Medicine and Health 2015;43(1):1-9
Background: Time series analysis is suitable for investigations of relatively direct and short-term effects of exposures on outcomes. In environmental epidemiology studies, this method has been one of the standard approaches to assess impacts of environmental factors on acute non-infectious diseases (e.g. cardiovascular deaths), with conventionally generalized linear or additive models (GLM and GAM). However, the same analysis practices are often observed with infectious diseases despite of the substantial differences from non-infectious diseases that may result in analytical challenges. Methods: Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines, systematic review was conducted to elucidate important issues in assessing the associations between environmental factors and infectious diseases using time series analysis with GLM and GAM. Published studies on the associations between weather factors and malaria, cholera, dengue, and influenza were targeted. Findings: Our review raised issues regarding the estimation of susceptible population and exposure lag times, the adequacy of seasonal adjustments, the presence of strong autocorrelations, and the lack of a smaller observation time unit of outcomes (i.e. daily data). These concerns may be attributable to features specific to infectious diseases, such as transmission among individuals and complicated causal mechanisms. Conclusion: The consequence of not taking adequate measures to address these issues is distortion of the appropriate risk quantifications of exposures factors. Future studies should pay careful attention to details and examine alternative models or methods that improve studies using time series regression analysis for environmental determinants of infectious diseases.
2.Systematic review on methodology: time series regression analysis for environmental factors and infectious diseases
Chisato Imai ; Masahiro Hashizume
Tropical Medicine and Health 2014;():-
Background: Time series analysis is suitable forinvestigations of relatively direct and short-term effects of exposures on outcomes.In environmental epidemiology studies, this method has been one of the standardapproaches to assess impacts of environmental factors on acute non-infectious diseases(e.g. cardiovascular deaths), with conventionally generalized linear or additivemodels (GLM and GAM). However, the same manner of practices of this method is observedwith infectious diseases despite of the substantial differences fromnon-infectious diseases which may result in analytical challenges. Methods: Following Preferred ReportingItems for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guideline, systematic review wasconducted to elucidate important issues in assessing the associations betweenenvironmental factors and infectious diseases using time series analysis withGLM or GAM. Published studies in relation to associations between weatherfactors, and malaria, cholera, dengue, or influenza were targeted. Findings: Issues regarding theestimation of susceptible population and exposure lag times, adequacy ofseasonal adjustments, the presence of strong autocorrelations, and a lack of smallerobservation time unit of outcomes (i.e. daily data) were raised from our review.These concerns may be attributed to the features specific to infectious diseases,such as transmissions among individuals and complicated causal mechanisms. Conclusion: The consequence of not takingadequate measures to address these issues is distortion of the appropriate riskquantifications of exposures factors. The future studies are required careful attentionsto details, and recommended to examine alternative models or methods thatimprove studies with time series regression analysis for environmental determinantsof infectious diseases.
3.Myocardial Ischemia of Congenital Coronary Artery Fistulae and Delineation of Management.
Masayoshi NAGATSU ; Hiromi KUROSAWA ; Yasuharu IMAI ; Masahiro ENDO
Japanese Journal of Cardiovascular Surgery 1992;21(5):431-437
Long-term follow up (10.0yrs on average) is described of 33 patients with coronary aretry fistulae (CAF) without other cardiac disorders. Of 33 patients, nine cases demonstrated some electrocardiographic ischemic changes (group I), and other twenty-four cases showed no significant electrocardiographic changes (group II) clinically. Symptomatic, hemodynamic and angiographic findings showed no significant difference statistically between both groups. Thirty patients of small to moderate left-to-right shunt ratio (<50∼60%) showed hemodynamic and angiographic stability during the 10.0 years retrograde follow-up period on average. Of 33 patients, seventeen cases have underwent surgical closure of CAF since 1973 to 1990. Seven of the seventeen patients had showed significant myocardial ischemic changes before surgical treatments, and five of the seven cases showed definitive improvement of the electrocardiographic changes seemed to be derived from occlusion of the coronary steal blood flow after surgical operations. There were no operative deaths and no appearance of new myocardial ischemia following the surgical repairs. At present since not only it is unclear whether the CAF predisposes correlate coronary arteries to some premature atherosclerosises but also there are several reports of severe late risks of surgical repair of CAF, surgical indication in the patients of CAF with small-to-moderate left-to-right shunt shou ld be limited to the cases with such as definitive myocardial ischemia or evidence of infective endocarditis.
4.Acupuncture Treatment in a Patient with Impaired Defecation and Urination After Radical Operation for Uterine Cervical Cancer.
Keisou ISHIMARU ; Masahiro IWA ; Kenji IMAI ; Hiroshi KITAKOUJI ; Masakazu SAKITA
Journal of the Japan Society of Acupuncture and Moxibustion 1999;49(1):15-18
A patient with uterine cervical cancer underwent radical operation and radiotherapy in 1956 and subsequently began to suffer from impaired bowel movements. For the next 40 years, a large amount of cathartics was used to induce defecation, a urination was induced by applying abdominal pressure, but a large volume of urine remained. In this patient, the effects of acupuncture treatment were evaluated using the vesical residual urine volume as measured by abdominal ultrasonography. After acupuncture treatment, defecation became easily, and the amount of cathartics could be reduced. Simultaneously, spontaneous urination became possible, and residual urine disappeared.
5.Success in Pain Management by Switch from Gabapentin to Pregabalin: A Case of Lung Cancer
Hiroaki SHIBAHARA ; Eri IMAI ; Natsuko UEMATSU ; Sanae KINOSHITA ; Kaori MANO ; Ayako YAMAMOTO ; Masahiro AOYAMA ; Daisaku NISHIMURA
Journal of the Japanese Association of Rural Medicine 2011;60(2):104-108
The patient was a woman in her 80s, who was referred to the palliative care team in our hospital for pain due to bone metastases from lung cancer. Although gabapentin and ifenprodil tartrate were administrated in addition to opioids and loxoprofen sodium, and the dose of opioids was increased, pain was not relieved remarkably. A switch from gabapentin to pregabalin brought remarkable pain relief. Before the internal use of pregabalin, the patient was often seen lyiing in bed because of pain. However, by pregabalin, she began to walk, pushing her wheelchair and smile often. Her ability to perform the basic activities of daily living was improved. The switch from gabapentin to pregabalin was one effective option when an analgesic adjuvant for cancer pain was chosen.
6.Arterial Switch Operation for Taussig-Bing Anomaly.
Yoshihiro Oshima ; Masahiro Yamaguchi ; Hidetaka Ohashi ; Masanao Imai ; Takayuki Kumamoto ; Nobuchika Ozaki ; Yuhei Hosokawa
Japanese Journal of Cardiovascular Surgery 1996;25(5):300-306
From 1985 through 1994, 12 consecutive patients with Taussig-Bing anomaly underwent an arterial switch. Age at operation varied from 8 to 42 months (mean 21 months). Coarctation of the aorta was present in 6 patients (including 4 with hypoplasia of the aortic arch), interruption of the aortic arch in one, straddling mitral valve in one and subaortic stenosis in two. The relationship of the great arteries was D-transposition in 11 patients (oblique in 6 and anteroposterior in 5) and side-by-side in one. Eleven patients had previous palliative surgery. Pulmonary artery banding was done in 11 patients, Blalock-Hanlon in 3, carotid flap aortoplasty in 3, subclavian flap aortoplasty in 2, extended aortic arch anastomosis in 2 and ligation of PDA in 1. The Lecompte maneuver was adopted in all but one patient with side-by-side great vessels. Intraventricular reconstruction was done through the right ventricle in 11 patients and through the right atrium in one who underwent one-stage repair. There was one early death, which was related to thrombosis of the superior mesenteric artery. One patient with side-by-side great vessels died at home 6 months after the arterial switch operation. The suspected cause of death was myocardial infarction due to compression of the left coronary artery by the pulmonary artery. In the follow-up of 10 patients ranging from 1.8 to 9.4 years (average 6.3 years), one required reoperation for pulmonary stenosis. We conclude that two-staged arterial switch operation of Taussig-Bing anomaly with D-transposition can be performed with low mortality, but there seems to be some risk of the compression of the left coronary artery in the original Jatene method for Taussig-Bing anomaly with side-by-side great vessels.
7.A Case of Right Atrial Thrombus and Left Pulmonary Embolus after the Bjork Procedure.
Masahisa Uematsu ; Masahiro Yamaguchi ; Hidetaka Ohashi ; Masanao Imai ; Yoshihiro Oshima ; Keiji Ataka ; Naoki Yoshimura
Japanese Journal of Cardiovascular Surgery 1996;25(5):329-332
A 5-year-old boy with tricuspid atresia who underwent the Björk procedure died due to right atrial thrombus and left pulmonary embolus 37 days after operation. It is suggested that thromboembolism may be a frequent complication after the Björk procedure due to the turbulent blood flow at the right atrio-ventricular anastomosis and also due to congestive blood flow. Anticoagulation therapy seems to be essential for postoperative management.
8.A criterion for evaluation of obesity based on the relationship between percent body fat and medical examination parameters.
HIROYUKI IMAMURA ; MASA MATSUBARA ; MASAHIRO MINAYOSHI ; MASARU IMAI ; KAZUHIRO KUNIKATA ; SHIN NAKAMURA ; DAIKICHI KOBATA ; HIROYUKI MORII
Japanese Journal of Physical Fitness and Sports Medicine 1992;41(1):70-78
A study was conducted to examine the relationship between percent body fat (%fat) and medical examination parameters. The subjects were 250 women aged 17 to 68 years, who neither drank nor smoked. The results obtained were as follows:
After controlling for the effects of age and maximal oxygen intake per kilogram body weight (VO2max/wt), %fat showed a significant correlation with high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), total cholesterol/HDL-C ratio (TC/HDL-C), β-lipoprotein (β-L), glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase (GOT), glutamic pyruvic tansaminase (GPT), uric acid (UA), white blood cell count (WBC), red blood cell count (RBC), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) . Values of %fat calculated from each regression equation when HDL-C=38mg/dl, TC/HDL-C=4.9, β-L=500 mg/dl, GOT=41mu/ml, GPT=46 mu/ml, UA=5.7mg/dl, WBC=8500/mm3, RBC=520×104/mm3, SBP=159 mmHg, and DBP=94 mmHg were 32.2%, 31.9%, 30.8%, 35.4%, 36.4%, 31.8%, 30.7%, 35.0%, 33.8% and 32.6%, respectively.
The subjects were then divided into 2 groups, above (above group) or below (below group) 30%, 31%, 32%, 33%, 34% or 35% body fat. Wherever the subjects were divided into 2 groups at these values of %fat, the above group showed a significantly higer occurrence of abnormal values for medical parameters than the below group.
The subjects were further divided into 3 groups: 154 subjects with %fat below 29.9% (N group), 47 subjects with %fat between 30% and 34.9% (MO group), and 49 subjects with %fat above 35% (O group) . The O group showed significantly higher occurrence of abnormal values for medical parameters than the MO and N groups. The O group also showed a significantly higher mean value of DBP than the MO and N groups. Furthermore, the O group showed a significantly lower mean value of HDL-C and significantly higher mean values of TC/HDL-C, UA, GOT, GPT, SBP, FBS than the N group. There was no significant difference between the N and MO groups in the occurrence of abnormal values for medical parameters. However, the MO group showed a significantly lower mean value of HDL-C and significantly higher mean values of TC/HDL-C, UA and β-L.
These results suggest that the values of medical parameters become poorer when %fat exceeds 30%, a level widely used in Japan as a criterion for evaluation of obesity.
The subjects were further divided into 3 groups: 50 subjects who were non-obese and fit (NF group) ; 104 subjects who were non-obese and unfit (NU group) ; 88 subjects who were obese and unfit (OU group) . There were significant differences in the occurrence of abnormal values for medical parameters among these groups. The NF group showed the lowest values, followed by the NU and OU groups. Thus, it seems preferable to evaluate individuals using a combination of %fat and VO2max/wt.
9.A criterion for evaluation of obesity in men based on the relationships between percent body fat and clinical parameters.
HIROYUKI IMAMURA ; MASA MATSUBARA ; MASAHIRO MINAYOSHI ; MASARU IMAI ; KAZUHIRO KUNIKATA ; SHIN NAKAMURA ; DAIKICHI KOBATA ; HIROYUKI MORII
Japanese Journal of Physical Fitness and Sports Medicine 1992;41(3):322-329
A study was conducted to derive a criterion for evaluation of obesity based on relationships between percent body fat (%fat) and clinical parameters. The subjects were 457 men aged 18 to 73 years. The results obtained were as follows:
After controlling for the effects of age, maximal oxygen intake per kilogram body weight (VO2max/wt), alcohol intake and cigarette smoking, %fat showed significant correlations with high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), total cholesterol/HDL-C ratio (TC/HDL-C), fasting blood sugar (FBS), glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase (GOT), glutamic pyruvic transaminase (GPT), γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GTP), white blood cell count (WBC), red blood cell count (RBC), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) . Values of %fat estimated from borderline values of these clinical parameters ranged from 17.9% to 20.4%.
When the subjects were divided into 11 groups from a below 12% fat group to an above 22% fat group, the 18%, 20%, 21% and above 22% fat groups showed significantly higher occurrence of abnormal values for clinical parameters than the below 12% fat group.
When the subjects were divided into 2 groups, i, e, above (above group) or below (below group) 18%, 19%, 20%, or 21% body fat, the above group always showed a significantly higher occurrence of abnormal values for clinical parameters than the below group.
The subjects were further divided into 3 groups: 250 subjects with %fat below 17.9% (N group), 63 subjects with %fat between 18% and 19.9% (MO group), and 144 subjects with %fat above 20% (O group) . The O group showed the highest occurrence of abnormal values for clinical parameters, followed in order by the MO and N groups. These differences were significant. The O group showed a significantly lower mean value of HDL-C and significantly higher mean values of TC, TC/HDL-C, TG, GPT, SBP, DBP and FBS than the N group. The O group also showed significantly higher mean values for WBC and RBC than the MO and N groups. The O and MO groups showed significantly higer mean values of β-L, γ-GTP and UA than the N group.
From these results and the fact that a value above 20% fat is widely used as a criterion for evaluation of obesity, men with a %fat range of 18.0% to 19.9% are defined as mildly obese, whereas those with above 20% fat are defined as obese.
The subjects were further divided into 3 gooups: %fat below (non-obese) or above (obese) 20%, and VO2max/wt above (fit) or below (unfit) values recommended by the Ministry of Public Welfare for each age group. One hundred fifty-one subjects were non-obese and fit (NF group), 142 subjects were non-obese and unfit (NU group) and 107 subjects were obese and unfit (OU group) . The NF group showed the lowest occurrence of abnormal values for clinical parameters, followed in order by the NU and OU groups. These differences were significant. Thus, it seems appropriate to evaluate obesity by using a combination of %fat and VO2max/wt.
10.Clinical Evaluation of Delayed Sternal Closure following Open Heart Surgery in Neonates and Infants.
Masanao IMAI ; Masahiro YAMAGUCHI ; Hidetaka OHASHI ; Yoshihiro OSHIMA ; Naoki YOSHIMURA ; Tatsuro SATO ; Masahisa UEMATSU ; Yuhei HOSOKAWA ; Hideo TACHIBANA
Japanese Journal of Cardiovascular Surgery 1992;21(2):149-154
The cases of neonates and infants who underwent successful delayed sternal closure (DSC) using silastic rubber after open heart surgery were reviewed. The indication for DSC was cardiac dilatation with tamponade-like behavior upon attempted sternal closure in all. In 7 of 10 cases, DSC were possible within 4 days after operation. There were statistical decrease in heart rate (HR), left atrial pressure (LAP), cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) and inspiratory oxygen concentration of the respirator at the time of DSC compared to those in the early postoperative period. None of the patients had mediastinitis or other severe infection in the postoperative course. One patient each died of progressive pulmonary venous obstruction and of non-cardiac disease late postoperatively and 8 patients are long-term survivors. It is concluded that DSC is recommended whenever there is any hemodynamic deterioration due to attempted sternal closure following open heart surgery in infancy as it could be safely performed within 3 to 4 days after operation without any complication.