1.Prediction of International Normalized Ratio of Warfarin Users Based on Artificial Neural Network Model
Chinese Journal of Modern Applied Pharmacy 2023;40(13):1847-1852
OBJECTIVE To explore the correlation between CYP2C9*2, CYP2C9*3, CYP4F2, and VKORC1 1173C>T polymorphisms and warfarin maintenance dose, and establish an artificial neural network prediction model for international normalized ratio(INR) values after warfarin administration to improve the accuracy of stable dose prediction. METHODS A retrospective study was conducted by collecting clinical data and warfarin pharmacogenetic data from 214 warfarin-treated patients who achieved a stable anticoagulant state from 2019 to 2021. The impact of clinical factors and various gene phenotypes on the patient's warfarin steady-state dose was analyzed. A machine learning prediction model was established by simulating the input of the patient's warfarin dose to calculate the INR target and predict the steady-state dose. The accuracy of the model was compared with the direct dose prediction method and the multiple regression model. RESULTS The multiple regression model had the highest accuracy rate of 56.4% for predicting the patient's steady state dose in the dataset. The machine learning prediction model had a mean absolute error(MAE) of 0.40 and R2 of 0.81 when inputting the steady state dose to predict the INR value. Directly predicting the dose resulted in a MAE of 0.52 and R2 of 0.68. After group training, the error rate decreased by 20.4% and the accuracy increased by 7.3%. CONCLUSION The artificial neural network model for predicting INR using simulated input of warfarin dose can more accurately predict patient's steady-state dose, which facilitates individualized dosing and promotes the development of precision medicine.
2.Predict the effect of the number of positive preoperative serum tumor markers on the surgical method and prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients based on mediation analysis
Zonglong LI ; Jialu CHEN ; Yue TANG ; Delong QIN ; Chen CHEN ; Yinghe QIU ; Hong WU ; Yu HE ; Xianhai MAO ; Wenlong ZHAI ; Jingdong LI ; Xiao LIANG ; Chuandong SUN ; Kai MA ; Zhimin GENG ; Zhaohui TANG ; Zhiwei QUAN
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2024;62(7):685-696
Objective:To investigate the effect of the number of positive preoperative serological tumor markers on the surgical approach and prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.Methods:This is a retrospective case-series study. Data from 548 patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after radical resection from October 2010 to April 2019 were retrospectively collected in 10 hospitals of China. There were 277 males and 271 females with an age of (57.8±10.2)years(range:23 to 84 years). Four hundred and twenty-six patients(77.7%) had at least one positive preoperative serum tumor marker. The data collection included the results of 4 preoperative serological tumor markers,other preoperative indicators(5 prodromal symptoms, 6 medical history,8 preoperative serological indicators,5 preoperative imaging indicators,and 14 preoperative pathological examination indicators),baseline data (gender and age),surgical methods,and prognostic follow-up data. Four preoperative results of serologic tumor marker and surgical procedure were converted into categorical variables. The number of positive preoperative serum tumor markers was used as the treatment variable,the surgical method was used as the mediating variable,and the survival time was used as the outcome variable. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to screen for other preoperative indicators which were independent factors that influenced the surgical procedure and the prognosis of patients as covariates to analyze the mediating effect.Results:Of the 548 patients included in the study, 176 patients (32.1%) underwent partial hepatectomy,151 patients(27.5%) underwent hemihepatectomy, and 221 patients(40.3%) underwent partial hepatectomy or hemihepatectomy combined with other treatments. The results of the univariate and multivariate analysis showed that the number of positive serum tumor markers,intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,portal vein invasion,pathological differentiation,pathological type,vascular invasion,T stage,N stage and maximum tumor diameter were independent factors influencing the surgical procedure(all P<0.05). Intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,pathological differentiation and T stage were independent prognostic factors for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(all P<0.05). Intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,differentiation and T stage were included as covariates in the mediation effect model. The results showed that the number of positive serum tumor markers before surgery had a negative predictive effect on the survival time of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma ( β=-0.092, P=0.039),and had a positive predictive effect on the surgical method ( β=0.244, P<0.01). The number of positive serum tumor markers had a negative predictive effect on the survival time of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma ( β=-0.151, P=0.002). Direct and indirect effects accounted for 71.3% and 28.7% of total effects,respectively. Conclusions:The higher the positive number of preoperative tumor markers,the worse the prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. The number of positive cells not only directly affects the prognosis of patients,but also indirectly affects the prognosis of patients by affecting the surgical method.
3.Predict the effect of the number of positive preoperative serum tumor markers on the surgical method and prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients based on mediation analysis
Zonglong LI ; Jialu CHEN ; Yue TANG ; Delong QIN ; Chen CHEN ; Yinghe QIU ; Hong WU ; Yu HE ; Xianhai MAO ; Wenlong ZHAI ; Jingdong LI ; Xiao LIANG ; Chuandong SUN ; Kai MA ; Zhimin GENG ; Zhaohui TANG ; Zhiwei QUAN
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2024;62(7):685-696
Objective:To investigate the effect of the number of positive preoperative serological tumor markers on the surgical approach and prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.Methods:This is a retrospective case-series study. Data from 548 patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after radical resection from October 2010 to April 2019 were retrospectively collected in 10 hospitals of China. There were 277 males and 271 females with an age of (57.8±10.2)years(range:23 to 84 years). Four hundred and twenty-six patients(77.7%) had at least one positive preoperative serum tumor marker. The data collection included the results of 4 preoperative serological tumor markers,other preoperative indicators(5 prodromal symptoms, 6 medical history,8 preoperative serological indicators,5 preoperative imaging indicators,and 14 preoperative pathological examination indicators),baseline data (gender and age),surgical methods,and prognostic follow-up data. Four preoperative results of serologic tumor marker and surgical procedure were converted into categorical variables. The number of positive preoperative serum tumor markers was used as the treatment variable,the surgical method was used as the mediating variable,and the survival time was used as the outcome variable. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to screen for other preoperative indicators which were independent factors that influenced the surgical procedure and the prognosis of patients as covariates to analyze the mediating effect.Results:Of the 548 patients included in the study, 176 patients (32.1%) underwent partial hepatectomy,151 patients(27.5%) underwent hemihepatectomy, and 221 patients(40.3%) underwent partial hepatectomy or hemihepatectomy combined with other treatments. The results of the univariate and multivariate analysis showed that the number of positive serum tumor markers,intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,portal vein invasion,pathological differentiation,pathological type,vascular invasion,T stage,N stage and maximum tumor diameter were independent factors influencing the surgical procedure(all P<0.05). Intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,pathological differentiation and T stage were independent prognostic factors for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma(all P<0.05). Intrahepatic bile duct dilatation,differentiation and T stage were included as covariates in the mediation effect model. The results showed that the number of positive serum tumor markers before surgery had a negative predictive effect on the survival time of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma ( β=-0.092, P=0.039),and had a positive predictive effect on the surgical method ( β=0.244, P<0.01). The number of positive serum tumor markers had a negative predictive effect on the survival time of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma ( β=-0.151, P=0.002). Direct and indirect effects accounted for 71.3% and 28.7% of total effects,respectively. Conclusions:The higher the positive number of preoperative tumor markers,the worse the prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. The number of positive cells not only directly affects the prognosis of patients,but also indirectly affects the prognosis of patients by affecting the surgical method.