1.Clinical significance of hepatitis B virus S gene mutation for recurrence of hepatitis B after liver transplantation.
Zuoyi JIAO ; Donghong ZHANG ; YmMin LI ; Changjiang LUO ; Lvnan YAN
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2014;22(8):580-584
OBJECTIVETo examine the incidence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) S gene mutation in recipients with recurrent HBV infection after liver transplantation (LT) and to evaluate the clinical significance of these mutants.
METHODSTwo-hundred-and-ninety-nine patients who received LT for HBV-related liver diseases in single centre were enrolled in the study and followed up. Serum HBV DNA was amplified by fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction, and HBV-S gene mutation was detected by Sanger's enzymatic method.
RESULTSTwelve of the 299 patients developed recurrent HBV after LT, and 2 of these 12 carried a mutant of the HBV-S gene (incidence rate of 16.67%). One of the patients had T126I and G145A mutations, and the other had a M 133L mutation. Cox regression modelling identified the risk factors of HBV recurrence after LT as HBV-YMDD mutants (P =0.01), HBV-S mutants (P =0.03) and compliance decrease (P =0.03).
CONCLUSIONHBV-S mutants may contribute to recurrence of HBV after LT, and the mechanism should be addressed in future studies.
Adult ; DNA, Viral ; genetics ; Female ; Genetic Variation ; Hepatitis B ; virology ; Hepatitis B virus ; genetics ; Humans ; Liver Transplantation ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Mutation ; Postoperative Period ; Recurrence ; Viral Envelope Proteins ; genetics
2.Nomograms to Predict the Individual Survival of Patients with Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Hepatectomy.
Junyi SHEN ; Linye HE ; Chuan LI ; Tianfu WEN ; Weixia CHEN ; Changli LU ; Lvnan YAN ; Bo LI ; Jiayin YANG
Gut and Liver 2017;11(5):684-692
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a subgroup of HCCs. We aimed to establish nomograms for predicting the survival of solitary HCC patients after hepatectomy. METHODS: A total of 538 solitary HCC patients were randomly classified into training and validation sets. A Cox model was used to identify predictors of overall survival (OS) in the training set. A nomogram was generated based on these predictors and was validated using the validation set. RESULTS: Tumor size, microvascular invasion, and major vascular invasion were significantly associated with OS in the training set. Nomograms were developed based on these predictors in the multivariate analysis. The C-index was 0.75 for the OS nomogram and 0.72 for the recurrence-free survival nomogram. Compared to the index of conventional staging systems for predicting survival (0.71 for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, 0.66 for the seventh American Joint Committee on Cancer, 0.68 for Cancer of the Liver Italian Program, and 0.70 for Hong Kong Liver Cancer), the index of the OS nomogram was significantly higher. Moreover, the calibration curve fitted well between the predicted and observed survival rate. Similarly, in the validation set, the nomogram discrimination was superior to those of the four staging systems (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The nomograms demonstrated good discrimination performance in predicting 3- and 5-year survival rates for solitary HCCs after hepatectomy.
Calibration
;
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular*
;
Discrimination (Psychology)
;
Hepatectomy*
;
Hong Kong
;
Humans
;
Joints
;
Liver
;
Liver Neoplasms
;
Multivariate Analysis
;
Nomograms*
;
Prognosis
;
Survival Rate
3.Novel Prognostic Nomograms for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients with Microvascular Invasion: Experience from a Single Center
Liangliang XU ; Lian LI ; Peng WANG ; Ming ZHANG ; Yanfang ZHANG ; Xiangyong HAO ; Lvnan YAN ; Bo LI ; Tianfu WEN ; Mingqing XU
Gut and Liver 2019;13(6):669-682
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Microvascular invasion (MVI) is an established risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, prediction models that specifically focus on the individual prognoses of HCC patients with MVI is lacking. METHODS: A total of 385 HCC patients with MVI were randomly assigned to training and validation cohorts in a 2:1 ratio. The outcomes were disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Prognostic nomograms were established based on the results of multivariate analyses. The concordance index (C-index), calibration plots and Kaplan-Meier curves were employed to evaluate the accuracy, calibration and discriminatory ability of the models. RESULTS: The independent risk factors for both DFS and OS included age, tumor size, tumor number, the presence of gross vascular invasion, and the presence of Glisson's capsule invasion. The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio was another risk factor for OS. On the basis of these predictors, two nomograms for DFS and OS were constructed. The C-index values of the nomograms for DFS and OS were 0.712 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.679 to 0.745; p<0.001) and 0.698 (95% CI, 0.657 to 0.739; p<0.001), respectively, in the training cohort and 0.704 (95% CI, 0.650 to 0.708; p<0.001) and 0.673 (95% CI, 0.607 to 0.739; p<0.001), respectively, in the validation cohort. The calibration curves showed optimal agreement between the predicted and observed survival rates. The Kaplan-Meier curves suggested that these two nomograms had satisfactory discriminatory abilities. CONCLUSIONS: These novel predictive models have satisfactory accuracy and discriminatory abilities in predicting the prognosis of HCC patients with MVI after hepatectomy.
Calibration
;
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular
;
Cohort Studies
;
Disease-Free Survival
;
Hepatectomy
;
Humans
;
Multivariate Analysis
;
Nomograms
;
Prognosis
;
Risk Factors
;
Survival Rate
4.Establishment of prognostic scoring system for single large hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy
Junyi SHEN ; Chuan LI ; Tianfu WEN ; Lvnan YAN ; Jiayin YANG ; Yong ZENG ; Hong WU ; Wentao WANG ; Mingqing XU ; Zheyu CHEN ; Yonggang WEI ; Li JIANG ; Jiwei HUANG
Chinese Journal of Hepatic Surgery(Electronic Edition) 2018;7(3):197-201
Objective To establish a clinical scoring system for the prognosis of patients with single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy.Methods 268 patients with single large HCC who underwent hepatectomy in West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2009 to December 2013 were included in this prospective study. There were 227 males and 41 females, of which 198 cases aged≤60 years old, 70 aged>60 years old. The informed consents of all patients were obtained and the local ethical committee approval was received. The patients' survival were observed. The independent risk factors for postoperative prognosis of patients with single large HCC were selected by Cox proportional risk regression mode. Based on the risk factors, the prognostic scoring system for single large HCC wasestablished. The scoring system was tested through survival analysis by Kaplan-Meier and Log-rank test. Results The median overall postoperative survival was 45 months, and the tumor-free survival was 31 months. Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR)≥107, tumor diameter≥6.8 cm and positive microvascular invasion (MVI) were the independent risk factors for postoperative overall survival and tumor-free survival in patients with single large HCC (HR=1.004, 1.092, 2.233 and 1.003, 1.062, 1.534; P<0.05). Every independent risk factor was assigned 1 point. All patients were divided into low risk group (0 point), moderate risk group (1-2 points) and high risk group (3 points). The 5-year survival rate of high risk group was 25.4%, and that of moderate and low risk group was 33.2% and 52.1% respectively, where significant difference was observed (χ2=23.1, P<0.05). Similar Results were observed when the scoring system was used in patients with or without cirrhosis.Conclusions PLR≥107, tumor diameter≥6.8 cm and positive MVI are the independent risk factors for the prognosis of patients with single large HCC after resection. The prognostic scoring system established in this study can be used to predict the postoperative long-term survival of patients.