1.Study on HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure risk factors and novel predictive survival model.
Yu Hui TANG ; Xiao Xiao ZHANG ; Si Yu ZHANG ; Lu Yao CUI ; Yi Qi WANG ; Ning Ning XUE ; Lu LI ; Dan Dan ZHAO ; Yue Min NAN
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2023;31(1):84-89
Objective: To identify the predisposing factors, clinical characteristics, and risk factors of disease progression to establish a novel predictive survival model and evaluate its application value for hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure. Methods: 153 cases of HBV-ACLF were selected according to the guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of liver failure (2018 edition) of the Chinese Medical Association Hepatology Branch. Predisposing factors, the basic liver disease stage, therapeutic drugs, clinical characteristics, and factors affecting survival status were analyzed. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to screen prognostic factors and establish a novel predictive survival model. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to evaluate predictive value with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and the Chronic Liver Failure Consortium Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure score (CLIF-C ACLF). Results: 80.39% (123/153) based on hepatitis B cirrhosis had developed ACLF. HBV-ACLF's main inducing factors were the discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) and the application of hepatotoxic drugs, including Chinese patent medicine/Chinese herbal medicine, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, anti-tuberculosis drugs, central nervous system drugs, anti-tumor drugs, etc. 34.64% of cases had an unknown inducement. The most common clinical symptoms at onset were progressive jaundice, poor appetite, and fatigue. The short-term mortality rate was significantly higher in patients complicated with hepatic encephalopathy, upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage, hepatorenal syndrome, and infection (P < 0.05). Lactate dehydrogenase, albumin, the international normalized ratio, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, hepatic encephalopathy, and upper gastrointestinal bleeding were the independent predictors for the survival status of patients. The LAINeu model was established. The area under the curve for evaluating the survival of HBV-ACLF was 0.886, which was significantly higher than the MELD and CLIF-C ACLF scores (P < 0.05), and the prognosis was worse when the LAINeu score ≥ -3.75. Conclusion: Discontinuation of NAs and the application of hepatotoxic drugs are common predisposing factors for HBV-ACLF. Hepatic decompensation-related complications and infection accelerate the disease's progression. The LAINeu model can predict patient survival conditions more accurately.
Humans
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Hepatitis B virus
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Hepatic Encephalopathy/complications*
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Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/diagnosis*
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End Stage Liver Disease/complications*
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Severity of Illness Index
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Risk Factors
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ROC Curve
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Prognosis
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Retrospective Studies
2.Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.
Korean Journal of Medicine 2017;92(2):118-123
Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is increasingly recognized as a distinct disease entity associated with acute deterioration of liver function in patients with chronic liver disease. Although no widely accepted diagnostic criteria for ACLF are yet available, the definitions of the Asian-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) and the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C) are commonly employed. However, the AARC and CLIF-C criteria are based on fundamentally different features, rendering among-study comparisons difficult. The areas of uncertainty include the definition and extent of heterogeneity of ACLF, ambiguities in terms of the underlying liver disease, and whether infection or sepsis may precipitate the condition. Although the detailed pathogenesis of ACLF remains to be elucidated, changes in host responses to injury, infection, and uncontrolled inflammation play important roles. The “predisposition, infection/inflammation, response, organ failure” (PIRO) concept used to evaluate sepsis may be valuable when it is sought to describe the pathophysiology and clinical features of ACLF. Currently, treatment is limited to organ support but a better understanding of the pathophysiology is likely to lead, in future, to the discovery of novel biomarkers and the development of new therapeutic strategies.
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure*
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Biomarkers
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End Stage Liver Disease
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Humans
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Inflammation
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Liver
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Liver Cirrhosis
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Liver Diseases
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Liver Failure
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Population Characteristics
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Sepsis
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Uncertainty
3.Application of different prognostic scores in liver transplantation decision-making for acute-on-chronic liver failure.
Man Man XU ; Yu WU ; Shan Shan LI ; Nan GENG ; Wang LU ; Bin Wei DUAN ; Zhong Ping DUAN ; Guang Ming LI ; Jun LI ; Yu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2023;31(6):574-581
Objective: To compare the impact of different prognostic scores in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in order to provide treatment guidance for liver transplantation. Methods: The information on inpatients with ACLF admitted at Beijing You'an Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University and the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine from January 2015 to October 2022 was collected retrospectively. ACLF patients were divided into liver transplantation and non-liver transplantation groups, and the two groups prognostic conditions were followed-up. Propensity score matching was carried out between the two groups on the basis of liver disease (non-cirrhosis, compensated cirrhosis, and decompensated cirrhosis), the model for end-stage liver disease incorporating serum sodium (MELD-Na), and ACLF classification as matching factors. The prognostic condition of the two groups after matching was compared. The difference in 1-year survival rate between the two groups was analyzed under different ACLF grades and MELD-Na scores. The independent sample t-test or rank sum test was used for inter-group comparison, and the χ (2) test was used for the comparison of count data between groups. Results: In total, 865 ACLF inpatients were collected over the study period. Of these, 291 had liver transplantation and 574 did not. The overall survival rates at 28, 90, and 360 days were 78%, 66%, and 62%, respectively. There were 270 cases of matched ACLF post-liver transplantation and 270 cases without ACLF, in accordance with a ratio of 1:1. At 28, 90, and 360 days, patients with non-liver transplantation had significantly lower survival rates (68%, 53%, and 49%) than patients with liver transplantation (87%, 87%, and 78%, respectively; P < 0.001). Patients were classified into four groups according to the ACLF classification criteria. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the survival rates of liver transplantation and non-liver transplantation patients in ACLF grade 0 were 77.2% and 69.4%, respectively, with no statistically significant difference (P = 0.168). The survival rate with an ACLF 1-3 grade was significantly higher in liver transplantation patients than that of non-liver transplantation patients (P < 0.05). Patients with ACLF grades 1, 2, and 3 had higher 1-year survival rates compared to non-liver transplant patients by 50.6%, 43.6%, and 61.7%, respectively. Patients were divided into four groups according to the MELD-Na score. Among the patients with a MELD-Na score of < 25, the 1-year survival rates for liver transplantation and non-liver transplantation were 78.2% and 74.0%, respectively, and the difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.149). However, among patients with MELD-Na scores of 25-30, 30-35, and≥35, the survival rate was significantly higher in liver transplantation than that of non-liver transplantation, and the 1-year survival rate increased by 36.4%, 54.9%, and 62.5%, respectively (P < 0.001). Further analysis of the prognosis of patients with different ACLF grades and MELD-Na scores showed that ACLF grades 0 or 1 and MELD-Na score of < 30 had no statistically significant difference in the 1-year survival rate between liver transplantation and non-liver transplantation (P > 0.05), but in patients with MELD-Na score≥30, the 1-year survival rate of liver transplantation was higher than that of non-liver transplantation patients (P < 0.05). In the ACLF grade 0 and MELD-Na score of≥30 group, the 1-year survival rates of liver transplantation and non-liver transplantation patients were 77.8% and 25.0% respectively (P < 0.05); while in the ACLF grade 1 and MELD-Na score of≥30 group, the 1-year survival rates of liver transplantation and non-liver transplantation patients were 100% and 20.0%, respectively (P < 0.01). Among patients with ACLF grade 2, the 1-year survival rate with MELD-Na score of < 25 in patients with liver transplantation was 73.9% and 61.6%, respectively, and the difference was not statistically significant (P > 0.05); while in the liver transplantation patients group with MELD-Na score of ≥25, the 1-year survival rate was 79.5%, 80.8%, and 75%, respectively, which was significantly higher than that of non-liver transplantation patients (36.6%, 27.6%, 15.0%) (P < 0.001). Among patients with ACLF grade 3, regardless of the MELD-Na score, the 1-year survival rate was significantly higher in liver transplantation patients than that of non-liver transplantation patients (P < 0.01). Additionally, among patients with non-liver transplantation with an ACLF grade 0~1 and a MELD-Na score of < 30 at admission, 99.4% survived 1 year and still had an ACLF grade 0-1 at discharge, while 70% of deaths progressed to ACLF grade 2-3. Conclusion: Both the MELD-Na score and the EASL-CLIF C ACLF classification are capable of guiding liver transplantation; however, no single model possesses a consistent and precise prediction ability. Therefore, the combined application of the two models is necessary for comprehensive and dynamic evaluation, but the clinical application is relatively complex. A simplified prognostic model and a risk assessment model will be required in the future to improve patient prognosis as well as the effectiveness and efficiency of liver transplantation.
Humans
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Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure
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Prognosis
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Retrospective Studies
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End Stage Liver Disease
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Severity of Illness Index
4.ABC prognostic classification and MELD 3.0 and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ prognostic evaluation in acute-on-chronic liver failure.
Wan Shu LIU ; Li Jun SHEN ; Hua TIAN ; Qing Hui ZHAI ; Dong Ze LI ; Fang Jiao SONG ; Shao Jie XIN ; Shao Li YOU
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2022;30(9):976-980
Objective: To investigate the ABC prognostic classification and the updated version of Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score 3.0 and Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B ACLF Ⅱ score (COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ score) to evaluate the prognostic value in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Methods: ABC classification was performed on a 1 409 follow-up cohorts. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to analyze MELD, MELD 3.0, COSSH-Ⅱ and COSSH-Ⅱ score after 3 days of hospitalization (COSSH-Ⅱ-3d). The prognostic predictive ability of patients were evaluated for 360 days, and the prediction differences of different classifications and different etiologies on the prognosis of ACLF were compared. Results: The survival curve of 1 409 cases with ACLF showed that the difference between class A, B, and C was statistically significant, Log Rank (Mantel-Cox) χ2=80.133, P<0.01. Compared with class A and C, χ2=76.198, P<0.01, the difference between class B and C, was not statistically significant χ2=3.717, P>0.05. AUROC [95% confidence interval (CI)] analyzed MELD, MELD 3.0, COSSH-Ⅱ and COSSH-Ⅱ-3d were 0.644, 0.655, 0.817 and 0.839, respectively (P<0.01). COSSH-Ⅱ had better prognostic predictive ability with class A ACLF and HBV-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF) for 360-days, and AUROC (95% CI) were 0.877 and 0.881, respectively (P<0.01), while MELD 3.0 prognostic predictive value was not better than MELD. Conclusion: ACLF prognosis is closely related to ABC classification. COSSH-Ⅱ score has a high predictive value for the prognostic evaluation of class A ACLF and HBV-ACLF. COSSH-Ⅱ score has a better prognostic evaluation value after 3 days of hospitalization, suggesting that attention should be paid to the treatment of ACLF in the early stage of admission.
Humans
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Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure
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Prognosis
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End Stage Liver Disease/complications*
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Retrospective Studies
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Severity of Illness Index
5.Review of risk evaluation scores for benign end stage liver diseases recipients.
Ping Bo JIN ; Wei Li WANG ; Yun Tao ZHANG ; Nan MA ; Xue Li BAI ; Wei ZHANG ; Ting Bo LIANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2022;60(4):396-400
Liver transplant is an unreplaceable method for benign end-stage liver disease. The risk evaluation for the waiting list recipients and for post-transplant survival could provide practical indication for organ allocation. In recent years, there are two major kinds of evaluation scores. The first kind of evaluation scores is based on model for end-stage liver disease(MELD) score,including SOFT/P-SOFT score,UCLA-FRS score and BAR score. The other evaluation system is based on the concept of acute-on-chronic liver failure,including CLIF-C-ACLF score,TAM score,AARC-ACLF score and COSSH-ACLF score. The scores based on ACLF have been shown superior power in predicting waiting list survival and post-transplant prognosis than MELD. This article reviews the two kinds of evaluation scores,aiming for the better allocation policy and the better prognosis of benign end-stage liver disease.
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure
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End Stage Liver Disease/surgery*
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Humans
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Liver Transplantation
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Prognosis
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Retrospective Studies
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Severity of Illness Index
6.Clinical characteristics of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and splenomegaly.
Mingxia ZHANG ; Guoqi QIN ; Feng LI ; Qi ZHANG ; Qinjun HE ; Yajing HE ; Wenfan LUO ; Cheng WANG ; Jinjun CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2014;34(9):1310-1313
OBJECTIVETo observe the clinical characteristics and short-term survival of patients with splenomegaly and acute-on-chronic liver failure related to chronic HBV infection.
METHODSElectronic medical records of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure were collected to analyze the clinical parameters and 4-week survival of patients with or without splenomegaly.
RESULTSOf the 149 patients enrolled, the overall 28-day mortality rate was 48.3%, which was lower in patients with enlarged spleen than those without (34.2% vs 54.1%, P=0.034). Compared with patients without splenomegaly, patients with splenomegaly had lower platelet counts (P=0.001), lower ALT levels (P=0.005) and lower PT-INR (P=0.010). Although the occurrence of hepatic encephalopathy was comparable between patients with or without splenomegaly, severe conditions were more frequent in those without splenomegaly. Hepatic encephalopathy grades, serum creatinine levels, neutrophil percentages over 70%, PT-INR and splenomegaly were independent factors associated with the 28-day survival, and this novel model was superior to model of end-stage of liver disease in predicting the 4-week survival (P=0.017).
CONCLUSIONPatients with splenomegaly that evolves into acute-on-chronic liver failure have unique clinical characteristics and further clinical observations are warranted.
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure ; mortality ; physiopathology ; Chronic Disease ; Hepatic Encephalopathy ; physiopathology ; Humans ; Splenomegaly ; mortality ; physiopathology
7.The Pallidal Index in Patients with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Disease: Is It a Predictor of Severe Hepatic Encephalopathy?.
Dong Hyun LEE ; Hui Joong LEE ; Myong Hun HAHM
Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging 2017;21(3):125-130
PURPOSE: To evaluate the clinical significance of T1 high signal intensity on the globus pallidus as a predictor of severe hepatic encephalopathy in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which is a distinct syndrome characterized by multi-organ dysfunction including cerebral failure. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From January 2002 to April 2014, we retrospectively reviewed the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings and clinical and magnetic resonance (MR) features of 74 consecutive patients (44 men and 30 women; mean age, 59.5 years) with liver cirrhosis. The chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment score was used to diagnose ACLF. The pallidal index (PI), calculated by dividing the mean signal intensity of the globus pallidus by that of the subcortical frontal white matter were compared according to ACLF. The PI was compared with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in predicting the development of ACLF. RESULTS: Fifteen patients who were diagnosed with ACLF had higher hepatic encephalopathy grades (initial, P = 0.024; follow-up, P = 0.002), MELD scores (P < 0.001), and PI (P = 0.048). In the ACLF group, the mean PI in patients with cerebral failure was significantly higher than that in the patients without cerebral failure (1.33 vs. 1.20, P = 0.039). In patients with ACLF, the area under the curve (AUC) for PI was 0.680 (95% confidence intervals [CI], 0.52–0.85), which was significantly lower than that for the MELD score (AUC, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.77–0.99) (P = 0.04). CONCLUSION: The PI can be an ancillary biomarker for predicting the development of ACLF and severe hepatic encephalopathy.
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure
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Female
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Follow-Up Studies
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Globus Pallidus
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Hepatic Encephalopathy*
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Humans
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Liver Cirrhosis
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Liver Diseases*
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Liver*
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Magnetic Resonance Imaging
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Male
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Retrospective Studies
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White Matter
8.The Pallidal Index in Patients with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Disease: Is It a Predictor of Severe Hepatic Encephalopathy?.
Dong Hyun LEE ; Hui Joong LEE ; Myong Hun HAHM
Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging 2017;21(3):125-130
PURPOSE: To evaluate the clinical significance of T1 high signal intensity on the globus pallidus as a predictor of severe hepatic encephalopathy in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which is a distinct syndrome characterized by multi-organ dysfunction including cerebral failure. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From January 2002 to April 2014, we retrospectively reviewed the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings and clinical and magnetic resonance (MR) features of 74 consecutive patients (44 men and 30 women; mean age, 59.5 years) with liver cirrhosis. The chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment score was used to diagnose ACLF. The pallidal index (PI), calculated by dividing the mean signal intensity of the globus pallidus by that of the subcortical frontal white matter were compared according to ACLF. The PI was compared with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in predicting the development of ACLF. RESULTS: Fifteen patients who were diagnosed with ACLF had higher hepatic encephalopathy grades (initial, P = 0.024; follow-up, P = 0.002), MELD scores (P < 0.001), and PI (P = 0.048). In the ACLF group, the mean PI in patients with cerebral failure was significantly higher than that in the patients without cerebral failure (1.33 vs. 1.20, P = 0.039). In patients with ACLF, the area under the curve (AUC) for PI was 0.680 (95% confidence intervals [CI], 0.52–0.85), which was significantly lower than that for the MELD score (AUC, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.77–0.99) (P = 0.04). CONCLUSION: The PI can be an ancillary biomarker for predicting the development of ACLF and severe hepatic encephalopathy.
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure
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Female
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Follow-Up Studies
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Globus Pallidus
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Hepatic Encephalopathy*
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Humans
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Liver Cirrhosis
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Liver Diseases*
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Liver*
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Magnetic Resonance Imaging
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Male
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Retrospective Studies
;
White Matter
9.Assessment of liver transplant benefit and a novel strategy for liver donor allocation in acute-on-chronic liver failure.
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2023;31(6):569-573
Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a type of complex clinical syndrome that is mainly characterized by acute deterioration of liver function based on chronic liver disease, hepatic and extrahepatic organ failures, and a high short-term mortality rate. The comprehensive medical treatment efficacy of ACLF is currently limited; thus, liver transplantation is the only viable potential treatment method. However, considering the severe liver donor shortage, economic and social costs, as well as the differences in disease severity and prognosis of different disease courses, it is particularly important to accurately assess the benefits of liver transplantation in patients with ACLF. Early identification and prediction, timing, prognosis, and survival benefits are discussed here by combining the latest research findings so as to optimize the liver transplantation treatment strategy for ACLF.
Humans
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Liver Transplantation
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Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure
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Prognosis
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Liver Cirrhosis