1. Consistency of prostate biopsy and radical prostatectomy Gleason grade groups and nomograms establishment for predicting upgrading and downgrading
Xiangyi ZHENG ; Huaqing YAN ; Liujia HE ; Jianjian XIANG ; Xiaodong TENG ; Liping XIE
Chinese Journal of Urology 2019;40(9):668-672
Objective:
To evaluate the consistency between prostate biopsy and postoperative pathological grade, analyze the influencing factors that may lead to upgrade or downgrade, and to establish a prediction model.
Methods:
The clinical data of biopsy GS3+ 3=6(GR1, 330 cases) and GS3+ 4=7(GR2, 340 cases) patients from January 2013 to December 2018 in the first affiliated hospital, College of Medicine of Zhejiang university were retrospectively analyzed. The median age was 67 years old(ranging 35 to 100 years old). The median BMI was 23.74 kg/m2(ranging 16.22-38.74 kg/m2). The Median tPSA was 10.266 ng/ml(ranging 0.017-147.575 ng/ml). The median prostate volume was 29.43 ml(5.92-187.20 ml). The median PSAD was 0.34 (ranging 0.01-4.02). The median percentage of positive puncture cores was 0.25 (ranging 0.08-1.00). There were 161 patients in clinical stage ≤T1c, 344 patients in T2a-T2c and 165 patients in clinical stage ≥T3. 670 cases all accepted the radical prostatectomy. Consistency of prostate biopsy and radical prostatectomy Gleason grade was recorded. If the postoperative Gleason grade was higher than that in biopsy, it was defined as upgrade. Otherwise, it was defined as downgrade. Multivariate logistic regression model was used to evaluate the influencing factors leading to upgrades in GR1 patients or downgrades in GR2 patients. Nomograms were drawn based on the models with AUC and Horsmer-Lemeshaw test conducted to test the discrimination and calibration of the models.
Results:
Among the 670 patients included, 165 cases (50.0% of GR1) upgrades and 27 cases (7.9% of GR2) downgrades. PSAD≥0.25(