1.Prediction of sepsis within 24 hours at the triage stage in emergency departments using machine learning
Xie JINGYUAN ; Gao JIANDONG ; Yang MUTIAN ; Zhang TING ; Liu YECHENG ; Chen YUTONG ; Liu ZETONG ; Mei QIMIN ; Li ZHIMAO ; Zhu HUADONG ; Wu JI
World Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;15(5):379-385
BACKGROUND:Sepsis is one of the main causes of mortality in intensive care units(ICUs).Early prediction is critical for reducing injury.As approximately 36%of sepsis occur within 24 h after emergency department(ED)admission in Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care(MIMIC-IV),a prediction system for the ED triage stage would be helpful.Previous methods such as the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment(qSOFA)are more suitable for screening than for prediction in the ED,and we aimed to find a light-weight,convenient prediction method through machine learning. METHODS:We accessed the MIMIC-IV for sepsis patient data in the EDs.Our dataset comprised demographic information,vital signs,and synthetic features.Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost)was used to predict the risk of developing sepsis within 24 h after ED admission.Additionally,SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)was employed to provide a comprehensive interpretation of the model's results.Ten percent of the patients were randomly selected as the testing set,while the remaining patients were used for training with 10-fold cross-validation. RESULTS:For 10-fold cross-validation on 14,957 samples,we reached an accuracy of 84.1%±0.3%and an area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve of 0.92±0.02.The model achieved similar performance on the testing set of 1,662 patients.SHAP values showed that the five most important features were acuity,arrival transportation,age,shock index,and respiratory rate. CONCLUSION:Machine learning models such as XGBoost may be used for sepsis prediction using only a small amount of data conveniently collected in the ED triage stage.This may help reduce workload in the ED and warn medical workers against the risk of sepsis in advance.
2.Clinical observation of refractive outcome after surgery of idiopathic macular hole
Boshi LIU ; Weina CUI ; Rui NIU ; Qiong CHEN ; Zetong NIE ; Jiaoting WEI ; Bojie HU
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2020;36(11):880-883
Objective:To observe the changes in refractive status of eyes with idiopathic macular hole (IMH) after vitrectomy and phacoemulsification and IOL implantation (combined surgery).Methods:A retrospective clinical study. From January 2016 to June 2019, 51patients (56 eyes) of IMH who underwent combined surgery at the Tianjin Medical University Eye Hospital. were included in the study. Among them, there were 17 males and 34 females with the average age of 66.79±4.33 years. All the affected eyes underwent BCVA, retinoscopy and axial length (AL) measurement. The IOL power was calculated according to the SRK-T formula and the refractive power (predicted value) was predicted. The average BCVA of the affected eye was 0.20±0.13. The average anterior chamber depth was 2.89±0.28 mm. The average △corneal astigmatism was 0.73±0.43 D, the average AL was 22.92±0.70 mm, the average predicted refractive power was 0.10±0.66 D. All the affected eyes underwent standard transciliary flat part three-channel 25G combined surgery. Six months after the operation, the actual value (actual value) of the diopter after the operation was measured with the same equipment and method before the operation. Paired t test was used to compare the difference between the predicted value and the actual value. Results:Six months after the operation, the actual value of the refractive power was -0.19±0.64 D. Compared with the pre-operative refractive power, the difference was not statistically significant ( t=1.665, P=0.102). The difference between the actual value and the predicted value was -0.33± 0.81 D. Conclusions:The refractive status of the IMH eye undergoes myopia drift after combined surgery. The preoperative IOL power budget can be appropriately reserved for +0.3 D hyperopia.
3.Short-term clinical study of vitrectomy combined with intraoperative slow-release dexamethasone implantation in the treatment of severe idiopathic macular epiretinal membrane
Jiaoting WEI ; Boshi LIU ; Meng YANG ; Shaofang PANG ; Zetong NIE ; Xiang ZHANG ; Yi SHI ; Wenbo LI ; Bojie HU
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2022;38(10):793-798
Objective:To observe the efficacy of dexamethasone intravitreal implant (DEX) combined with pars plana vitrectomy (PPV) in eyes with severe idiopathic epimacular membrane (IMEM).Methods:A prospective clinical case study. From December 2018 to May 2021, 24 patients with 25 eyes of severe IMEM diagnosed in Tianjin Medical University Eye Hospital were included in the study. Among them, 7 males had 7 eyes, 17 females had 18 eyes. Age was 57 to 84 years old. The IMEM stage was 3 to 4 examined by spectral domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT). All eyes were performed best corrected visual acuity (BCVA) and central macular thickness (CMT) by SD-OCT. The patients were randomly divided into PPV group (11 eyes) and PPV+DEX group (14 eyes). Standard PPV by three-channel 25G was performed. Phacoemulsification, membrane stripping and intraocular lens implantation were combined during the operation. Patients received vitreous injection of 0.7 mg DEX in PPV+DEX group at the end of the operation. At 1 week, 1 month, 3 months and 6 months after operation, the same equipments and methods were used to perform relevant examinations. The changes of BCVA and CMT were compared between the two groups by t test. Results:Compared with before operation, at 1, 3 and 6 months after operation, the BCVA of the eyes in the PPV+DEX group was significantly improved ( t=3.974, 4.639, 4.453), CMT was significantly decreased ( t=2.955, 3.722, 4.364), the differences were statistically significant ( P<0.05); at 3 and 6 months after surgery, the BCVA of the eyes in the PPV group was significantly improved ( t=2.983, 4.436), CMT was significantly decreased ( t=2.983, 3.461), the differences were statistically significant ( P<0.05). Conclusion:In the treatment of severe IMEM, DEX can accelerate the early postoperative visual recovery and reduce CMT.