1.Construction and analysis of prediction model of postoperative poor anastomotic healing in colorectal patients based on LASSO variable selection
Jinxiang HUANG ; Linjun MO ; Xiao LIU
Journal of Clinical Surgery 2024;32(6):621-625
Objective To construct a prediction model of postoperative poor anastomotic healing in colorectal patients based on LASS0 variable selection,and analyze the prediction efficiency of this model for anastomotic prognosis.Methods 215 patients with colorectal cancer who were treated in our hospital from March 2018 to January 2023 were prospectively included as the research object.All patients underwent laparoscopic radical resection of colorectal cancer,and all patients were followed up for 30 days after operation.They were divided into the poor healing group(24 cases)and the good healing group(191 cases)according to whether there was anastomotic malunion.The general data and clinical data of all patients were collected,and the characteristic factors with non-zero coefficient were screened by using LASSO regression model.Lasso-Logistics regression model was constructed to analyze the related factors leading to poor anastomosis healing,and the receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC)was drawn to calculate the area under receiver operating characteristic curve curve(AUC),sensitivity and specificity.Bootdtrap method was used to carry out 500 repeated sampling for verification.Results The number of male cases in poor healing group was significantly higher than that in good healing group.The levels of white blood cell WBC and C-reactive protein CRP in poor healing group were higher than those in good healing group(P<0.05).The operation time in the group with poor healing was longer than that in the group with good healing,the tumor diameter was more than 4 cm,the distance between the lower edge of the tumor and the perianal region was less than ≤ 7 cm,there were neoadjuvant chemotherapy before operation,and the number of patients with Ⅲ-Ⅳ was significantly higher than that in the group with good healing(P<0.05).Logistics regression screen showed that the operation time,preoperative neoadjuvant chemotherapy,the distance between the lower margin of tumor and perianal region and the growth of peripheral tumor were the predictive factors of poor anastomosis healing.According to Logistics regression,the ROC curve was drawn,and the AUC was 0.892(95%CI:0.813~0.945),the sensitivity was 75.81%,and the specificity was 89.47%.Youden index is 0.6528;Using Bootdtrap technology to draw the calibration curve of the model shows that the model has good prediction efficiency.Conclusion Long operation time,preoperative neoadjuvant chemotherapy,the distance between the lower edge of tumor and perianal region<7cm,and the growth of peripheral tumor are the risk factors for postoperative patients with colorectal cancer with poor anastomotic healing.The prediction model can be used to screen people with poor anastomotic healing and has good prediction efficiency.
2.Thinking on PBL teaching for health inspection and quarantine undergraduate
Fei MO ; Zhiyan NIE ; Linjun CHEN ; Lijun YANG ; Fei XU ; Wenjuan FANG ; Hu ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2021;20(9):957-960
This paper discusses from two aspects of case writing and PBL implementation experience. PBL cases should be based on professional requirements and reflect professional characteristics. Health inspection and quarantine cases targeted at application-oriented talent cultivation can be integrated into relevant experimental skills items. At the same time, the forms of case writing are expanded according to the differences of theme forms, which are designed as parallel cases and serial cases, so as to be applicable to the curriculum integration in different areas. In the implementation of PBL teaching, students' learning status is the key to the efficiency of classroom discussion, which determines whether the implementation of PBL is completely autonomous learning or embedded instruction. Teachers should establish cooperative learning atmosphere to improve the efficiency of classroom discussion