1.Current situation of e-cigarettes and its relationship with smoking and smoking cessation among residents aged 18-65 in Beijing
Bo JIANG ; Aijuan MA ; Jin XIE ; Chen XIE ; Xueyu HAN ; Li NIE ; Yingqi WEI ; Kai FANG ; Jing DONG ; Yue ZHAO ; Zhong DONG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):638-645
Objective:To understand the usage situation of e-cigarettes among residents aged 18-65 in Beijing, explore the relationship between e-cigarette use and cigarette smoking as well as smoking cessation behaviors, and provide scientific support for the developing and improving policies and measures related to e-cigarettes.Methods:Using 19 684 residents data from the Beijing Non-communication Chronic Disease and Risk Factors Surveillance in 2022, complex sampling weighted methods were used to estimate proportions, and complex sampling logistic regression analysis was applied to explore the relationship between e-cigarette use, cigarette smoking, and smoking cessation.Results:Among all study participants, the proportion of those who had ever used e-cigarettes was 3.36%, with the current e-cigarette use at 1.26%. The proportion of current e-cigarette users (1.87%) and the former e-cigarette users (3.47%) were higher ( χ2=64.70, P<0.001) among males compared to females (0.60% and 0.64% respectively). The top three reasons for using e-cigarettes were wanting to quit smoking, perceiving e-cigarettes as less harmful, and enjoying the flavors of e-cigarettes. 83.54% of e-cigarette users started with cigarettes. The results of the complex sampling multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that current smoking ( OR=61.35, 95% CI: 36.98-101.76) and former smoking ( OR=31.20, 95% CI: 15.52-62.71) were positively associated with e-cigarette, while current e-cigarette use ( OR=0.13, 95% CI: 0.04-0.39) was negatively associated with quitting cigarette smoking. Conclusions:The proportion of e-cigarette use in Beijing was relatively low. E-cigarette use was associated with cigarette use and was not conducive to smoking cessation. Therefore, stronger regulatory measures and health education campaigns regarding the risks of e-cigarettes should be implemented.
2.Analysis of treatment response and post-discontinuation efficacy maintenance of cyclophosphamide monotherapy in T-cell large granular lymphocytic leukemia
Lele ZHANG ; Linzhu TIAN ; Hong PAN ; Zhen GAO ; Weiwang LI ; Ruonan LI ; Jingyu ZHAO ; Jinbo HUANG ; Xin ZHAO ; Jianping LI ; Neng NIE ; Xiao YU ; Liyun LI ; Zhexiang KUANG ; Liwei FANG ; Jun SHI
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2025;46(7):631-635
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy of cyclophosphamide in patients with T-cell large granular lymphocytic leukemia (T-LGLL) and the maintenance of treatment-free remission (TFR) following drug discontinuation.Methods:Clinical data were collected from 37 patients with T-LGLL who received oral cyclophosphamide at the Regenerative Medicine Clinic of the Institute of Hematology and Blood Diseases Hospital between June 2019 and March 2024. Patient clinical characteristics, treatment efficacy, and long-term TFR were analyzed.Results:The median age of the 37 patients was 60 years (range: 37-86), and 22 (59.5%) were male. Anemia was observed in 30 patients (81.1%), and 28 (75.7%) met the diagnostic criteria for secondary pure red cell aplasia. Neutropenia occurred in 15 patients (40.5%), lymphocytosis in 11 (29.7%), and thrombocytopenia in three (8.1%). Sixteen patients (43.2%) had not received prior immunosuppressive therapy (treatment-naive group), while 21 patients (56.8%) were refractory to or had relapsed after immunosuppressive treatment (refractory/relapsed group). All patients met the treatment criteria and received oral cyclophosphamide at doses of 50-100 mg/day. Among the 36 evaluable patients, hematologic remission was achieved in 25 (69.4%), with a median time of 2.0 months (range: 0.7-7.0). There was no statistically significant difference in remission rates between the treatment-naive and refractory/relapsed groups (68.5% vs. 66.7%, P=0.589). Among the 25 patients who achieved hematologic remission, 24 discontinued cyclophosphamide. With a median follow-up of 39.0 months (range: 8.0-56.0), the median TFR duration was not reached. The estimated TFR rates were (90.87± 6.16) % at 12 months and (75.72±11.04) % at 36 months. No significant difference in TFR was observed between the treatment-naive and refractory/relapsed groups ( P=0.451) . Conclusion:Oral cyclophosphamide is effective in the treatment of T-LGLL, and patients may maintain long-term TFR following drug discontinuation.
3.Current situation of e-cigarettes and its relationship with smoking and smoking cessation among residents aged 18-65 in Beijing
Bo JIANG ; Aijuan MA ; Jin XIE ; Chen XIE ; Xueyu HAN ; Li NIE ; Yingqi WEI ; Kai FANG ; Jing DONG ; Yue ZHAO ; Zhong DONG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):638-645
Objective:To understand the usage situation of e-cigarettes among residents aged 18-65 in Beijing, explore the relationship between e-cigarette use and cigarette smoking as well as smoking cessation behaviors, and provide scientific support for the developing and improving policies and measures related to e-cigarettes.Methods:Using 19 684 residents data from the Beijing Non-communication Chronic Disease and Risk Factors Surveillance in 2022, complex sampling weighted methods were used to estimate proportions, and complex sampling logistic regression analysis was applied to explore the relationship between e-cigarette use, cigarette smoking, and smoking cessation.Results:Among all study participants, the proportion of those who had ever used e-cigarettes was 3.36%, with the current e-cigarette use at 1.26%. The proportion of current e-cigarette users (1.87%) and the former e-cigarette users (3.47%) were higher ( χ2=64.70, P<0.001) among males compared to females (0.60% and 0.64% respectively). The top three reasons for using e-cigarettes were wanting to quit smoking, perceiving e-cigarettes as less harmful, and enjoying the flavors of e-cigarettes. 83.54% of e-cigarette users started with cigarettes. The results of the complex sampling multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that current smoking ( OR=61.35, 95% CI: 36.98-101.76) and former smoking ( OR=31.20, 95% CI: 15.52-62.71) were positively associated with e-cigarette, while current e-cigarette use ( OR=0.13, 95% CI: 0.04-0.39) was negatively associated with quitting cigarette smoking. Conclusions:The proportion of e-cigarette use in Beijing was relatively low. E-cigarette use was associated with cigarette use and was not conducive to smoking cessation. Therefore, stronger regulatory measures and health education campaigns regarding the risks of e-cigarettes should be implemented.
4.Trends in the prevalence and patterns of cardiometabolic multimorbidity in Beijing, 2005—2022
Aijuan MA ; Gang LI ; Jiayu WANG ; Chen XIE ; Bo JIANG ; Li NIE ; Yingqi WEI ; Kai FANG ; Jin XIE ; Zhong DONG ; Jun LYU ; Liming LI
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(7):561-569
Objective:To analyze the prevalence trends and epidemiological characteristics of cardiometabolic multimorbidity(CMM) in Beijing from 2005 to 2022.Methods:A series of representative cross-sectional surveys were conducted in Beijing between 2005 and 2022 using a stratified multistage cluster random sampling method. A total of 110 496 permanent residents aged 18-79 years participated in face-to-face interviews, physical examinations, and laboratory testing. Complex sampling logistic regression models were employed to identify factors associated with CMM, and Joinpoint regression was used to assess temporal trends in prevalence. Results:The prevalence of CMM was 22.3% in 2005 and 24.3% in 2022, with an average annual percent change of 0.1%(95% CI -1.3%-1.3%, P>0.05). In rural areas, the prevalence increased by 1.3% per year(95% CI 0.2%-2.6%, P<0.05), while among obese individuals, it decreased by 1.0% annually( P<0.05). The most common CMM patterns were hypertension combined with dyslipidemia(13.2%), hypertension combined with diabetes(7.0%), and diabetes combined with dyslipidemia(5.8%). The prevalence of hypertension and dyslipidemia comorbidity showed a long-term decline among females, those aged 60-79 and obese individuals( P<0.05). In contrast, the prevalence of hypertension and diabetes comorbidity increased over time in rural residents and individuals with normal body weight( P<0.05). Furthermore, diabetes and dyslipidemia comorbidity rates increased significantly among males, adults aged 18-59 years, those with a college education or above, rural residents and individuals with normal body weight( P<0.05). Multivariable logistic regression indicated that male, older age, overweight, obese, and lower education level were independently associated with a higher risk of CMM( P<0.05). Conclusion:From 2005 to 2022, the prevalence of CMM remained high among adults in Beijing. While prevalence decreased among obese individuals, it increased significantly in rural areas. Hypertension combined with dyslipidemia was the most common multimorbidity pattern throughout the study period.
5.Transcutaneous bilirubin curves in healthy neonates based on multicenter remote monitoring data
Bi ZE ; Xiaoyue DONG ; Jin WANG ; Chuan NIE ; Jiajun ZHU ; Fang GUO ; Falin XU ; Chunhui YANG ; Bizhen SHI ; Zhankui LI ; Xinhua ZHANG ; Jing LI ; Bin YI ; Xiuying TIAN ; Lejia ZHANG ; Jun TANG ; Xinlin HOU ; Jiahua XU ; Guoying HUANG ; Shuping HAN ; Wenhao ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(12):1318-1324
Objective:To establish 30-day of age transcutaneous bilirubin (TcB) reference curves for healthy neonates, and to investigate regional variations in bilirubin dynamics.Methods:A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted. A total of 220 950 healthy neonates born at a gestational age of 35-<42 weeks, with a birth weight ≥2 000 g, who did not receive phototherapy within 60 h after birth were recruited. All of them underwent remote TcB monitoring using the Bilibaby remote jaundice monitoring system between August 1 st, 2020 and December 31 st, 2024 in 426 hospitals. TcB data were collected within the period from birth to 30-day of age. The P40, P75, and P95 of TcB values were calculated, and dynamic TcB curves for 30-day of age were constructed. Patterns of bilirubin change, rates of change, and transition outcomes were described. Regional comparisons between South and North were conducted using linear mixed-effects models for TcB trajectories and Pearson′s chi-square test for outcome differences. Results:A total of 220 950 neonates were included, of whom 101 711 (46.03%) were female. Gestational age at birth was (38.75±1.12) weeks, and birth weight was (3 272±417) g. TcB levels increased rapidly within 3-day of age, peaked at 4-6-day of age, with peak values at P40, P75, and P95 of 200.6, 239.7 and 275.4 μmol/L (11.8, 14.1 and 16.2 mg/dl), respectively. TcB levels gradually declined thereafter and stabilized after 13-day of age, with values at P40, P75, and P95 fluctuating between 147.9-159.8, 190.4-200.6, and 231.2-239.7 μmol/L (8.7-9.4, 11.2-11.8, 13.6-14.1 mg/dl), respectively. Notably, among neonates categorized as low-or low-intermediate-risk within 3-day of age, 6 700 (12.76%) progressed to intermediate-high or high risk between 4 and 30 days of age. Before 13-day of age, TcB levels in the southern regions were consistently higher than those in the northern regions ( P=0.039); from 14 to 30 days of age, the overall TcB levels had no statistically difference, but the temporal changes in TcB still showed regional differences (degrees of freedom=3, all interaction P<0.05). Among neonates classified as low-or low-intermediate risk within 3-day of age, 25 326 were from southern regions, of whom 4 254 (16.80%) progressed to intermediate-high or high risk between 4 and 30 days of age. In northern regions, 27 193 neonates were classified as low-or low-intermediate risk within 3-day of age, among whom 2 446 (8.99%) progressed to intermediate-high or high risk. The risk progression between the 2 regions had statistically difference ( χ2=716.49, P<0.001). Conclusions:A TcB percentile curve for neonates within 30-day of age was established, revealing that both the overall TcB level and its temporal trend were higher in southern than in northern newborns. These findings provide baseline data to support continuous management of neonatal jaundice.
6.Analysis of chloroplast genomes from Salvia miltiorrhiza and its congeneric species
Jindong YANG ; Zhenxi FANG ; Chengyang NIE ; Ruibing CHEN ; Qing LI ; Lei ZHANG
Journal of Pharmaceutical Practice and Service 2025;43(6):275-282
Salvia miltiorrhiza Bunge (Lamiaceae) is a medicinal plant widely used in Traditional Chinese Medicine for treating cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Chloroplasts are double-membrane-bound, chlorophyll-containing organelles and responsible for photosynthesis in plant cells. The structural information of chloroplast genomes serves as the foundation for precise exogenous gene insertion, site selection, and chloroplast genome modification. In this study, a comprehensive analysis and comparison of 125 chloroplast genomes from S. miltiorrhiza and 76 congeneric species were conducted, focusing on sequence characteristics, codon usage bias, simple sequence repeats (SSRs), contraction/expansion of chloroplast genome boundaries, and phylogenetic relationships, which could provide a theoretical foundation for advancing chloroplast genetic engineering, genetic diversity analysis, molecular breeding, and species identification within the Salvia genus.
7.Long-term survival of surgical versus non-surgical treatment for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in patients ≥70 years: A retrospective cohort study
Kexun LI ; Changding LI ; Xin NIE ; Wenwu HE ; Chenghao WANG ; Kangning WANG ; Guangyuan LIU ; Junqiang CHEN ; Zefen XIAO ; Qiang FANG ; Yongtao HAN ; Lin PENG ; Qifeng WANG ; Xuefeng LENG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;32(05):619-625
Objective To compare the long-term survival of elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with surgical versus non-surgical treatment. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of elderly patients aged ≥70 years with ESCC who underwent esophagectomy or radiotherapy/chemotherapy at Sichuan Cancer Hospital from January 2009 to September 2017. Patients were divided into a surgical group (S group) and a non-surgical group (NS group) according to the treatment method. The propensity score matching method was used to match the two groups of patients at a ratio of 1∶1, and the survival of the two groups before and after matching was analyzed. Results A total of 726 elderly patients with ESCC were included, including 552 males and 174 females, with 651 patients aged ≥70-80 years and 75 patients aged ≥80-90 years. There were 515 patients in the S group and 211 patients in the NS group. The median follow-up time was 60.8 months, and the median overall survival of the S group was 41.9 months [95%CI (35.2, 48.5)], while that of the NS group was only 24.0 months [95%CI (19.8, 28.3)]. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates of the S group were 84%, 54%, and 40%, respectively, while those of the NS group were 72%, 40%, and 30%, respectively [HR=0.689, 95%CI (0.559, 0.849), P<0.001]. After matching, 138 patients were included in each group, and there was no statistical difference in the overall survival between the two groups [HR=0.871, 95%CI (0.649, 1.167), P=0.352]. Conclusion Compared with conservative treatment, there is no significant difference in the long-term survival of elderly patients aged ≥70 years who undergo esophagectomy for ESCC. Neoadjuvant therapy combined with surgery is still an important choice to potentially improve the survival of elderly patients with ESCC.
8.Analysis of independent risk factors for poor prognosis after transnasal-intestinal obstruction catheterization under endoscopic ultrasound and construction and verification of nomogram
Chuan WANG ; Haibin SUN ; Junmei LI ; Limin NIE ; Yanwei FANG
China Journal of Endoscopy 2025;31(8):8-17
Objective To explore the independent risk factors influencing the poor prognosis after transnasal-intestinal obstruction catheterization under endoscopic ultrasound,construct a nomogram for predicting poor postoperative prognosis,and conduct external validation of the nomogram.Methods Clinical data of 451 patients with intestinal obstruction who underwent endoscopic ultrasound transnasal-intestinal obstruction catheterization from February 2019 to February 2022 were collected to establish a nomogram.Then,194 sets of data with the same conditions from February 2022 to February 2024 were collected as the external validation group to validate the model externally.The recovery at 30 d after operation was observed and divided into good prognosis group and poor prognosis group.Multivariate Logistic regression model was used to analyze the independent risk factors influencing the poor prognosis after transnasal-intestinal obstruction catheterization under endoscopic ultrasound.Using R 3.6.3 software and the RMS package,a nomogram model for predicting the risk of poor prognosis after intestinal obstruction catheterization under endoscopic ultrasound was constructed..The discrimination and consistency of the model were evaluated using receiver operator characteristic curve(ROC curve)and calibration curve.Results The patients in the poor prognosis group were older than those in the good prognosis group,the levels of C-reactive protein(CRP),procalcitonin(PCT)and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio(NLR)were higher than those in the good prognosis group,the length of hospital stay was longer than that in the good prognosis group,and the proportion of diabetes,abdominal pain and hormone using were higher than those in the good prognosis group,body mass index(BMI),preoperative albumin level and preoperative nutritional support ratio were lower than those of the good prognosis group,with statistical significance(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis(introduction level was 0.05,exclusion level was 0.107)showed that:age≥68 years(OR^=2.631,95%CI:1.927~3.593),BMI<22.31 kg/m2(OR^=2.142,95%CI:1.436~3.195),preoperative albumin<32.47g/L(OR^=1.962,95%CI:1.506~2.556)and preoperative nutritional non-support(OR^=2.814,95%CI:1.401~5.654)were independent risk factors affecting the poor prognosis after endoscopic transnasal-intestinal obstruction catheterization(P<0.05).The column nomogram showed that old age,low BMI,low preoperative albumin,and no preoperative nutritional support all increased their corresponding weights.Internal and external validation results indicated good consistency and discrimination of the model.Conclusion age≥68 years,BMI<22.31 kg/m2,preoperative albumin<32.47 g/L,and no preoperative nutritional support are all independent risk factors affecting the ineffective of intestinal obstruction catheterization under endoscopic ultrasound.The nomogram model established in this study based on these four factors has high reliability and practicality.
9.Analysis of the efficacy of lamb′s tripe extract and vitamin B 12 capsule on chronic atrophic gastritis at different sites
Dongdong XIA ; Huahong XIE ; Bo JIANG ; Hong XU ; Zhanguo NIE ; Chengwei TANG ; Qiang GUO ; Xiaoping ZOU ; Shuisheng SHI ; Tao SUN ; Shourong SHEN ; Guoqing LI ; Xiaozhong GUO ; Xiaoyan ZHAO ; Jiaming QIAN ; Weixing CHEN ; Guiying ZHANG ; Aijun LIAO ; Jingyuan FANG ; Daiming FAN ; Kaichun WU
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2025;45(3):162-168
Objective:To evaluate the efficacy of lamb′s tripe extract and vitamin B 12 capsule (LTEVB 12C) on chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG) at different locations (antrum lesser curvature, antrum greater curvature, gastric angle, corpus lesser curvature, and corpus greater curvature). Methods:From August 2011 to January 2013, 715 patients with CAG in a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial were enrolled from 16 tertiary first-class hospitals across the country, including the First Affiliated Hospital of Air Force Medical University, Nanfang Hospital of Southern Medical University, the First Hospital of Jilin University, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, etc., there were 476 cases in the LTEVB 12C group and 239 cases in the placebo group. The patients of the LTEVB 12C group received LTEVB 12C, and the patients of placebo group received LTEVB 12C mimetic, all the medications were taken 3 capsules each time and 3 times a day after meals, and the treatment course of 2 groups were both 6 months. The efficacy evaluation criteria included the effective rate (a decrease of ≥1 in histopathological score compared with baseline after 6 months of treatment) and the reversal rate (a decrease of ≥ 2 in histopathological score compared with baseline after 6 months of treatment in the patients with moderate to severe CAG). The impact of lesion sites on the therapeutic effects of LTEVB 12C was analyzed by logistic regression analysis. The two-way unordered Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel chi-square test considering the center effect and Pearson chi-square test were used for statistical analysis. Results:The effective rates of chronic inflammation at the antrum greater curvature and corpus greater curvature (23.3%, 110/473 vs. 13.0%, 31/239; 20.3%, 96/472 vs. 12.6%, 30/239), the effective rates of atrophy at the antrum lesser curvature, antrum greater curvature, gastric angle, corpus lesser curvature, and the corpus greater curvature (27.0%, 118/437 vs. 15.7%, 34/216; 29.2%, 126/432 vs. 18.5%, 38/205; 27.8%, 121/435 vs. 16.7%, 36/216; 32.5%, 127/391 vs. 19.8%, 37/187; 33.0%, 119/361 vs. 21.8%, 39/179), and the effective rates of intestinal metaplasia at the antrum lesser curvature, antrum greater curvature, gastric angle, and the corpus lesser curvature (45.0%, 112/249 vs. 29.8%, 31/104; 53.8%, 86/160 vs. 33.9%, 21/62; 45.8%, 103/225 vs. 24.0%, 25/104; 51.9%, 83/160 vs. 28.3%, 17/60) of the LTEVB 12C group were all higher than those of the placebo group, and the differences were statistically significant ( χ2=10.76, 6.39, 9.69, 7.91, 11.05, 9.62, 8.57, 5.20, 7.11, 12.45, and 6.73; all P<0.05). The reversal rates of chronic inflammation at the corpus lesser curvature and corpus greater curvature (5.2%, 12/231 vs. 0, 0/123; 4.7%, 8/170 vs. 0, 0/88), the reversal rates of atrophy at the antrum lesser curvature, antrum greater curvature, corpus lesser curvature, and the corpus greater curvature (6.8%, 22/323 vs. 1.3%, 2/151; 9.2%, 29/315 vs. 1.4%, 2/144; 14.2%, 38/267 vs. 2.5%, 3/121; 20.8%, 35/168 vs. 5.8%, 4/69), and the reversal rates of intestinal metaplasia at the antrum lesser curvature, antrum greater curvature, gastric angle, and the corpus lesser curvature (29.8%, 39/131 vs. 9.1%, 4/44; 41.0%, 32/78 vs. 12.5%, 3/24; 33.3%, 44/132 vs. 4.8%, 3/63; 50.0%, 37/74 vs. 8.7%, 2/23) of the LTEVB 12C group were all higher than those of the placebo group, and the differences were statistically significant ( χ2=6.58, 5.12, 5.60, 8.61, 11.43, 6.59, 7.30, 4.95, 15.92, 7.62; all P<0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in the effective rates and reversal rates of active inflammation at different locations between the LTEVB 12C group and the placebo group (all P>0.05). The results of logistic regression analysis (taking the antrum lesser curvature as the reference) further confirmed that the reversal rates of chronic inflammation ( OR=0.22, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.07 to 0.67; OR=0.24, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.80), atrophy ( OR=0.28, 95% CI: 0.16 to 0.49; OR=0.28, 95% CI: 0.16 to 0.49), and intestinal metaplasia ( OR=0.42, 95% CI: 0.24 to 0.77; OR=0.20, 95% CI: 0.08 to 0.52) at the corpus lesser curvature and corpus greater curvature were all higher than those at the antrum lesser curvature, and the differences were statistically significant (all P<0.05). There were no statistically siginificant differences in the reversal rates of the aforementioned pathological features between the antrum greater curvature, gastric angle, and the antrum lesser curvature (all P>0.05). Conclusion:LTEVB 12C can achieve good efficacy in the treatment of CAG, and the chronic inflammation, atrophy, and intestinal metaplasia at multiple locations are improved, especially at the corpus lesser curvature and the corpus greater curvature.
10.Analysis of independent risk factors for poor prognosis after transnasal-intestinal obstruction catheterization under endoscopic ultrasound and construction and verification of nomogram
Chuan WANG ; Haibin SUN ; Junmei LI ; Limin NIE ; Yanwei FANG
China Journal of Endoscopy 2025;31(8):8-17
Objective To explore the independent risk factors influencing the poor prognosis after transnasal-intestinal obstruction catheterization under endoscopic ultrasound,construct a nomogram for predicting poor postoperative prognosis,and conduct external validation of the nomogram.Methods Clinical data of 451 patients with intestinal obstruction who underwent endoscopic ultrasound transnasal-intestinal obstruction catheterization from February 2019 to February 2022 were collected to establish a nomogram.Then,194 sets of data with the same conditions from February 2022 to February 2024 were collected as the external validation group to validate the model externally.The recovery at 30 d after operation was observed and divided into good prognosis group and poor prognosis group.Multivariate Logistic regression model was used to analyze the independent risk factors influencing the poor prognosis after transnasal-intestinal obstruction catheterization under endoscopic ultrasound.Using R 3.6.3 software and the RMS package,a nomogram model for predicting the risk of poor prognosis after intestinal obstruction catheterization under endoscopic ultrasound was constructed..The discrimination and consistency of the model were evaluated using receiver operator characteristic curve(ROC curve)and calibration curve.Results The patients in the poor prognosis group were older than those in the good prognosis group,the levels of C-reactive protein(CRP),procalcitonin(PCT)and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio(NLR)were higher than those in the good prognosis group,the length of hospital stay was longer than that in the good prognosis group,and the proportion of diabetes,abdominal pain and hormone using were higher than those in the good prognosis group,body mass index(BMI),preoperative albumin level and preoperative nutritional support ratio were lower than those of the good prognosis group,with statistical significance(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis(introduction level was 0.05,exclusion level was 0.107)showed that:age≥68 years(OR^=2.631,95%CI:1.927~3.593),BMI<22.31 kg/m2(OR^=2.142,95%CI:1.436~3.195),preoperative albumin<32.47g/L(OR^=1.962,95%CI:1.506~2.556)and preoperative nutritional non-support(OR^=2.814,95%CI:1.401~5.654)were independent risk factors affecting the poor prognosis after endoscopic transnasal-intestinal obstruction catheterization(P<0.05).The column nomogram showed that old age,low BMI,low preoperative albumin,and no preoperative nutritional support all increased their corresponding weights.Internal and external validation results indicated good consistency and discrimination of the model.Conclusion age≥68 years,BMI<22.31 kg/m2,preoperative albumin<32.47 g/L,and no preoperative nutritional support are all independent risk factors affecting the ineffective of intestinal obstruction catheterization under endoscopic ultrasound.The nomogram model established in this study based on these four factors has high reliability and practicality.

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