Objective: To analyze the burden indicators and trend predictions of eating disorders in Chinese adolescents aged 10-24 years from 1990 to 2019, so as to provide a reference for the prevention and control of eating disorders among adolescents. Methods: According to the latest data of the Global Burden of Disease Study(GBD) 2019 database classified by gender, age group and other indicators, the Joinpoint regression model and bayesian age period cohort model(BAPC) were used to analyze and predict the incidence rate, prevalence and disabilityadjusted life year (DALY) rate of eating disorders among Chinese adolescents aged 10 to 24 years old, and explore the trend of the disease burden of eating disorders in this population in the past three decades. Results: From 1990 to 2019, the overall crude incidence rate of eating disorders among adolescents in China increased from 278.93/105 to 422.27/105, and the crude incidence rate increased from 122.63/105 to 198.80/105, and the crude DALY rate increased from 26.67/105 to 43.50/105. In terms of gender, the standardized incidence rate, standardized prevalence rate and standardized DALY rate of eating disorders of boys and girls all showed an upward trend（boys：AAPC=1.52%，1.84%，1.86%，girls：AAPC=1.28%，1.74%，1.77%，P＜0.05）. The standardized incidence rate, standardized prevalence rate and standardized DALY rate of boys with eating disorders (54.97%, 68.88%, 69.75%) were higher than those of girls (44.26%, 64.48%, 65.56%), and the differences were statistically significant (χ2=201.45, 35.02, 34.55, P<0.05). In terms of age groups, the incidence rate of the 15-19yearold age group (524.10/105) was higher than that of other age groups (10-14yearold age:251.17/105, 20-24yearold age:476.49/105) (χ2=156.87, P<0.05), the prevalence rate of the 20-24yearold age group (278.67/105) and the DALY rate (60.83/105) were higher than those of other age groups (10-14yearold age:81.79/105,18.02/105, 15-19yearold age:221.81/105,48.59/105) (χ2=204.50,197.14, P<0.05). BAPC prediction model showed that in the future, the incidence rate of eating disorders among adolescents in China would still show an upward trend, but the prevalence rate and DALY rate would show a steady downward trend, which might reach 516.43/105, 188.41/105 and 41.23/105 respectively in 2030. Conclusions The burden of eating disorders among adolescents in China continues to increase, with boys and those aged 15-19 years being the key populations for prevention and treatment. All sectors of society should actively take relevant measures and pay attention to the prevention and treatment of adolescent eating disorders.

Objective:Based on the data compilation and analysis of the disease burden of esophageal cancer attributed to alcohol consumption in China over the past three decades(1990-2019),this study aims to explore how to strengthen the formulation and management of public health policies to control the disease burden caused by this disease. Methods:Based on the data from the Global Burden of Disease(GBD)2019 study database,indicators such as mortality rate and disability-adjusted life years(DALYs)were used to assess the disease burden of esophageal cancer attributed to alcohol consumption in China.Joinpoint regression software and the age-period-cohort model were employed to analyze the trends in disease burden and mortality rates over time by age,period,and cohort.Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis was used to predict the mortality rates of esophageal cancer attributed to alcohol consumption in China from 2020 to 2030. Results:From 1990 to 2019,the number of deaths from esophageal cancer attributed to alcohol consumption increased from 33 800 cases to 61 900 cases,while the standardized mortality rate decreased from 3.95 per 100 000 to 3.04 per 100 000.DALYs increased from 934 000 person-years to 1 512 600 person-years,and the DALYs rate decreased from 101.36 per 100 000 to 71.39 per 100 000.In 2019,both the number of deaths and DALYs reached their peak in the age group of 65-69 years with 58 800 deaths and a standardized mortality rate of 6.21 per 100 000 for males,and 3 100 deaths and a standardized mortality rate of 0.31 per 100 000 for females.Both the mortality rates and the DALYs rates increased with age.The Joinpoint regression analysis showed that the average annual percentage change(AAPC)of mortality rates attributed to alcohol consumption-related esophageal cancer was-0.97%[95%confidence interval(CI):-1.2%--0.8%],with an AAPC of-2.32%(95%CI:-2.6%--2.1%)for females and-0.81%(95%CI:-1.0%-0.6%)for males.The age-period-cohort analysis of mortality rates attributed to alcohol consumption-related esophageal cancer showed a net drift of-1.301%(95%CI:-1.577%--1.025%,P＜0.05).It is predicted that the burden of esophageal cancer mortality attributed to alcohol consumption will steadily increase during the period of 2020-2030. Conclusion:Compared to the overall trend of esophageal cancer burden,the burden of esophageal cancer attributed to alcohol consumption is declining at a slower rate.The burden of the disease is higher in the male population than that in females,and higher in the middle-aged and elderly population compared to the younger population.It is expected that in the coming years,the burden of esophageal cancer mortality attributed to alcohol consumption in China will steadily increase,suggesting that while focusing on the intervention for males and the middle-aged and elderly population,relevant departments should also strengthen health education in the entire population,formulate public health policies,and raise awareness of early prevention and risk factors of esophageal cancer among residents.