1.Construction of a machine learning model for identifying clinical high-risk carotid plaques based on radiomics
Xiaohui WANG ; Xiaoshuo LÜ ; ; Zhan LIU ; Yanan ZHEN ; Fan LIN ; Xia ZHENG ; Xiaopeng LIU ; Guang SUN ; Jianyan WEN ; Zhidong YE ; Peng LIU
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2024;31(01):24-34
Objective To construct a radiomics model for identifying clinical high-risk carotid plaques. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients with carotid artery stenosis in China-Japan Friendship Hospital from December 2016 to June 2022. The patients were classified as a clinical high-risk carotid plaque group and a clinical low-risk carotid plaque group according to the occurrence of stroke, transient ischemic attack and other cerebrovascular clinical symptoms within six months. Six machine learning models including eXtreme Gradient Boosting, support vector machine, Gaussian Naive Bayesian, logical regression, K-nearest neighbors and artificial neural network were established. We also constructed a joint predictive model combined with logistic regression analysis of clinical risk factors. Results Finally 652 patients were collected, including 427 males and 225 females, with an average age of 68.2 years. The results showed that the prediction ability of eXtreme Gradient Boosting was the best among the six machine learning models, and the area under the curve (AUC) in validation dataset was 0.751. At the same time, the AUC of eXtreme Gradient Boosting joint prediction model established by clinical data and carotid artery imaging data validation dataset was 0.823. Conclusion Radiomics features combined with clinical feature model can effectively identify clinical high-risk carotid plaques.
2.Wash-out of hepatocellular carcinoma: quantitative region of interest analysis on CT.
Cher Heng TAN ; Choon Hua THNG ; Albert S C LOW ; Veronique K M TAN ; Septian HARTONO ; Tong San KOH ; Brian K P GOH ; Peng Chung CHEOW ; Yu Meng TAN ; Alexander Y F CHUNG ; London L OOI ; Arul EARNEST ; Pierce K H CHOW
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2011;40(6):269-275
<p>INTRODUCTIONThis study aims to determine if the quantitative method of region-of-interest (ROI) analysis of lesion attenuation on CT may be a useful adjunct to the conventional approach of diagnosis by visual assessment in assessing tracer wash-out in hepatocellular carcinomas.p><p>MATERIALS AND METHODSFrom a surgical database of 289 patients from 2 institutions, all patients with complete surgical, pathological and preoperative multiphasic CT scans available for review were selected. For each phase of scanning, HU readings of lesion obtained (Lesion(arterial), Lesion(PV) and Lesion(equilibrium)) were analysed using receiver operating curves (ROC) to determine the optimal method and cut-off value for quantitative assessment of tumour wash-out (Lesion(arterial - equilibrium), Lesion(PV - equilibrium) or Lesion(peak - equilibrium)).p><p>RESULTSNinety-four patients with one lesion each met the inclusion criteria. The area under the curve (AUC) values for Lesion(arterial - equilibrium) (0.941) was higher than the AUC for Lesion(pv - equilibrium) (0.484) and for Lesion(peak - equilibrium) (0.667). Based on ROC analysis, a cut-off of 10HU value for Lesion(arterial - equilibrium) would yield sensitivity and specificity of 91.5% and 80.9%, respectively. ROI analysis detected 9/21 (42.9%) of lesions missed by visual analysis. Combined ROI and visual analysis yields a sensitivity of 82/94 (87.2%) compared to 73/94 (77.7%) for visual analysis alone.p><p>CONCLUSIONUsing a cut-off of 10 HU attenuation difference between the arterial and equilibrium phases is a simple and objective method that can be included as an adjunct to visual assessment to improve sensitivity for determining lesion wash-out on CT.p>
Adult
;
Aged
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular
;
diagnosis
;
pathology
;
surgery
;
Confidence Intervals
;
Databases, Factual
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Liver
;
pathology
;
Liver Neoplasms
;
diagnosis
;
pathology
;
surgery
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Preoperative Period
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ROC Curve
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Retrospective Studies
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Sensitivity and Specificity
;
Tomography, X-Ray Computed
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instrumentation
;
Young Adult
3.Study on the super-antigen genes of group A Streptococcus pyogenes strains isolated from patients with scarlet fever and pharyngeal infection, in Beijing, 2015-2017.
C N MA ; X M PENG ; S S WU ; D T ZHANG ; J C ZHAO ; G L LU ; Y PAN ; S J CUI ; Y M LIU ; W X SHI ; M ZHANG ; Q Y WANG ; P YANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(10):1375-1380
Objective: To analyze the characteristics of super-antigen (SAg) of group A Streptococcus pyogenes (GAS), isolated from patients with scarlet fever or pharyngeal infections in Beijing between 2015-2017. Methods: Throat swab specimens from patients with scarlet fever or pharyngeal infections were collected and tested for GAS. Eleven currently known SAg genes including SpeA, speC, speG, speH, speI, speJ, speK, speL, speM, smeZ and ssa were tested by real-time PCR while M protein genes (emm genes) were amplified and sequenced by PCR. Results: A total of 377 GAS were isolated from 6 801 throat swab specimens, with the positive rate as 5.5%. There were obvious changes noticed among speC, speG, speH and speK in three years. A total of 45 SAg genes profiles were observed, according to the SAgs inclusion. There were significant differences appeared in the frequencies among two of the highest SAg genes profiles between emm1 and emm12 strains (χ(2)=38.196, P<0.001; χ(2)=72.310, P<0.001). There also appeared significant differences in the frequencies of speA, speH, speI and speJ between emm1 and emm12 strains (χ(2)=146.154, P<0.001; χ(2)=52.31, P<0.001; χ(2)=58.43, P<0.001; χ(2)=144.70, P<0.001). Conclusions: Obvious changes were noticed among SAg genes including speC, speG, speH and speK from patients with scarlet fever or pharyngeal infections in Beijing between 2015-2017. SAg genes including speA, speH, speI and speJ appeared to be associated with the emm 1 and emm 12 strains. More kinds of SAg genes profiles were isolated form GAS but with no significant differences seen in the main SAg genes profiles, during the epidemic period.
Antigens, Bacterial/genetics*
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Bacterial Outer Membrane Proteins
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Bacterial Proteins
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Beijing/epidemiology*
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China/epidemiology*
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Exotoxins
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Female
;
Humans
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Membrane Proteins
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Pharyngitis/microbiology*
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Pharynx/microbiology*
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Pregnancy
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Pregnancy Complications, Infectious/microbiology*
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Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction
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Scarlet Fever/microbiology*
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Streptococcal Infections
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Streptococcus pyogenes/isolation & purification*
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Superantigens/genetics*
4.Interpretation of 2024 ESC guidelines for the management of elevated blood pressure and hypertension
Yu CHENG ; Yiheng ZHOU ; Yao LÜ ; ; Dongze LI ; Lidi LIU ; Peng ZHANG ; Rong YANG ; Yu JIA ; Rui ZENG ; Zhi WAN ; Xiaoyang LIAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;32(01):31-40
The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) released the "2024 ESC guidelines for the management of elevated blood pressure and hypertension" on August 30, 2024. This guideline updates the 2018 "Guidelines for the management of arterial hypertension." One notable update is the introduction of the concept of "elevated blood pressure" (120-139/70-89 mm Hg). Additionally, a new systolic blood pressure target range of 120-129 mm Hg has been proposed for most patients receiving antihypertensive treatment. The guideline also includes numerous additions or revisions in areas such as non-pharmacological interventions and device-based treatments for hypertension. This article interprets the guideline's recommendations on definition and classification of elevated blood pressure and hypertension, and cardiovascular disease risk assessment, diagnosing hypertension and investigating underlying causes, preventing and treating elevated blood pressure and hypertension. We provide a comparison interpretation with the 2018 "Guidelines for the management of arterial hypertension" and the "2017 ACC/AHA guideline on the prevention, detection, evaluation, and management of high blood pressure in adults."
5.Robotic hepatectomy: initial experience of a single institution in Singapore.
Juinn Huar KAM ; Brian Kp GOH ; Chung-Yip CHAN ; Jen-San WONG ; Ser-Yee LEE ; Peng-Chung CHEOW ; Alexander Y F CHUNG ; London L P J OOI
Singapore medical journal 2016;57(4):209-214
<p>INTRODUCTIONIn this study, we report our initial experience with robotic hepatectomy.p><p>METHODSConsecutive patients who underwent robotic hepatectomy at Singapore General Hospital, Singapore, from February 2013 to February 2015 were enrolled in this study. The difficulty level of operations was graded using a novel scoring system for laparoscopic hepatectomies.p><p>RESULTSDuring the two-year period, five consecutive robotic hepatectomies were performed (one left lateral sectionectomy, one non-anatomical segment II/III resection, one anatomical segment V resection with cholecystectomy, one extended right posterior sectionectomy and one non-anatomical segment V/VI resection). Two hepatectomies were performed for suspected hepatocellular carcinoma, two for solitary liver metastases and one for a large symptomatic haemangioma. The median age of the patients was 53 (range 38-66) years and the median tumour size was 2.5 (range 2.1-7.3) cm. The median total operation time was 340 (range 155-825) minutes and the median volume of blood loss was 300 (range 50-1,200) mL. There were no open conversions and no mortalities or major morbidities (> Clavien-Dindo Grade II). The difficulty level of the operations was graded as low in one case (Score 2), intermediate in three cases (Score 5, 6 and 6) and high in one case (Score 10). There was one minor morbidity, where the patient experienced Grade A bile leakage, which resolved spontaneously. The median length of postoperative hospital stay was 5 (range 4-7) days.p><p>CONCLUSIONOur initial experience confirmed the feasibility and safety of robotic hepatectomy.p>
Adult
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Aged
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Carcinoma, Hepatocellular
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surgery
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Female
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Follow-Up Studies
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Hepatectomy
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methods
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Humans
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Laparoscopy
;
methods
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Length of Stay
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Liver Neoplasms
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surgery
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Operative Time
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Prospective Studies
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Robotics
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Singapore
6.Current situation and related policies on the implementation and promotion of influenza vaccination, in China.
Z B PENG ; D Y WANG ; J YANG ; P YANG ; Y Y ZHANG ; J CHEN ; T CHEN ; Y M ZHENG ; J D ZHENG ; S Q JIANG ; L L XU ; M KANG ; Y QIN ; M J ZHAO ; Z J LI ; L Z FENG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(8):1045-1050
Influenza can be prevented through annual appropriate vaccination against the virus concerned. In China, influenza vaccine is categorized as "Class Ⅱ" infectious diseases which the cost is paid out of the user's pockets. The annual coverage of influenza vaccination had been 2%-3%. The main reasons for the low coverage would include the following factors: lacking awareness on both the disease and vaccine, poor accessibility of vaccination service, and the cost of vaccination. To reduce the health and economic burden associated with influenza, comprehensive policies should be improved, targeting the coverage of seasonal influenza vaccination. These items would include: ① Different financing reimbursement schemes and mechanisms to improve the aspiration on vaccination and on the vaccine coverage in high-risk groups, as young children, elderly, people with underlying medical conditions; ② to ameliorate equality of vaccination services; ③ to improve knowledge of the health care workers (HCWs) and the public on influenza and related vaccines; ④ to improve clinical and preventive medical practice and vaccination among HCWs through revising clinical guidelines, pathway and consensus of experts; ⑤ to provide more convenient, accessible and normative vaccination service system; ⑥ to strengthen research and development as well as marketing on novel influenza vaccines; ⑦ to revise items regarding the contraindication for influenza vaccine on pregnancy women, stated in the Chinese Pharmacopoeia.
Aged
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Awareness
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Child
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China
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Costs and Cost Analysis
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Female
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Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice
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Health Personnel
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Health Promotion/methods*
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Humans
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Influenza Vaccines/economics*
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Influenza, Human/prevention & control*
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Male
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Pregnancy
;
Vaccination
7.Impact of the 90-90-90 goal and pre-exposure prophylaxis on HIV transmission and elimination in men who have sex with men in China: A mathematical modeling study.
K R WANG ; L P PENG ; J GU ; C HAO ; H C ZOU ; Y T HAO ; J H LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(11):1507-1514
Objective: To establish a dynamic compartmental model to predict the impact of HIV testing and treatment and pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) on the annual incidence of HIV infection in men who have sex with men (MSM) in China from 2018 to 2037. Methods: A dynamic compartmental model was developed to describe the HIV epidemic in MSM in China. The model was parameterized using data from the literature available. We used MATLAB 7.0 software for data simulation and graphics rendering. We analyzed HIV transmission among MSM and estimated the impact of expanded HIV testing and treatment and PrEP on HIV elimination in MSM. Results: Under the current policy, the number of new HIV infections would reach 770 000, the infection rate would reach 11.1% and the incidence rate would reach 0.72/100 person years in MSM in the next 20 years. Under the 90%-90%-90% goal, 440 000 new infections (57.7%) would be reduced, the HIV infection rate would decline to 5.7% and the incidence rate would decline to 0.24/100 person years in the next 20 years, but it is still unlikely to achieve the goal of HIV elimination. With 100% PrEP compliance, the required PrEP coverage rates for achieving HIV elimination in the next 10, 15 and 20 years would be 65%, 32% and 19%, respectively. Conclusion: It is necessary to strengthen the comprehensive intervention in MSM, continue to expand HIV testing and treatment, and improve PrEP adherence and coverage to further control and eliminate the epidemic of HIV/AIDS in MSM.
China
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Goals
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HIV
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HIV Infections/transmission*
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Homosexuality, Male
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Humans
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Male
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Models, Theoretical
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Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis
8.Technical guidelines for seasonal influenza vaccination in China, 2018-2019.
L Z FENG ; Z B PENG ; D Y WANG ; P YANG ; J YANG ; Y Y ZHANG ; J CHEN ; S Q JIANG ; L L XU ; M KANG ; T CHEN ; Y M ZHENG ; J D ZHENG ; Y QIN ; M J ZHAO ; Y Y TAN ; Z J LI ; Z J FENG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(11):1413-1425
Seasonal influenza vaccination is the most effective way to prevent influenza virus infection and its complications. Currently, China has licensed trivalent (IIV3) and quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV4), including split-virus influenza vaccine and subunit vaccine. In most parts of China, influenza vaccine is a category Ⅱ vaccine, which means influenza vaccination is voluntary, and recipients need to pay for it. To strengthen the technical guidance for prevention and control of influenza and the operational research on influenza vaccination in China, the National Immunization Advisory Committee (NIAC), Influenza Vaccine Technical Working Group (TWG), updated the 2014 technical guidelines and compiled the "Technical guidelines for seasonal influenza vaccination in China (2018-2019)" , based on most recent existing scientific evidences. The main updates include: epidemiology and disease burden of influenza, types of influenza vaccines, northern hemisphere influenza vaccination composition for the 2018-2019 season, and, IIV3 and IIV4 vaccines'major immune responses, durability of immunity, immunogenicity, vaccine efficacy, effectiveness, safety, cost-effectiveness and cost-benefit. The recommendations include: Points of Vaccination clinics (PoVs) should provide influenza vaccination to all persons aged 6 months and above who are willing to be vaccinated and do not have contraindications. No preferential recommendation is made for any influenza vaccine product for persons who can accept ≥1 licensed, recommended, and appropriate products. To decrease the risk of severe infections and complications due to influenza virus infection among high risk groups, the recommendations prioritize seasonal influenza vaccination for children aged 6-60 months, adults ≥60 years of age, persons with specific chronic diseases, healthcare workers, the family members and caregivers of infants <6 months of age, and pregnant women or women who plan to pregnant during the influenza season. Children aged 6 months to 8 years old require 2 doses of influenza vaccine administered a minimum of 4 weeks apart during their first season of vaccination for optimal protection. If they were vaccinated in previous influenza season, 1 dose is recommended. People ≥ 9 years old require 1 dose of influenza vaccine. It is recommended that people receive their influenza vaccination by the end of October. Influenza vaccination should be offered as soon as the vaccination is available. Influenza vaccination should continue to be available for those unable to be vaccinated before the end of October during the whole season. Influenza vaccine is also recommended for use in pregnant women during any trimester. These guidelines are intended for CDC members who are working on influenza control and prevention, PoVs members, healthcare workers from the departments of pediatrics, internal medicine, and infectious diseases, and members of maternity and child care institutions at all levels.
Adult
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Child
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Child, Preschool
;
China
;
Female
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Guidelines as Topic
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Humans
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Infant
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Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage*
;
Influenza, Human/prevention & control*
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Pregnancy
;
Seasons
;
Vaccination
9.The Wuhan Twin Birth Cohort Study.
S P YANG ; J Z ZHAO ; H MEI ; A N PENG ; H MEI ; Y F TAN ; D ZHANG ; Y ZHANG ; J X CAO ; R Z LI ; Q ZHOU ; F Q LEI ; F WANG ; N LI ; N LI ; Z H HE ; Y JI ; L M ZENG ; J CUI ; B ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(9):1281-1286
The prevalence of child and adolescent growth and mental-behavior related diseases are increasing, and the pathogenesis are complex. Twins are excellent natural resources for complex chronic diseases research as they share the maternal intrauterine environment, born at the same time and share the same family environment in early years, which could benefit the adjust ment of confounding factors, such as age, genetic factors and early family environmental factors. Birth cohort with twin families involved could be more effective in exploring the genetic and environmental factors for complex chronic diseases at the very beginning of life. This paper summarizes the objective, content, progress, strengths and potential problems of Wuhan Twin Birth Cohort, with emphasis on the overall design and progress of the study.
Adolescent
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Asian People
;
Birth Weight
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Child
;
China
;
Cohort Studies
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Diseases in Twins/genetics*
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Epidemiological Monitoring
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Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Twin Studies as Topic
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Twins