1.Establishment of a nomogram prediction model for the etiological type of large vessel occlusive stroke based on clinical and imaging parameters
Ling LI ; Ruoyao CAO ; Yao LU ; Yun JIANG ; Peng QI ; Guoxuan WANG ; Kezhen YU ; Juan CHEN
International Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2023;31(6):409-417
Objective:To develop a nomogram model based on clinical and imaging parameters to predict the etiological type of acute ischemic stroke (AIS).Methods:Patients with AIS received endovascular treatment in Beijing Hospital from March 2016 to December 2021 were retrospectively included. According to the etiological type, they were divided into large artery atherosclerosis (LAA) and cardioembolism (CE). The clinical and imaging parameters mostly relevant to the etiological type were selected by LASSO regression, and a nomogram model for predicting the etiological type of AIS was established by multifactorial logistic regression to investigate the predictive value of relevant clinical imaging parameters. In addition, the diagnostic efficacy of the prediction model was assessed by receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and clinical decision curves. Results:A total of 136 AIS patients with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion received endovascular treatment were included, including 62 patients with CE (45.6%) and 74 with LAA (54.4%). Variables with P<0.10 in the univariate analysis were included in LASSO regression to screen for relevant variables. The gender, baseline National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, penumbra to ischemic core ratio, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and platelet (PLT) count were included into the multivariate logistic regression model. The results revealed that gender (odds ratio [ OR] 2.632, 95% confidence interval [ CI] 1.048-6.607; P=0.039), baseline NIHSS score ( OR 1.078, 95% CI 1.002-1.160; P=0.043), BNP ( OR 1.004, 95% CI 1.002-1.007. P<0.001), PLT ( OR 0.991, 95% CI 0.982-0.999; P=0.031) as the predictors to distinguish LAA from CE. In addition, the penumbra to infarct core ratio ( OR 0.886, 95% CI 0.785-1.000; P=0.050) also played an important role in predicting the model. The diagnostic efficacy of this predictive model was analyzed by the ROC curves, with an area under the curve of 0.881 (95% CI 0.815-0.930, P<0.001). Bootstrap internal validation showed that the good compliance with a mean absolute error of 0.027 for true versus predicted value compliance. Calibration curves, clinical decision curves, and Hosmer-Lemeshow test ( P=0.562) showed good agreement between the predicted and actual values of the model. Conclusion:Patients with CE are more common in women, have higher NIHSS scores and BNP, and have lower PLT and penumbra to ischemic core ratio. The nomogram model combining the above indicators can better identify LAA and CE, and maybe helpful in clinical decision making.
2.Construction of a comprehensive nutritional index and relationship with quality of life and survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing intensity-modulated radiation therapy
Ping YU ; Jiayuan LI ; Kezhen XIAO
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2023;39(24):1899-1906
Objective:To construct a comprehensive nutritional index after treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients with intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT), and to analyze its relationship with quality of life and 3-year survival period, and aimed to provide some reference for the management of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.Methods:This was a prospective cohort study. The clinical data of 431 nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients who admitted to Beijing Tongren Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University from January 2017 to December 2021 were collected using convenience sampling method. To evaluate the nutritional status of the patients, the BMI, change in body weight, hemoglobin, lymphocyte count, and albumin level and other clinical data of the patients were collected before and after intensity-modulated radiation therapy. The comprehensive nutrition index after IMRT was constructed by principal component analysis. The Chinese version of European Organization for Reasearch and Treatment of Cancer quality of life questionnare-Core 30 (EORTC QLQ-C30) and Quality of life questionnaire head and neck cancer module(QLQ-H&N35) were used to evaluate the patients′ quality of life. The best diagnostic cutoff point for predicting patient death within 3 years using ROC, and based on the determined optimal diagnostic cutoff point, all patients were divided into a low comprehensive nutritional index group and a high comprehensive nutritional index group. And analyzed the Pearson correlation between comprehensive nutritional index and quality of life.Differences in 3-year survival between the two groups were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test.Results:Using the diagnostic threshold of receiver operating characteristic, all patients were divided into low comprehensive nutrition index group ( n=280) and high comprehensive nutrition index group ( n=151).The BMI, percentage of weight change, albumin, hemoglobin, and lymphocyte count of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients before intensity-modulated radiation therapy were (23.14 ± 2.87) kg/m 2, (1.08 ± 0.14)%, (44.02 ± 4.52) g/L, (147.28 ± 15.57)g/L, (1.76 ± 0.56)×10 9/L, and higher than after intensity-modulated radiation therapy (21.14 ± 4.07) kg/m 2, (0.97 ± 0.16)%, ( 38.99 ± 5.12) g/L, (113.87 ± 18.24)g/L, (0.50 ± 0.18)×10 9/L, respectively, the difference were statistically significant ( t values were 8.34 to 44.47, all P<0.05).The comprehensive nutritional index constructed using principal component analysis was correlated with multiple dimensions of EORTC QLQ-C30) and QLQ-H&N35, with statistically significant differences ( r values were -0.169 - 0.245, all P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier curves indicated that the 3-year survival rate of the high comprehensive nutritional index group was higher than that of the low comprehensive nutritional index group, with 87.42% and 79.29% respectively, and the difference was statistically significant ( χ2=4.53, P<0.05). Conclusions:The constructed comprehensive nutritional index could reflect the comprehensive nutritional status of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients. Nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients with a low comprehensive nutritional index score had a worse quality of life and shorter 3-year survival. Active intervention and improvement of malnutrition in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients should be undertaken to improve patient quality of life and improve survival.
3.A nomogram for individualized prediction of the probability of hemorrhagic transformation in patients with acute ischemic stroke after endovascular treatment based on 4-dimensional CT angiography factors
Ling LI ; Fang LIU ; Shun ZHANG ; Kezhen YU ; Yao LU ; Qun GAO ; Hong WANG ; Shen HU ; Juan CHEN
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2022;56(4):364-371
Objective:To assess the value of 4-dimensional CT angiography (4D CTA) to predict hemorrhagic transformation (HT) with a new nomogram model in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients after endovascular treatment (EVT).Methods:Imaging and clinical data of 101 AIS patients with internal carotid artery and/or middle cerebral artery occlusion who underwent "one-stop" CTA-CT perfusion and EVT in green channel of Beijing Hospital from March 2016 to November 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. The patients were divided into HT group (45 patients) and non-HT group (56 patients). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to select relevant clinical and imaging variables, such as age, initial National Institute of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) score, 4D CTA collateral circulation score, Alberta stroke program early CT score (ASPECTS), clot burden score, and a predictive nomogram model were developed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the efficacy of predictive nomogram model for diagnosing HT.Results:Univariate analysis showed that there were significant difference of age[79.00(68.00, 85.00) years, 73.00(62.75, 80.00) years, Z=-2.20, P=0.028], NIHSS score [16.00(12.00, 21.00), 9.50(6.00, 14.00), Z=-4.44, P<0.001], ASPECTS score [5.00(3.00, 8.00), 8.00(7.00, 9.00), Z=-4.23, P<0.001], 4D CTA collateral circulation score [2.00(0, 3.00), 3.00(3.00, 4.00), Z=-5.39, P<0.001], clot burden score [4.00(1.00, 7.00), 7.50(6.00, 9.00), Z=-3.42, P=0.001], location of the occlusion(internal carotid artery/middle cerebral artery occlusion was 23/22, 11/45 cases, χ2=9.70, P=0.002), and atrial fibrillation (27 and 19 cases respectively, χ2=5.83, P=0.016) between HT group and non-HT group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that ASPECTS score (OR=0.64, 95%CI 0.47-0.87), NIHSS score (OR=1.13, 95%CI 1.01-1.26), 4D CTA collateral circulation score (OR=0.40,95%CI 0.22-0.76) were independent predictors of HT in AIS patients ( P<0.05). The AUC of the nomogram based on the ASPECTS score, NIHSS score and 4D CTA collateral circulation score to predict HT of AIS patients was 0.876 (95%CI 0.807-0.945), with a sensitivity of 77.8% and specificity of 87.5%. Conclusions:Patients with low ASPECTS score, high NIHSS score and low 4D CTA collateral circulation score have a higher risk of HT after EVT. The nomogram model may predict the probability of HT of AIS patients and provide effective assistance for clinical decision-making.
4.Possibility of women treated with fertility-sparing surgery for non-epithelial ovarian tumors to safely and successfully become pregnant-a Chinese retrospective cohort study among 148 cases.
Bin YANG ; Yan YU ; Jing CHEN ; Yan ZHANG ; Ye YIN ; Nan YU ; Ge CHEN ; Shifei ZHU ; Haiyan HUANG ; Yongqun YUAN ; Jihui AI ; Xinyu WANG ; Kezhen LI
Frontiers of Medicine 2018;12(5):509-517
This study was performed to evaluate the oncological and reproductive outcomes of childbearing-age women treated with fertility-sparing surgery (FSS) for non-epithelial ovarian tumors in China. One hundred and forty eight non-epithelial ovarian tumor women treated with FSS between January 1, 2000 and August 31, 2015 from two medical centers in China were identified. Progression-free survival (PFS) was 88.5%, whereas overall survival (OS) was 93.9%. Univariate analysis suggested that delivery after treatment is related to PFS (P = 0.023), whereas histology significantly influenced OS. Cox regression analysis suggested that only histology was associated with PFS and OS (P < 0.05). Among the 129 women who completed adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT), none developed amenorrhea. Among the 44 women who desired pregnancy, 35 (79.5%) successfully had 51 gestations including 35 live births without birth defects. Non-epithelial ovarian tumors can achieve fulfilling prognosis after FSS and chemotherapy. Histology might be the only independent prognostic factor for PFS and OS. FSS followed by ACT appeared to have little or no effect on fertility. Meanwhile, postoperative pregnancy did not increase the PFS or OS. Use of gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist was not beneficial for fertility.
Adolescent
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Adult
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Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
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adverse effects
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Child
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China
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Female
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Humans
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Infertility, Female
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etiology
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prevention & control
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Neoplasm Staging
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Organ Sparing Treatments
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Ovarian Neoplasms
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drug therapy
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surgery
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Pregnancy
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Pregnancy Rate
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Prognosis
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Retrospective Studies
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Survival Analysis
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Young Adult