1.Epidemiological characteristics of fatal cases of hand, foot, and mouth disease in children under 5 years old in China, 2008-2018
Jinzhao CUI ; Taoran NIE ; Minrui REN ; Fengfeng LIU ; Yu LI ; Liping WANG ; Jibin TAN ; Zhaorui CHANG ; Zhongjie LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(7):1041-1046
Objective:To understand the epidemiological characteristics and risk factors of fatal cases of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in children under 5 years old in China from 2008 to 2018, and provide evidence for the development of targeted prevention and control measures and reduction of the incidence of fatal HFMD cases.Methods:The incidence data of reported HFMD cases in China during 2008-2018 were collected from the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance Reporting System of China for the analyses on the demographic characteristics, spatial distribution, diagnosis or reporting and pathogen spectrum of the HFMD cases. Then the risk factors causing deaths were analyzed by using logistic regression model.Results:From 2008 to 2018, a total of 3 646 fatal cases of HFMD in children under 5 years old were reported in China. There were more fatal HFMD cases in boys than in girls (1.82∶1), the death mainly occurred in age group 0 to 2 years (87.71%). Adjusted mortality rate of HFMD in children under 5 years old in China declined from 0.87 per 100 000 in 2010 to 0.11 per 100 000 in 2018 (APC=-23.20%). In the 2 523 laboratory-confirmed deaths, 2 323 (92.07%) were EV-A71 infections, but the constituents of CV-A16 and other enterovirus infections increased. The interval from onset to diagnosis M=2( P25-P75:2 -4)d. The interval from onset to death M=3( P25-P75:2 -4)d. Age between 0 and 1 years, EV-A71 infection, longer interval between onset and diagnosis, and living in rural area were the risk factors causing fatal HFMD cases. Conclusions:The number of the fatal cases, the rate of mortality and case fatality HFMD in China had shown downward trends since 2010. EV-A71 is still the main pathogen causing fatal cases, but we should pay more attention to gene pattern of the other enteroviruses except EV-A71 and CV-A16. To reduce the risk of the fatal cases we should strengthen the health education about the immunization of EV-A71 inactivated vaccines and reduce the interval from onset to diagnosis in young children in western provinces and rural areas.
2.The mortality burden of influenza in China: a systematic review
Sa LI ; Sijia LIU ; Aiqin ZHU ; Jinzhao CUI ; Ying QIN ; Jiandong ZHENG ; Luzhao FENG ; Liping WANG ; Zhongjie LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(10):1049-1055
Objective To systematically review the mortality burden study of influenza in mainland China. Method "influenza","flu","H1N1","pandemic","mortality","death","fatality","burden","China" and"Chinese" were used as keywords, and a systematic literature search was conducted to identify articles in three English databases (PubMed, Web of Science and Embase) and three Chinese database (CNKI, WanFang and VIP) during 1990-2018 (excluding Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan). The language of literature was restricted to Chinese and English. The inclusion criteria were human?oriented researches with method based on population, and research indexes included mortality and excess mortality. The exclusion criteria were non?primary research materials, predictive research and research on the burden of avian influenza related deaths. A total of 17 literatures were included, and the basic information to descriptive characteristics, methodology of modeling and the corresponding results were extracted. Results All the 17 studies adopted indirect statistical models, with 14 of which adopted the regression model, and all the research index was excess mortality. All causes (16 studies), respiratory and circulatory diseases (14 studies) and pneumonia and influenza (10 studies) were the main causes of death associated with influenza. Influenza associated mortality burden in the elderly was higher, with the lowest excess mortality rates of all causes, respiratory and circulatory diseases, pneumonia and influenza being 49.57, 30.80 and 0.69 per 100 000 people, and the highest rates being 228.16, 170.20 and 30.35 per 100 000 people, respectively. In the non?elderly, the corresponding lowest rates were-0.27,-0.08 and 0.04 per 100 000 people respectively, and the highest rates were 3.63, 2.6 and 0.91 per 100 000 people, respectively. The influenza?related excess mortality was higher in the north, with a minimum of 7.8 per 100 000 and a maximum of 18.0 per 100 000, and slightly lower in the south, with a minimum of 6.11 per 100 000 and a maximum of 18.7 per 100 000. There were also differences in deaths caused by different influenza virus subtypes, with influenza A(H3N2) and influenza B virus possibly posing a heavier mortality burden. Conclusions Studies on influenza mortality burden is mainly based on indirect model and urban level in China. The mortality burden of influenza in the elderly,the northern and subtype A(H3N2) and B were more severe.
3.The mortality burden of influenza in China: a systematic review
Sa LI ; Sijia LIU ; Aiqin ZHU ; Jinzhao CUI ; Ying QIN ; Jiandong ZHENG ; Luzhao FENG ; Liping WANG ; Zhongjie LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(10):1049-1055
Objective To systematically review the mortality burden study of influenza in mainland China. Method "influenza","flu","H1N1","pandemic","mortality","death","fatality","burden","China" and"Chinese" were used as keywords, and a systematic literature search was conducted to identify articles in three English databases (PubMed, Web of Science and Embase) and three Chinese database (CNKI, WanFang and VIP) during 1990-2018 (excluding Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan). The language of literature was restricted to Chinese and English. The inclusion criteria were human?oriented researches with method based on population, and research indexes included mortality and excess mortality. The exclusion criteria were non?primary research materials, predictive research and research on the burden of avian influenza related deaths. A total of 17 literatures were included, and the basic information to descriptive characteristics, methodology of modeling and the corresponding results were extracted. Results All the 17 studies adopted indirect statistical models, with 14 of which adopted the regression model, and all the research index was excess mortality. All causes (16 studies), respiratory and circulatory diseases (14 studies) and pneumonia and influenza (10 studies) were the main causes of death associated with influenza. Influenza associated mortality burden in the elderly was higher, with the lowest excess mortality rates of all causes, respiratory and circulatory diseases, pneumonia and influenza being 49.57, 30.80 and 0.69 per 100 000 people, and the highest rates being 228.16, 170.20 and 30.35 per 100 000 people, respectively. In the non?elderly, the corresponding lowest rates were-0.27,-0.08 and 0.04 per 100 000 people respectively, and the highest rates were 3.63, 2.6 and 0.91 per 100 000 people, respectively. The influenza?related excess mortality was higher in the north, with a minimum of 7.8 per 100 000 and a maximum of 18.0 per 100 000, and slightly lower in the south, with a minimum of 6.11 per 100 000 and a maximum of 18.7 per 100 000. There were also differences in deaths caused by different influenza virus subtypes, with influenza A(H3N2) and influenza B virus possibly posing a heavier mortality burden. Conclusions Studies on influenza mortality burden is mainly based on indirect model and urban level in China. The mortality burden of influenza in the elderly,the northern and subtype A(H3N2) and B were more severe.
4.Epidemiological characteristics of dengue fever outbreaks in China, 2015-2018
Di MU ; Jinzhao CUI ; Wenwu YIN ; Yu LI ; Qiulan CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(5):685-689
Objective:To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of outbreaks of dengue fever in China from 2015 to 2018, and provide evidence for the prevention and control of dengue fever.Methods:We extracted the incidence data of dengue fever from China Disease Prevention and Control Information System, Public Health Emergency Reporting Management Information System and Vector Biological Monitoring System, and explored the epidemiological characteristics of the outbreaks in the past four years. Excel 2010 software and SPSS 20.0 software were used for data processing and analysis, ArcGIS 10.5 software was used for mapping.Results:A total of 111 outbreaks of dengue fever were reported nationwide from 2015 to 2018, involving 12 490 cases, accounting for 73.7% of the total cases in China. These outbreaks occurred in 85 counties and districts of 4 provinces, namely Guangdong (77 outbreaks), Yunnan (14 outbreaks), Zhejiang (8 outbreaks) and Fujian (8 outbreaks). The outbreaks occurred during May-November. Small-scale outbreaks with no more than 10 cases ended within 30 days (28/34, 82.4%) and larger-scale outbreaks lasted for several months. Dengue virus type 1 and type 2 were the main epidemic pathogens of dengue fever outbreaks in China. The outbreaks mainly occurred in areas with high population density and poor sanitary environment. There were significant differences in the age and occupational composition of the cases in the main outbreak provinces.Conclusions:Outbreaks of dengue fever can been seen in more areas in China, even in high latitudes areas. The epidemiologic characteristics of the outbreaks were different among provinces, showing as port type, rural type and urban type. Each province should adjust the control strategies accordingly.
5.Application of moving epidemic method in establishing epidemic intensity threshold of hand, foot, and mouth disease in southern China
Taoran NIE ; Jinzhao CUI ; Minrui REN ; Fengfeng LIU ; Junling SUN ; Jing ZHANG ; Zhaorui CHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(7):1047-1053
Objective:To evaluate the incidence intensity of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in 2018/2019 season in southern China by Moving Epidemic Method (MEM), and compare the intensity among provinces, so as to provide basis for optimizing the allocation of public health resources.Methods:The weekly incidence data of HFMD of children under 5 years old in 15 provinces of southern China from March 1, 2012 to February 28, 2019 were collected from Disease Surveillance Reporting System of Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, and the epidemic intensity threshold of each province in southern China during this period was calculated and evaluated by MEM.Results:In the first incidence peak of 2018/2019 HFMD season, in 15 provinces in the south China, 6 provinces (Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan and Yunnan) reported very high incidence rates in children under 5 years old while Guangdong, Guangxi and Hainan provinces had low incidence level. In the second incidence peak, the incidences in 6 provinces (Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Chongqing, Sichuan and Yunnan) reached very high levels. The incidences in remaining provinces also reached medium or high levels. In most provinces, the thresholds in the first incidence peak were higher than those in the second incidence peak, but Chongqing and Sichuan were different. The results of model validation showed that the sensitivity and specificity of MEM were higher than 70% except for Hainan, Chongqing and Yunnan.Conclusions:For southern provinces with two incidence peaks in HFMD season, MEM can be used to determine the epidemic intensity thresholds of different incidence peaks by dividing the disease season to analyze the incidence intensity of HFMD in different stages. The epidemic intensity threshold established by MEM integrates the historical data, and the province (city) with extremely high epidemic level identified represents that the province (city) has an abnormal increase compared with the historical incidence level, which requires more attention from all areas and timely implementation of prevention and control measures.
6.Epidemiological characteristics of severe cases of hand, foot, and mouth disease in China, 2008-2018
Minrui REN ; Jinzhao CUI ; Taoran NIE ; Fengfeng LIU ; Junling SUN ; Yewu ZHANG ; Zhaorui CHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(11):1802-1807
Objective:To characterize the epidemiology of severe hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in China from 2008 to 2018 and provide evidence for the prevention and control of severe HFMD.Methods:The incidence data of severe HFMD cases from 2008 to 2018 were collected from the National Notifiable Infectious Diseases Reporting System of Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze distributions, pathogen constituent and change of severe HFMD. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trends of severity rate, proportion of severe cases and severe fatality rate.Results:From 2008 to 2018, a total of 157 065 cases of severe HFMD were reported in China, with an average annual case-severity rate of 1.05/100 000, a severe case proportion of 0.76 % and a severity-fatality rate of 2.34 %. The severity rate and the proportion of severe cases showed a downward trend after 2010, and severe fatality rate decreased significantly after 2014. The severe cases mainly occurred in infants aged ≤3 years (91.47 %), more boys were affected than girls (1.78∶1). The median age of severe HFMD cases caused by EV-A71 was highest (1.99 years) and increased year by year, other enterovirus infection cases accounted for a higher proportion in infants aged ≤1 year (66.56 %). The incidence peak occurred during April-July, other enteroviruses replaced EV-A71 as the predominant serotype in 2018 (61.97 %). The incidence of severe HFMD were high in some provinces in southwestern, central and eastern China. Conclusion:The overall severity rate, proportion of severe cases and severe fatality rate of HFMD in the mainland of China have shown a downward trend. The predominant pathogen in some provinces has changed from EV-A71 to other enteroviruses. It is necessary to strengthen the prevention and control of HFMD in key population, high incidence seasons and areas and carry out the surveillance of various pathogens of HFMD.
7.A systematic review of the economic burden of influenza in China
Aiqin ZHU ; Yaming ZHENG ; Ying QIN ; Sijia LIU ; Jinzhao CUI ; Zhili LI ; Sa LI ; Luzhao FENG ; Zhongjie LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(10):1043-1048
Objectives To understand the status of studies about influenza economic burden in mainland China and summarize their major results. Methods The words of influenza, flu, cost, economic, burden, effectiveness, benefit, utility, China, and Chinese, were used as search keywords. Journal papers published during 2000-2018 were searched from Chinese electronic databases (CNKI and Wanfang) and English electronic databases (PubMed, Web of science, EconLit and Cochrane Library). The language of literature was restricted to Chinese and English. A total of 23 effective documents were included, and the descriptive characteristics, research indexes and methods included in the literature were analyzed. The monetary unit used in this review is Chinese Yuan (CNY). Results The 23 study sites were mainly in the relatively developed and populous regions. The total cost per capita of laboratory?confirmed influenza,of all age?group was reported in 6 literatures, and only 4 literatures reported it in out?patients (range: 768.0-999.9 CNY), Only one study reported this indicator in inpatients (9 832.0 CNY). One literature reported the total cost per capita of influenza?like illness,, which was 205.1 CNY. And one literature reported that the direct medical cost of inpatients per capita in children under 5 years of age was 6 072.0 CNY while two literature reported this index for the elderly over 60 years of age, ranging from 14 250.0 to 19 349.1 CNY. Four articles reported the economic burden of influenza in urban and rural areas, one of which showed that the related expenses of urban influenza inpatients accounted for 31% of the average annual income, while which for the rural flow was 113%. Conclusion The average economic burden of lab?confirmed influenza case is higher than that of influenza?like illness, and there are differences in outpatient indirect expenses and inpatients direct medical expenses. The direct medical burden for the hospitalized 60?years?and?beyond influenza case group is heavier thar other age group. By region, the influenza associated individual economic burden in rural area is higher than that of urban area..
8.A systematic review of the economic burden of influenza in China
Aiqin ZHU ; Yaming ZHENG ; Ying QIN ; Sijia LIU ; Jinzhao CUI ; Zhili LI ; Sa LI ; Luzhao FENG ; Zhongjie LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(10):1043-1048
Objectives To understand the status of studies about influenza economic burden in mainland China and summarize their major results. Methods The words of influenza, flu, cost, economic, burden, effectiveness, benefit, utility, China, and Chinese, were used as search keywords. Journal papers published during 2000-2018 were searched from Chinese electronic databases (CNKI and Wanfang) and English electronic databases (PubMed, Web of science, EconLit and Cochrane Library). The language of literature was restricted to Chinese and English. A total of 23 effective documents were included, and the descriptive characteristics, research indexes and methods included in the literature were analyzed. The monetary unit used in this review is Chinese Yuan (CNY). Results The 23 study sites were mainly in the relatively developed and populous regions. The total cost per capita of laboratory?confirmed influenza,of all age?group was reported in 6 literatures, and only 4 literatures reported it in out?patients (range: 768.0-999.9 CNY), Only one study reported this indicator in inpatients (9 832.0 CNY). One literature reported the total cost per capita of influenza?like illness,, which was 205.1 CNY. And one literature reported that the direct medical cost of inpatients per capita in children under 5 years of age was 6 072.0 CNY while two literature reported this index for the elderly over 60 years of age, ranging from 14 250.0 to 19 349.1 CNY. Four articles reported the economic burden of influenza in urban and rural areas, one of which showed that the related expenses of urban influenza inpatients accounted for 31% of the average annual income, while which for the rural flow was 113%. Conclusion The average economic burden of lab?confirmed influenza case is higher than that of influenza?like illness, and there are differences in outpatient indirect expenses and inpatients direct medical expenses. The direct medical burden for the hospitalized 60?years?and?beyond influenza case group is heavier thar other age group. By region, the influenza associated individual economic burden in rural area is higher than that of urban area..
9. A systematic review of the economic burden of influenza in China
Aiqin ZHU ; Yaming ZHENG ; Ying QIN ; Sijia LIU ; Jinzhao CUI ; Zhili LI ; Sa LI ; Luzhao FENG ; Zhongjie LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(10):1043-1048
Objectives:
To understand the status of studies about influenza economic burden in mainland China and summarize their major results.
Methods:
The words of influenza, flu, cost, economic, burden, effectiveness, benefit, utility, China, and Chinese, were used as search keywords. Journal papers published during 2000-2018 were searched from Chinese electronic databases (CNKI and Wanfang) and English electronic databases (PubMed, Web of science, EconLit and Cochrane Library). The language of literature was restricted to Chinese and English. A total of 23 effective documents were included, and the descriptive characteristics, research indexes and methods included in the literature were analyzed. The monetary unit used in this review is Chinese Yuan (CNY).
Results:
The 23 study sites were mainly in the relatively developed and populous regions. The total cost per capita of laboratory-confirmed influenza,of all age-group was reported in 6 literatures, and only 4 literatures reported it in out-patients (range: 768.0-999.9 CNY), Only one study reported this indicator in inpatients (9 832.0 CNY). One literature reported the total cost per capita of influenza-like illness,, which was 205.1 CNY. And one literature reported that the direct medical cost of inpatients per capita in children under 5 years of age was 6 072.0 CNY while two literature reported this index for the elderly over 60 years of age, ranging from 14 250.0 to 19 349.1 CNY. Four articles reported the economic burden of influenza in urban and rural areas, one of which showed that the related expenses of urban influenza inpatients accounted for 31% of the average annual income, while which for the rural flow was 113%.
Conclusion
The average economic burden of lab-confirmed influenza case is higher than that of influenza-like illness, and there are differences in outpatient indirect expenses and inpatients direct medical expenses. The direct medical burden for the hospitalized 60-years-and-beyond influenza case group is heavier thar other age group. By region, the influenza associated individual economic burden in rural area is higher than that of urban area..
10. The mortality burden of influenza in China: a systematic review
Sa LI ; Sijia LIU ; Aiqin ZHU ; Jinzhao CUI ; Ying QIN ; Jiandong ZHENG ; Luzhao FENG ; Liping WANG ; Zhongjie LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2019;53(10):1049-1055
Objective:
To systematically review the mortality burden study of influenza in mainland China.
Method:
"influenza", "flu", "H1N1", "pandemic", "mortality", "death", "fatality", "burden", "China" and "Chinese" were used as keywords, and a systematic literature search was conducted to identify articles in three English databases (PubMed, Web of Science and Embase) and three Chinese database (CNKI, WanFang and VIP) during 1990-2018 (excluding Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan). The language of literature was restricted to Chinese and English. The inclusion criteria were human-oriented researches with method based on population, and research indexes included mortality and excess mortality. The exclusion criteria were non-primary research materials, predictive research and research on the burden of avian influenza related deaths. A total of 17 literatures were included, and the basic information to descriptive characteristics, methodology of modeling and the corresponding results were extracted.
Results:
All the 17 studies adopted indirect statistical models, with 14 of which adopted the regression model, and all the research index was excess mortality. All causes (16 studies), respiratory and circulatory diseases (14 studies) and pneumonia and influenza (10 studies) were the main causes of death associated with influenza. Influenza associated mortality burden in the elderly was higher, with the lowest excess mortality rates of all causes, respiratory and circulatory diseases, pneumonia and influenza being 49.57, 30.80 and 0.69 per 100 000 people, and the highest rates being 228.16, 170.20 and 30.35 per 100 000 people, respectively. In the non-elderly, the corresponding lowest rates were -0.27, -0.08 and 0.04 per 100 000 people respectively, and the highest rates were 3.63, 2.6 and 0.91 per 100 000 people, respectively. The influenza-related excess mortality was higher in the north, with a minimum of 7.8 per 100 000 and a maximum of 18.0 per 100 000, and slightly lower in the south, with a minimum of 6.11 per 100 000 and a maximum of 18.7 per 100 000. There were also differences in deaths caused by different influenza virus subtypes, with influenza A(H3N2) and influenza B virus possibly posing a heavier mortality burden.
Conclusions
Studies on influenza mortality burden is mainly based on indirect model and urban level in China. The mortality burden of influenza in the elderly, the northern and subtype A(H3N2) and B were more severe.