Objective:To discuss the application of multiple seasonal ARlMA model to data in time series and fit predictive model on workload of inpatient department.Methods:Parameter of model is estimated using conditional least squares method according to the data of workload of inpatient department in a hospital in Chongqing from 2002 to 2005.The structure is determined according to criteria of residual un-correlation and concision.ARIMA predictive model was fitted and the order of model was confirmed through Akaike's Information Criterion and Schwarz Bayesian Criterion.Results:Statistics assisted estimation of the model.The estimation of variance is 0.003 175,AIC=-94.245 1,SBC=-91.252 1.Using analysis of white-noise residual of mode1,fit of rich table show that the best estimated ARIMA model is(1-B)(1-B12)Zt=(1-0.543 02B)(1-B12)at.Conclusion:The model of ARIMA can be used to forecast for workload of inpatient department with high prediction precision of short-term time series.

Objective To investigate the distribution of the vesicular glutamate transporters (VGluTs), VGIuT1 and VGIuT2, in the spinal cord in multiple species, including rat, cat and monkey. Methods An immunohistochemical technique was used in the present study. Results VGluTs were observed in the gray matter of the spinal cord of rat, cat and monkey. VGluTl-immunoreactivity (VGluT1-IR) was most intense in the inner part of lamina Ⅱ(Ⅱi) and the medial parts of laminae Ⅲ-Ⅵ of the spinal dorsal horn; weak in lamina Ⅰ and outer part of lamina Ⅱ(Ⅱo); moderate in other parts in the rat and cat. The laminar distribution of VGluT1-IR in the spinal cord in the monkey is different from those in the rat and cat. The VGluT1-immunopositive product was intense in laminae Ⅰ, Ⅱi, Ⅲ and the medial parts of laminae Ⅳ-Ⅵ of the spinal dorsal horn; weak to absent in lamina Ⅱo and the lateral parts of laminae Ⅳ-Ⅵ of the dorsal horn. In the spinal anterior horn of monkey, the VGluT1-immunoreactive profiles were observed sparsely just in lamina Ⅸ, not in other laminae. At the same time, some scattered immunoreactive profiles were present in the white matter, particularly at the medial parts of the dorsal column in monkey, but not in rat and cat. On the other hand, VGluT2 immunoreactivity (VGluT2-IR) was moderately present throughout the gray matter, it was most dense in laminae Ⅰ-Ⅱ and Ⅹ, and weak in the medial parts of the deep spinal dorsal horn (laminae Ⅲ-Ⅵ) in the three species. The VGluT2-immunopositive product was very sparse in the lateral parts of the deep spinal dorsal horn of the monkey. In the lateral spinal nuclei of the rat, moderate VGluT2-immunopositive product could be seen, but not in the cat and monkey. In three species, both VGluT1- and VGluT2-IR showed a punctuate distribution. Conclusion The present results indicated that VGluT1 and VGluT2 were expressed in the spinal cord in all species examined but differentially distributed in a species-specific manner, and they might play an important role in the activities of the excitatory neurons in the spinal cord of rat, cat and monkey.

AIM: To prepare a nickle-titandrine alloy stent which was coated by tetrandrine from Radir stephaniae Tetrandrae and study its dissolution in vitro. METHODS: Tetradrine velease from the stent was determined by ultra-violet spectrophotometry. RESULTS: The drug releases from the stent with a equation of log(100-Rn)=- 0.0115t + 2.1730 (t=0～168 h),r= 0.9805 ,T 50 = 41.39 h,T d= 53.01 ,Kr= 0.0115 (h 1). CONCLUSION : The drug released from the stent followed first-order model kinetics. The result of tetrandrine release exhibited ideal sustanined release characteristics. The stent was suitable for clinical application.

Objective To explore the effect of maintenance hemodialysis(MHD)patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism on radial artery calcification and arteriovenous fistula( AVF) function.Methods The specimens of radial artery and cephalic vein were collected from the 35 cases of MHD patients at the first time of arteriovenous fistula operation.The specimens were collected again when AVF loss function more than 2 years.Specimens of the arteries were examined histologically for calcification with von Kossa staining.According to the parathyroid hormone levels,the patients were divided into three groups,as mild secondary hyperparathyroidism group (iPTH<300pg/L) of 16 cases,moderate secondary hyperparathyroidism group (iPTH≥300pg/L,<800pg/L) of 7 cases,severe secondary hyperparathyroidism group ( iPTH≥800pg/L) of 12 cases.The pathological results were analyzed.Results The pathological results showed radial artery calcification and calcium salt staining positive significantly increased in the 35 cases of MHD patients[9cases(25.7%)vs 2cases(8.6%)],compared with the first time of arteriovenous fistula operation when AVF loss function (χ2 =5.290,P=0.020).The artery calcification was also located in the layer of medial smooth muscle cells.The radial artery specimens with calcium salt staining positive increased significantly in severe hyperparathyroidism patients group[12cases(25.7%) vs 1case(6.3%)],compared with mild secondary hyperparathyroidism patients(χ2 =5.168,P =0.012).Conclusion Calcification risk of radial artery in AVF is increased in MHD patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism.And hyperparathyroidism may be one cause of AVF failure.

Objective To investigate the concentration of blood uric acid and the prevalence of hyperuricemia in staff of a univer-sity so as to provide scientific basis for prevention and treatment of hyperuricemia.Methods Uric acid(UA)of 4 893 persons were detected by enzymatic method.For male whose UA>428 μmol/L,For female whose UA>357μmol/L were considered as hyperuri-cemia.People enrolled in the study were grouped according to age and analyzed.Results The average UA of males was (357.23± 75.17)μmol/L and was significantly higher than that of females(P <0.05).The average UA concentration and hyperuricemia rati-os in males of 20-<30,30-<40 years old groups were the highest,that of 60 -<70 group was the lowest,the difference was statistically significant(P <0.05).The average UA and hyperuricemia ratios of the male group decreased with age before 70 year old.But The average UA and hyperuricemia ratios of 70-<80 and ≥80 groups were higher than that of the 60-<70 group,the difference was statistically significant(P <0.05).The average UA and of hyperuricemia ratio of the female group increased with age.Conclusion The average UA concentration of males was significantly higher than that of female,in addition to that,hyperuri-cemia patients become younger and younger in male population.

Objective Study on the distribution of auto‐antibodies against platelet in adults and children with primary immune thrombocytopenia(ITP) .Methods Platelet auto‐antibodies were detected in 83 ITP patients and 58 non‐ITP patients by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (PAKAUTO kit) .Anti‐GP Ⅱ b/Ⅲ a ,GP Ⅰ b/Ⅸ and GP Ⅰ a/Ⅱ a auto‐antibodies were analyzed for 46 a‐dults and 37 children with ITP .Results The positive rate of autoantibody was 66 .27% in ITP patients ,which was much higher than that of non‐ITP patients ,the difference was significant(P < 0 .05) .As for ITP patients ,female ITP patients in adult group were 28 ,while in children group were 24 ,the difference was not significant(P > 0 .05) ,but the morbidity of ITP in females was higher than that of males in both of the two groups ,the difference was significant(P< 0 .05) .There was no significant difference on the distribution of platelet auto‐antibodies in adult and children group(P> 0 .05) ,the main of them was resistance against GP Ⅱ b/Ⅲ a and GP Ⅰ b/Ⅸ antibodies .Conclusion The detection of platelet auto‐antibodies could distinguish ITP and non‐ITP patients ,and GP Ⅰ a/Ⅱ a has an important reference value about therapy .

BACKGROUND:Peri-fracture nerve injury can inhibit osteoclast activity and promote early fracture healing. OBJECTIVE:To investigate dynamical y the effects of traumatic brain injury on the bone mineral density, microstructure, biomechanics property and bone metabolism in rat models of fractures. METHODS:Sixty-three male rats were randomly divided into three groups:sham group, simple fracture group and fracture combined with brain injury group. After 3, 6, and 3 months, the animals were sacrificed in batches under anesthesia, and then, the bones and serum specimens were used to detect the bone mineral density, microstructure, biomechanics property, serum cross-linked N-telopeptide of col agen type I and osteocalcin levels. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Compared with the simple fracture group, the fracture combined brain injury group had significantly increased bone mineral density of the proximal tibia, bone volume fraction of the cancel ous bone, trabecular thickness, cross-sectional area of tibial cortical bone and total area of the bone marrow, ultimate load and stress of the tibia, serum cross-linked N-telopeptide of col agen type I and osteocalcin levels at 3 and 6 weeks after modeling (P<0.05), but no differences in the above-mentioned indexes were found among the three groups at 3 months after modeling. These findings indicate that traumatic brain injury can increase the bone mineral density at the fracture site, improve bone microstructure and enhance biomechanical properties, thereby promoting bone healing and bone metabolism at the fracture site.

Objective To investigate gene polymorphism of Kell blood group in different Zhuang population from Guangxi region .Methods The genotypes of Kell blood group of 1025 non‐related individuals in different areas of Guangxi Zhuang popula‐tion were analyzed by PCR‐SSP .Results The Kell antigen in all individuals was homozygous ,the gene frequency of K and Jsa was 0 ,while that of k and Jsb was 1 .000 .Conclusion The distribution characteristic of Kell blood group in Guangxi Zhuang population was monomorphism ,which was similar to other Chinese population reported by literatures .

Objective To investigate the effect of meridian-warming and unblocking acupuncture and moxibustion on the quality of life in patients with osteoporotic vertebral body compression fractures. Method Two hundred and eighty patients meeting the criteria of osteoporotic vertebral body compression fractures were enrolled and randomly allocated to treatment and control groups. The treatment group received meridian-warming and unblocking acupuncture and moxibustion and the control group, complex treatment of Western medicine. The Visual Analogue Scale (0-10 marks) score and the SF-36 score were recorded before and after treatment. The clinical therapeutic effects were evaluated. Result The pain score was decreased, the SF-36 score was increased and the clinical therapeutic effect was improved more in the treatment group than in the control group (P<0.05). Conclusion Meridian-warming and unblocking acupuncture and moxibustion helps to relieve the pain and improve the quality of life in osteoporosis patients.

Objective To discuss effects of anti-inflammatory mechanism of amygdalin on rats with type II collagen-induced arthritis (CIA). Methods Wistar rats were randomized into normal group, model group, amygdalin group, and tripterygium group. Type II CIA rat models were established. From the 15th day after the modeling establishment, each administration group was given corresponding dose of medicine for continuous 28 days. Levels of TNF-αand sICAM-1 were detected by ELISA in serum of rats, and expression of TNF-α was detected by immuno-histochemical method. Results TNF-α positive expression in amygdalin group and tripterygium group was similar and significantly reduced compared with model group. Levels TNF-α and sICAM-1 in amygdalin group and tripterygium group significantly decreased compared with those in model group (P<0.05), without significant difference compared with normal group (P>0.05). Conclusion Amygdalin can inhibit the expression of TNF-α and levels of TNF-α and sICAM-1, in order to treat rheumatoid arthritis.