Objective Constructing a risk prediction model of IgA nephropathy proteinuria treated by traditional Chinese medicine based on random survival forest model,Screening prognostic risk factors of IgA nephropathy proteinuria.Methods Collecting retrospectively clinical data of 129 cases diagnosed with IgA nephropathy,randomly divided them into training set(60%)and test set(40%).The risk prediction model of IgA nephropathy proteinuria was constructed in the training set with the random survival forest model,and the prognostic risk factors were screened by VIMP method.The accuracy of risk prediction model was validated in the test set with time-dependent ROC curve(tdROC).Results According to the result of VIMP,the prognostic risk factors for IgA nephropathy proteinuria are in the order of eGFR,hypertension,traditional Chinese medicine,24 hUPRO>1 g,genomo sclerosis ratio,Lee grading,fat,hyperlipidemia,hypertrophymia,hyparmane ledmia,Anemia,age and gender.The eGFR was negatively and non-linearly associated with the risk rate of developing persistent proteinuria.Glomerulosclerosis ratio greater than 0.3 is approximately linearly and positively associated with the risk rate of persistent proteinuria.Conclusion Random survival forest model has good predictive performance in the risk prediction model of IgA nephropathy proteinuria treated by traditional Chinese medicine.This risk model can determine the result of IgA nephropathy treated by traditional Chinese medicine,and which is helpful for clinical follow-up monitoring and formulation of individualized treatment plans.

ObjectiveTo explore the mechanism of Yishen Huoxue prescription in renal interstitial fibrosis （RIF） from the perspective of endothelial cell and cell energy metabolism. MethodThe model was successfully established by unilateral ureteral obstruction （UUO）. Seventy-five SPF C57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into a model group， a resveratrol group （50 mg·kg^-1·d^-1）， three Yishen Huoxue prescription low， medium， and high-dose groups （7.1， 14.2， 28.4 g·kg^-1·d^-1）， with 15 mice in each group. In addition， another 15 mice were used to prepare sham operation model. Mice in the sham operation group and the model group were gavaged with equal volume of normal saline. All mice were sacrificed on 7， 14， and 21 d after modeling. The protein expression of platelet endothelial cell adhesion molecule 31 （CD31） was detected by immunohistochemical S-P method. The expression of α-smooth muscle actin （α-SMA）， collagen Ⅳ （Col-Ⅳ）， angiopoietin 1（Ang-1） and tyrosine kinase receptors 2 （Tie-2）， vascular endothelial growth factor （VEGF）， vascular endothelial cadherin （VE-cadherin）， and occludin in renal tissues was detected by Western blotting. The mRNA expressions of Ang-1/Tie-2， VEGF， VE-cadherin， and occludin in renal tissues were detected by Real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction（Real-time PCR）， and the levels of reactive oxygen species （ROS） in mice were detected by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay （ELISA）. ResultAs compared with the sham operation group， the expression of CD31 in renal tissues of the model group was significantly decreased and worsened with the extension of modeling time （P<0.05）， α-SAM and Col-Ⅳ protein expression levels were significantly increased （P<0.01）， but the expression of CD31 was stable in 14-21 d. ROS levels were significantly increased （P<0.01）， and the protein and mRNA expressions of Ang-1/Tie-2， VEGF， VE-cadherin， and occludin were significantly down-regulated （P<0.01）. As compared with the model group， the expression of CD31 was increased （P<0.05）， and α-SAM and Col-Ⅳ in the resveratrol group and the medium and high-dose Yishen Huoxue prescription groups were significantly decreased （P<0.01）. The ROS content was significantly decreased （P<0.01）， and the protein and mRNA expressions of Ang-1/Tie-2， VEGF， VE-cadherin， and occludin were up-regulated （P<0.01）， As compared with the resveratrol group， the protein expressions of Ang-1/Tie-2， VEGF， VE-cadherin， and occludin in the medium and low-dose Yishen Huoxue prescription groups were significantly different （P<0.01）. There was no significant difference in the mRNA expressions of CD31 and Ang-1/Tie-2 in the high-dose Yishen Huoxue prescription group， and no significant difference in the ROS level in the medium-dose Yishen Huoxue prescription group. ConclusionThe anti-RIF effect of Yishen Huoxue prescription may be related to promoting vascular endothelial repair， regulating mitochondrial ROS to reduce oxidative stress， protecting the integrity of renal endothelial structure， delaying cell apoptosis， and maintaining cell energy metabolism.