PURPOSE: Septic shock is associated with high mortality and poor outcomes among sepsis patients with coagulopathy. Although traditional statistical methods or machine learning (ML) algorithms have been proposed to predict septic shock, these potential approaches have never been systematically compared. The present work aimed to develop and compare models to predict septic shock among patients with sepsis. METHODS: It is a retrospective cohort study based on 484 patients with sepsis who were admitted to our intensive care units between May 2018 and November 2022. Patients from the 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistical Support Force and Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were respectively allocated to training (n=311) and validation (n=173) sets. All clinical and laboratory data of sepsis patients characterized by comprehensive coagulation indexes were collected. We developed 5 models based on ML algorithms and 1 model based on a traditional statistical method to predict septic shock in the training cohort. The performance of all models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration plots. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefit of the models. The validation set was applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the models. This study also used Shapley additive explanations method to assess variable importance and explain the prediction made by a ML algorithm. RESULTS: Among all patients, 37.2% experienced septic shock. The characteristic curves of the 6 models ranged from 0.833 to 0.962 and 0.630 to 0.744 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model with the best prediction performance was based on the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, which was constructed by age, tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, white blood cells, and platelet counts. The SVM model showed good calibration and discrimination and a greater net benefit in decision curve analysis. CONCLUSION The SVM algorithm may be superior to other ML and traditional statistical algorithms for predicting septic shock. Physicians can better understand the reliability of the predictive model by Shapley additive explanations value analysis.
Humans ; Shock, Septic/blood* ; Machine Learning ; Male ; Female ; Retrospective Studies ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Sepsis/complications* ; ROC Curve ; Cohort Studies ; Adult ; Intensive Care Units ; Algorithms ; Blood Coagulation ; Critical Illness

OBJECTIVE: To screen the genetic risk factors related to severe hematology adverse effects (AEs) in patients with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) treated with imatinib (IM), and explore the correlation of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in IM drug metabolism and transport pathway gene polymorphism with the risk of severe hematology AEs. METHODS: 172 newly diagnosed Chinese Han patients in CML chronic phase (CML-CP) treated with IM were included and divided into severe hematology AEs group and non-severe hematology AEs group. The demographic characteristics and laboratory test results were compared between the two groups. 11 gene SNP sites in the included subjects were genotyped using SNaPshot multiplex SNPs technique. RESULTS: Compared with non-severe hematology AEs group, the severe hematology AEs group had higher white blood cell (WBC) and EOS% (both P < 0.05), but lower hemoglobin (Hb) and hematocrit (HCT) (both P < 0.01). For rs1045642 of ABCB1 gene, there were significant differences in the distribution of allele frequency and genotype frequency of this loci between severe hematology AEs group and non-severe hematology AEs group (both P < 0.05). Carriers of rs1045642 mutation allele A had an increased risk of severe hematology AEs (OR =2.09, 95% CI : 1.24-3.55, P =0.005). There was a significant difference in the distribution of NR1I2 gene rs3814055 genotype between severe hematology AEs group and non-severe hematology AEs group (P < 0.05). The additive model and recessive model of ABCB1 gene rs1045642 and the recessive model of NR1I2 gene rs3814055 were associated with the increased risk of severe hematology AEs (OR =2.14, 3.28, 5.54, all P < 0.05). CONCLUSION Peripheral blood WBC, EOS%, Hb and HCT in patients with newly diagnosed CML-CP are all related to the risk of severe hematology AEs. ABCB1 gene rs1045642 and NR1I2 gene rs3814055 related to the metabolism and transport pathway of IM are associated with severe hematology AEs after IM treatment in CML-CP patients, and they may be potential molecular markers to predict the risk of severe hematology AEs of CML patients treated by IM.
Humans ; Imatinib Mesylate ; Leukemia, Myelogenous, Chronic, BCR-ABL Positive/genetics* ; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide ; Genotype ; ATP Binding Cassette Transporter, Subfamily B ; Gene Frequency ; Female ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Asian People

BACKGROUND: Based on the China-VHD database, this study sought to develop and validate a Valvular Heart Disease- specific Age-adjusted Comorbidity Index (VHD-ACI) for predicting mortality risk in patients with VHD. METHODS & RESULTS: The China-VHD study was a nationwide, multi-centre multi-centre cohort study enrolling 13,917 patients with moderate or severe VHD across 46 medical centres in China between April-June 2018. After excluding cases with missing key variables, 11,459 patients were retained for final analysis. The primary endpoint was 2-year all-cause mortality, with 941 deaths (10.0%) observed during follow-up. The VHD-ACI was derived after identifying 13 independent mortality predictors: cardiomyopathy, myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pulmonary artery hypertension, low body weight, anaemia, hypoalbuminaemia, renal insufficiency, moderate/severe hepatic dysfunction, heart failure, cancer, NYHA functional class and age. The index exhibited good discrimination (AUC, 0.79) and calibration (Brier score, 0.062) in the total cohort, outperforming both EuroSCORE II and ACCI (P < 0.001 for comparison). Internal validation through 100 bootstrap iterations yielded a C statistic of 0.694 (95% CI: 0.665-0.723) for 2-year mortality prediction. VHD-ACI scores, as a continuous variable (VHD-ACI score: adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.263 (1.245-1.282), P < 0.001) or categorized using thresholds determined by the Yoden index (VHD-ACI ≥ 9 vs. < 9, adjusted HR (95% CI): 6.216 (5.378-7.184), P < 0.001), were independently associated with mortality. The prognostic performance remained consistent across all VHD subtypes (aortic stenosis, aortic regurgitation, mitral stenosis, mitral regurgitation, tricuspid valve disease, mixed aortic/mitral valve disease and multiple VHD), and clinical subgroups stratified by therapeutic strategy, LVEF status (preserved vs. reduced), disease severity and etiology. CONCLUSION The VHD-ACI is a simple 13-comorbidity algorithm for the prediction of mortality in VHD patients and providing a simple and rapid tool for risk stratification.

BACKGROUND: The available evidence regarding the benefits of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) on patients receiving dialysis with coronary artery disease (CAD) is limited and inconsistent. This study aimed to evaluate the association between PCI and clinical outcomes as compared with medical therapy alone in patients undergoing dialysis with CAD in China. METHODS: This multicenter, retrospective study was conducted in 30 tertiary medical centers across 12 provinces in China from January 2015 to June 2021 to include patients on dialysis with CAD. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and non-fatal stroke. Secondary outcomes included all-cause death, the individual components of MACE, and Bleeding Academic Research Consortium criteria types 2, 3, or 5 bleeding. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the association between PCI and outcomes. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and propensity score matching (PSM) were performed to account for potential between-group differences. RESULTS: Of the 1146 patients on dialysis with significant CAD, 821 (71.6%) underwent PCI. After a median follow-up of 23.0 months, PCI was associated with a 43.0% significantly lower risk for MACE (33.9% [ n  = 278] vs . 43.7% [ n  = 142]; adjusted hazards ratio 0.57, 95% confidence interval 0.45-0.71), along with a slightly increased risk for bleeding outcomes that did not reach statistical significance (11.1% vs . 8.3%; adjusted hazards ratio 1.31, 95% confidence interval, 0.82-2.11). Furthermore, PCI was associated with a significant reduction in all-cause and cardiovascular mortalities. Subgroup analysis did not modify the association of PCI with patient outcomes. These primary findings were consistent across IPTW, PSM, and competing risk analyses. CONCLUSION This study indicated that PCI in patients on dialysis with CAD was significantly associated with lower MACE and mortality when comparing with those with medical therapy alone, albeit with a slightly increased risk for bleeding events that did not reach statistical significance.
Humans ; Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/methods* ; Male ; Female ; Coronary Artery Disease/drug therapy* ; Retrospective Studies ; Renal Dialysis/methods* ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; China ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Treatment Outcome

Cemental tear is a rare and indetectable condition unless obvious clinical signs present with the involvement of surrounding periodontal and periapical tissues. Due to its clinical manifestations similar to common dental issues, such as vertical root fracture, primary endodontic diseases, and periodontal diseases, as well as the low awareness of cemental tear for clinicians, misdiagnosis often occurs. The critical principle for cemental tear treatment is to remove torn fragments, and overlooking fragments leads to futile therapy, which could deteriorate the conditions of the affected teeth. Therefore, accurate diagnosis and subsequent appropriate interventions are vital for managing cemental tear. Novel diagnostic tools, including cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT), microscopes, and enamel matrix derivatives, have improved early detection and management, enhancing tooth retention. The implementation of standardized diagnostic criteria and treatment protocols, combined with improved clinical awareness among dental professionals, serves to mitigate risks of diagnostic errors and suboptimal therapeutic interventions. This expert consensus reviewed the epidemiology, pathogenesis, potential predisposing factors, clinical manifestations, diagnosis, differential diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of cemental tear, aiming to provide a clinical guideline and facilitate clinicians to have a better understanding of cemental tear.
Humans ; Dental Cementum/injuries* ; Consensus ; Diagnosis, Differential ; Cone-Beam Computed Tomography ; Tooth Fractures/therapy*

Objective:To study the early predictors of refractory septic shock (RSS) in neonates.Methods:From July 2020 to December 2021, clinical data of neonates with septic shock admitted to the Neonatal Department of our hospital were retrospectively reviewed. According to the maximum septic shock score (SSS) during clinical course, the neonates were assigned into RSS group and non-RSS group. Perinatal data, laboratory results and hemodynamic parameters at diagnosis were compared between the two groups. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors of RSS and septic shock-related death. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed to evaluate the early predictors of poor prognosis.Results:A total of 130 neonates were enrolled, including 54 in RSS group and 76 in non-RSS group. Compared with the non-RSS group, the RSS group had significantly lower pH, base excess (BE), stroke volume index (SVI), cardiac output (CO) and cardiac index (CI).Meanwhile, the RSS group had significantly higher mean arterial pressure (MAP) to CI ratio (MAP/CI) and SSS [including bedside SSS (bSSS), computed SSS (cSSS) and modified version of cSSS (mcSSS)] (all P<0.05). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that increased MAP/CI was an independent predictor of RSS. The cut-off value of MAP/CI was 11.6 [sensitivity 62%, specificity 87%, positive predictive value (PPV) 79% and negative predictive value (NPV) 77%], with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.734. Increased mcSSS was an independent predictor of septic shock-related death. The cut-off value of mcSSS was 5.8 (sensitivity 83%, specificity 72%, PPV 21% and NPV 97%), with an AUC of 0.845. Conclusions:Increased MAP/CI (≥11.6) and mcSSS (≥5.8) may be early predictors of RSS and septic shock-related death in neonates.

Objective:This study aims to explore the synergistic effects of DIP and other medical insurance supply-side policies.Method:City A that has piloted DIP reform was set as the treatment group,and City B without reform was set as the control group.A total of 1 120 public medical institution samples from 2019 to 2022 were collected.The total medical expenses during hospitalization and some structural expenses were analyzed using DID method.Result:DIP had a significant inhibitory effect on the medical expenses,and the expenses of checkups and examinations during hospitalization in city A,but had no impact on the drug and the material expenses during hospitalization.Conclusion:DIP played a significant cost control role and effectively controlled the total medical expenses during hospitalization.The synergistic effects of price adjustment of medical services policy and national centralized drug/material procurement policy on cost control were insufficient.DIP synergized with other supply-side policies to promote rational medical cost structure.It is suggested that medical insurance departments should focus on the synergistic effects of medical insurance supply-side policies to jointly improve the efficiency of medical insurance fund utilization.

Objective:This study aims to develop a validated instrument for assessing the degree of integration perceived by patients in the services provided by general practitioner(GP)teams,and to evaluate the current state of integrated medical-prevention services.Methods:The survey tool was initially created through a review of existing literature and semi-structured interviews.It was subsequently refined and enhanced following consultations with experts.The utility of the instrument was confirmed through empirical research,which also facilitated an analysis of the status quo regarding the integration of medical and prevention services.Results:The devised instrument encompasses 18 items distributed across six dimensions:service comprehensiveness,service continuity,depth of service,continuity of relationship,patient-centricity,and service coordination.The cumulative score reflecting patients'perception of the integration level in GP teams'medical-prevention services was 54.30±12.45.Conclusion:The survey instrument developed in this research is characterized by its rationality,novelty,and practical relevance.It offers a patient-centered perspective for assessing the quality of integrated medical and prevention services for primary chronic diseases.While the overall perception of integration among patients is positive,there is a notable deficiency in the depth of services provided.There is a need for optimization of the service process,clarification of the service path,refinement of service management,and development of an integrated incentive mechanism for medical and preventive care,aiming for a deeper integration between medical services and preventive care.

Objective To evaluate the efficacy of Jianpi Yang'er Ointment for children with anorexia of spleen deficiency type in Lingnan area;To analyze its effects on children's intestinal flora and functional information by means of metagenome sequencing.Methods Totolly 144 children with anorexia in Guangzhou Women and Children Medical Center of Guangzhou Medical University from August 2022 to January 2023 were orally treated with Jianpi Yang'er Ointment,one bag per time,twice a day,after meal,for 28 d.Visits were conducted at 0 and 28 days,respectively,to measure height and body mass,record symptoms and signs,observe adverse reactions,collect feces,and fill out the"Clinical Index Scoring Table for Children with Spleen Deficiency Type Anorexia in Lingnan Area".Clinically cured children were included in the anorexia group,with healthy children as a healthy control group(HC group),perform metagenomic analysis on feces of HC group and anorexia group 0 and 28 days of treatment.Results Compared with 0 d of treatment,there was no significant difference in the height of children(P>0.05),while there was a significant difference in body mass(P<0.05),the total syndrome score,main symptom score,and secondary symptom score decreased at 28 d of treatment(P<0.05).The efficacy index was 57.03%,and the total effective rate was 99.31%(143/144).All patients did not experience symptoms such as allergies,vomiting,or diarrhea.7 clinically cured children and 6 healthy children were included in metagenome analysis on feces.PCoA showed that the structure of intestinal flora in anorexia group with 28 d treatment(JP2 group)was more similar to that in HC group at the phylum and genus levels;at the phylum level,there was no significant difference in the distribution of intestinal flora between anorexia group with 0 d treatment(JP1)group and JP2 group and HC group.At the genus level,compared with JP1 group,the abundance of Bacteroides in JP2 group decreased,but the difference was not statistically significant(P>0.05);at the species level,both JP1 and JP2 groups were mainly composed of Phocaeicola plebeius et al.and Bifidobacterium pseudocatenatum et al.The biomarker with significant differences between the two groups was s_Phascolarctobacterium_faecium,while the HC group was mainly composed of Prevotella copri and Bifidobacterium pseudocatenatum.The functional annotation results indicated that a significant change in microbial functional genes related to carbohydrate metabolism occurred after the treatment with Jianpi Yang'er Ointment.Conclusion Jianpi Yang'er Ointment can effectively improve the clinical symptoms of children with spleen deficiency anorexia in Lingnan area,adjust the structure of intestinal flora,increase the content of key probiotics,and regulate the production of intestinal microbiota short-chain fatty acids.