1.Palpitations, Shortness of Breath, Weakness in Limbs, Edema, and Dyspnea: A Rare Inflammatory Myopathy with Positive Aniti-mitochondrial Antibodies and Cardiac Involvement
Chunsu LIANG ; Xuchang ZHANG ; Ning ZHANG ; Lin KANG ; Xiaohong LIU ; Jiaqi YU ; Yingxian LIU ; Lin QIAO ; Yanli YANG ; Xiaoyi ZHAO ; Ruijie ZHAO ; Na NIU ; Xuelian YAN
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(1):248-255
This article presents a case study of a patient who visited the Geriatric Department of Peking Union Medical College Hospital due to "palpitations, shortness of breath for more than 2 years, limb weakness for 6 months, edema, and nocturnal dyspnea for 2 months". The patient exhibited decreased muscle strength in the limbs and involvement of swallowing and respiratory muscles, alongside complications of heart failure and various arrhythmias which were predominantly atrial. Laboratory tests revealed the presence of multiple autoantibodies and notably anti-mitochondrial antibodies. Following a comprehensive multidisciplinary evaluation, the patient was diagnosed with anti-mitochondrial antibody-associated inflammatory myopathy. Treatment involved a combination of glucocorticoids and immunosuppressants, along with resistance exercises for muscle strength and rehabilitation training for lung function, resulting in significant improvement of clinical symptoms. The case underscores the importance of collaborative multidisciplinary approaches in diagnosing and treating rare diseases in elderly patients, where careful consideration of clinical manifestations and subtle abnormal clinical data can lead to effective interventions.
2.Study on the influential factors of blood concentration for duloxetine based on therapeutic drug monitoring
Yang LUN ; Liguang DUAN ; Feiyue AN ; Ran FU ; Jing YU ; Chaoli CHEN ; Mengqiang ZHAO ; Shi SU ; Yang SONG ; Jiaqi WANG ; Yuhang YAN ; Chunhua ZHOU
China Pharmacy 2025;36(6):727-731
OBJECTIVE To explore the main factors influencing the blood concentration of duloxetine, and provide a scientific basis for the individualized use of duloxetine. METHODS Retrospective analysis was conducted on 434 inpatients with depressive disorders at the First Hospital of Hebei Medical University, who were treated with duloxetine and underwent blood concentration monitoring between January 2022 and April 2024. The study examined the impact of various factors, including gender, age, body mass index (BMI), gene phenotypes, combined medication, drug type (original/generic), and genotyping results of gene single nucleotide polymorphism loci, on blood concentration and the concentration-to-dose (C/D) after dose adjustment. RESULTS The blood concentration of duloxetine was 76.65 (45.57, 130.31) ng/mL, and C/D was 0.96 (0.63, 1.60) ng·d/(mL·mg). The blood concentration of duloxetine was positively correlated with the daily dose of administration (R2=0.253 7, P<0.001). Blood concentration of duloxetine in 38.94% of patients exceeded the recommended range specified in the guidelines. Gender, age, BMI, combined use of CYP2D6 enzyme inhibitors, and CYP2D6 and CYP1A2 phenotypes had significant effects on C/D of duloxetine (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS The patient’s age, gender, BMI, combined medication, and genetic phenotypes are closely related to the blood concentration of duloxetine.
3.Evaluation of the performance of the artificial intelligence - enabled snail identification system for recognition of Oncomelania hupensis robertsoni and Tricula
Jihua ZHOU ; Shaowen BAI ; Liang SHI ; Jianfeng ZHANG ; Chunhong DU ; Jing SONG ; Zongya ZHANG ; Jiaqi YAN ; Andong WU ; Yi DONG ; Kun YANG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(1):55-60
Objective To evaluate the performance of the artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled snail identification system for recognition of Oncomelania hupensis robertsoni and Tricula in schistosomiasis-endemic areas of Yunnan Province. Methods Fifty O. hupensis robertsoni and 50 Tricula samples were collected from Yongbei Township, Yongsheng County, Lijiang City, a schistosomiasis-endemic area in Yunnan Province in May 2024. A total of 100 snail sample images were captured with smartphones, including front-view images of 25 O. hupensis robertsoni and 25 Tricula samples (upward shell opening) and back-view images of 25 O. hupensis robertsoni and 25 Tricula samples (downward shell opening). Snail samples were identified as O. hupensis robertsoni or Tricula by schistosomiasis control experts with a deputy senior professional title and above according to image quality and morphological characteristics. A standard dataset for snail image classification was created, and served as a gold standard for recognition of snail samples. A total of 100 snail sample images were recognized with the AI-enabled intelligent snail identification system based on a WeChat mini program in smartphones. Schistosomiasis control professionals were randomly sampled from stations of schistosomisis prevention and control and centers for disease control and prevention in 18 schistosomiasis-endemic counties (districts, cities) of Yunnan Province, for artificial identification of 100 snail sample images. All professionals are assigned to two groups according the median years of snail survey experiences, and the effect of years of snail survey experiences on O. hupensis robertsoni sample image recognition was evaluated. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted, and the sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, Youden’s index and the area under the curve (AUC) of the AI-enabled intelligent snail identification system and artificial identification were calculated for recognition of snail sample images. The snail sample image recognition results of AI-enabled intelligent snail identification system and artificial identification were compared with the gold standard, and the internal consistency of artificial identification results was evaluated with the Cronbach’s coefficient alpha. Results A total of 54 schistosomiasis control professionals were sampled for artificial identification of snail sample image recognition, with a response rate of 100% (54/54), and the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, Youden’s index, and AUC of artificial identification were 90%, 86%, 94%, 0.80 and 0.90 for recognition of snail sample images, respectively. The overall Cronbach’s coefficient alpha of artificial identification was 0.768 for recognition of snail sample images, and the Cronbach’s coefficient alpha was 0.916 for recognition of O. hupensis robertsoni snail sample images and 0.925 for recognition of Tricula snail sample images. The overall accuracy of artificial identification was 90% for recognition of snail sample images, and there was no significant difference in the accuracy of artificial identification for recognition of O. hupensis robertsoni (86%) and Tricula snail sample images (94%) (χ2 = 1.778, P > 0.05). There was no significant difference in the accuracy of artificial identification for recognition of snail sample images with upward (88%) and downward shell openings (92%) (χ2 = 0.444, P > 0.05), and there was a significant difference in the accuracy of artificial identification for recognition of snail sample images between schistosomiasis control professionals with snail survey experiences of 6 years and less (75%) and more than 6 years (90%) (χ2 = 7.792, P < 0.05). The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and AUC of the AI-enabled intelligent snail identification system were 88%, 100%, 76% and 0.88 for recognition of O. hupensis robertsoni snail sample images, and there was no significant difference in the accuracy of recognition of O. hupensis robertsoni snail sample images between the AI-enabled intelligent snail identification system and artificial identification (χ2 = 0.204, P > 0.05). In addition, there was no significant difference in the accuracy of artificial identification for recognition of snail sample images with upward (90%) and downward shell openings (86%) (χ2 = 0.379, P > 0.05), and there was a significant difference in the accuracy of artificial identification for recognition of snail sample images between schistosomiasis control professionals with snail survey experiences of 6 years and less and more than 6 years (χ2 = 5.604, Padjusted < 0.025). Conclusions The accuracy of recognition of snail sample images is comparable between the AI-enabled intelligent snail identification system and artificial identification by schistosomiasis control professionals, and the AI-enabled intelligent snail identification system is feasible for recognition of O. hupensis robertsoni and Tricula in Yunnan Province.
4.Research progress on the impact of non-surgical periodontal therapy on glycemic control in diabetic patients with periodontitis
Journal of Prevention and Treatment for Stomatological Diseases 2025;33(11):997-1009
Periodontitis and diabetes have a close bidirectional relationship that is mutually exacerbated through mechanisms including inflammatory factor interplay and metabolic dysregulation. Research has shown that non-surgical periodontal therapy (NSPT), focused on scaling and root planing (SRP), effectively treats periodontitis, enhances glycemic control, and ameliorates systemic inflammation in diabetic patients. This review summarizes the glycemic improvement effects of diverse NSPT modalities (including SRP alone, SRP with adjunctive antimicrobials, and SRP with laser therapy) on patients with diabetes and periodontitis. SRP significantly reduces hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels, while adjunctive antimicrobials and laser therapy considerably potentiate the glucose-lowering efficacy of SRP. Furthermore, we focus on elucidating the underlying regulatory mechanisms for NSPT-mediated glycemic control improvement, encompassing inflammation factor-mediated JNK/IKKβ pathway activation inducing insulin resistance; advanced glycation end products (AGEs)-triggered RAGE-ROS/NF-κB pathway dysregulation leading to pancreatic β-cell dysfunction; gut microbiota dysbiosis-driven TLR4-MyD88/TRIF signaling axis causing insulin resistance; flagellin from periodontal pathogens impairing insulin secretion; and lipopolysaccharide (LPS) of periodontal pathogens disrupting Th17/Treg balance with downstream STAT3/SOCS3 pathway inhibiting insulin signaling. These insights aim to provide novel references for targeted interventions and synergistic management of diabetes with periodontitis. Although current studies reveal potential benefits and partial mechanisms of NSPT, the following problems remain: unelucidated specific effector molecules and pathway networks for glycemic regulation by different NSPT regimens, significant interindividual variability in treatment response, and undetermined long-term stability of adjunctive therapy benefits. Future research should explore combined therapeutic strategies for synergistic efficacy, mechanistically dissect regulatory pathways, identify key targets, and advance precision management of diabetes-periodontitis comorbidities.
5.Erratum: Author correction to "PRMT6 promotes tumorigenicity and cisplatin response of lung cancer through triggering 6PGD/ENO1 mediated cell metabolism" Acta Pharm Sin B 13 (2023) 157-173.
Mingming SUN ; Leilei LI ; Yujia NIU ; Yingzhi WANG ; Qi YAN ; Fei XIE ; Yaya QIAO ; Jiaqi SONG ; Huanran SUN ; Zhen LI ; Sizhen LAI ; Hongkai CHANG ; Han ZHANG ; Jiyan WANG ; Chenxin YANG ; Huifang ZHAO ; Junzhen TAN ; Yanping LI ; Shuangping LIU ; Bin LU ; Min LIU ; Guangyao KONG ; Yujun ZHAO ; Chunze ZHANG ; Shu-Hai LIN ; Cheng LUO ; Shuai ZHANG ; Changliang SHAN
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(4):2297-2299
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.apsb.2022.05.019.].
6.Methodology for the Development of Clinical Practice Guidelines for Chinese Patent Medicine (Part 8): Quality Evaluation with AGREE Ⅱ and RIGHT
Fuqiang ZHANG ; Ziteng HU ; Yujing ZHANG ; Lijiao YAN ; Juyi WANG ; Cehan ZHANG ; Jiaqi CHEN ; Mengyi WANG ; Shuoming LIU ; Xinyi XIE ; Ning LIANG ; Nannan SHI ; Yanping WANG
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;65(2):185-191
ObjectiveTo evaluate the methodological and reporting quality of clinical practice guidelines for Chinese patent medicine (CPM) with internationally recognized tools the appraisal of guidelines for research and evaluation (AGEREE) Ⅱ and reporting items for practice guidelines in healthcare (RIGHT), thereby providing refe-rence for the clinical application and future development of CPM guidelines. MethodsDatabases including CNKI, VIP, Wanfang and Sinomed were searched for CPM guidelines, as well as medlive.cn, websites of China Association of Chinese Medicine and Chinese Medical Association, and reference lists of the included papers. The quality of the guidelines was evaluated using the AGREE Ⅱand RIGHT tools, and consistency tests were performed using Interclass Correlation Coefficient, and descriptive analysis and chi-square test were used to analyze the reporting rate for each domain and the average score for each item. ResultsFinally, 140 CPM guidelines were included, of which 51 were disease-oriented and 89 were drug-oriented, all of which were issued by China. For 51 disease-oriented CPM guidelines, the highest average score of all six AGREE Ⅱ domains was 73.32% for clarity, and the lowest was 26.80% for application; for 89 drug-oriented CPM guidelines, the highest average score was 55.62% for scope and purpose, and the lowest was 31.32% for rigour of development. In terms of the seven domains of the RIGHT checklist, the highest reporting rate was 68.26% for background, and lowest was 27.45% for other areas regarding the disease-oriented CPM guidelines; the highest reporting rate was 61.31% for background, and the lowest was 4.49% for other areas regarding drug-oriented CPM guidelines. The average reporting rate was higher for disease-oriented than drug-oriented CPM guidelines in three domains of AGREE Ⅱ (rigour of development, clarity of presentation, editorial independence), as well as four domains of RIGHT checklist (basic information, evidence, funding and declaration and management of interests, and other areas). ConclusionThe overall methodology and reporting quality of the current CPM guidelines still need to be improved. It is recommended that future guideline development teams should strictly refer to the AGREE Ⅱ and RIGHT checklist, and take into account of the characteristics of CPM guidelines and relevant methodo-logical suggestions in the development and reporting of CPM guidelines, thereby guiding the clinical use of CPM in a better way.
7.Finite element analysis of three-dimensional frame screws and minimally invasive plate for fixation of Sanders Ⅲ calcaneal fractures
Dewei KONG ; Chao SONG ; Liang WU ; Ming WU ; Lulu GONG ; Jiaqi WANG ; Hongyuan PAN ; Xinbin FAN ; Yan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2024;33(33):5289-5294
BACKGROUND:Satisfactory clinical results have been achieved in the treatment of Sanders Ⅲ calcaneal fractures by percutaneous compression fixation with three-dimensional frame screws.However,whether the stability of minimally invasive plate internal fixation can be achieved in terms of biomechanics,and the advantages and disadvantages after comparison are still unknown. OBJECTIVE:To investigate the fixation effect of different internal fixation devices on Sanders Ⅲ calcaneal fractures by finite element analysis. METHODS:A finite element model of Sanders Ⅲ calcaneal fracture was made based on CT data of a 26-year-old healthy male volunteer.The calcaneal fracture models were fixed by minimally invasive three-dimensional frame screws and minimally invasive Y-plate.The longitudinal loads of 350 and 700 N were applied respectively.The displacement and stress distribution of the two models were analyzed,and the stability of each model was compared. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The peak stress of bone block and implant in the minimally invasive three-dimensional frame screw model was significantly lower than that in the minimally invasive minimally invasive plate model.The average stress of bone block and implant in the three-dimensional frame screw model was also significantly lower than that in the minimally invasive plate model.(2)The maximum displacement of the two models was located at the medial side of the articular surface of the posterior talus,and the maximum displacement of the three-dimensional frame screw model was smaller than that of the minimally invasive plate model.(3)The longitudinal displacement between the anterior fragment and the medial fragment of the minimally invasive plate model was smaller,and the transverse and vertical displacement between the medial fragment and the middle fragment of the three-dimensional group screw model was smaller.(4)It is concluded that both of the two internal fixation models can provide satisfactory fixation effect.The three-dimensional frame screw model can provide better transverse and vertical stability with more uniform stress distribution and smaller comprehensive displacement of bone fragments,while the minimally invasive plate has more advantages in maintaining longitudinal stability.
8.Prognostic value of serum adenosylhomocysteinase in patients with hepatitis E related acute liver failure
Hong YAN ; Ze XIANG ; Jiaqi CHEN ; Chun JIANG ; Shuxiang LI ; Guanghua ZHAI ; Jian WU
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2024;47(8):888-894
Objective:To investigate the prognostic value of serum adenosylhomocysteinase (AHCY) in patients with hepatitis E virus acute liver failure (HEV-ALF).Methods:From 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2022, 100 patients each with HEV-ALF and acute hepatitis E (AHE) from the First Affiliated Hospital of Medical School of Zhejiang University and Affiliated Suzhou Hospital of Nanjing Medical University were included in this case-control study. The HEV-ALF group was 58.56±11.16 years old, including 71 men. The AHE group was 56.04±14.30 years old, including 61 men. All serum samples were obtained before the patient had an acute onset and were obtained without treatment. Firstly, the serum AHCY levels in patients with HEV-ALF and AHE were analyzed by ELISA. Secondly, the serum AHCY levels in HEV-ALF patients with different organ failure and disease condition were compared. According to the number of organ failure, 100 HEV-ALF patients were divided into organ failure number=2 group ( n=58), number=3 group ( n=24) and number>3 groups ( n=18). According to the disease condition, 100 patients were divided into improvement group ( n=49), disease fluctuation group ( n=37), and deterioration group ( n=14). Thirdly, the survival times between the high serum AHCY level group ( n=50) and the low serum AHCY level group ( n=50) were compared. Finally, the independent risk factors to predict mortality using the multivariate Logistic regression analysis, and evaluated the predictive and decision-making abilities of serum AHCY levels were explored using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results:Serum AHCY levels in HEV-ALF patients were significantly higher than those in AHE patients [326.92 (295.37-385.84) pg/ml vs. 222.88 (188.04-246.78) pg/ml, Z=-12.217, P<0.001]. Serum AHCY levels in group 2 were significantly lower than those in group 3 [303.44 (284.40-330.15) pg/ml vs. 335.36 (306.30-385.84) pg/ml, Z=-3.353, P=0.001]. Serum AHCY level in group 3 were significantly lowerthan those in group>3 [335.36 (306.30-385.84) pg/ml vs. 549.89 (423.35-660.22) pg/ml, P<0.001]. The serum AHCY levels in the fluctuation group were lower than those in the deterioration group [322.17 (283.92-423.74) pg/ml vs. 458.26 (374.66, 593.89) pg/ml, Z=-4.016, P=0.009]. The survival time of high serum AHCY level group was significantly lower than that of low serum AHCY level group [23.11 (20.25-25.96) days vs. 29.49 (28.79-30.20) days, Z=-2.596, P<0.001]. The multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the levels of serum AHCY and total bilirubin were independent risk factors to predict mortality in HEV-ALF patients [AHCY, OR (95% CI): 1.008 (1.002-1.015), P=0.008; total bilirubin, OR (95% CI): 1.011 (1.005-1.018), P=0.001]. Serum AHCY level predicting the area under the curve (AUC) of 30-day mortality in HEV-ALF patients was 0.912, with a sensitivity of 90.00% and a specificity of 93.75%. DCA results demonstrated that serum AHCY level had good decision-making power for predicting 30-day mortality in HEV-ALF patients. Conclusion:Serum AHCY has an important prognostic value for HEV-ALF patients. Higher serum AHCY levels indicate the worse prognosis of HEV-ALF patients.
9.The role of DAAO in arsenic exposure induced learning and memory impairment in offspring mice
Xiaoxia JIN ; Jiaqi SUN ; Huan WANG ; Yan WANG
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2024;43(6):440-445
Objective:To investigate the role of D-amino acid oxidase (DAAO) in arsenic exposure induced learning memory impairment in offspring mice.Methods:Eighteen Kunming pregnant mice were randomly divided into a non-treatment group (distilled water, n = 6) and an arsenic exposed group [60 mg/L sodium arsenite (NaAsO 2) in drinking water, n = 12] by randomized numerical table method. From the first day of pregnancy until weaning, the mother mice were exposed to arsenic. After weaning, the offspring mice were exposed to arsenic through free drinking water until the end of the experiment. Six weeks after birth, the offspring mice of the arsenic exposed group were divided into a NaAsO 2 group and a NaAsO 2 + DAAO inhibitor 6-chlorobenzo [d] isoxazol-3-ol (CBIO) group according to the group of mother mice. The offspring mice of non-treatment group as the control group. The offspring mice of the control group and NaAsO 2 group were given intraperitoneal injection of 0.5% sodium carboxymethylcellulose, while the NaAsO 2 + CBIO group was given intraperitoneal injection of 60 mg/kg CBIO for two consecutive weeks. At the end of the intervention, the spatial learning and memory abilities of the offspring mice were measured using a Y-maze experiment. After cardiac perfusion, brain tissue was taken from the offspring mice and the hippocampus was isolated. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to observe the morphology of the hippocampal neurons in the offspring mice. D-serine content was determined by ultra-high performance liquid chromatography tandem triple quadrupole mass spectrometry (UHPLC-MS/MS). The mRNA levels of synaptophysin (SYP), synaptosomal-associated protein 25 (SNAP25), postsynaptic density 95 (PSD95), DAAO, and N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor (NMDAR) subunits NR1, NR2A, NR2B were measured by real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR. Results:There was a statistically significant difference in the offspring mice alternating response rate of the Y-maze experiment among the control, NaAsO 2, and NaAsO 2 + CBIO groups [ (58.06 ± 3.78) %, (48.61 ± 5.75)%, (56.25 ± 6.76)%, F = 4.87, P = 0.023], and the NaAsO 2 group was significantly lower than the control and NaAsO 2 + CBIO groups ( P < 0.05). The HE staining results showed that the control group had a higher number of neuronal cells in the CA1 and CA3 regions of the hippocampal tissue, and they were in good condition. The number of neuronal cells in the NaAsO 2 group decreased, with irregular morphology and unclear cell contours. The NaAsO 2 + CBIO group had a higher number of neuronal cells, improved cell morphology and contour, and reduced tissue damage. There were statistically significant differences in D-serine content and mRNA levels of SYP, SNAP25, PSD95, DAAO, NR1, NR2A, and NR2B in the hippocampus of the offspring mice from the control, NaAsO 2, and NaAsO 2 + CBIO groups ( F = 5.41, 4.41, 10.16, 7.60, 6.98, 5.63, 6.53, 4.33, P = 0.017, 0.031, 0.002, 0.005, 0.007, 0.015, 0.009, 0.033). Among them, the D-serine content and mRNA levels of SYP, SNAP25, PSD95, NR1, and NR2B in the hippocampus of the NaAsO 2 group were significantly lower than those in the control group and NaAsO 2 + CBIO group, the mRNA level of NR2A was significantly lower than that in the control group, and the mRNA level of DAAO was significantly higher than that in the control and NaAsO 2 + CBIO groups ( P < 0.05). Conclusions:Arsenic exposure can induce the learning and memory impairment in offspring mice, reduce D-serine content in the hippocampus, as well as the transcription level of NMDAR subunits and synapse-associated proteins, up-regulate the transcription levels of DAAO; and inhibit DAAO, leading to increased D-serine content, the transcription levels of NMDAR subunits and synapse-associated proteins, improving arsenic exposure induced learning and memory impairment in the offspring mice.
10.Prediction of potential geographic distribution of Oncomelania hupensis in Yunnan Province using random forest and maximum entropy models
Zongya ZHANG ; Chunhong DU ; Yun ZHANG ; Hongqiong WANG ; Jing SONG ; Jihua ZHOU ; Lifang WANG ; Jiayu SUN ; Meifen SHEN ; Chunqiong CHEN ; Hua JIANG ; Jiaqi YAN ; Xiguang FENG ; Wenya WANG ; Peijun QIAN ; Jingbo XUE ; Shizhu LI ; Yi DONG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2024;36(6):562-571
Objective To predict the potential geographic distribution of Oncomelania hupensis in Yunnan Province using random forest (RF) and maximum entropy (MaxEnt) models, so as to provide insights into O. hupensis surveillance and control in Yunnan Province. Methods The O. hupensis snail survey data in Yunnan Province from 2015 to 2016 were collected and converted into O. hupensis snail distribution site data. Data of 22 environmental variables in Yunnan Province were collected, including twelve climate variables (annual potential evapotranspiration, annual mean ground surface temperature, annual precipitation, annual mean air pressure, annual mean relative humidity, annual sunshine duration, annual mean air temperature, annual mean wind speed, ≥ 0 ℃ annual accumulated temperature, ≥ 10 ℃ annual accumulated temperature, aridity and index of moisture), eight geographical variables (normalized difference vegetation index, landform type, land use type, altitude, soil type, soil textureclay content, soil texture-sand content and soil texture-silt content) and two population and economic variables (gross domestic product and population). Variables were screened with Pearson correlation test and variance inflation factor (VIF) test. The RF and MaxEnt models and the ensemble model were created using the biomod2 package of the software R 4.2.1, and the potential distribution of O. hupensis snails after 2016 was predicted in Yunnan Province. The predictive effects of models were evaluated through cross-validation and independent tests, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), true skill statistics (TSS) and Kappa statistics were used for model evaluation. In addition, the importance of environmental variables was analyzed, the contribution of environmental variables output by the models with AUC values of > 0.950 and TSS values of > 0.850 were selected for normalization processing, and the importance percentage of environmental variables was obtained to analyze the importance of environmental variables. Results Data of 148 O. hupensis snail distribution sites and 15 environmental variables were included in training sets of RF and MaxEnt models, and both RF and MaxEnt models had high predictive performance, with both mean AUC values of > 0.900 and all mean TSS values and Kappa values of > 0.800, and significant differences in the AUC (t = 19.862, P < 0.05), TSS (t = 10.140, P < 0.05) and Kappa values (t = 10.237, P < 0.05) between two models. The AUC, TSS and Kappa values of the ensemble model were 0.996, 0.954 and 0.920, respectively. Independent data verification showed that the AUC, TSS and Kappa values of the RF model and the ensemble model were all 1, which still showed high performance in unknown data modeling, and the MaxEnt model showed poor performance, with TSS and Kappa values of 0 for 24%(24/100) of the modeling results. The modeling results of 79 RF models, 38 MaxEnt models and their ensemble models with AUC values of > 0.950 and TSS values of > 0.850 were included in the evaluation of importance of environmental variables. The importance of annual sunshine duration (SSD) was 32.989%, 37.847% and 46.315% in the RF model, the MaxEnt model and their ensemble model, while the importance of annual mean relative humidity (RHU) was 30.947%, 15.921% and 28.121%, respectively. Important environment variables were concentrated in modeling results of the RF model, dispersed in modeling results of the MaxEnt model, and most concentrated in modeling results of the ensemble model. The potential distribution of O. hupensis snails after 2016 was predicted to be relatively concentrated in Yunnan Province by the RF model and relatively large by the MaxEnt model, and the distribution of O. hupensis snails predicted by the ensemble model was mostly the joint distribution of O. hupensis snails predicted by RF and MaxEnt models. Conclusions Both RF and MaxEnt models are effective to predict the potential distribution of O. hupensis snails in Yunnan Province, which facilitates targeted O. hupensis snail control.


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