1. Lag effect and influencing factors of temperature on other infectious diarrhea in Zhejiang province
Haitao WANG ; Zhidong LIU ; Jiahui LAO ; Zhe ZHAO ; Baofa JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(8):960-964
Objective:
To study the lag effect of temperature and the source of heterogeneity on other infectious diarrhea (OID) in Zhejiang province, so as to identify related vulnerable populations at risk.
Methods:
Data on OID and meteorology in Zhejiang province from 2014 to 2016 were collected. A two-stage model was conducted, including: 1) using the distributed lag non-linear model to estimate the city-specific lag effect of temperature on OID, 2) applying the multivariate Meta- analysis to pool the estimated city-specific effect, 3) using the multivariate Meta-regression to explore the sources of heterogeneity.
Results:
There were 301 593 cases of OID in Zhejiang province during the study period. At the provincial level, temperature that corresponding to the lowest risk of OID was 16.7 ℃, and the temperature corresponding to the highest risk was 6.2℃ (