1.Pregnancy probability prediction models based on 5 machine learning algorithms and comparison of their performance
Chao REN ; Huan YANG ; Niya ZHOU ; Qing CHEN ; Wenzheng ZHOU ; Tong WANG ; Xi LING ; Lei SUN ; Peng ZOU ; Zhuoyue LIANG ; Lin AO ; Jinyi LIU ; Jia CAO
Journal of Army Medical University 2025;47(12):1376-1387
Objective To construct 5 machine-learning models and compare their performance in predicting the associations between pre-pregnancy socio-psycho-behavioral exposures of both spouses and preconception outcomes.Methods Based on Chongqing Preconception Reproductive Health and Birth Outcome Cohort of volunteers recruited from Chongqing Health Center for Women and Children during January 2019 and March 2022,5 447 couples were recruited and surveyed through interviewer-interview for the demographic and social-psychological-behavioral data of both spouses(221 variables).According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria,4 097 couples were finally included,and randomly assigned into a training set(n=2 867 spouses)and a validation set(n=1 230 spouses)at a ratio of 7∶3.Feature analysis and collinear screening were applied to select the potential exposure factors.In consideration of difficulty to carry out semen parameters analysis in primary healthcare institutions,feature Set 1 including sperm parameters and feature Set 2 excluding semen parameters were constructed by including or excluding sperm quality simultaneously in the training set and the validation set.Five algorithms,that is,Logistic Regression,Naive Bayes,Random Forest,Gradient Boosting Machine,and Support Vector Machine,were used to construct preconception outcome prediction models,and the parameters of each model were optimized using random search combined with grid search.The predictive performance of each model was compared using precision,recall,F1 score,area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC),and calibration curve.The optimal model was then selected by comparing the changes in the predictive ability of the questionnaire data for fertility outcomes with or without semen parameters.Results There were 24 variables screened out in feature Set 1,and 16 variables in feature Set 2.In feature Set 1,the gradient boosting machine performed better,with a relatively higher AUC value(0.651)and better F1 score(0.61).The logistic regression model performed stably(AUC value=0.647)and was suitable as the reference model.The random forest(AUC value=0.641),Naive Bayes(AUC value=0.641),and support vector machine(AUC value=0.634)performed second-best.By utilizing the gradient boosting machine,comparable results were found between the predictions from feature sets with or without semen parameters,as in feature Set 1,the AUC value of its validation set was 0.651(95%CI:0.629~0.681),the prediction accuracy was 0.63,the recall rate was 0.65,and the average precision value F1 was 0.61;and in feature Set 2,the AUC value of its validation set was 0.649(95%CI:0.624~0.663),and both the calibration curves were close to the ideal curve.The prediction results indicated that in feature Set 1,the features highly negatively correlated with preconception outcomes were female age,male age,and no pregnancy within 1 year without contraception,while the features highly positively correlated with preconception outcomes were female pregnancy history,total sperm vitality,and use of contraceptive measures before enrollment.Conclusion Among the 5 machine-learning algorithms performed in this cohort data,the gradient boosting machine shows slightly better performance.There are 24 factors being associated with preconception outcomes in both spouses,and the performance of the simplified model excluding semen parameters is not significantly declined.It is feasible to use machine-learning methods to predict human preconception outcomes through social-psychological-behavioral questionnaires.
2.Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal clustering analysis of varicella in Lu'an City in 2005 - 2023
Huan ZHANG ; Bingxin MA ; Yafei CHEN ; Yao WANG ; Fan PAN ; Lei ZHANG ; Kai CHENG ; Ling SHAO ; Wei QIN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):58-61
Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal clustering of varicella in Lu'an City from 2005 to 2023, and to provide a scientific basis for optimizing varicella prevention and control strategies. Methods Data on varicella cases were collected through the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention Information System. Descriptive epidemiology, temporal trend analysis, seasonal analysis, spatiotemporal clustering analysis, and spatial autocorrelation analysis were conducted using QGIS, JoinPoint, SaTScan and GeoDa software. Results The average annual reported incidence rate of varicella in Lu'an City from 2005 to 2023 was 34.55/100,000, showing a trend of initial increase followed by a decrease. The peak incidence occurred from October to January of the following year (RR=1.97, LLR=1743.95, P=0.001). Students aged 0 to 19 was the primary affected group. Spatiotemporal scan analysis revealed four types of spatiotemporal clusters, with the cluster in Jin'an District from October 2017 to December 2023 being particularly prominent (RR=2.87,LLR=1734.15,P<0.001). Spatial autocorrelation analysis indicated significant clustering of varicella cases in the main urban area (Moran's I=0.216,Z=4.786,P=0.003). Conclusion The incidence of varicella in Lu'an City exhibits distinct seasonal and spatial clustering, and schools and kindergartens in the main urban area are the key to varicella prevention and control. It is necessary to enhance the monitoring of disease outbreaks during peak periods and in key areas, and to increase the two-dose vaccination rate for varicella in areas with case aggregation and among key populations.
3.Short-term effects of ambient ozone on pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions: a multi-city case-crossover study in China.
Huan WANG ; Huan-Ling ZENG ; Guo-Xing LI ; Shuang ZHOU ; Jin-Lang LYU ; Qin LI ; Guo-Shuang FENG ; Hai-Jun WANG
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;30():75-75
BACKGROUND:
Children's respiratory health demonstrates particular sensitivity to air pollution. Existing evidence investigating the association between short-term ozone (O3) exposure and childhood pneumonia remains insufficient and inconsistent, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).
METHOD:
To provide more reliable and persuasive evidence, we implemented a multi-city, time-stratified case-crossover design with a large sample size, using data from seven representative children's hospitals across major geographical regions in China. To avoid the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, individual-level medical records of inpatient children under 6 years of age diagnosed with pneumonia during 2016-2019 were collected. Conditional logistic regression models were fitted for each city, and city-specific estimates were pooled through a meta-analysis using a random-effects model.
RESULTS:
In total, the study included 137,470 pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions. The highest pooled estimate for O3 occurred at lag0-1, with a 10 µg/m3 increase in O3 associated with a 1.57% (95% CI: 0.67%-2.48%) higher risk of pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions. Stratified analyses indicated that the effects of O3 were robust across different sexes, age groups, and admission seasons. We also observed a statistically significant increase in risk associated with O3 concentrations exceeding the World Health Organization Air Quality Guidelines (WHO-AQGs).
CONCLUSIONS
This study revealed a significant positive association between O3 and pediatric pneumonia hospital admissions. Our findings substantially strengthen the evidence base for the adverse health impacts of O3, underscoring the importance of O3 pollution control and management in reducing the public health burden of pediatric pneumonia.
Humans
;
Ozone/analysis*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Pneumonia/chemically induced*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Male
;
Female
;
Infant
;
Cross-Over Studies
;
Air Pollutants/analysis*
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Child
;
Cities/epidemiology*
;
Air Pollution/adverse effects*
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Environmental Exposure/adverse effects*
4.Effectiveness of Xuanshen Yishen Decoction on Intensive Blood Pressure Control: Emulation of a Randomized Target Trial Using Real-World Data.
Xiao-Jie WANG ; Yuan-Long HU ; Jia-Ming HUAN ; Shi-Bing LIANG ; Lai-Yun XIN ; Feng JIANG ; Zhen HUA ; Zhen-Yuan WANG ; Ling-Hui KONG ; Qi-Biao WU ; Yun-Lun LI
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(8):677-684
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the effectiveness of Xuanshen Yishen Decoction (XYD) in the treatment of hypertension.
METHODS:
Hospital electronic medical records from 2019-2023 were utilized to emulate a randomized pragmatic clinical trial. Hypertensive participants were eligible if they were aged ⩾40 years with baseline systolic blood pressure (BP) ⩾140 mm Hg. Patients treated with XYD plus antihypertensive regimen were assigned to the treatment group, whereas those who followed only antihypertensive regimen were assigned to the control group. The primary outcome assessed was the attainment rate of intensive BP control at discharge, with the secondary outcome focusing on the 6-month all-cause readmission rate.
RESULTS:
The study included 3,302 patients, comprising 2,943 individuals in the control group and 359 in the treatment group. Compared with the control group, a higher proportion in the treatment group achieved the target BP for intensive BP control [8.09% vs. 17.5%; odds ratio (OR)=2.29, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.68 to 3.13; P<0.001], particularly in individuals with high homocysteine levels (OR=3.13; 95% CI=1.72 to 5.71; P<0.001; P for interaction=0.041). Furthermore, the 6-month all-cause readmission rate in the treatment group was lower than in the control group (hazard ratio=0.58; 95% CI=0.36 to 0.91; P=0.019), and the robustness of the results was confirmed by sensitivity analyse.
CONCLUSIONS
XYD could be a complementary therapy for intensive BP control. Our study offers real-world evidence and guides the choice of complementary and alternative therapies. (Registration No. ChiCTR2400086589).
Adult
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Aged
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Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Antihypertensive Agents/pharmacology*
;
Blood Pressure/drug effects*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/pharmacology*
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Hypertension/physiopathology*
;
Patient Readmission
;
Treatment Outcome
5.Pathogenesis and treatment strategies for infectious keratitis: Exploring antibiotics, antimicrobial peptides, nanotechnology, and emerging therapies.
Man YU ; Ling LI ; Yijun LIU ; Ting WANG ; Huan LI ; Chen SHI ; Xiaoxin GUO ; Weijia WU ; Chengzi GAN ; Mingze LI ; Jiaxu HONG ; Kai DONG ; Bo GONG
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(9):101250-101250
Infectious keratitis (IK) is a leading cause of blindness worldwide, primarily resulting from improper contact lens use, trauma, and a compromised immune response. The pathogenic microorganisms responsible for IK include bacteria, fungi, viruses, and Acanthamoeba. This review examines standard therapeutic agents for treating IK, including broad-spectrum empiric antibiotics for bacterial keratitis (BK), antifungals such as voriconazole and natamycin for fungal infections, and antiviral nucleoside analogues for viral keratitis (VK). Additionally, this review discusses therapeutic agents, such as polyhexamethylene biguanide (PHMB), for the treatment of Acanthamoeba keratitis (AK). The review also addresses emerging drugs and the challenges associated with their clinical application, including anti-biofilm agents that combat drug resistance and nuclear factor kappa-B (NF-κB) pathway-targeted therapies to mitigate inflammation. Furthermore, methods of Photodynamic Antimicrobial Therapy (PDAT) are explored. This review underscores the importance of integrating novel and traditional therapies to tackle drug resistance and enhance drug delivery, with the goal of advancing treatment strategies for IK.
6.Palatability evaluation of oral iron for children based on in vivo and in vitro evaluation techniques
Dong MEI ; Long-tai YOU ; Huan ZHANG ; Xiao-ling WANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2024;59(6):1847-1853
Oral iron is a commonly used preparation for the treatment of iron deficiency and iron-deficiency anemia in children, but its undesirable taste has become a major factor affecting clinical adherence to the medication. No studies have been conducted to evaluate the palatability of oral iron supplements. Thirteen representative oral iron supplements were selected to evaluate the palatability of oral iron supplements from different perspectives of
7.The Regulatory Function of ADAR1-mediated RNA Editing in Hematological Malignancies
Xing-Yu WAN ; Huan-Ping GUO ; Rui-Hao HUANG ; Xiao-Qi WANG ; Ling-Yu ZENG ; Tao WU ; Lin XIA ; Xi ZHANG
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2024;51(2):300-308
RNA editing, an essential post-transcriptional reaction occurring in double-stranded RNA (dsRNA), generates informational diversity in the transcriptome and proteome. In mammals, the main type of RNA editing is the conversion of adenosine to inosine (A-to-I), processed by adenosine deaminases acting on the RNAs (ADARs) family, and interpreted as guanosine during nucleotide base-pairing. It has been reported that millions of nucleotide sites in human transcriptome undergo A-to-I editing events, catalyzed by the primarily responsible enzyme, ADAR1. In hematological malignancies including myeloid/lymphocytic leukemia and multiple myeloma, dysregulation of ADAR1 directly impacts the A-to-I editing states occurring in coding regions, non-coding regions, and immature miRNA precursors. Subsequently, aberrant A-to-I editing states result in altered molecular events, such as protein-coding sequence changes, intron retention, alternative splicing, and miRNA biogenesis inhibition. As a vital factor of the generation and stemness maintenance in leukemia stem cells (LSCs), disordered RNA editing drives the chaos of molecular regulatory network and ultimately promotes the cell proliferation, apoptosis inhibition and drug resistance. At present, novel drugs designed to target RNA editing(e.g., rebecsinib) are under development and have achieved outstanding results in animal experiments. Compared with traditional antitumor drugs, epigenetic antitumor drugs are expected to overcome the shackle of drug resistance and recurrence in hematological malignancies, and provide new treatment options for patients. This review summarized the recent advances in the regulation mechanism of ADAR1-mediated RNA editing events in hematologic malignancies, and further discussed the medical potential and clinical application of ADAR1.
8.Effects of chronic psychological stress on testicular cell senescence in rats and role of glucocorticoid receptor in the process
Binwei YANG ; Lei SUN ; Xi LING ; Qing CHEN ; Tong WANG ; Huan YANG ; Jinyi LIU ; Jia CAO ; Lin AO ; Peng ZOU
Journal of Army Medical University 2024;46(24):2698-2706
Objective To investigate the effect of chronic psychological stress on testicular cell senescence in rats and the role of glucocorticoid receptor(GR)in the process.Methods Thirty-two male SD rats(4~6 weeks old,weighing 120~140 g)were randomly assigned into dimethyl sulfoxide(DMSO)group,mifepristone(RU486)group,chronic unpredictable mild stress(CUMS)group,and CUMS+RU486 group.DMSO of 0.5 ml/(kg·d)was injected subcutaneously into the rats of DMSO group.After the rats of the CUMS group were exposed to CUMS,mifepristone of 1 mg/(kg·d)was given to the rats of the RU486 group and CUMS+RU486 group.All the above 4 groups were inflicted for 42 consecutive days.After modeling,the psychological stress status of rats was evaluated with animal behavioral experiments.Computer-aided sperm analysis(CASA)system was used to detect sperm density.ELISA was employed to measure the serum levels of corticosterone(CORT),sex hormones and inflammation factors.The contents of malondialdehyde(MDA),H2O2,NAD+/NADH and ATP in the testicular tissues were tested with corresponding reagent kits.Western blotting was utilized to detect protein levels of[3-gal,p16,and GR in testicular tissue,and transmission electron microscopy was used to observe mitochondrial structure of spermatogenic cells.Results Compared with the DMSO group,the sperm density,serum levels of testosterone(T),luteinizing hormone(LH)and follicle stimulating hormone(FSH)were decreased while those of CORT and estradiol(E2)were increased in the CUMS group(all P<0.001).Serum pro-inflammatory factors IL-6 and TNF-α concentrations were increased while anti-inflammatory factor IL-10 concentration was decreased in the CUMS group than the DMSO group(all P<0.05).And,ATP content and NAD+/NADH ratio were decreased while MDA and H2O2 levels were elevated in testicular tissues in the CUMS group(all P<0.05).Moreover,the protein levels of testicular cell aging markers β-gal,p16 and GR were significantly enhanced in the CUMS group(all P<0.01),accompanied by swelling and vacuolization of mitochondrial structures in spermatogenic cells.RU486 treatment effectively improved sperm density and increased CORT level and down-regulated the testicularβ-gal,p16 and GR protein level(all P<0.05).Conclusion Chronic psychological stress induces testicular damage in rats,presenting declines in sperm density and CORT level,which is possibly associated with GR-mediated cell senescence.
9.Environmental hygiene and healthcare-associated infection:a time-series study based on generalized additive model
Kai LIN ; Kun CHEN ; Jian-Bing WANG ; Fang-Hua FAN ; Hui LIANG ; Fang CHEN ; Kai-Ling JIN ; Wen-Jie CHU ; Wei-Guo CHEN ; Huan SHAN
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(7):798-805
Objective To quantitatively analyze the impact of environmental hygiene on the occurrence of health-care-associated infections(HAI).Methods Monitoring data of HAI and environmental hygiene from a tertiary first-class hospital from January 2018 to December 2022 were collected,and the impact of environmental bacterial colony forming unit(CFU)on the occurrence of HAI was analyzed by a time-series generalized additive model.Results The single-contamination model showed a significant positive correlation between HAI and staff's hand bacterial CFU(β1=0.009,P=0.012).For an increase of 1 interquartile range(IQR)in the monthly mean CFU per dish(MCFU/Dish)of staffs'hand,the incidence of HAI increased by 13.28%(95%CI:2.82%-24.81%).Subgroup and lag effect analysis showed that when the monthly MCFU/Dish(after hand disinfection)of staffs'hand in-creased by one IQR,the excess risk(ER)of HAI for the month(lag0)was 16.26%(95%CI:15.45%-17.09%).In the multi-contamination model,the correlation between surface contamination and HAI was also statistically sig-nificant.Conclusion There is a significant correlation between hospital environmental hygiene and the occurrence of HAI.
10.Research progress on characterization of phase separation of amorphous solid dispersion
Ling ZHU ; Huijie WANG ; Huan WANG ; Yao LI ; Yuanyuan ZHAO ; Hao ZHOU
China Pharmacist 2024;28(10):321-330
Solid dispersion technology is an advanced technology to improve the solubility and bioavailability of poorly soluble drugs.Inhibition of the recrystallization and amorphous phase separation of amorphous solid dispersion (ASD) active pharmaceutical ingredients are important to ensure product stability,so the characterization of ASD phase separation is essential.Based on the principle of phase separation,this paper analyzed and summarized the advantages,disadvantages and applicability of the various characterization techniques,in order to provide an efficient reference for the characterization and stability study of ASD.


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