1.Current status of radiological Kashin-Beck disease among school-aged children in Chamdo City, Tibet
Jiaxiang GAO ; Hu LI ; Liyi ZHANG ; Zihao HE ; Ziyi YANG ; Zhichang LI ; Kai WANG ; Yan KE ; Qiang LIU ; Shu ZHANG ; Xiaobo CHENG ; Shuai CHAI ; Zhaoyang MENG ; Lipeng SUN ; Qunwei LI ; Hongqiang GONG ; Jianhao LIN
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2024;44(1):33-40
Objective:This study aimed to explore the status of radiological Kashin-Beck disease (KBD) among school-aged children in Chamdo City, Tibet, through a 3-year monitoring survey, providing epidemiological evidence for prevention and control strategies.Methods:The target areas for this study were Luolong, Bianba, and Basu counties in Chamdo City, Tibet Autonomous Region, identified as having the most severe historical cases of KBD. Children aged 7-12 years attending school were enrolled as study subjects. Anteroposterior X-ray films of the right-hand were taken, and radiological diagnoses were made based on the "Diagnosis of Kashin-Beck Disease" criteria (WS/T 207-2010). Two experienced researchers independently reviewed the X-rays, and intra- and inter-group consistency were assessed using weighted Kappa values and percentage agreement. Cross-sectional surveys were conducted in 2017 and 2020 to describe the X-ray detection rates of KBD, and logistic regression analysis was employed to construct a predictive model of risk factors for radiological KBD cases.Results:In 2017, a total of 5,711 children aged 7-12 years in Chamdo City, Tibet, participated in the baseline cross-sectional survey (average age 9.2 years, 48.0% female), with 28 cases of radiological KBD. The age- and gender-standardized prevalence rate was 0.527%. In 2020, 6,771 participants (average age 9.3 years, 49.5% female) underwent a second cross-sectional survey, with 9 cases of radiological KBD and a standardized prevalence rate of 0.134%. Logistic regression analysis indicated that older age [ OR=2.439, 95% CI(1.299, 4.580), P=0.006] and female gender [ OR=8.157, 95% CI(1.016, 65.528), P=0.048] were independent risk factors for radiological KBD cases. Conversely, higher residential altitude, under the premise of Tibet's high altitude, was a protective factor [ OR=0.995, 95% CI(0.990, 0.999), P=0.032). Conclusion:The radiographically positive detection rate of KBD among school-aged children in Chamdo City, Tibet Autonomous Region, is at an extremely low level and showing a declining trend, reaching the historical standard in 2020. Considering the absence of positive signs in affected children, it suggests that local KBD has been effectively eliminated.
2.Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for locally advanced renal cell carcinoma patients after surgery
Fei LI ; Xiaodong WEN ; Hongqiang CHAI ; Ming WU ; Lei PANG
Journal of Modern Urology 2024;29(4):334-341
【Objective】 To construct a nomogram survival prediction model for patients with locally advanced renal cell carcinoma based on SEER database (n=7893), so as to provide reference for future prognosis study. 【Methods】 Case data were downloaded from the SEER database, and divided into the experimental group and validation group with a ratio of 7∶3 by simple randomization.The clinical information was analyzed, independent risk factors influencing prognosis were screened, and the overall survival (OS) and tumor-specific survival (CSS) were mapped.Model performance was evaluated using consistency index, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), internal and external validation, and calibration curves. 【Results】 Patients’ age, tumor size, disease progression tpye, TNM stage, number of positive lymph nodes, marital status and pathological type were significantly correlated with OS and CSS (P<0.01).Based on the above predictors, the internal verification AUC of the 1-, 3- and 5- year OS nomogram model was 0.809, 0.721 and 0.715, respectively.The internal validation AUC of the nomogram model for 1-, 3- and 5- year CSS was 0.802, 0.745 and 0.735, respectively.The external validation AUC of the OS nomogram model was 0.792, 0.628 and 0.620 at 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively, and the external validation AUC of CSS was 0.943, 0.803 and 0.737 at 1.3 and 5 years, respectively, showing good model differentiation and accuracy. 【Conclusion】 The prediction performance of the nomogram model is good, and it can provide reference for individualized treatment.
3.Associations of alcohol, coffee, green tea and dairy products with prostate cancer: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study
Hongqiang CHAI ; Jinkai SHAO ; Ming WU ; Kejie ZHAO ; Lei PANG
Journal of Modern Urology 2024;29(3):253-260
【Objective】 A two-sample Mendelian randomization method was used to explore whether there is a causal relationship between the intake of alcohol, coffee, green tea and dairy products and the incidence of prostate cancer (PCa), in order to clarify the risk factors for the incidence of PCa and find a prevention pathway for PCa. 【Methods】 Data of alcohol, coffee, green tea, dairy products and prostate cancer were collected with genome-wide association study (GWAS).The causal relationship between their intake and the risk of PCa was analyzed with two-sample Mendelian randomization (2SMR).MR analysis was conducted with inverse-variance weighting (IVW).Sensitivity analysis was performed with weighted median, MR-Egger regression, Mendelian randomization pleiotropy residual sum and outlier (MR-PRESSO) tests. 【Results】 Coffee intake (OR: 0.994, 95%CI: 0.990-0.999, P=0.014) and green tea intake (OR: 0.999, 95%CI: 0.998-0.999, P=0.036) were negatively correlated with the risk of PCa.Alcohol intake (OR: 0.997, 95%CI: 0.990-1.004, P=0.392) and dairy intake (OR: 1.025, 95%CI: 0.983-1.069, P=0.256) were not associated with the risk of PCa.In weighted median, MR-Egger regression, and retention one method analyses, the results were robust without heterogeneity or pleiotropy. 【Conclusion】 There was a causal association between coffee intake and green tea intake and the onset of PCa, but no causal association between alcohol intake and dairy intake and PCa onset.