Epidemic influenza (flu) is a disease threatening the life of people for a long history.A precise forecast for the flu outbreak can warn and help health care providers to take measures to reduce the influences and harms in advance.At present,with the development of information technology,there have accumulated tremendous data of flu trends and climate information.With a history of 90 years researches about the forecast of flu trends,researchers have put forward different types of forecasting methods,and each of them has merits and demerits.Among these methods,those ones considering the key climate factors have higher precisions.Considering various methods at present,the prediction accuracy can be improved mainly from two aspects:on one hand,the forecast accuracy can be improved by effectively integrate the advantages of different models ; On the other hand,the prediction must take into account of the specific climate of an area,pathogens and the mode of transmission characteristics in order to determine the most relevant climate factors or other highly related factors with which to design a more reasonable and accurate prediction method.

Background Isoliensinine(IL) is a kind monomer alkaloid of double benzyl group quinoline separated from Plumula nelumbinis,which has been speculated to have antiarrhythmic effect,Ca~(2+) and?1-receptor blockade, and reversal the left ventricular hypertrophy(LVH).It has been reported the activity of Sarco/Endoplasmic reticulum Ca~(2+)-ATP_(ase)(SERCA) in essential hypertention(EH)/LVH patients was lower than that of healthy people. Objective To investigate the effects of Isoliensinine on left ventricular hypertrophy and activity of SERCA in 2 kidney 1 clamp(2K1C) hypertensive rats.Methods 2K1C hypertensive rats were randomly received Isoliensinine (RHR-IL,5 mg/kg per day p.o,n=16) or placebo.Blood pressure,left ventricle mass index(LVMI) and the activity of myocardial SERCA were measured after 10 weeks treatment.Six untreated SD rats were served as control. Results Isoliensinine decreased BP and LV/BM ratio(IL:136.4?14.6 vs control:189.8?4.4 mm Hg,P

Objective To analyze the composition principles of Chinese patent drugs containing Lonicerae Japonicae Flos (Jinyinhua) in National Standard for Chinese Patent Drugs (NSCPD) enacted by Ministry of Public Health of China by using Traditional Chinese Medicine Inheritance Support System (TCMISS), and provide reference for its clinical application and development. Methods Based on TCMISS (V2.0), with methods of association rules and improved mutual information method, we analyzed the composition patterns and rules of single drugs and drug combinations. Results Through analyzing on the 201 patent drugs, 21 core drug combinations and 19 diseases that Jinyinhua commonly used were mined, from which influenza, and sore and ulcer were chosen to further analysis, including core drugs and drug combination rules, syndrome etc, disclosing the composition principles of Jinyinhua used in different diseases. Conclusion Patent drugs containing Jinyinhua collected from NSCPD mainly could clear heat and remove toxicity, and the composition principles reflect the compitable characteristics of Jinyinhua in treating different diseases, which are in accordence with clinical application of multiple-efficacy drugs.

Silibinin, from milk thistle (Silybum marianum), is a flavonolignan with anti-oxidative and anti-inflammatory properties. It has been therapeutically used for the treatment of hepatic diseases in China, Germany and Japan. Recently, increasing evidences prove that silibinin is also a potent antitumor agent, and the major anti-tumor mechanism for silibinin is the prominent inhibition of the activities of receptor tyrosine kinases (RTKs) and their downstream signal molecules in a variety of tumor cell lines, such as epidermal growth factor receptor 1 (EGFR) and insulin-like growth factor 1 receptor (IGF-1R) signaling pathways. Meanwhile, the evidences that silibinin selectively scavenges hydroxyl free radical (*OH) and specifically inhibits the action of nuclear factor kappaB (NF-kappaB) provide more complicated explanations for its antioxidant and anti-inflammatory effects. Some new findings such as that silibinin attenuating the cognitive deficits induced by amyloid beta protein (Abeta) peptide through its antioxidative and anti-inflammatory properties is valuable to broad the medical prospect of silibinin. In this review, we discuss the molecular pharmacological mechanisms of silibinin, focusing on its inhibition of tyrosine kinases, actions of antioxidation, free radical scavenging, immunoregulation and anti-inflammation.

Objective To investigate the effects of Shen-fu injection on pulmonary contusion rabbits. Meth-ods Sixteen rabbits were randomly divided into 2 groups: the treatment group (Shen-fu group) and the control group. The animals were induced the pulmonary contusion models. After 60min, the animals in Shen-fu group re-ceived Shen-fu injection received 5 ml/kg, and those in control group 5 ml/kg LRS. The animals were killed six hours later, the right lung tissue wet-to-dry (W/D) ratio and myeloperoxidase (MPO) activity were obtained,the pro-tein expression of nuclear factor-kappa B (NF-κB) and intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) were also detec-ted. Results The lung tissue W/D, MPO, and the protein expression of NF-κB and ICAM-1 were decreased evi-dently in Shen-fu group (P<0. 01). The morphologic and ultrastructural damages in Shen-fu group were milder than in control group. Conclusion Shen-fu injection is effective on pulmonary contusion rabbits.

Objective To evaluate the effect of combination transfer pump and single blood pump to 32 cases of renal failure patient who need blood purification therapy.Methods The combination transfer pump and single blood pump were used.According to the clinical requirement,the parameters of transfer pump were set such as therapy time,replacement liquid flow rate,dialysate flow rate,temperature of warmer and filtrate flow rate,etc.Results 32 patients with varying degrees of illness have been alleviated.Patients' acute left heart failure,water and electrolyte turbulences,acid intoxication and azotemia caused by liquid retention were corrected,which ensured a role for further treatment.Conclusion It is the functions of adjustable time and transfusion volume that are used in the combination transfer pump,the task of which is accomplished by several transfer pumps together.This method is easy to implement and can meet the clinical requirement largely without special CBP instrument.

Objective To explore the manner of the community-based rehabilitation(CBR)on the disabled affected by leprosy(DAL).Methods Two towns with more DALs were selected as pilot areas to set up a station for CBR in township hospital respectively.Under the leadership of governments on local county and township levels and using the health resources of township hospital recovery service was offered freely to DALs periodically.Certainly,the DALs were willing to participate the program,the township hospital and doctors offered service should be paid by local county health bureau.Results The station for CBR had run in right path and its range of service expanded around the 2 towns.Most part of DALs had cured or distinctly improved their exposure conjunctivitis,cracks of in numb hands and feet,foot ulcers.The style of the station for CBR had been accepted by local people and DALs.Finally,the township hospital and doctor offered service also earned from the station for CBR service.Conclusion CBR should be the most important part of leprosy rehabilitation.The general health services offering the rehabilitation of leprosy work is feasible,which only need pay a little.It also reflects and deepens the strategy advocated by WHO on the sustainability of Leprosy Control Program.

Objective To analyze the therapeutic efficacy and treatment related toxicities for patients with locally advanced cervical cancer treated with three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3DCRT) combined with concurrent chemotherapy. Methods From January 2007 to February 2008, 181 patients with stage ⅡA-ⅣA cervical cancer were retrospectively analyzed. All patients were treated with CT-based three-dimensional external beam and 192Ir intracavity radiotherapy combined with concurrent weekly cisplatin-based chemotherapy. The median age was 50 years (range, 32 to 82 years). The overall survival ( OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and local control (LC) rates were calcalated by Kaplan-Meier method and the difference was compared using Log-rank test. The treatment related toxicities were evaluated according to Radiotherapy Oncology Group (RTOG) criteria. Results With a median follow-up time of 34 months and following rate of 92. 2%, the 3-year OS, DFS and LC rates were 73.4%, 70. 4% and 91.3%,respectively. The 3-year OS rate was 66. 9% for patients with tumor diameter ≥4 cm and 86. 4% for those with tumor diameter ＜4 cm( χ2 =6. 29 ,P =0. 012). The incidences of grade 1 and grade 2 acute toxicities of the lower gastrointestinal tract and the genitourinary system were 40. 0% ,45.0% and 19. 9% ,4. 4%,retrospectively. There were no grade 3 or more acute toxicities. The incidence of grades 3 or 4 late toxicities of the lower gastrointestinal tract was 4. 9%. Conclusions CT-based three-dimensional external beam and 192Ir intracavity radiotherapy combined with concurrent chemotherapy can achieve good therapeutic effects for locally advanced cervical cancer. The acute and late toxicities are significantly reduced compared with historic controls as a result of incorporation of 3DCRT technique.

ObjectiveWe report the clinical and pathological features of 8 Chinese myopathy patients with antibodies to the signal recognition particle(SRP).MethodsSerum myositis antibody profiles were tested with immunoblotting.Muscle biopsies were performed for histological,enzyme histochemical and immunohistochemical stainings.The first antibody in the immunohistochemical staining was mouse anti-human monoclonal antibodies including CD8,CD20,CD68,MHC- Ⅰ and CD31.ResultsEight cases showed stark positive of anti SRP antibody,3 of them with positive anti Ro-52 antibody.The muscle biopsies showed necrotic and regenerative muscle fibers associated with infiltration of macrophage,but scattered T lymphocytes in 2 patients.Two of them presented with fiber hypertrophy and proliferation of connective tissue.There were some fibers with positive MHC-Ⅰexpression.Capillaries were almost normal.Conclusion The muscle weakness of myopathy with antibodies to SRP presents as a chronic progressive course and could associate with lung involvement.Fiber necrosis and regeneration are the main myopathological features,which can mimic muscular dystrophy in some cases.

Objective To study the morphology of normal liver and tumors by breathing motion of hepatocellular carcinoma patients,through comparing the modified demons algorithm and FFD algorithm based on B-spline,and combing four-dimensional computed tomography (4DCT).Methods The 4DCT images of 8 HCC patients were segmented into 10-series which were named CT0,CT10 … CT80,CT90 according to the respiratory phases,CT0 and CT50 are defined to be end-inhale and end-exhale respectively.CT50 was chosen as the reference image.We used the modified demons algorithm and FFD algorithm based on B-spline to deform the images.Linear interpolation was used in both mode 1 and mode 2.The normalized mutual information (NMI),Hausdorff distance (dH) and registration speed were used to verify the registration performance.Results The average NMI for the end-inhale and end-exhale images of 8 HCC patients after demons registration in mode 1 improved 4.75％ with FFD algorithm based on B-spline(P =0.002).And the difference of dH after demons reduced 15.2％ comparing with FFD model algorithm (P =0.02).In addition,demons algorithm has the absolute advantage in registration speed(P =0.036).Conclusions The breathing movement for deformation of normal liver and tumor targets is significant.These two algorithms can achieve the registration of 4DCT images and the modified demons registration can deform 4DCT images effectively.