1.Comparison of the in-hospital mortality risk predictive models among patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia based on interpretable machine learning
Yaoyong TAI ; Shengyong WU ; Xiao LUO ; Ronghui ZHU ; Qian HE ; Cheng WU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):199-205
ObjectiveTo predict the in-hospital mortality risk among patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia using interpretable machine learning methods, so as to provide more evidence-based support for the prognosis prediction of patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. MethodsMedical record of 308 patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Ⅳ (MIMIC-Ⅳ) (2.0) in the United States were retrospectively analyzed. Features of the research data were screened based on the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and which were randomly divided into a training set and a test set at a ratio of 7∶3. Then ten models, including logistic regression, random forest, K-nearest neighbor, linear discriminant analysis, naive bayes (NB), neural network, quadratic discriminant analysis, recursive partitioning tree, extreme gradient boosting tree, and support vector machine, etc. were constructed. The predictive effect was measured by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics. In addition, the calibration curve and Brier score were used to evaluate the calibration degree of the model, and the decision curve was drawn to reflect the clinical net benefit. The Shapley additive explanation method was used to analyze the interpretability of the black box model and explore the important decision-making factors. ResultsThe NB model in the test set showed better predictive ability compared with other models (AUC=0.85, 95%CI: 0.83‒0.88). After interpretability analysis, it was found that blood urea nitrogen (BUN), age, sequential organ failure assessment, bicarbonate, chloride, and hypertension were important risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. ConclusionThe comprehensive performance of the NB model is better than that of the other nine models in predicting the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. The interpretability of the model can help clinicians better understand the reasons behind the results and take further reasonable intervention measures for risk factors to improve the survival probability of patients.
2.Analysis of evaluation results for the implementation of Specification for testing of quality control in medical X-ray diagnostic equipment (WS 76-2020)
Ling ZHANG ; Weidong ZHU ; Hezheng ZHAI ; Tingting YE ; Tinggui HE ; Wanyan CHENG ; Cheng ZHANG ; Chunxu YIN
Chinese Journal of Radiological Health 2025;34(4):559-565
Objective To evaluate the overall implementation of the WS 76-2020 standard in Anhui Province, China and identify and analyze the factors affecting the implementation of the standard, and to provide a basis for the effective implementation and revision of WS 76-2020. Methods According to the requirements of the Notice of the Department of Regulations in National Health Commission on the 2024 assessment of implementation of mandatory standards, an evaluation of radiological health standards was organized and conducted in Anhui Province. The evaluation involved the three dimensions of standard implementation status, technical content of the standards, and effectiveness of standard implementation, with subsequent data analysis. Results The total evaluation score for WS 76-2020 was 87.83 points, indicating that the standard effectively guided the quality control testing of medical X-ray diagnostic equipment. However, stability testing was either underutilized or not performed in practice. The qualified rate of X-ray diagnostic equipment in the province was 94.26%, with equipment performance issues identified as the leading contributor to non-qualified instances. Expert discussions highlighted recommendations particularly concerning the operability, applicability, and scientific rigor of the standard. Conclusion It is recommended to strengthen the dissemination and training for the standard, promote medical institutions to voluntarily conduct stability testing, provide supplementary clarifications or revisions for problematic clauses, and standardize quality control testing techniques for radiological diagnostic equipment.
3.COMPERA 2.0 risk stratification in patients with severe aortic stenosis: implication for group 2 pulmonary hypertension.
Zongye CAI ; Xinrui QI ; Dao ZHOU ; Hanyi DAI ; Abuduwufuer YIDILISI ; Ming ZHONG ; Lin DENG ; Yuchao GUO ; Jiaqi FAN ; Qifeng ZHU ; Yuxin HE ; Cheng LI ; Xianbao LIU ; Jian'an WANG
Journal of Zhejiang University. Science. B 2025;26(11):1076-1085
COMPERA 2.0 risk stratification has been demonstrated to be useful in patients with precapillary pulmonary hypertension (PH). However, its suitability for patients at risk for post-capillary PH or PH associated with left heart disease (PH-LHD) is unclear. To investigate the use of COMPERA 2.0 in patients with severe aortic stenosis (SAS) undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), who are at risk for post-capillary PH, a total of 327 eligible SAS patients undergoing TAVR at our institution between September 2015 and November 2020 were included in the study. Patients were classified into four strata before and after TAVR using the COMPERA 2.0 risk score. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression model. The study cohort had a median (interquartile range) age of 76 (70‒80) years and a pulmonary arterial systolic pressure of 33 (27‒43) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) before TAVR. The overall mortality was 11.9% during 26 (15‒47) months of follow-up. Before TAVR, cumulative mortality was higher with an increase in the risk stratum level (log-rank, both P<0.001); each increase in the risk stratum level resulted in an increased risk of death (hazard ratio (HR) 2.53, 95% confidential interval (CI) 1.54‒4.18, P<0.001), which was independent of age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), hemoglobin, albumin, and valve type (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.01‒3.07, P=0.047). Similar results were observed at 30 d after TAVR. COMPERA 2.0 can serve as a useful tool for risk stratification in patients with SAS undergoing TAVR, indicating its potential application in the management of PH-LHD. Further validation is needed in patients with confirmed post-capillary PH by right heart catheterization.
Humans
;
Aortic Valve Stenosis/complications*
;
Aged
;
Hypertension, Pulmonary/mortality*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
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Proportional Hazards Models
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
Retrospective Studies
4.Association of Body Mass Index with All-Cause Mortality and Cause-Specific Mortality in Rural China: 10-Year Follow-up of a Population-Based Multicenter Prospective Study.
Juan Juan HUANG ; Yuan Zhi DI ; Ling Yu SHEN ; Jian Guo LIANG ; Jiang DU ; Xue Fang CAO ; Wei Tao DUAN ; Ai Wei HE ; Jun LIANG ; Li Mei ZHU ; Zi Sen LIU ; Fang LIU ; Shu Min YANG ; Zu Hui XU ; Cheng CHEN ; Bin ZHANG ; Jiao Xia YAN ; Yan Chun LIANG ; Rong LIU ; Tao ZHU ; Hong Zhi LI ; Fei SHEN ; Bo Xuan FENG ; Yi Jun HE ; Zi Han LI ; Ya Qi ZHAO ; Tong Lei GUO ; Li Qiong BAI ; Wei LU ; Qi JIN ; Lei GAO ; He Nan XIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(10):1179-1193
OBJECTIVE:
This study aimed to explore the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality based on the 10-year population-based multicenter prospective study.
METHODS:
A general population-based multicenter prospective study was conducted at four sites in rural China between 2013 and 2023. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the association between BMI and mortality. Stratified analyses were performed based on the individual characteristics of the participants.
RESULTS:
Overall, 19,107 participants with a sum of 163,095 person-years were included and 1,910 participants died. The underweight (< 18.5 kg/m 2) presented an increase in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazards ratio [ aHR] = 2.00, 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.66-2.41), while overweight (≥ 24.0 to < 28.0 kg/m 2) and obesity (≥ 28.0 kg/m 2) presented a decrease with an aHR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.52-0.73) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.37-0.70), respectively. Overweight ( aHR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86) and mild obesity ( aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59-0.87) had a positive impact on mortality in people older than 60 years. All-cause mortality decreased rapidly until reaching a BMI of 25.7 kg/m 2 ( aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) and increased slightly above that value, indicating a U-shaped association. The beneficial impact of being overweight on mortality was robust in most subgroups and sensitivity analyses.
CONCLUSION
This study provides additional evidence that overweight and mild obesity may be inversely related to the risk of death in individuals older than 60 years. Therefore, it is essential to consider age differences when formulating health and weight management strategies.
Humans
;
Body Mass Index
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Prospective Studies
;
Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
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Aged
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Follow-Up Studies
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Adult
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Mortality
;
Cause of Death
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Obesity/mortality*
;
Overweight/mortality*
5.Practice and challenge of age-friendly functional restoration of stomatognathic system based on the strategy of functional tooth loss.
Yiting CHENG ; Yi MAN ; Yang LIU ; He CAI ; Ran CHENG ; Li CHENG ; Fanglong WU ; Hongkun WU ; Fanyuan YU ; Xueyang LIAO ; Yimin SUN ; Jing WANG ; Xue YANG ; Jinyi ZHU ; Xingqun CHENG ; Zumu YI ; Ling YE ; Tao HU
West China Journal of Stomatology 2025;43(1):15-27
Geriatric oral health care encounters significant challenges with the increase in the proportion of older individuals. Age-related changes in the dentition, muscles, and joints result in a decline in objective masticatory function, subjective restoration requirements, and acceptability among the elderly population, with individual variations influenced by systemic health. Considering functional requirements, the adaptability of stomatognathic and systemic health conditions, health economics and other factors, the authors believe that it should not be limited to the conventional "one-to-one" strategy for replacing missing teeth in geriatric prosthodontics. There is an urgent need for a precise and adaptable restoration strategy that is more suitable for older individuals. The proposal of a new concept of functional tooth loss updates the minimal restoration standards for elderly patients and establishes the theory of age-friendly functional restoration. Based on the restoration strategy of functional tooth loss, this paper proposes a new concept termed "age-friendly functional restoration of the stomatognathic system", which integrates treatment considerations including endodontics, periodontology, mucosa, muscles, temporomandibular joint, and systemic health. Efforts should be made in four areas as follows. Firstly, the "assessment of accessible function" should be enhanced by considering the interrelationship between stomatognathic and systemic health. Secondly, the "evaluation of appropriate function" is supposed to be optimised in view of subjective needs and objective evaluation of the stomatognathic system. Moreover, the "formulation of treatment plans" needs to be accomplished with the aid of assistive technologies, such as artificial intelligence, to accurately exert appropriate functional restoration. Lastly, the "management and maintenance of health" is likely to be strengthened through follow-ups, propaganda and education, and preventive healthcare, so as to improve quality of life and ultimately achieve healthy ageing among older individuals.
Humans
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Tooth Loss/therapy*
;
Aged
;
Stomatognathic System
;
Oral Health
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Dental Care for Aged
;
Dental Restoration, Permanent/methods*
6.Epidemiology, Disease Burden and Temporal Trends of Head and Neck Cancer in Adults
Zhiyue ZHANG ; Qiaolu CHENG ; Jiayue LI ; Shaoming WANG ; Yingying ZHU ; Huijing HE
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(6):1593-1605
To describe the incidence and mortality of adult head and neck cancer (HNC) in different regions worldwide and their temporal trends. Based on the GLOBOCAN 2022 database and the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, we described the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of HNC among adults aged ≥20 years by sex, region, and human development index (HDI). Incidence and mortality across different age groups were also analyzed. Furthermore, the projected number of new HNC cases in adults in 2040 was estimated. In 2022, there were an estimated 1 750 871 new cases and 527 226 deaths from HNC among adults aged ≥20 years globally. Thyroid cancer showed the highest ASIR(14.9 per 100 000), while lip, oral cavity, and pharynx had the highest ASMR (6.4 per 100 000). Overall, adult males had higher HNC incidence (ASIR: 32.8 per 100 000 Head and neck cancer constitutes a significant component of the global cancer burden in terms of both incidence and mortality among adults. Its epidemiological characteristics show marked variations by sex, age, geographic region, and cancer subtype, underscoring the need for tailored prevention and control strategies targeting high-risk populations and regions.
7.Health risk assessment of oral exposure to 9 metals/ metalloids in drinking water for adults in Zibo, Shandong Province
Sha ZHU ; Yi HE ; Hui GAO ; Tong CHANG ; Tao WANG ; Cheng PENG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2024;41(9):1049-1053
Background Oral exposure to metals/metalloid elements in drinking water may be harmful to human health. Objective To assess potential health risks of oral exposure to 9 metals/metalloids in drinking water in Zibo City of Shandong Province from 2019 to 2023, and provide reference for the development of local drinking water management policies. Method From 2019 to 2023, a total of
8.Comparative Study on the Immunogenicity and Efficacy of Different Post-exposure Intramuscular Rabies Vaccination Regimens in China
Yun SONG ; Ying HE ; Xin Xue LU ; Mei Xiao ZHANG ; Lin XIAO JIANG ; Qing SONG ; Yong Xue HUANG ; Xia Hong MA ; Cheng Peng YU ; Yang Wu ZHU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(2):178-186
Objective This study aimed to compare the current Essen rabies post-exposure immunization schedule(0-3-7-14-28)in China and the simple 4-dose schedule(0-3-7-14)newly recommended by the World Health Organization in terms of their safety,efficacy,and protection. Methods Mice were vaccinated according to different immunization schedules,and blood was collected for detection of rabies virus neutralizing antibodies(RVNAs)on days 14,21,28,35,and 120 after the first immunization.Additionally,different groups of mice were injected with lethal doses of the CVS-11 virus on day 0,subjected to different rabies immunization schedules,and assessed for morbidity and death status.In a clinical trial,185 rabies-exposed individuals were selected for post-exposure vaccination according to the Essen schedule,and blood was collected for RVNAs detection on days 28 and 42 after the first immunization. Results A statistically significant difference in RVNAs between mice in the Essen and 0-3-7-14 schedule groups was observed on the 35th day(P<0.05).The groups 0-3-7-14,0-3-7-21,and 0-3-7-28 showed no statistically significant difference(P>0.05)in RVNAs levels at any time point.The post-exposure immune protective test showed that the survival rate of mice in the control group was 20%,whereas that in the immunization groups was 40%.In the clinical trial,the RVNAs positive conversion rates on days 28(14 days after 4 doses)and 42(14 days after 5 doses)were both 100%,and no significant difference in RVNAs levels was observed(P>0.05). Conclusion The simple 4-dose schedule can produce sufficient RVNAs levels,with no significant effect of a delayed fourth vaccine dose(14-28 d)on the immunization potential.
9.miR-375 Attenuates The Migration and Invasion of Osteosarcoma Cells by Targeting MMP13
Zhong LIU ; Lei HE ; Jian XIAO ; Qing-Mei ZHU ; Jun XIAO ; Yong-Ming YANG ; Yong-Jian LUO ; Zhong-Cheng MO ; Yi-Qun ZHANG ; Ming LI
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2024;51(5):1203-1214
ObjectiveTo explore whether miR-375 regulates the malignant characteristics of osteosarcoma (OS) by influencing the expression of MMP13. MethodsPlasmid DNAs and miRNAs were transfected into OS cells and HEK293 cells using Lipofectamine 3000 reagent. Real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction was performed to measure the expression of miR-375 and MMP13 in OS patients and OS cells. Western blot was performed to analyze the MMP13 protein in the patients with OS and OS cells. The targeting relationship between miR-375 and MMP13 was analyzed by luciferase assay. Migration and invasion were analysed by heal wound and transwell assays, respectively. ResultsmiR-375 expression in OS tissues was lower than that in normal tissues. The expression of MMP13 was upregulated in OS tissues. MMP13 expression was negatively correlated withmiR-375 expression in patients with OS. Migration and invasion were significantly inhibited in OS cells with the miR-375 mimic compared with OS cells with the miRNA control. MMP13 partially reversed the inhibition of migration and invasion induced by miR-375 in the OS cells. ConclusionmiR-375 attenuates migration and invasion by downregulating the expression of MMP13 in OS cells.
10.Experts consensus on standard items of the cohort construction and quality control of temporomandibular joint diseases (2024)
Min HU ; Chi YANG ; Huawei LIU ; Haixia LU ; Chen YAO ; Qiufei XIE ; Yongjin CHEN ; Kaiyuan FU ; Bing FANG ; Songsong ZHU ; Qing ZHOU ; Zhiye CHEN ; Yaomin ZHU ; Qingbin ZHANG ; Ying YAN ; Xing LONG ; Zhiyong LI ; Yehua GAN ; Shibin YU ; Yuxing BAI ; Yi ZHANG ; Yanyi WANG ; Jie LEI ; Yong CHENG ; Changkui LIU ; Ye CAO ; Dongmei HE ; Ning WEN ; Shanyong ZHANG ; Minjie CHEN ; Guoliang JIAO ; Xinhua LIU ; Hua JIANG ; Yang HE ; Pei SHEN ; Haitao HUANG ; Yongfeng LI ; Jisi ZHENG ; Jing GUO ; Lisheng ZHAO ; Laiqing XU
Chinese Journal of Stomatology 2024;59(10):977-987
Temporomandibular joint (TMJ) diseases are common clinical conditions. The number of patients with TMJ diseases is large, and the etiology, epidemiology, disease spectrum, and treatment of the disease remain controversial and unknown. To understand and master the current situation of the occurrence, development and prevention of TMJ diseases, as well as to identify the patterns in etiology, incidence, drug sensitivity, and prognosis is crucial for alleviating patients′suffering.This will facilitate in-depth medical research, effective disease prevention measures, and the formulation of corresponding health policies. Cohort construction and research has an irreplaceable role in precise disease prevention and significant improvement in diagnosis and treatment levels. Large-scale cohort studies are needed to explore the relationship between potential risk factors and outcomes of TMJ diseases, and to observe disease prognoses through long-term follw-ups. The consensus aims to establish a standard conceptual frame work for a cohort study on patients with TMJ disease while providing ideas for cohort data standards to this condition. TMJ disease cohort data consists of both common data standards applicable to all specific disease cohorts as well as disease-specific data standards. Common data were available for each specific disease cohort. By integrating different cohort research resources, standard problems or study variables can be unified. Long-term follow-up can be performed using consistent definitions and criteria across different projects for better core data collection. It is hoped that this consensus will be facilitate the development cohort studies of TMJ diseases.

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