1.Analysis of the vaccination status of enterovirus type 71 inactivated vaccine in China from 2017 to 2021.
Lin ZHANG ; Lei CAO ; Yan LI ; Ying Xue HU ; Lin TANG ; Ke Li LI ; Zun Dong YIN ; Zhi Jie AN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(4):561-567
Objective: To understand the vaccination status of enterovirus type 71 (EV71) inactivated vaccines in China from 2017 to 2021 and provide evidence for making policy on immunization strategy against hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD). Methods: Using the reported dose number of EV71 vaccination and birth cohort population data collected by the China immunizaiton program information system to estimate the cumulative coverage of EV71 vaccine by the end of 2021 among the birth cohorts since 2012 at national, provincial, and prefecture levels, and analyze the correlation between the vaccination coverage and the potential influencing factors. Results: As of 2021, the estimated cumulative vaccination coverage of the EV71 vaccine was 24.96% in birth cohorts since 2012. The cumulative vaccination coverage was between 3.09% and 56.59% in different provinces, between 0 and 88.17% in different prefectures. There was a statistically significant correlation between vaccination coverage in different regions and the region's previous HFMD prevalence and disposable income per capita. Conclusions: Since 2017, the EV71 vaccines have been widely used nationwide, but the coverage of EV71 vaccination varies greatly among regions. Vaccination coverage is higher in relatively developed regions, and the intensity of previous epidemic of HFMD may have a certain impact on the acceptance of the vaccine and the pattern of immunization service. The impact of EV71 vaccination on the epidemic of HFMD requires further studies.
Humans
;
Enterovirus A, Human
;
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/prevention & control*
;
Vaccines, Inactivated
;
Viral Vaccines
;
Enterovirus
;
Vaccination
;
China/epidemiology*
2.Moving Epidemic Method for Surveillance and Early Warning of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Beijing, China.
Shuai Bing DONG ; Yu WANG ; Da HUO ; Hao ZHAO ; Bai Wei LIU ; Ren Qing LI ; Zhi Yong GAO ; Xiao Li WANG ; Dai Tao ZHANG ; Quan Yi WANG ; Lei JIA ; Peng YANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2023;36(12):1162-1166
3.Epidemiological characteristics and Spatial-temporal clustering of hand, foot and mouth disease in Shanxi province, 2009-2020.
Hao REN ; Yuan LIU ; Xu Chun WANG ; Mei Chen LI ; Di Chen QUAN ; Hua Xiang RAO ; Tian E LUO ; Jin Fang ZHAO ; Guo Hua LI ; Lixia QIU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(11):1753-1760
Objective: To analyze the epidemiology and spatial-temporal distribution characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Shanxi province. Methods: The data of HFMD in Shanxi province from 2009 to 2020 were collected from notifiable disease management information system of Chinese information system for disease control and prevention and analyzed by descriptive epidemiology, Joinpoint regression, spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatio- temporal scanning analysis. Results: A total of 293 477 HFMD cases were reported in Shanxi province from 2009 to 2020, with an average annual incidence of 67.64/100 000 (293 477/433 867 454), severe disease rate of 5.36/100 000 (2 326/433 867 454), severe disease ratio of 0.79%(2 326/293 477), mortality of 0.015/100 000 (66/433 867 454), and fatality rate of 22.49/100 000 (66/293 477). The reported incidence rate, severe disease rate, mortality rate and fatality rate of HFMD showed decreasing trends. The main high-risk groups were scattered children and kindergarten children aged 0-5. The incidence of HFMD had obvious seasonal variation, with two peaks every year: the main peak was during June-July, the secondary peak was during September-October and the peak period is from April to November. A total of 13 942 laboratory cases were confirmed, with a diagnosis rate of 4.75% (13 942/293 477), including 4 438 (35.11%, 4 438/293 477) Enterovirus A71 (EV-A71) positive cases, 4 609 (33.06%, 4 609/293 477) Coxsackievirus A16 (CV-A16) positive cases, and 4 895 (31.83%, 4 895/293 477) other enterovirus positive cases. There was a spatial positive correlation (Moran's I ranged from 0.12 to 0.58, all P<0.05) and the spatial clustering was obvious. High-risk regions were mainly distributed in Taiyuan in central Shanxi province, Linfen and Yuncheng in southern Shanxi province, and Changzhi in southeastern Shanxi province. Spatial-temporal scanning analysis revealed 1 the most likely cluster and 8 secondary likely clusters, of which the most likely cluster (RR=2.65, LLR=22 387.42, P<0.001) located in Taiyuan and Jinzhong city, Shanxi province, including 12 counties (districts), and accumulated from April 1, 2009 to November 30, 2018. Conclusions: There was obvious spatial-temporal clustering of HFMD in Shanxi province, and the epidemic situation was in decline. The key areas were the districts in urban areas and the counties adjacent to it. Meanwhile, the monitoring and classification of other enterovirus types of HFMD should be strengthened.
Child
;
Humans
;
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/epidemiology*
;
Spatial Analysis
;
Enterovirus Infections
;
Spatio-Temporal Analysis
;
Cluster Analysis
4.Spatiotemporal characteristics of hand,foot and mouth disease and influencing factors in China from 2011 to 2018.
Ya Ting WANG ; Wen Jia PENG ; Hua Lin SU ; Weibing WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(10):1562-1567
Objective: To analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of hand,foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in China, explore the association of socioeconomic, population and health services factors with the incidence of HFMD in China, and provide information for the prevention and control of HFMD. Methods: Bayesian spatiotemporal model was used to fit the data of HFMD, evaluate the spatiotemporal variation of HFMD, and identify the potential association between the risk of HFMD and social, economic, population and health services. Results: From 2011 to 2018, a total of 17 118 050 HFMD cases, including 2 283 deaths, were reported in China. The reported incidence showed a fluctuating increase trend from 2011 to 2014, and a fluctuating decrease trend from 2014 to 2018. Meanwhile, there was a fluctuating decrease trend of mortality rate. The incidence of HFMD had spatial clustering, with the highest incidence in southern China with hot spot and high risk areas, and the lowest incidence in northwestern China where cold spot and low risk areas were found. The risk for HFMD was associated with GDP per capita (RR=3.54), number of industrial enterprises above designated size of 10 000 people (RR=1.61), urbanization rate (RR=3.00), birth rate (RR=2.36), number of beds in medical institutions per 10 000 people (RR=3.40), and green area in parks per capita (RR=0.57). Conclusions: The hotspot area for HFMD prevention and control in China was in the southeast coastal provinces from 2011 to 2018. In order to reduce the incidence of HFMD, it is necessary to increase the green area in parks per capita while accelerating urbanization process.
Humans
;
Animals
;
Bayes Theorem
;
Foot-and-Mouth Disease
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/epidemiology*
;
Menthol
6.A Novel Early Warning Model for Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease Prediction Based on a Graph Convolutional Network.
Tian Jiao JI ; Qiang CHENG ; Yong ZHANG ; Han Ri ZENG ; Jian Xing WANG ; Guan Yu YANG ; Wen Bo XU ; Hong Tu LIU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2022;35(6):494-503
Objectives:
Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is a widespread infectious disease that causes a significant disease burden on society. To achieve early intervention and to prevent outbreaks of disease, we propose a novel warning model that can accurately predict the incidence of HFMD.
Methods:
We propose a spatial-temporal graph convolutional network (STGCN) that combines spatial factors for surrounding cities with historical incidence over a certain time period to predict the future occurrence of HFMD in Guangdong and Shandong between 2011 and 2019. The 2011-2018 data served as the training and verification set, while data from 2019 served as the prediction set. Six important parameters were selected and verified in this model and the deviation was displayed by the root mean square error and the mean absolute error.
Results:
As the first application using a STGCN for disease forecasting, we succeeded in accurately predicting the incidence of HFMD over a 12-week period at the prefecture level, especially for cities of significant concern.
Conclusions
This model provides a novel approach for infectious disease prediction and may help health administrative departments implement effective control measures up to 3 months in advance, which may significantly reduce the morbidity associated with HFMD in the future.
China/epidemiology*
;
Cities/epidemiology*
;
Data Visualization
;
Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data*
;
Forecasting/methods*
;
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/prevention & control*
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
Neural Networks, Computer
;
Reproducibility of Results
;
Spatio-Temporal Analysis
;
Time Factors
7.Epidemiological characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease among people aged 6 and over in Beijing, 2011-2020.
Shuai Bing DONG ; Xiao Li WANG ; Da HUO ; Ren Qing LI ; Yang YANG ; Zhi Chao LIANG ; Quan Yi WANG ; Lei JIA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(2):207-212
Objective: To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) among people ≥6 years old in Beijing from 2011 to 2020. Methods: The incidence data of HFMD cases from 2011 to 2020 were collected from the National Notifiable Infectious Disease Reporting System of China Information for Disease Control and Prevention and the etiological surveillance of HFMD in 29 sentinel hospitals from 16 districts of Beijing. Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze the distributions, pathogen constituents, and changes of HFMD cases in Beijing people ≥6 years old. Results: From 2011 to 2020, a total of 38 183 cases of HFMD were reported among people ≥6 years old in Beijing, of which 46 (0.12%) cases were severe. The average annual reported incidence was 19.04/100 000. The ratio of males to females were 1.37∶1(22 064∶16 119). The proportion of HFMD in people ≥6 years old increased from 7.56%(2 606/34 488) in 2011 to 24.54% (546/2 225) in 2020. The average incidence of HFMD was higher in Shunyi district, Yanqing district, and Tongzhou district than in other districts in Beijing. The positive rate of enterovirus in sentinel surveillance was 66.78% (1 976/2 959), the proportion of enterovirus group A 71 (EV-A71) was 45.29% (101/223) in 2014, no EV-A71 positive was detected in 2020, and the proportion of Coxsackievirus A 6 (CV-A6) increased from 15.11% (34/225) in 2016 to 81.08% (60/74) in 2020. Conclusions: From 2011 to 2020, the proportion of cases with HFMD in people ≥6 years old in Beijing increased yearly, and the proportion of EV-A71 positive patients decreased basically. Since 2016, CV-A6 has gradually become the dominant pathogen. More attention should be paid to the epidemic situation and dynamic pathogen changes of hand foot mouth disease in people ≥6 years old.
Child
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Enterovirus
;
Enterovirus A, Human
;
Enterovirus Infections/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/epidemiology*
;
Humans
;
Infant
;
Male
8.Etiology and epidemiology of hand, foot and mouth disease in China.
Jing ZHANG ; Xiu Hui LI ; Li LI ; Xiao Fei SHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(5):771-783
Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) has been widespread in the world, and caused fever, rashes and other clinical symptoms of children, and sometimes inducing respiratory failure, brainstem encephalitis, and other complications, even death. The disease is mainly caused by enterovirus 71 (EV-A71) and coxsackievirus 16 (CV-A16). Since 2013, the proportion of HFMD cases caused by other enteroriruses has gradually increased, causing severe and even fatal cases. This paper summarizes the research progress in the epidemiological and etiological characteristics of HFMD in China since 2008.
Child
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Encephalitis
;
Enterovirus
;
Enterovirus A, Human
;
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/epidemiology*
;
Humans
9.Epidemiological and etiological characteristics of hand, foot, and mouth disease before and after introducing enterovirus 71 vaccines in Sichuan, China: a 6-year retrospective study.
Wen-Bin TONG ; Xue-Qi WU ; Miao HE ; Feng-Jiao YANG ; Ye JIANG ; Gang ZHANG ; Pei-Bin ZENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2021;134(24):3017-3019
10.Epidemiological characteristics and spatial epidemiology of hand-foot-mouth disease in Hunan Province, China, from 2008 to 2019.
Jian-Hui WEI ; Rong WU ; De-Xiu XING ; Jing SHU ; Shi-Xiong HU ; Jia-Bi QIN
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2021;23(11):1141-1148
OBJECTIVES:
To investigate the epidemic situation of hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) in Hunan Province, China, from 2008 to 2019, as well as its spatial autocorrelation characteristics and spatial-temporal clustering, and to provide a reference for the prevention and control of HFMD in Hunan Province.
METHODS:
Spatial autocorrelation and spatial-temporal clustering analyses were used to analyze the monitoring data of HFMD in Hunan Province from 2008 to 2019.
RESULTS:
The epidemic situation of HFMD in Hunan Province from 2008 to 2019 showed obvious seasonal distribution, with a low incidence rate in January to March and a high incidence rate in April to July. As for population distribution, children aged 0-5 years had the highest number of HFMD cases and accounted for 95.89% (1 460 391/1 522 910) of all cases, with a mean annual incidence rate of 2 197.784/100 000, and scattered children had the highest number of cases and accounted for 82.59% (1 257 739/1 522 910) of all cases. The global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the onset of HFMD in Hunan Province showed a significant clustering distribution, and the local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the high clustering areas of HFMD were mainly the districts and counties of Changsha, Zhuzhou, and Yueyang cities. Time-space scanning showed that clustering time was mainly April to July; the cases were clustered in the northeast of Hunan Province from 2008 to 2010 and in the central part of Hunan Province from 2011 to 2019.
CONCLUSIONS
The high incidence rate of HFMD is observed in April to July in Hunan Province. Children under 5 years of age are at a high risk of this disease. Spatial-temporal clustering is observed for the epidemic of HFMD, mainly clustered in the northeastern and central areas of Hunan Province. It is suggested that the results may be used as guidance to determine the key areas for HFMD prevention and control in Hunan Province and optimize the allocation of health resources.
Child
;
Child, Preschool
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Cluster Analysis
;
Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/epidemiology*
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
Infant
;
Spatio-Temporal Analysis

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail