1.Development and evaluation of a prediction model for uric acid stones based on CT values, cystatin C and urine pH
Guoshuai HUANG ; Haopeng LIU ; Zeming WU
Journal of Modern Urology 2024;29(10):885-891
[Objective] To identify the risk factors associated with uric acid stones, construct a nomogram model for predicting the occurrence of the disease, and evaluate its predictive performance. [Methods] A retrospective analysis was conducted on the general and clinical data of 876 patients who underwent surgical treatment for stones at the Department of Urology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, during Jan.2020 and Dec.2022.Based on the analysis results of stone composition, the patients were divided into the uric acid stone group (n=82) and non-uric acid stone group (n=794). All patients were then randomly split into the training group (n=526) and validation group (n=350) in a ratio of 6∶4.The training group underwent LASSO regression, univariate, and multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify predictive factors associated with the occurrence of uric acid stones.Based on the factors, a nomogram model was constructed.The performance of the model was evaluated using the validation group data by comparing it with models from other research centers. [Results] LASSO regression, univariate, and multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that cystatin C, urine pH, and stone CT values were predictive factors for uric acid stones.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the model was 0.968 for the training group and 0.956 for the validation group.Compared to other models, this model showed better predictive performance.The integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification index (NRI) in the training group were 0.420 0(95%CI: 0.328 2-0.511 8), P<0.001, and 0.484 2(95%CI: 0.321 3-0.647 2), P<0.001, respectively.In the validation group, the IDI and NRI were 0.405 9 (95%CI: 0.330 7-0.481 1), P<0.001, and 0.365 3 (95%CI: 0.211 6-0.519 0), P<0.001, respectively. [Conclusion] The nomogram model based on cystatin C, urine pH, and stone CT values can predict the occurrence of uric acid stones more accurately than other models, and can serve as a clinical supportive tool for the treatment and prevention of stone recurrence.
2.Study on the association between social isolation and cognitive function among elderly in Daqing city, Heilongjiang province
Yanhong WANG ; Feiyun HUANG ; Yuan ZHENG ; Guoshuai SHI ; Li WANG ; Susu LIAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2017;38(4):472-477
Objective To examine the association between social isolation and cognitive function among the elderly living in the communities of Daqing city.Methods A total of 981 community residents aged 60 years or over,were surveyed with a questionnaire.Both Lubben Social Network Scale-6 (LSNS-6) and Montreal Congnitive Assessment (MoCA) Changsha Versions were used to respectively screen the status of social isolation and cognitive function,on these elderly.Results The average age was 71 years old for the 981 study participants.10.60% (104/981) of the participants were assessed as having the status of social isolation,9.48% (93/981) as having marginal family ties and 13.97% (137/981) as having marginal friendship ties.Results from the multivariate linear regression analysis revealed that participants with higher scores of LSNS-6 presenting better cognitive function score,with a partial regression coefficient as 0.10 (P<0.01).The MoCA scores in participants with social isolation (20.38 ± 5.54) were significantly lower than the ones without social isolation (22.10 ± 5.01) and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.01).Social isolation was significantly related to the domain scores on visuo-spatial constructional executive functions (P=0.02),naming (P=0.03),language (P=0.01) and delayed memory functions (P<0.01),but not with other domains as concentration (P=0.33),orientation (P=0.27) or abstraction (P=0.49).Conclusion The findings suggested that social isolation was mainly caused by the lack of friendship ties and associated with cognitive function and among the elderly in Daqing city,Heilongjiang province.