1.Cost-utility analysis of benmelstobart plus anlotinib and chemotherapy as first-line treatment for extensive-stage small cell lung cancer
Bing FENG ; Ning GAO ; Shengnan GAO ; Yuxi ZHANG ; Ranran ZHANG ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2025;36(5):579-583
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-utility of benmelstobart combined with anlotinib and chemotherapy as first-line treatment for extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC) from the perspective of China’s healthcare system. METHODS Based on the data from the ETER 701 study, a partitioned survival model was constructed with a cycle of 3 weeks to simulate the total cost, quality-adjusted life years (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) over 10 years for patients with ES- SCLC treated with benmelstobart plus anlotinib and chemotherapy, or chemotherapy alone. One-way sensitivity analysis and probability sensitivity analysis were performed to verify the robustness of the simulation results. The willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at 3 times the per capita gross domestic product (GDP) of China in 2023, which amounted to 268 074 yuan/QALY. RESULTS Compared with chemotherapy alone, benmelstobart combined with anlotinib and chemotherapy gained 0.438 QALY more at the cost of 403 505.55 yuan more, with an ICER of 922 031.37 yuan/QALY, which was higher than the WTP threshold set in this study. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that benmelstobart’s cost and utility value of the progression-free survival state had a greater impact on the ICER value; probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of the model; only when the price of benmelstobart was reduced by 75.4%, the combined regimen would be cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS The first-line treatment of ES-SCLC with benmelstobart combined with anlotinib and chemotherapy is not cost-effective from the perspective of China’s healthcare system at present.
2.Calcium channel modulators in the treatment of diabetic peripheral neuropathic pain:a rapid health technology assessment
Ning GAO ; Bing FENG ; Shengnan GAO ; Ranran ZHANG ; Yuxi ZHANG ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2025;36(8):1001-1007
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the efficacy, safety and economics of calcium channel modulators in the treatment of diabetic peripheral neuropathic pain (DPNP), and provide evidence-based evidence for clinical drug selection and decision-making. METHODS PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, CNKI, Wanfang data, VIP net, CBM and official websites of foreign health technology assessment (HTA) institutions were systematically searched to collect HTA reports, systematic review/meta-analyses, and pharmacoeconomic studies of pregabalin, gabapentin, crisugabalin, and mirogabalin for the treatment of DPNP. The timeframe for all searches was from the inception to June 2024. After data extraction and quality assessment, the results of the included studies were analyzed descriptively. RESULTS A total of 16 articles were included, involving 1 HTA report, 7 systematic reviews/meta- analyses, and 8 pharmacoeconomic studies. No studies on crisugabalin were retrieved. Compared with placebo, both pregabalin and mirogabalin reduced end point pain scores and increased the proportion of patients with ≥30% and/or ≥50% reduction in pain scores. Pregabalin also improved patient global impression of change (PGIC). Gabapentin was similar to placebo in reducing end point pain scores and increasing the proportion of patients with ≥30% and/or ≥50% reduction in pain scores, but gabapentin improved PGIC of patients. Compared with pregabalin, mirogabalin was more effective in the treatment of pain. The safety of pregabalin and mirogabalin was similar, and compared with placebo, both pregabalin and mirogabalin increased the risk of common adverse reactions such as dizziness and somnolence. The safety of gabapentin was similar to placebo and duloxetine. Compared with duloxetine, pregabalin and gabapentin were not cost-effective. Compared with gabapentin, pregabalin was cost-effective. Mirogabalin was cost-effective, as compared with placebo and pregabalin. CONCLUSIONS Pregabalin and mirogabalin are effective in the treatment of DPNP, the efficacy of mirogabalin is better than pregabalin, and the safety is similar between them. The economic conclusions vary from country to country, pending a pharmacoeconomic study based on our population.
3.Cost-utility analysis of capecitabine metronomic chemotherapy combined with aromatase inhibitor as first-line treatment for HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer
Ranran ZHANG ; Guoqiang LIU ; Yuxi ZHANG ; Shengnan GAO ; Ning GAO ; Bing FENG ; Ran LIU ; Qian LI
China Pharmacy 2025;36(15):1893-1898
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of capecitabine metronomic chemotherapy combined with aromatase inhibitor (AI) versus AI monotherapy as first-line treatment for hormone receptor-positive (HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) metastatic breast cancer, thereby providing evidence-based support for clinical therapeutic decision- making and healthcare policy formulation. METHODS Based on the MECCA trial, a partitioned survival model was constructed using a 4-week cycle length to simulate outcomes over patients’ lifetime. The model outputs included total costs, quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Sensitivity analyses were performed to validate the robustness of base-case results, while scenario analyses examined the cost-effectiveness of both treatment strategies under 10-year, 20-year, and lifetime time horizons. RESULTS With the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold set at 1 times China’s 2024 per capita gross domestic product (GDP) (95 749 yuan/QALY), patients receiving capecitabine metronomic chemotherapy combined with AI regimen gained incremental utility (0.66 QALYs) while incurring higher costs, with ICER of 27 684.85 yuan/QALY. Results of the one-way sensitivity analysis showed that factors with significant impacts on ICER included the cost discount rate, drug costs of the capecitabine metronomic chemotherapy combined with AI group, utility value in the progression-free survival state, follow-up costs, and treatment costs in the subsequent stablephase. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that when the WTP threshold ≥49 250 yuan/QALY, the capecitabine metronomic chemotherapy combined with AI regimen had a 100% probability of being cost-effective. Scenario analysis results demonstrated that capecitabine metronomic chemotherapy combined with AI regimen was more cost-effective than the AI alone regimen across 10-year, 20-year, and lifetime study horizons. CONCLUSIONS Under the premise that the WTP threshold is set at 1 times China’s per capita GDP in 2024, capecitabine metronomic chemotherapy combined with AI regimen is more cost-effective than the AI alone regimen as the first-line treatment for HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer.
4.Cost-effectiveness analysis of sacituzumab tirumotecan versus single-agent chemotherapy in second-line and later-line treatment for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer
Ranran ZHANG ; Yuxi ZHANG ; Shengnan GAO ; Bing FENG ; Ning GAO ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2025;36(16):2024-2029
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of sacituzumab tirumotecan (ST) versus chemotherapy treatment physician’s choice (TPC) as second-line and later-line treatment for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (mTNBC) from the perspective of China’s healthcare system. METHODS A partitioned survival model was constructed based on the OptiTROP-Breast 01 trial, with a cycle length of 4 weeks and a time horizon of 10 years, applying a 5% discount rate. Quality adjusted life year (QALY) and costs were used as outcome measures, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of ST versus TPC for second-line and later-line treatment of mTNBC was calculated. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to validate the robustness of the base-case results. RESULTS At a willingness-to-pay threshold (WTP) of 3 times China’s 2024 per capita gross domestic product (GDP) (287 247 yuan/QALY), patients receiving ST gained incremental utility (0.42 QALY) at a higher cost, yielding an ICER of 205 562.07 yuan/QALY, which was lower than WTP, indicating that ST was more cost-effective compared to TPC. One-way sensitivity analysis revealed that key factors influencing the ICER included the utility value of progression-free survival and the price of ST. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis showed that the base-case results were robust. CONCLUSIONS From the perspective of China’s healthcare system, at a WTP of 3 times China’s per capita GDP, ST is more cost-effective than TPC as second-line and later-line treatment for mTNBC.
5.Disease burden of coal workers' pneumoconiosis in China from 1990 to 2021 and projection of future trends: Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study of 2021
Guoqiang DONG ; Ying ZHANG ; Lichun QIAO ; Miaoqian LI ; Ronghui LEI ; Xiangyu FAN ; Ying LIU ; Xinxin WEI ; Jing HAN
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2025;42(10):1162-1169
Background China is a major coal producer and consumer country in the world. Coal workers' pneumoconiosis (CWP) is a primary factor endangering the occupational health of coal miners. Research on the disease burden of CWP and its changing trend is significant for disease prevention & control and associated policies. Objective To analyze the disease burden of CWP in China from 1990 to 2021 and its changing trend, and predict the disease burden from 2022 to 2035. Methods Using the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) database of 2021, numbers ofincident cases, prevalent cases, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) as well as crude and age-standardized rates of CWP in China were retrieved. Linear regression model was used to calculate the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of the age-standardized rates. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the temporal trend of disease burden and the disease burden of different sexes and age groups, and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to forecast the trend of CWP disease burden. Results In 1990, the incident, prevalent, and deaths cases of CWP in China were
6.Radiomics combined with CT features for distinguishing mycoplasma and non-mycoplasma pneumonia in children
Chao WANG ; Peng XU ; Guoqiang HUANG ; Xiaohui QIU ; Yichao LIU
Chinese Journal of Interventional Imaging and Therapy 2024;21(3):155-159
Objective To observe the value of radiomics combined with CT features for distinguishing mycoplasma pneumonia(MP)and non-MP in children.Methods Data of 153 children with pneumonia were retrospectively analyzed.The children were divided into MP group(n=101)and non-MP group(n=52)according to mycoplasma RNA detection,and also were divided into training set(n=107,including 71 MP and 36 non-MP)and validation set(n=46,including 30 MP and 16 non-MP)at the ratio of 7∶3.CT findings were compared between groups.Six best CT features were selected in training set using F test algorithm,and a CT model was constructed using logistic regression(LR)method.The best radiomics features were extracted and screened in training set,and machine learning(ML)models were constructed using LR,support vector machine(SVM),random forest(RF),linear discriminant analysis(LDA)and stochastic gradient descent(SGD)classifiers,respectively.Based on the best CT features and radiomics features,CT-ML models were constructed using the above classifiers.Receiver operating characteristic curves were drawn,and the areas under the curve(AUC)were calculated,the efficacy of each model for distinguishing MP and non-MP was evaluated.Results Lesions involved the upper,middle and lower lobe of right lung,thickened bronchial wall,tree bud sign and edge retract sign were the best CT features.AUC of CTLR was 0.710,of MLLR,MLSVM,MLRF,MLLDA and MLSGD in validation set was 0.715,0.663,0.623,0.706 and 0.494,respectively,and MLLR was the optimal radiomics model.AUC of CT-MLLR,CT-MLSVM,CT-MLRF,CT-MLLDA and CT-MLSGD in validation set was 0.813,0.823,0.649,0.796 and 0.665,respectively,and CT-MLSVM was the optimal CT-ML model.In training set,AUC of CT-MLSVM(0.840)was higher than that of CTLR and MLLR model(AUC=0.713,0.740,both P<0.05).In validation set,no significant difference of AUC was found among CTLR,MLLR and CT-MLSVM(AUC=0.710,0.715 and 0.823,all P>0.05).Conclusion Radiomics combined with CT features could effectively distinguish MP and non-MP in children.
7.Intelligent diagnosis of psoriasis vulgaris based on deep learning and improved fuzzy KMeans
Liping SHI ; Xiaoqing DU ; Jing LI ; Lijuan LIU ; Guoqiang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Physics 2024;41(2):253-257
In order to address issues such as the decline in diagnostic performance of deep learning models due to imbalanced data distribution in psoriasis vulgaris,a VGG13-based deep convolutional neural network model is proposed by integrating the processing capability of the improved fuzzy KMeans clustering algorithm for highly clustered complex data and the predictive capability of VGG13 deep convolutional neural network model.The model is applied to the diagnosis of psoriasis vulgaris,and the experimental results indicate that compared with VGG13 and resNet18,the proposed approach based on deep learning and improved fuzzy KMeans is more suitable for identifying psoriasis features.
8.Predictive Value of Ultrasound Radiomics Nomogram of Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma
Qianqian YAN ; Yufang ZHAO ; Liping LIU ; Wu CHEN ; Guoqiang YANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging 2024;32(1):21-27
Purpose To investigate the value of ultrasound radiomics nomogram in predicting lymph node metastasis(LNM)of papillary thyroid carcinoma(PTC).Materials and Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 400 cases of PTC in the First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University from March 2021 to January 2022 confirmed by surgery and pathology,all of which underwent preoperative ultrasound examination,and were randomly divided into training cohort(n=280)and testing cohort(n=120)in a ratio of 7∶3.The relationship between ultrasound clinical features and LNM was evaluated via univariate analysis and a clinical model was established via multivariable Logistic regression.A total of 3 348 features were extracted from preoperative ultrasound images.Pearson correlation coefficient was used to screen the features,and Logistic regression was used to establish the radiomics model.Clinical risk factors and rad scores were combined to construct the nomogram,and the receiver operating characteristic curves and decision curve analysis were applied to evaluate the predictive efficacy and clinical benefit of each model for LNM of PTC.Results Age,primary lesion size,C-TIRADS and ultrasound-reported LNM were the independent risk factors for LNM(t/χ2=2.938,55.923,30.081,34.639,all P<0.05).The area under the curve of ultrasound radiomics nomogram to predict LNM of PTC in the training cohort and the testing cohort was 0.860 and 0.847,respectively;the combined model in 43%-85%had the highest clinical benefit.Conclusion Ultrasound radiomics nomogram has a certain value in predicting LNM of PTC.
9.Analysis of the whole genome sequence of a GⅡ.12P16 norovirus strain
Meijia LI ; Guoqiang WANG ; Mingxin GUO ; Xiaolin LIU ; Ti LIU ; Wenkui SUN ; Zhongyan FU ; Zengqiang KOU
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2024;38(2):144-149
Objective:To characterize the complete genome sequence and elucidate the structural features of norovirus (NoV) isolate SD20200267.Methods:The viral nucleic acid was extracted from patient samples, followed by amplification and sequencing for genotyping based on the nucleotide sequences. The metagenomic sequencing technology was utilized for whole genome sequencing, and subsequent analysis was performed on the acquired nucleotide sequences.Results:The complete genome sequence of the SD20200267 strain, spanning a total length of 7 465 nucleotides, was successfully obtained. The SD20200267 strain belongs to the GⅡ.12 and GⅡ.P16 genotypes in the VP1 and RdRp regions, respectively. The nucleotide sequence identity of SD20200267 strain with other GⅡ.12[P16] strains ranged from 96.0% to 97.3%, exhibiting 15 amino acid variations. The strain displayed evidence of recombination, with the recombination site located in the overlapping region of ORF1 and ORF2.Conclusions:SD20200267 is classified as a GⅡ.12[P16] strain, and recombination was observed in the overlapping region of ORF1 and ORF2.
10.Experimental study of en-bloc resection of bladder tumors by transurethral single-port laparoscopy in vivo animal models
Weifeng WANG ; Jun ZHANG ; Jiansheng WAN ; Siming LIU ; Yuan ZOU ; Shaoqiu ZHENG ; Jidong HAO ; Guoqiang LIAO ; Hua GONG ; Lei OUYANG
Journal of Modern Urology 2024;29(2):179-182
【Objective】 To explore the feasibility of en-bloc resection of bladder tumors by flexible cystoscope combined with laparoscopic instruments through urethra and to provide reference for the clinical application of this technique. 【Methods】 Self-designed and processed transurethral single-hole PORT and Olympus electronic cystoscope were used as observation mirror; Φ1.8 mm soft grasper, tissue scissors, electric hook, and ultrasonic scalpel were used as instruments; the porcine bladder was used as a model.The PORT was placed through the urethra, and the cystoscope was inserted to observe the inner wall of the bladder and the condition of the mucosa.After the lesion site was identified in the bladder cavity, the soft grasper was inserted to pull the mucosa to be removed, which was then fixed with tension at the target position to maintain a satisfactory feild of view.The surgeon held the cystoscope in the left hand, and operated the laparoscopic instruments into the bladder cavity through the PORT with the right hand.Observing with the cystoscope and lifting and pulling the mucosa with the grasper, the surgeon simulated the cutting and pushing actions to realize the en-bloc resection of the lesioned mucosa. 【Results】 The mucosa at 4 different locations were successfully resected on 2 in vitro porcine bladder models. 【Conclusion】 The in vitro experiments show that the combination of flexible electronic cystoscope and laparoscopic instruments achieves synergistic effects in en-bloc resection of bladder tumor by transurethral single-hole laparoscope without additional iatrogenic bladder injury caused by percutaneous bladder incision.This method is feasible in the treatment of bladder tumors, and has the potential of clinical application after further optimization.

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