Objective To explore the application of auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and establish a predictive model for influenza to forecast the dynamic trend in order to develop the prevention policy scientifically. Methods Samples which caught influenza from 2002 Jan to 2006 Jun in Chongqing city were subjected. SPSS was used to fit ARIMA model,and Q statistic was used to verify the applicability of the model. Results The model of ARIMA(1,1,1) was established. The statistic of Q was smaller than ?2_?(m), verifying the applicability of this model. Conclusion The ARIMA model can be used to analyze the influenza incidence and make a short-term prediction.

Objective To study the meaning of Homocysteine,serum high sensitive C-reactive protein,lipoprotein A and D-two dimer combined detection in the course of coronary heart disease.Methods Select 180 cases suffering from different types of coronary heart disease as group of coronary heart disease,200 healthy people who were in our hospital physical examination qualified over the same period as the control group,all the cases of fasting venous blood was sampled respectively to detect the content of Hcy,hs-CRP,LP(a) and DD.Results Coronary heart disease group of patients with Hcy,hs-CRP,LP(a) and DD levels were significantly higher than those of the control group of healthy persons(t =13.87,10.24,9.86,18.02,P ＜ 0.05),Comparison among different indicators of the patiens with Coronary heart disease:the group of AMI was higher than the group of UAP (t =15.79,9.73,11.47,17.34,all P ＜ 0.05),the group of UAP was higher than the group of SAP (t =16.82,8.14,10.65,18.27,P ＜0.05),the group of SAP was higher than the group of SMI (t =14.36,10.35,9.98,16.52,P ＜ 0.05).Conclusion Monitoring of Hcy,hs-CRP,LP(a) and DD for coronary heart disease,contributes to the understand of the development of the course of coronary heart disease and assess the risk of coronary heart disease.

Atrial fibrillation is one of the commonest cardiac arrhythmia in the elderly, the incidence increased with increasing ages. Atrial fibrillation can induce severe cardiac insufficiency and thromboembolism, stroke is also a very important complication with high morbidity and mortality. Thus it is very necessary to pay special attention to the study of atrial fibrillation in the field of geriatric cardiovascular diseases.

Objective:To study the correlation of elastase(EA) and ? 1-antitrypsin (? 1-AT) level in gingival crevicular fluid(GCF) of different periodontal status and their roles in periodontal inflammatary pathogenesis. Methods: 62 volunteers aged 45～51 years old were enroled.Their periodental status were examined and grouped into healthy periodontium (H),8 cases,marginal gingivitis (MG),12 cases,mild chronic periodontitis (MCP),20 cases and advanced chronic periodontitis (ACP),22 cases.EA in GCF were measured with a chromogenic low molecular weight substrate reaction and the ? 1-AT with ELISA. Results: Significantly positive correlation was found between GCF-EA activity and clinical periodontal parameters (P

OBJECTIVE:To establish HPLC method for the simultaneous determination of calcium lactate and calcium gluconate in compound calcium gluconate oral solution.METHODS:The test was performed on C 18 column with column tem?perature at25℃;the mobile phase was composed of0.025mol/L NaH 2 PO 4 (pH=2.50)with a flow rate of1.0ml/min and sam ple size of20?l;the detection wavelength was210nm.RESULTS:The calibration curves were linear over the range of0.719～46.040mmol/L(r=0.9999)for lactic acid and0.315～20.160mmol/L(r=0.9999)for gluconic acid.The average recovery rates of which were99.0%(RSD=1.65%)and100.5%(RSD=1.36%),respectively.CONCLUSION:This method is fast,simple,accurate,and it can be employed directly without isolation to determine the content of calcium lactate and calcium glu?conate simultaneously and to control the quality of compound calcium gluconate oral solution as well.

Anti-Bacterial Agents ; therapeutic use ; Bacterial Infections ; drug therapy ; Cephalosporins ; adverse effects ; pharmacokinetics ; pharmacology ; therapeutic use ; Humans ; Microbial Sensitivity Tests ; Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic

Humans ; West Nile Fever ; West Nile virus

Root stem of Anemarrhena asPhodeloides was extracted with hot water,treated with ethanol and dilutealkali to temove protein. The polysaccharide thus obtained was given to mice by gastric gavage. Result showedthat the polysaccharide can marked1y lower the blood sugar and liver glycogen of mice without affecting bloodlipid level. When given intraperitoneally, it also showed hypoglycemic activity- For alloxan diabetic mice, thepolysaccharide can also markedly lower its b1ood sugar by gastric gavage.

Metabolic syndrome was once regarded as deadly quartet.This is make up by diseases of various metabolism.The incidence is increased with age.This review is to introduce recent advances in the epidemic,major risk factors,clinical symptoms and diagnosis.Early health education,diet therapy,exercises and drugs can prevent or delay the occurrence and progress of metabolic syndrome.

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy is one of the most common inherited cardiovascular diseases and characterized by ventricular hypertrophy and myofibrillar disarrays. HCM affects patients of all ages, but is frequently diagnosed in patients over age 50. The pathology, genetics, diagnosis and treatment of HCM are reviewed.