1. A new non-invasive liver disease model to judge the prognosis of patients with acute upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage due to cirrhosis
Jian CHEN ; Jianqing QIAN ; Ganhong WANG ; Xiaodan XU ; Ying SHI ; Xi SUN
Journal of Chinese Physician 2020;22(1):54-58
Objective:
To evaluate the accuracy of the new non-invasive liver disease model platelet-albumin-bilirubin index (PALBI) in the diagnosis of patients with acute upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage (AUGIB) due to cirrhosis.
Methods:
277 patients with AUGIB due to cirrhosis were analyzed retrospectively. The data of platelet, total bilirubin, albumin, creatinine, international standardized ratio and etiology of cirrhosis were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for death in patients with cirrhosis complicated by AUGIB. Analysis of variance was used to compare the differences between the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and PALBI grades. Pearson correlation analysis was used to assess the association between MELD and PALBI. The operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to compare the predictive power of both for short-term and long-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis complicated by AUGIB.
Results:
The short-term and long-term mortality rates of patients with cirrhosis complicated by AUGIB were 13.7% and 23.5%, respectively. The average hospital stay was (9.1±3.9)days. The high MELD score and high PALBI index were confirmed as independent risk factors of death by single factor and multiple factors [odds ratio (