Decision Making ; Humans ; Models, Theoretical ; Public Health ; Risk Assessment

Dengue ; epidemiology ; Epidemics ; Forecasting ; Health Planning ; Humans ; Models, Theoretical ; Singapore ; epidemiology

Age Distribution ; Aged ; Dengue ; epidemiology ; Humans ; Middle Aged ; Singapore ; epidemiology

Biomarkers ; Biomedical Research ; Dengue ; Dengue Virus ; Humans ; Severe Dengue

Dengue ; epidemiology ; Humans

INTRODUCTIONOutbreaks of acute respiratory illness occur commonly in long-term care facilities (LTCF), due to the close proximity of residents. Most influenza outbreak reports have been from temperate countries. This study reports an outbreak of influenza B among a highly immunised resident population in a welfare home in tropical Singapore, and discusses vaccine efficacy and the role of acute respiratory illness surveillance for outbreak prevention and control.

MATERIALS AND METHODSDuring the period from 16 to 21 March 2007, outbreak investigations and active case finding were carried out among residents and nursing staff at the welfare home. Interviews and medical notes review were conducted to obtain epidemiological and clinical data. Hospitalised patients were tested for respiratory pathogens. Further genetic studies were also carried out on positive respiratory samples.

RESULTSThe overall clinical attack rate was 9.4% (17/180) in residents and 6.7% (2/30) in staff. All infected residents and staff had received influenza immunisation. Fifteen residents were hospitalised, with 2 developing severe complications. Genetic sequencing revealed that the outbreak strain had an 8.2% amino acid difference from B/Malaysia/2506/2004, the 2006 southern hemisphere influenza vaccine strain, which the residents and staff had earlier received.

CONCLUSIONSA mismatch between the vaccine and circulating influenza virus strains can result in an outbreak in a highly immunised LTCF resident population. Active surveillance for acute respiratory illness in LTCFs could be implemented for rapid detection of antigenic drift. Enhanced infection control and other preventive measures can then be deployed in a timely manner to mitigate the effect of any outbreaks.

Adult ; Aged ; Disease Outbreaks ; prevention & control ; Female ; Humans ; Influenza B virus ; immunology ; Influenza Vaccines ; therapeutic use ; Influenza, Human ; epidemiology ; prevention & control ; virology ; Interviews as Topic ; Male ; Medical Audit ; Middle Aged ; Nursing Homes ; Singapore ; epidemiology ; Social Welfare ; Young Adult

INTRODUCTIONDengue is a major public health problem in Singapore. Age-specific dengue morbidity rates are highest in the young adult population, unlike in many other Southeast Asian countries where dengue is mainly a paediatric disease. Hence, the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines on dengue diagnosis and management which were developed using the paediatric experiences, may not be suitable for the management of adult dengue infections.

MATERIALS AND METHODSThe Early DENgue (EDEN) infection and outcome study is a collaborative longitudinal study to investigate epidemiological, clinical, viral and host-specific features of early dengue-infected adults, in an effort to identify new early markers for prognostication. Patients presenting with early undifferentiated fever were included in the study. We carried out an interim analysis to look for early indicators of severe disease.

RESULTSDuring the period of this interim study analysis, 455 febrile patients were recruited. Of these, 133 were confirmed as acute dengue cases based on dengue-specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) results. There were significant clinical and epidemiological differences between dengue and febrile non-dengue cases. Nine per cent of the dengue cases experienced persistent tiredness, drowsiness and loss of appetite beyond 3 weeks of illness. Quantitation of viral loads using the crossover (Ct) value of real-time RT-PCR correlated with the duration of symptoms. More than half of both primary and secondary dengue cases were hospitalised. There was no dengue-related mortality in this study.

CONCLUSIONThe duration of illness and prolonged symptom duration in 9% of the subjects indicate that the burden of dengue illness is substantially different from other non-dengue febrile illness in our study cohort. Our study also highlights the paucity of early prognostic markers for dengue fever in adults.

Adult ; Antibodies, Viral ; analysis ; Dengue ; diagnosis ; epidemiology ; virology ; Dengue Virus ; genetics ; immunology ; isolation & purification ; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Humans ; Male ; Morbidity ; trends ; Prognosis ; RNA, Viral ; analysis ; Retrospective Studies ; Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction ; Singapore ; epidemiology