Prognosis is an essential part of the baseline assessment of any disease. For predicting prognosis of end-stage liver disease, many prognostic models were proposed. Child-Pugh score has been the reference for assessing the prognosis of cirrhosis for about three decades in end-stage liver disease. Despite of several limitations, recent large systematic review showed that Child-Pugh score was still robust predictors and it's components (bilirubin, albumin and prothrombin time) were followed by Child-Pugh score. Recently, Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score emerged as a "modern" alternative to Child-Pugh score. The MELD score has been an important role to accurately predict the severity of liver disease and effectively assess the risk of mortality. Due to several weakness of MELD score, new modified MELD scores (MELD-Na, Delta MELD) have been developed and validated. This review summarizes the current knowledge about the prognostic factors in end-stage liver disease, focusing on the role of Child-Pugh and MELD score.
Bilirubin/blood ; Creatinine/blood ; End Stage Liver Disease/*diagnosis/*mortality/pathology ; Humans ; International Normalized Ratio ; Prognosis ; Severity of Illness Index ; Survival Rate

BACKGROUND/AIMS: This retrospective study assessed the clinical outcome of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) procedure for managing portal hypertension in Koreans with liver cirrhosis. METHODS: Between January 2003 and July 2013, 230 patients received a TIPS in 13 university-based hospitals. RESULTS: Of the 229 (99.6%) patients who successfully underwent TIPS placement, 142 received a TIPS for variceal bleeding, 84 for refractory ascites, and 3 for other indications. The follow-up period was 24.9+/-30.2 months (mean+/-SD), 74.7% of the stents were covered, and the primary patency rate at the 1-year follow-up was 78.7%. Hemorrhage occurred in 30 (21.1%) patients during follow-up; of these, 28 (93.3%) cases of rebleeding were associated with stent dysfunction. Fifty-four (23.6%) patients developed new hepatic encephalopathy, and most of these patients were successfully managed conservatively. The cumulative survival rates at 1, 6, 12, and 24 months were 87.5%, 75.0%, 66.8%, and 57.5%, respectively. A high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was significantly associated with the risk of death within the first month after receiving a TIPS (P=0.018). Old age (P<0.001), indication for a TIPS (ascites vs. bleeding, P=0.005), low serum albumin (P<0.001), and high MELD score (P=0.006) were associated with overall mortality. CONCLUSIONS: A high MELD score was found to be significantly associated with early and overall mortality rate in TIPS patients. Determining the appropriate indication is warranted to improve survival in these patients.
Adolescent ; Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Asian Continental Ancestry Group ; End Stage Liver Disease/pathology ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Hemorrhage/etiology ; Hepatic Encephalopathy/etiology ; Hospitals, University ; Humans ; Hypertension, Portal/*diagnosis/mortality/surgery ; Kaplan-Meier Estimate ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Odds Ratio ; *Portasystemic Shunt, Transjugular Intrahepatic ; Republic of Korea ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Factors ; Severity of Illness Index ; Survival Rate ; Treatment Outcome ; Young Adult