1.Analysis of the epidemiological characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Minhang District of Shanghai , 2009 -2019
Hualin SU ; Lihong TANG ; Qiongjin MA ; Huiqin YAN ; Yunhua WU ; Yameng ZHAO ; Dunjia WANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2020;31(6):71-74
Objective To investigate the epidemic characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in Minhang District of Shanghai, and to provide a scientific basis for TB prevention and control. Methods Data from active TB patients registered in Minhang District of Shanghai from 2009 to 2019 was collected and analyzed using descriptive epidemiological method. Results From 2009 to 2019 the registration rates of TB patients in Minhang district of Shanghai showed a downward trend, with an average annual registration rate of 32.35/100 000, including 3 611 (41.08%) patients who were registered permanent residents of Shanghai and 5 179 (58.92%) patients who were non-permanent residents. The ratio of men to women was 2.04:1. Workers accounted for more cases (22.77%) than other occupations among patients without registered permanent residence, while retirees accounted for the majority of cases (38.60%) among patients with registered permanent residence. Among the TB patients without registered residence, the highest proportion (45.86%) was in the 20-29 years old group, while the highest proportion in permanent residents was in the 50-59 years old group (19.47%). The peak incidence occurred in May in patients without registered permanent residence, while the peak incidence was in June in patients with registered permanent residence. Conclusion It is necessary to strengthen the prevention and control of TB in people without registered permanent residence of Shanghai, and at the same time, to strengthen the prevention and control of TB in old people and students with registered permanent residence of Shanghai.
2.Correlation between the varicella incidence and temperature in Minhang District, Shanghai
Xia ZHAO ; Linjuan DONG ; Yibin ZHOU ; Zhaowen ZHANG ; Jinsong CUI ; Jialei FAN ; Chenxi XU ; Dunjia WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(8):753-759
ObjectiveTo explore the exposure-lag-response relationship between temperature and risk of varicella incidence,and to provide a scientific evidence for early warning and precise prevention and control of varicella epidemic. MethodsDaily varicella cases and daily meteorological data were collected in Minhang District, Shanghai from 2010 to 2022. A distributed lag nonlinear model was used to determine the exposure-lag-response relationship between temperature and risk of varicella incidence. Furthermore, effect of temperature on the incidence risk was determined across different age groups. ResultsIn 2010‒2022, the total number of notified varicella cases was 26 207 in Minhang District, with the highest incidence in the group aged 3‒14 years (50.35%). The seasonal pattern of daily varicella cases showed a double peak. The large peak was found in November and December, followed by a smaller peak in May and June. Moreover, the distributed lag nonlinear model showed a unimodal curve in the relationship between temperature and varicella incidence. The RR value reached its maximum peak of 1.90 (95%CI: 1.25‒2.87) at 7 ℃. A reverse U-shape was found in the lag-response curves between temperature and varicella incidence. Furthermore, the effect of temperature on the varicella incidence showed a unimodal pattern in the varicella cases aged 3‒14 years. The RR value reached its peak at 11 ℃ (RR=2.89, 95%CI: 1.33‒6.24). In contrast, the effect of temperature on the varicella incidence in the cases aged 15 years and above showed a unimodal pattern, with RR value reaching the peak at 5 ℃ (RR=2.14, 95%CI: 1.33‒3.44). ConclusionThe unimodal curve is found in the relationship between temperature and varicella incidence. Low temperature is associated with increased risk of varicella incidence. Children aged 3‒14 years are more susceptible to the effect of temperature on the varicella incidence.