1. Prevention effectiveness of the "Internet Plus-based AIDS Comprehensive Prevention Service System" among MSM in Guangzhou: a dynamic model of infectious disease
Jianhua LIU ; Weibin CHENG ; Huifang XU ; Jing GU ; Chun HAO ; Weiyun HE ; Keru WANG ; Fei ZHONG ; Dannuo WEI ; Liping PENG ; Yuantao HAO ; Jinghua LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(10):1227-1233
Objective:
To evaluate the effect of the "Interner Plus-based AIDS Comprehensive Prevention Service System" among MSM in Guangzhou, during 2010-2017, using a dynamic compartmental model.
Methods:
A dynamic compartmental model was developed to describe the HIV situation among MSM in Guangzhou. This model was parameterized on data from published literature or surveillance programs from the Guangzhou CDC. The Matlab 7.0 software was used for coding and analysis on collected data. HIV prevalence was analyzed among MSM under the status quo data and estimated the impact by the "Internet Plus" AIDS prevention services project.
Results:
HIV prevalence would have increased to 22.75