INTRODUCTION: Preterm birth (PTB) remains a leading cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality worldwide. Understanding Singapore's PTB trends and associated risk factors can inform effective strategies for screening and intervention. This study analyses PTB trends in Singapore from 2017 to 2023, identifies risk factors in this multi-ethnic population and evaluates a predictive model for PTB. METHOD: A retrospective analysis of all PTBs between 22+0 and 36+6 weeks of gestation, from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2023, was performed by extracting maternal and neonatal data from electronic medical records. These PTBs were taken from the registry of births for Singapore and SingHealth cluster data. Cochran- Armitage trend test and multinomial logistic regression were used. An extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model was developed to test and predict the risk of PTB. RESULTS: The PTB rate in Singapore did not show a significant change. However, there was modest downward trend in the SingHealth population from 11.3% to 10.2%, mainly in late spontaneous PTBs (sPTBs). sPTBs accounted for ∼60% of PTBs. Risk factors for very/extreme sPTB included Chinese ethnicity, age ≥35 years, body mass index (BMI) ≥23 kg/m², being unmarried, primiparity, twin pregnancy and maternal blood group AB. The XGBoost model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.75, indicating moderate ability to predict PTB. CONCLUSION The overall PTB rate in Singapore has not improved. This study underscores the importance of local factors, particularly advanced maternal age, BMI, primiparity, unmarried, Chinese ethnicity and maternal blood group AB influencing PTB risk. Artificial intelligence methods show promise in improving PTB risk stratification, ultimately supporting personalised care and intervention.
Humans ; Singapore/epidemiology* ; Retrospective Studies ; Female ; Risk Factors ; Premature Birth/ethnology* ; Pregnancy ; Adult ; Infant, Newborn ; Asian People/statistics & numerical data* ; Gestational Age ; Body Mass Index ; Maternal Age ; Logistic Models ; Ethnicity

INTRODUCTION: Odour recognition is influenced by culture. Odour identification tests need to be adapted to a population to accurately assess olfactory function. This study's objectives were to validate the Singapore version of the Sniffin' Sticks (SS-Sg) and a locally-developed odour recognition test (Scentsor) for Singapore. METHOD: This prospective study was performed in 3 otolaryngology outpatient clinics in 3 phases (1 May to 15 November 2024). Phase 1 was a survey evaluation of 93 odour descriptors to identify familiar odour descriptors to be used in the tests (n=414); Phase 2 evaluated and finalised SS-Sg and Scentsor to ensure test odours were recognised by ≥75% of healthy controls (n=130); and Phase 3 validated both tests on healthy controls (n=473) to obtain normative data, to determine test-retest reliability (n=50), and to assess the ability to distinguish patients with olfactory loss (n=67). RESULTS: In Phase 1, the unmodified SS blue and purple sets had 15/32 (46.9%) unfamiliar test odours and 25 unfamiliar distractors combined. In Phase 2, after modification, all odours in SS-Sg and Scentsor were correctly identified by ≥75% of controls. In Phase 3, normative data (age 21-83 years) was obtained. Both tests had good test-retest reliability (Pearson's correlation coefficient of 0.88 with<0.001 for SS-Sg; and at 0.90 with<0.001 for Scentsor). Both tests differentiated among normosmia, hyposmia and anosmia (SS-Sg scores: 12.6 [±2.4] versus [vs] 9.8 (±3.2) vs 6.0 [±2.3] respectively,<0.001; Scentsor scores: 14.3 [±1.8] vs 11.3 [±2.8] vs 5.8 [±3.4] respectively,<0.001). CONCLUSION SS-Sg and Scentsor have been validated to assess olfaction in Singapore.
Humans ; Singapore ; Male ; Female ; Odorants/analysis* ; Middle Aged ; Prospective Studies ; Olfaction Disorders/diagnosis* ; Adult ; Reproducibility of Results ; Aged ; Smell/physiology* ; Young Adult

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to examine patterns of diagnosis, cognitive and adaptive functioning, and school placement outcomes in autistic children in Singapore, and to assess earlier predictive factors of cognitive outcomes. METHOD: Retrospective data were extracted from medical records of a specialist developmental paediatrics service for children born in 2008-2011 and referred to the autism clinic or were given a diagnosis of autism. Data items included demographic data, diagnostic methods, psychological assessment results, early intervention attendance and school placement outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 2124 children (82.6% male; 66.4% Chinese, 13.4% Malay, 9.8% Indian and 10.5% Others) were diagnosed with autism from the 4 birth-year cohorts. The mean (SD) age of the first clinical diagnosis of autism was 3.56 (1.14) years, with 81.0% of children receiving a concordant initial clinical diagnosis. A total of 1811 (85.2%) had a formal diagnostic assessment using the Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule (ADOS) at a mean (SD) age of 4.16 (1.11) years. Of 1326 with cognitive and adaptive assessment results, 16.6% had mild and 19.8% had moderate-severe cognitive impairment. Of 1483 with school placement outcomes, 45.9% went to mainstream schools, 21.8% entered SPED schools offering the national curriculum and 32.3% required customised curriculum SPED schools. Logistic regression showed that factors predicting intellectual impairment included higher ADOS scores (aOR 95% CI 1.13 [1.08-1.19] for Comm+SI total and 1.53 [1.33-1.75] for SBRI total), higher social communication level of support (based on the DSM-5 criteria) (aOR [95% CI] 2.14 [1.10-4.16] for level 2 and 14.94 [5.77-38.64] for level 3), and minority race (aOR [95% CI] 2.82 [1.52-5.20] for Malay, 5.19 [2.36-11.44] for Indian, and 4.54 [1.91-10.79] for Others). CONCLUSION These findings could guide policymakers and practitioners worldwide to strategically allocate diagnostic, intervention and educational resources, maximising developmental outcomes for autistic children across diverse settings.
Humans ; Singapore/epidemiology* ; Male ; Female ; Retrospective Studies ; Child, Preschool ; Autistic Disorder/complications* ; Child ; Early Intervention, Educational ; Cognitive Dysfunction/diagnosis* ; Cognition

INTRODUCTION: Paediatric sexual assault (SA) victims should be assessed for post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) to mitigate the risk of sexually transmitted infections (STIs). We describe the clinical characteristics of children and young persons (CYPs) presenting with SA at KK Women's and Children's Hospital in Singapore, viral PEP (human immunodeficiency virus [HIV] and hepatitis B virus [HBV]) prescribing practices, and STI evaluation at follow-up. METHOD: Medical records of CYPs ≤16 years who presented with SA between January 2022 and August 2023 were reviewed, including assault and assailant characteristics, baseline and follow-up STI screening, PEP prescription, adherence and follow-up attendance. CYPs with SA in the preceding 72 hours by HIV-positive or HIV-status unknown assailants with high-risk characteris-tics were eligible for HIV PEP. RESULTS: We analysed 278 CYPs who made 292 SA visits. There were 40 (13.7%) CYPs eligible for HIV PEP, of whom 29 (82.9%) received it. Among those tested at baseline, 9% and 34.9% of CYPs tested positive for Chlamydia trachomatis and Gardnerella vaginalis, respectively. None tested positive for Neisseria gonorrhoeae, Trichomonas vaginalis, HIV, HBV or hepatitis C. Majority of CYPs tested were HBV non-immune (n=167, 67.6%); only 77 (46.1%) received the vaccine. Out of 27 CYPs eligible for HBV PEP with immunoglobulin, only 21 (77.7%) received immunoglobulin. A total of 37 CYPs received HIV PEP, including 8 who were retrospectively deemed ineligible. Only 10 (27%) completed the course. Overall, 153 (57.7%) CYPs attended follow-up, and none seroconverted for HIV or HBV. CONCLUSION We report suboptimal rates of HBV post-exposure vaccination, and low compliance to HIV PEP and follow-up among paediatric SA victims. Factors contri-buting to poor compliance should be examined to optimise care for this vulnerable population.
Humans ; Post-Exposure Prophylaxis/methods* ; Female ; Child ; Adolescent ; Singapore/epidemiology* ; HIV Infections/prevention & control* ; Male ; Sexually Transmitted Diseases/epidemiology* ; Retrospective Studies ; Hepatitis B/prevention & control* ; Follow-Up Studies ; Child, Preschool ; Sex Offenses/statistics & numerical data* ; Child Abuse, Sexual

INTRODUCTION: The 30-day readmission rate for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a common performance metric but may be confounded by factors unrelated to quality of care. Our aim was to assess how sociodemographic factors, multimorbidity and frailty impact 30-day readmission risk after COPD hospitalisation, and whether risk adjustment alters interpretation of temporal trends. METHOD: This is a retrospective analysis of administra-tive data from October 2017 to June 2023 from Changi General Hospital, Singapore. Multivariable mixed-effects logistic regression models were used to estimate unadjusted and risk-adjusted 30-day readmission odds. Covariates included age, sex, race, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) and year. Temporal trends in readmission risk were compared across unadjusted and adjusted models. RESULTS: Of the 2774 admissions, 749 (27%) resulted in 30-day readmissions. Higher CCI (CCI≥4 versus [vs] CCI=1: adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.00, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.33-2.99, P=0.003; CCI 2-3 vs CCI=1: aOR 1.50, 95% CI 1.15-1.96, P=0.001) and higher HFRS (≥5 vs <5: aOR 1.29, 95% CI 1.01-1.65, P=0.04) were independently associated with increased readmission risk. While unadjusted analyses showed no significant temporal trends, the risk-adjusted model revealed a 32-35% reduction in readmission odds in 2021-2023 compared to baseline. CONCLUSION Multimorbidity and frailty significantly impact COPD readmissions. Risk adjustment revealed improvements in readmission risk not evident in unadjusted analyses, emphasising the importance of applying risk adjustments to ensure valid performance metrics.
Humans ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/therapy* ; Patient Readmission/trends* ; Male ; Female ; Retrospective Studies ; Aged ; Singapore/epidemiology* ; Multimorbidity ; Frailty/epidemiology* ; Middle Aged ; Risk Adjustment ; Aged, 80 and over ; Logistic Models ; Risk Factors

INTRODUCTION: Trastuzumab deruxtecan (T-DXd) has revolutionised treatment for metastatic breast cancer (MBC). While effective, its high cost and toxicities, such as fatigue and nausea, pose challenges. METHOD: Medical records from the Joint Breast Cancer Registry in Singapore were used to study MBC patients treated with T-DXd (February 2021-June 2024). This study was conducted to address whether reducing dose intensity and density may have an adverse effect on treatment outcomes. RESULTS: Eighty-seven MBC patients were treated with T-DXd, with a median age of 59 years. At the time of data cutoff, 32.1% of patients were still receiving T-DXd. Over half (54%) of the patients received treatment with an initial relative dose intensity (RDI) of <;85%. Overall median real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) was 8.1 months. rwPFS was similar between RDI groups (<85%: 8.7 months, <85%: 8.1 months, P=0.62). However, human epidermal growth receptor 2 (HER2)-positive patients showed significantly better rwPFS outcomes compared to HER2-low patients (8.8 versus 2.5 months, P<0.001). Only 16% with central nervous system (CNS) involvement had CNS progressive disease on treatment. No significant progression-free survival (PFS) differences were found between patients with or without CNS disease, regardless of RDI groups. Five patients (5.7%) developed interstitial lung disease (ILD), with 3 (3.4%) having grade 3 events. Two required high-dose steroids and none were rechallenged after ILD. There were no fatalities. CONCLUSION Our study demonstrated that reduced dose intensity and density had no significant impact on rwPFS or treatment-related toxicities. Furthermore, only 5.7% of patients developed ILD. T-Dxd provided good control of CNS disease, with 82% of patients achieving CNS disease control.
Humans ; Female ; Breast Neoplasms/mortality* ; Middle Aged ; Trastuzumab/adverse effects* ; Aged ; Adult ; Singapore/epidemiology* ; Antineoplastic Agents, Immunological/adverse effects* ; Camptothecin/adverse effects* ; Immunoconjugates/adverse effects* ; Retrospective Studies ; Progression-Free Survival ; Receptor, ErbB-2/metabolism* ; Neoplasm Metastasis ; Dose-Response Relationship, Drug ; Treatment Outcome ; Registries

INTRODUCTION: Interpretation and analysis of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans in clinical settings comprise time-consuming visual ratings and complex neuroimage processing that require trained professionals. To combat these challenges, artificial intelligence (AI) techniques can aid clinicians in interpreting brain MRI for accurate diagnosis of neurodegenerative diseases but they require extensive validation. Thus, the aim of this study was to validate the use of AI-based AQUA (Neurophet Inc., Seoul, Republic of Korea) segmentation software in a Southeast Asian community-based cohort with normal cognition, mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia. METHOD: Study participants belonged to the community-based Biomarker and Cognition Study in Singapore. Participants aged between 30 and 95 years, having cognitive concerns, with no diagnosis of major psychiatric, neurological or systemic disorders who were recruited consecutively between April 2022 and July 2023 were included. Participants underwent neuropsychological assessments and structural MRI, and were classified as cognitively normal, with MCI or with dementia. MRI pre-processing using automated pipelines, along with human-based visual ratings, were compared against AI-based automated AQUA output. Default mode network grey matter (GM) volumes were compared between cognitively normal, MCI and dementia groups. RESULTS: A total of 90 participants (mean age at visit was 63.32±10.96 years) were included in the study (30 cognitively normal, 40 MCI and 20 dementia). Non-parametric Spearman correlation analysis indicated that AQUA-based and human-based visual ratings were correlated with total (ρ=0.66; P<0.0001), periventricular (ρ=0.50; P<0.0001) and deep (ρ=0.57; P<0.0001) white matter hyperintensities (WMH). Additionally, volumetric WMH obtained from AQUA and automated pipelines was also strongly correlated (ρ=0.84; P<0.0001) and these correlations remained after controlling for age at visit, sex and diagnosis. Linear regression analyses illustrated significantly different AQUA-derived default mode network GM volumes between cognitively normal, MCI and dementia groups. Dementia participants had significant atrophy in the posterior cingulate cortex compared to cognitively normal participants (P=0.021; 95% confidence interval [CI] -1.25 to -0.08) and in the hippocampus compared to cognitively normal (P=0.0049; 95% CI -1.05 to -0.16) and MCI participants (P=0.0036; 95% CI -1.02 to -0.17). CONCLUSION Our findings demonstrate high concordance between human-based visual ratings and AQUA-based ratings of WMH. Additionally, the AQUA GM segmentation pipeline showed good differentiation in key regions between cognitively normal, MCI and dementia participants. Based on these findings, the automated AQUA software could aid clinicians in examining MRI scans of patients with cognitive impairment.
Humans ; Cognitive Dysfunction/pathology* ; Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods* ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Female ; Aged ; Artificial Intelligence ; Software ; Dementia/diagnostic imaging* ; Aged, 80 and over ; Adult ; Singapore ; Neuropsychological Tests ; Brain/pathology* ; Cohort Studies ; Gray Matter/pathology* ; Southeast Asian People

INTRODUCTION: Albeit comprising a small portion of the hospital population, persistent high utilisers (PHUs) contribute disproportionately to healthcare expenditures. Amid rising healthcare costs and an ageing population, this study examines factors associated with PHUs among residents in eastern Singapore. METHOD: This is a retrospective study of eligible patients at Changi General Hospital in Singapore between 1 January 2020 and 31 December 2022. The study included Singapore citizens who utilised any services offered by CGH. Patients were classified as PHUs if their annual healthcare expenditure exceeded SGD3700 for 3 consecutive years. Demographics, healthcare utilisation patterns and clinical profiles were compared, and multivariable analyses were conducted to identify factors associated with PHUs. RESULTS: There were 267,838 eligible patients identified, with 5316 (2%) classified as PHUs. PHUs accounted for 18.4% of the total healthcare expenditure, with the highest costs attributed to inpatient services, followed by outpatient services. PHUs were more likely to be older, male, non-Chinese and of lower socioeconomic status. Conditions with the strongest association with PHUs were mental health disorders, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, osteoporosis, asthma and renal diseases. Inpatient discharges from renal medicine, psychological medicine and general/geriatric medicine wards had the strongest association with PHUs. Utilisation of allied health services had the highest odds of being a PHU in outpatient care. CONCLUSION This study identified key factors associated with PHUs, providing invaluable insights into the planning of population health services within the hospital's geographical region. Targeted service development and process improvements of medical care can help mitigate persistent high utilisation.
Humans ; Singapore/epidemiology* ; Male ; Female ; Retrospective Studies ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Adult ; Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data* ; Patient Acceptance of Health Care/statistics & numerical data* ; Population Health ; Aged, 80 and over ; Young Adult ; Adolescent

INTRODUCTION: Conservative kidney management (CKM) is a recognised treatment option for selected patients with chronic kidney disease stage 5 (CKD G5), but prognostic indicators for mortality and optimal timing for palliative care transition remain uncertain. METHOD: This is a single-centre, prospective cohort study of CKD G5 patients who opted for CKM, conducted between April 2021 and September 2024, with longitudinal monitoring of Edmonton Symptom Assessment System Revised: Renal; Palliative Perfor-mance Scale (PPS); Resources Utilisation Group.Activities of Daily Living (RUG-ADL) scale; Clinical Frailty Score; Karnofsky Performance Score; and clinical and laboratory data. Primary outcomes included identifying baseline mortality predictors and validating the PPS for survival estimation. Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify independent predictors of mortality. RESULTS: Among 109 patients (mean age 79.8±7.3 years, 64.2% female), 62 (56.9%) died during follow-up. Multivariate analysis identified baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08.1.68, P<0.01) and serum albumin (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.08.1.43, P<0.01) as predictors of 1-year mortality. Median survival varied by eGFR: 3.0 months (95% CI 0.6.2) for eGFR .5 mL/min/1.73 m², 13.0 months (95% CI 9.1.16.9) for eGFR 6.10 mL/ min/1.73 m², and 20.0 months (95% CI 16.5.23.5) for eGFR >10 mL/min/1.73 m² (P<0.01). Subsequent PPS correlated strongly with survival, with median survival of 1.8 months for PPS <50, 5.3 months for PPS 50.60, and 7.9 months for PPS 70.80 (P=0.03). CONCLUSION Baseline eGFR and serum albumin predict 1-year mortality in CKM patients. PPS offers a practical tool for identifying patients requiring palliative care transition, supporting personalised care pathways and timely integration of palliative care.
Humans ; Female ; Male ; Aged ; Prospective Studies ; Glomerular Filtration Rate ; Palliative Care/methods* ; Conservative Treatment/methods* ; Aged, 80 and over ; Prognosis ; Serum Albumin/analysis* ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Activities of Daily Living ; Singapore/epidemiology*

INTRODUCTION: Takayasu arteritis is the most common large-vessel vasculitis in childhood, but there is a lack of literature regarding childhood-onset Takayasu arteritis (c-TAK) in Southeast Asia. We aim to describe a c-TAK cohort in Singapore and highlight a unique subset that first presents with Kawasaki-like disease (KD). METHOD: A single-centre cohort study in Singapore of consecutive children diagnosed with c-TAK between 2002 and 2023 was performed. Demographic and clinical features, laboratory and angiographic findings, treatment, and outcomes were summarised. Disease activity was evaluated using the Paediatric Vasculitis Disease Activity Score and inflammatory markers. RESULTS: Twenty-three patients, fulfilling both the EULAR/ PRINTO/PReS and ACR/EULAR 2022 criteria, were recruited. The most common clinical features at diagnosis were fever (15, 65%) and neurological symptoms (11, 48%, half of which presented with stroke), while the most prevalent angiographic pattern by Hata's classification was Type V (21, 91%). Eight children (35%) initially presented with refractory KD, and these patients were significantly younger, more male-predominant, and had higher inflammatory markers at diagnosis; all of them had coronary artery involvement, but none had intracranial vascular findings. Of the entire cohort, 16 (70%) achieved inactive disease on medications with a median duration of 6 months (interquartile range [IQR]: 4-11), and 8 (35%) achieved remission off medications with a median duration of 43 months (IQR 35-60). CONCLUSION Our c-TAK cohort has high proportions of neurological involvement and stroke. This is also the first cohort study to describe a distinct group of patients who first presented with refractory KD.
Humans ; Takayasu Arteritis/complications* ; Singapore/epidemiology* ; Male ; Female ; Child ; Adolescent ; Age of Onset ; Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome/diagnosis* ; Cohort Studies ; Child, Preschool ; Fever/etiology* ; Stroke/epidemiology* ; Retrospective Studies