1.The correlations between influenza and meteorological factors in 15 cities of northern China, 2008-2020.
Yuan DENG ; Xiang REN ; Yu Qing GUO ; Meng Jie GENG ; Cui Hong ZHANG ; Shuo HUANG ; Fan LIN ; Li Ping WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(5):765-771
Objective: To understand the influence of meteorological factors on the morbidity of influenza in northern cities of China and explore the differences in the influence of meteorological factors on the morbidity of influenza in 15 cities. Methods: The monthly reported morbidity of influenza and monthly meteorological data from 2008 to 2020 were collected in 15 provincial capital cities, including Xi 'an, Lanzhou, Xining, Yinchuan and Urumqi (5 northwestern cities), Beijing, Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, Taiyuan, Hohhot, Ji'nan, Zhengzhou (7 northern cities), Shenyang, Changchun and Harbin (3 northeastern cities). The panel data regression model was applied to conduct quantitative analyze on the influence of meteorological factors on influenza morbidity. Results: The univariate and multivariate panel regression analysis showed that after controlling the population density and other meteorological factors, for each 5 ℃ drop of monthly average temperature, the morbidity change percentage (MCP) of influenza was 11.35%, 34.04% and 25.04% in the 3 northeastern cities, 7 northern cities and 5 northwestern cities, respectively, and the best lag period months was 1, 0 and 1 month; When the monthly average relative humidity decreased by 10%, the MCP was 15.84% in 3 cities in northeastern China and 14.80% in 7 cities in northern China respectively, and the best lag period months was 2 and 1 months respectively; The MCP of 5 cities in northwestern China was 4.50% for each 10 mm reduction of monthly accumulated precipitation, and the best lag period months was 1 month; The MCPs of 3 cities in northeastern China and 5 cities in northwestern China were 4.19% and 5.97% respectively when the accumulated sunshine duration of each month decreased by 10 hours, the best lag period months was 1 month. Conclusions: In northern cities of China from 2008 to 2020, the temperature, relative humidity, precipitation and sunshine duration all had negatively impact on the morbidity of influenza, and temperature and relative humidity were the main sensitive meteorological factors. Temperature had a strong direct impact on the morbidity of influenza in 7 cities in northern China, and relative humidity had a strong lag effect on the morbidity of influenza in 3 cities in northeastern China. The duration of sunshine in 5 cities in northwestern China had a greater impact on the morbidity of influenza compared with 3 cities in northeastern China.
Humans
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Cities
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Influenza, Human
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China
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Beijing
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Meteorological Concepts
5.Drug resistance and genomic characteristics of Salmonella enterica serovar London from clinical and food sources in Hangzhou City from 2017 to 2021.
Zhi Bei ZHENG ; Hua YU ; Wei ZHENG ; Qi CHEN ; Xiu Qin LOU ; Xiao Dong LIU ; Hao Qiu WANG ; Jing Cao PAN
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57(4):508-515
Objective: To analyze the drug resistance and genomic characteristics of Salmonella enterica serovar London isolated from clinical and food sources in Hangzhou City from 2017 to 2021. Methods: A total of 91 Salmonella enterica serovar London strains isolated from Hangzhou City from 2017 to 2021 were analyzed for drug susceptibility, pulsed field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) typing and whole genome sequencing. Multilocus sequence typing (MLST), core genome multilocus sequence typing (cgMLST) and detection of drug resistance genes were performed by using the sequencing data. Phylogenetic analysis was conducted to compare the 91 genomes from Hangzhou City with 347 genomes from public databases. Results: No significant difference in the drug resistance rate was observed between clinical strains and food strains to 18 drugs in Hangzhou City(all P>0.05), and the multidrug resistance (MDR) rate was 75.8% (69/91). Most strains were resistant to 7 drug classes simultaneously. One strain was resistant to Polymyxin E as well as positive for mcr-1.1, and 50.5% (46/91) of the strains were resistant to Azithromycin and were positive for mph(A). All 91 Salmonella enterica serovar London strains were ST155, which were subdivided into 44 molecular types by PFGE and 82 types by cgMLST. Phylogenetic analysis showed that most strains from Hangzhou City (83/91) were clustered together, and a small number of human isolates from Europe, North America and pork isolates from Hubei and Shenzhen were mixed in the cluster. Other strains from Hangzhou City (8/91) were closely related to strains from Europe, America and Southeast Asia. Strains isolated from pork were the most closely related to clinical strains. Conclusion: The epidemic of Salmonella enterica serovar London in Hangzhou City is mainly caused by the spread of ST155 strains, which is mainly transmitted locally. At the same time, cross-region transmission to Europe, North America, Southeast Asia, and other provinces and cities in China may also occur. There is no significant difference in the drug resistance rate between clinical strains and food strains, and a high level of MDR is found in the strains. Clinical infection of Salmonella enterica serovar London may be closely related to pork consumption in Hangzhou City.
Humans
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Salmonella enterica/genetics*
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Serogroup
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Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology*
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Multilocus Sequence Typing
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Cities
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London
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Clonidine
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Phylogeny
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Genomics
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Drug Resistance
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Electrophoresis, Gel, Pulsed-Field
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Microbial Sensitivity Tests
6.Spatial accessibility of fever clinics for multi-tiered prevention and control on COVID-19 in Beijing.
Jia Wei ZHANG ; Pei En HAN ; Li YANG
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2021;53(3):543-548
OBJECTIVE:
To simulate the different prevalence of corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Beijing as the spreading and the outbreak city and analyze the response capacity of its medical resources of fever clinics, and to provide a scientific basis for optimizing the spatial layout in Beijing under severe epidemics.
METHODS:
The study obtained epidemiological indicators for COVID-19, factors about medical resources and population movement as parameters for the SEIR model and utilized the model to predict the maximum number of infections on a single day at different control levels in Beijing, simulated as an epidemic spreading city and an epidemic outbreak city respectively. The modified two-step floating catchment area method under ArcGIS 10.6 environment was used to analyze spatial accessibility to fever clinics services for the patients in Beijing.
RESULTS:
According to the results of the SEIR model, the highest number of infections in a single day in Beijing simulated as an epidemic spreading city at low, medium and high levels of prevention and control were 8 514, 183, and 68 cases, the highest number of infections in a single day in Beijing simulated as an outbreak city was 22 803, 10 868 and 3 725 cases, respectively. The following result showed that Beijing was simulated as an epidemic spreading city: among the 585 communities in Beijing, under the low level of prevention and control, there were 17 communities (2.91%) with excellent accessibility to fever clinics, and that of 41 communities (7.01%) with fever clinics was good. Spatial accessibility of fever clinics in 56 communities (9.57%) was ranked average, and 62 communities' (10.60%) accessibility was fair and 409 communities (69.91%) had poor accessibility; at the medium level of prevention and control, only the west region of Fangshan District and Mentougou District, the north region of Yanqing District, Huairou District and Miyun District had poor accessibility; under the high level of prevention and control, 559 communities' (95.56%) had excellent accessibility. The accessibility in 24 communities (4.10%) was good and in 2 communities (0.34%) was average. In brief, the existing fever clinics could meet the common demand. Beijing was simulated as an outbreak city: under the low level of prevention and control, only 1 community (0.17%) had excellent accessibility to fever clinics, and 5 communities (0.86%) had good accessibility. The accessibility of fever clinics in 10 communities (1.71%) was average and in 12 communities (2.05%) was fair. The accessibility of fever clinics in 557 communities (95.21%), nearly all areas of Beijing, was poor; under the middle and high level of prevention and control, the accessibility of ecological conservation areas was also relatively poor.
CONCLUSION
The distribution of fever clinic resources in Beijing is uneven. When Beijing is simulated as an epidemic spreading city: under the high level of prevention and control, the number of fever clinics can be appropriately reduced to avoid cross-infection; at the medium level of prevention and control, the fever clinics can basically meet the needs of patients with fever in Beijing, but the accessibility of fever clinics in ecological conservation areas is insufficient, and priority should be given to the construction of fever clinics in public hospitals above the second level in the ecological conservation areas. When the level of prevention and control is low, the accessibility of fever clinics in ecological conservation areas is poor. Priority should be given to the construction of fever clinics in ecological conservation areas, and temporary fever sentinels can be established to relieve the pressure of fever clinics. When Beijing is simulated as an outbreak city and has low prevention and control, due to a large number of infections, it is necessary to upgrade the prevention and control level to reduce the flow of people to curb the development of the epidemic.
Beijing
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COVID-19
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Catchment Area, Health
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China/epidemiology*
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Cities
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Humans
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SARS-CoV-2
7.Hepatitis B Screening and Vaccination Practices in Asian American Primary Care.
Danny CHU ; Ju Dong YANG ; Anna S LOK ; Tram TRAN ; Eduardo Bruno MARTINS ; Elizabeth FAGAN ; Franck ROUSSEAU ; W Ray KIM
Gut and Liver 2013;7(4):450-457
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Screening for hepatitis B virus (HBV) is recommended in populations with anticipated prevalence > or =2%. This study surveyed HBV screening and vaccination practices of Asian American primary care providers (PCPs). METHODS: Approximately 15,000 PCPs with Asian surnames in the New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Houston, and Chicago areas were invited to participate in a web-based survey. Asian American PCPs with > or =25% Asian patients in their practice were eligible. RESULTS: Of 430 (2.9%) survey respondents, 217 completed the survey. Greater than 50% followed > or =200 Asian patients. Although 95% of PCPs claimed to have screened patients for HBV, 41% estimated that < or =25% of their adult Asian patients had ever been screened, and 50% did not routinely screen all Asian patients. In a multivariable analysis, the proportion of Asian patients in the practice, provider geographic origin and the number of liver cancers diagnosed in the preceding 12 months were significantly associated with a higher likelihood of screening for HBV. Over 80% of respondents reported that < or =50% of their adult Asian patients had received the HBV vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: Screening and vaccination for HBV in Asian American patients is inadequate. Measures to improve HBV knowledge and care by primary-care physicians are critically needed.
Adult
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Asian Americans
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Asian Continental Ancestry Group
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Chicago
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Data Collection
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Hepatitis
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Hepatitis B
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Hepatitis B virus
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Hepatitis B, Chronic
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Humans
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Liver Neoplasms
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Los Angeles
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Mass Screening
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New York
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Prevalence
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Primary Health Care
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San Francisco
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Vaccination
8.Stomach cancer incidence in Metro Manila and Rizal province: 1980-1992.
Laudico Adriano V ; Esteban Divina B ; Reyes Lilia M
Philippine Journal of Surgical Specialties 1999;54(2):67-73
Incidence was derived from published data from 2 population-based registries - the Philippine Cancer Society - Manila Cancer Registry and the Department of Health-Rizal Cancer Registry, which covered 8.5 million residents (1990 census) of a 1,674 square kilometer area that comprises Metro Manila and Rizal province. Thirteen registry clerks actively sought new cancer cases in 96 hospitals and 30 Civil Registry offices. Both registries are members of the International Association of Cancer Registries and received continuing professional assistance from the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). For the period 1988-1992 the combined age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) was 9.9 per 100,000 for male stomach cancer (ranked fifth, 4.5% of all male cancers), and 5.9 per 100,000 among females (ranked ninth, 2.8% of all female cancers). Stomach cancer among Philippine residents had lower ASRs and age-specific rates compared to Japanese, Korean, Chinese, Singaporean Chinese and Vietnamese populations. Age-specific rates among Filipinos reached 10 per 100,000 or higher at age-group 50-54 years among males, and 55-59 years among females. Significant differences in incidence were observed in only few cities and municipalities. There were little differences in ASRs between 2 populations during 3 time periods between 1980-1992, in both males and females with an indication of a slight decrease. Incidence of male Philippine migrants to Hawaii, San Francisco and Los Angeles were comparable to those of white residents covered by the Manila registry. Among females, stomach cancer incidence of Philippine residents and Filipina migrants to Hawaii were similar, and were slightly higher than those of white residents in Hawaii and both migrants and white residents in San Francisco and Los Angeles
Human ; Male ; Female ; San Francisco ; Los Angeles ; Transients And Migrants ; Stomach Neoplasms ; Hawaii ; Philippines ; Censuses ; Registries ; European Continental Ancestry Group ; Research
9.Modifying Effect of Heat Waves on the Relationship between Temperature and Mortality.
Won Kyung LEE ; Hye Ah LEE ; Hyesook PARK
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2016;31(5):702-708
Studies conducted to evaluate temporal trends of heat-related mortality have not considered the effects of heat waves; although it is known they can affect mortality and act as a modifying factor. After adjusting for long-term trends and seasonality, the effects of temperature on non-accidental deaths in Seoul and Busan (inland and coastal cities, respectively) were analyzed using a generalized additive model of Poisson distribution. We evaluated temporal trends of heat-related mortalities in four periods (1991-1995, 1996-2000, 2001-2005, and 2006-2012). The effects of temperature on mortality were evaluated according to the occurrence of a heat wave and results were compared in the two cities. The effect of temperature on mortality was the greatest in 1991-1995 in Seoul; no significant change was observed in Busan. When we stratified the study period by heat wave status, the risk increase in mortality was 15.9% per 1℃ during years with a heat wave in Seoul, which was much higher than 0.31% increase observed during years without a heat wave. On the other hand, Busan showed a linear relationship between temperature and mortality and no significant difference between years with or without a heat wave. Variations in the relationship between temperature and mortality could be misunderstood if heat waves are not considered. Furthermore, heterogeneity was found in the modifying effect of heat waves on heat-related mortality in inland and coastal cities. The findings of this study help understand relations between temperature and mortality.
Cause of Death/*trends
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Cities
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Humans
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Temperature
10.Relations between Neurosurgical Operations and a Small Community with Aging Population
Journal of the Japanese Association of Rural Medicine 2008;57(4):639-646
The city of Itoigawa is a remote place, with a population of as few as 50,000, where people aged 65 and older occupy 30% of its population. Most people with neurological disorders here have been treated at the Neurosurgical Department of the Itoigawa General Hospital. However, the number of surgical operations has decreased year after year. In search of the factors in the decreasing tendency, we analized the annual statistics about the hospitalized patients and this city's population in the past 11 years beginning on Nov. 1 1995. The diminution of the operation cases was correlated most positively with a decrease in the population of this city (+0.844), and most negatively with an increase in the ratio of persons aged 65 or older (-0.822). The number of operation cases was probably linked to the change in population make-up of the region. The number of operations on older patients had a tendency to decline presumably because of functionally poor prognosis. Conclusively, this study revealed that it is hard for neurosurgeons working in remote localities like this city to keep up the number of operative cases.
Cities
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Relations
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Small
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seconds
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Surgical aspects