1.Study on the current status of emergency management for severe mental disorders in Shanghai
Xiaolei GE ; Yi ZHU ; Chunmei CHEN ; Youwei ZHU ; Yanli LIU ; Jun CAI ; Weibo ZHANG ; Fei XIE
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):276-281
ObjectiveTo investigate the current status of emergency management for severe mental disorders in Shanghai, and to provide countermeasures and suggestions for the establishment of a sound emergency management system for severe mental disorders and the enhancement of emergency management capability. MethodsA questionnaire survey and qualitative interviews were used to conduct an investigation into the emergency management in 17 district-level mental illness prevention and control institutions in Shanghai, which includes the basic situation of emergency management for severe mental disorders, the construction of emergency response teams and personnel, emergency preparedness drills and training, emergency management plans and rules and regulations, and problems encountered in emergency management. ResultsIn terms of emergency management mechanism and basic situation, resources such as personnel allocation, security funds and green channel were well equipped in each district-level mental illness prevention and control institution in Shanghai. However, the equipment of some hardware facilities was still insufficient to some extent. Therefore, further improvement on the emergency management mechanism for severe mental disorders was needed. With regard to the construction of emergency team and personnel allocation, the majority were those aged between 35‒<45 years old, with a bachelor’s degree, and more than 10 years of working experience. For example, 90.27% staff in district-level mental illness prevention and control institution had a bachelor’s degree or above, which was higher than that among the staff in community-level (73.60%); staff majored in clinical medicine in district-level institution accounted for the proportion at 52.71%, higher than that among the staff in community-level (28.86%); 57.24% staff in district-level institution had an intermediate professional title, higher than that among the staff in community-level (42.28%); and 69.90% staff in district-level institution had more than 10 years of working experience, higher than that among the staff in community-level (43.62%). In the aspect of emergency drills and training, all district-level mental illness prevention and control institutions in Shanghai had a high demand for emergency training, and the weak aspects mainly focused on lack of emergency service protocols, skills of addressing technical challenges, and construction of effectiveness evaluation system. Moreover, the teaching methods were primarily centered on case analysis, simulation drills, interactive discussions, and so forth. Concerning emergency management plans and rules and regulations, all districts in Shanghai had relatively established well-developed systems for emergency response plans, emergency response leadership groups, and emergency response operational task forces for severe mental disorders. About half of the institutions had established other rules and regulations related to emergency management of severe mental disorders in addition to emergency plans. ConclusionShanghai has initially established an emergency management system for severe mental disorders, but it is still fragile in specialized training for emergency management of severe mental disorders, construction of emergency management mechanisms, and the building-up of grassroots emergency teams. Further priorities should include strengthening emergency management training, enhancing the construction of emergency management personnel teams, and gradually establishing a more comprehensive and integrated emergency management mechanism for severe mental disorders.
2.Application of extraocular muscle related indexes combined with serum Th1 cytokine levels in the diagnosis of thyroid associated ophthalmopathy
Jun DU ; Jiakai LIU ; Ke XU ; Jing LI ; Chunmei ZHOU ; Jin ZHU
International Eye Science 2025;25(12):2022-2027
AIM: To evaluate the diagnostic value of serum Th1-type cytokine levels and extraocular muscle-related parameters in thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy(TAO).METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on 45 patients diagnosed with TAO in our hospital from January 2023 to December 2024, and 20 normal volunteers during the same period as controls. Venous blood samples of the patients were collected to detect the concentrations of Th1-type cytokines [interferon-γ(IFN-γ), tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α), interleukin-2(IL-2), and interleukin-12(IL-12)] in the serum. Additionally, the end diastolic velocity(Ved), velocity maximum(Vmax), resistance index(RI)of the central retinal artery, as well as the thickness and left-right diameter of the medial rectus muscle were measured. Logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors of TAO, and receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC)was adopted to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of each index for the occurrence of TAO.RESULTS: The general information of the two groups was comparable. Compared with the normal control group, the serum concentrations of IFN-γ and TNF-α in TAO patients were significantly increased, Ved and Vmax were lower than those in the control group, and RI and the thickness of the medial rectus muscle were higher than those in the control group(all P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that serum IFN-γ concentration, Ved, Vmax, and the thickness of the medial rectus muscle were all risk factors for TAO. ROC curve analysis indicated that the AUCs of serum IFN-γ concentration, Ved, Vmax, and the thickness of the medial rectus muscle for the diagnostic efficacy of TAO were 0.756, 0.769, 0.732, and 0.642, respectively. The combined detection of IFN-γ, Ved, Vmax, and the thickness of the medial rectus muscle had an AUC of 0.840 and a Youden index of 0.59, which was superior to the detection of a single indicator.CONCLUSION: The levels of serum Th1-type cytokines and extraocular muscle-related ultrasound indicators have certain value in the diagnosis of TAO. The combination of IFN-γ, Ved, Vmax, and the thickness of the medial rectus muscle has better diagnosis efficiency in TAO, which can provide a certain reference for the early diagnosis of TAO.
3.Application of assisted reproductive technology in fertility pre-servation and promotion for women with malignant tumors.
Chunmei MA ; Xiaoling HU ; Shanshan ZHANG ; Lanfeng XING ; Yingwei ZHANG ; Yimin ZHU
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;():1-10
OBJECTIVES:
To evaluate the strategies and outcomes of assisted reproductive technology (ART) for fertility preservation and promotion in women with malignant tumors, and to analyze ART outcomes across different tumor types.
METHODS:
We conducted a retrospective analysis of female patients who underwent ART for fertility preservation or treatment at the Reproductive Center of the Women's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2023. A total of 163 ART-aided pregnancy patients with malignant tumors were included in the case group, among which 6 patients underwent embryo cryopreservation for fertility preservation before radiotherapy or chemotherapy. Additionally, 11 unmarried women underwent oocyte cryopreservation due to borderline ovarian tumors, ovarian cancer, breast cancer, or hematological malignancies. The control group was selected from women without a history of malignant tumors who received ART treatment during the same period, using propensity score matching at a ratio of 1∶2, resulting in 326 cases. Data were collected through the reproductive medical record system and telephone follow-up (as of October 31, 2024). Baseline characteristics, controlled ovarian hyperstimulation parameters, laboratory indicators, and pregnancy outcomes were compared between case and control groups and among patients with different tumor types, and the tumor recurrence of the patients was followed up.
RESULTS:
Patients in the case group had significantly lower ovarian reserve (AMH, AFC) and a higher proportion of diminished ovarian reserve compared to the control group (all P<0.01). Regarding the ovulation induction protocol, the proportion of patients using the minimal stimulation protocol in the case group was significantly higher than that in the control group (29.45% vs. 12.88%, P<0.01), and the total dosage of gonadotropins used was lower (P<0.01). In terms of assisted reproductive outcomes, there were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in the number of retrieved oocytes, number of high-quality embryos, fertilization rate, cumulative pregnancy rate, cumulative live birth rate, or miscarriage rate (all P>0.05). However, the number of oocyte retrieval cycles and embryo transfer cycles required to achieve a live birth outcome in the case group were significantly higher than those in the control group (both P<0.05). Subgroup analysis showed that there were no significant differences in cumulative pregnancy rate and live birth rate among patients with different tumor types (thyroid cancer, reproductive system tumors, breast cancer, lung cancer). Nevertheless, lung cancer patients had the lowest ovarian reserve and required the most oocyte retrieval cycles due to their older age; breast cancer patients had a relatively lower fertilization rate partially because some of them were complicated with male factors. A follow-up of 154 tumor patients (with a follow-up rate of 88.5%) revealed that 6 patients (4.20%) had tumor recurrence, and 1 breast cancer patient died due to tumor recurrence. None of the 11 unmarried patients who had undergone oocyte cryopreservation had used the cryopreserved oocytes for assisted pregnancy yet, and 1 patient who had undergone fertility preservation died due to tumor recurrence.
CONCLUSIONS
Women of reproductive age with malignant tumors are at risk of diminished fertility. ART can effectively preserve and promote fertility, enabling favorable pregnancy and live birth outcomes. It is recommended to initiate a multidisciplinary assessment promptly prior to radiotherapy/chemotherapy and formulate an individualized ART regimen for fertility preservation or promotion, so as to achieve reproductive goals or safeguard future fertility potential.
4.Overview of host-directed antiviral targets for future research and drug development.
Xiaoxia GU ; Mengzhu ZHENG ; Ya GAO ; Shuang LIN ; Xiaotian ZHANG ; Chunmei CHEN ; Hucheng ZHU ; Weiguang SUN ; Yonghui ZHANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(4):1723-1751
Viruses constitute a significant group of pathogens that have caused numerous fatalities and substantial economic losses in recent years, particularly with the emergence of coronaviruses. While the impact of SARS-CoV-2 appears to be diminishing in daily life, only a limited number of drugs have received approval or emergency use authorization for its treatment. Given the high mutation rate of viral genomes, host-directed agents (HDAs) have emerged as a preferred choice due to their broad applicability and lasting effectiveness. In contrast to direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), HDAs offer several advantages, including broad-spectrum antiviral activities, potential efficacy against future emerging viruses, and a lower likelihood of inducing drug resistance. In our review article, we have synthesized known host-directed antiviral targets that span diverse cellular pathways and mechanisms, shedding light on the intricate interplay between host cells and viruses. Additionally, we have provided a brief overview of the development of HDAs based on these targets. We aim for this comprehensive analysis to offer valuable perspectives and insights that can guide future antiviral research and drug development efforts.
5.Diphenylemestrins A-E: diketopiperazine-diphenyl ether hybrids from Aspergillus nidulans.
Aimin FU ; Qin LI ; Yang XIAO ; Jiaxin DONG ; Yuanyang PENG ; Yu CHEN ; Qingyi TONG ; Chunmei CHEN ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Hucheng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(6):727-732
A chemical investigation of secondary metabolites (SMs) from Aspergillus nidulans resulted in the identification of five novel dioxopiperazine (DKP)-diphenyl ether hybrids, designated as diphenylemestrins A-E (1-5). These compounds 1-5 represent the first known dimers combining DKP and diphenyl ether structures, with compound 4 featuring an uncommon dibenzofuran as the diphenyl ether component. The structural elucidation and determination of absolute stereochemistry were accomplished through spectroscopic analysis and electronic circular dichroism (ECD) calculations. Notably, diphenylemestrin C (3) exhibited moderate cytostatic activity against NB4 cells, with a half maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) value of 21.99 μmol·L-1, and induced apoptosis at higher concentrations.
Aspergillus nidulans/metabolism*
;
Diketopiperazines/pharmacology*
;
Molecular Structure
;
Phenyl Ethers/pharmacology*
;
Humans
;
Apoptosis/drug effects*
;
Cell Line, Tumor
6.(±)-Talapyrones A-F: six pairs of dimeric polyketide enantiomers with unusual 6/6/6 and 6/6/6/5 ring systems from Talaromycesadpressus.
Meijia ZHENG ; Xinyi ZHAO ; Chenxi ZHOU ; Hong LIAO ; Qin LI ; Yuling LU ; Bingbing DAI ; Weiguang SUN ; Ying YE ; Chunmei CHEN ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Hucheng ZHU
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(8):932-937
(±)-Talapyrones A-F (1-6), six pairs of dimeric polyketide enantiomers featuring unusual 6/6/6 and 6/6/6/5 ring systems, were isolated from the fungus Talaromyces adpressus. Their structures were determined by spectroscopic analysis and HR-ESI-MS data, and their absolute configurations were elucidated using a modified Mosher's method and electronic circular dichroism (ECD) calculations. (±)-Talapyrones A-F (1-6) possess a 6/6/6 tricyclic skeleton, presumably formed through a Michael addition reaction between one molecule of α-pyrone derivative and one molecule of C8 poly-β-keto chain. In addition, compounds 2/3 and 4/5 are two pairs of C-18 epimers, respectively. Putative biosynthetic pathways of 1-6 were discussed.
Polyketides/isolation & purification*
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Talaromyces/chemistry*
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Stereoisomerism
;
Molecular Structure
;
Circular Dichroism
;
Pyrones/chemistry*
7.Molecular Characterization of New Recombinant Human Adenoviruses Detected in Children with Acute Respiratory Tract Infections in Beijing, China, 2022-2023.
Yi Nan GUO ; Ri DE ; Fang Ming WANG ; Zhen Zhi HAN ; Li Ying LIU ; Yu SUN ; Yao YAO ; Xiao Lin MA ; Shuang LIU ; Chunmei ZHU ; Dong QU ; Lin Qing ZHAO
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(9):1071-1081
OBJECTIVE:
Recombination events are common and serve as the primary driving force of diverse human adenovirus (HAdV), particularly in children with acute respiratory tract infections (ARIs). Therefore, continual monitoring of these events is essential for effective viral surveillance and control.
METHODS:
Respiratory specimens were collected from children with ARIs between January 2022 and December 2023. The penton base, hexon, and fiber genes were amplified from HAdV-positive specimens and sequenced to determine the virus type. In cases with inconsistent typing results, genes were cloned into the pGEM-T vector to detect recombination events. Metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS) was performed to characterize the recombinant HAdV genomes.
RESULTS:
Among 6,771 specimens, 277 (4.09%, 277/6,771) were positvie for HAdV, of which 157 (56.68%, 157/277) were successfully typed, with HAdV-B3 being the dominant type (91.08%, 143/157), and 14 (5.05%, 14/277) exhibited inconsistent typing results, six of which belonged to species B. The penton base genes of these six specimens were classified as HAdV-B7, whereas their hexon and fiber genes were classified as HAdV-B3, resulting in a recombinant genotype designated P7H3F3, which closely resembled HAdV-B114. Additionally, a partial gene encoding L1 52/55 kD was identified, which originated from HAdV-B16.
CONCLUSION
A novel recombinant, P7H3F3, was identified, containing sequences derived from HAdV-B3 and HAdV-B7, which is similar to HAdV-B114, along with additional sequences from HAdV-B16.
Humans
;
Adenoviruses, Human/isolation & purification*
;
Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Child
;
Recombination, Genetic
;
Male
;
Beijing/epidemiology*
;
Infant
;
Female
;
Phylogeny
;
Adenovirus Infections, Human/epidemiology*
;
Acute Disease
;
Genome, Viral
8.Combining 18F-PSMA PET/CT and biparametric MRI predicts pathological upgrading after radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer
Wen LIU ; Miao WANG ; Guilan HU ; Jiangyu MA ; Chunmei LI ; Wei ZHANG ; Hui ZHU ; Min CHEN ; Li HUO ; Ming LIU
Chinese Journal of Urology 2024;45(3):180-186
Objective:To investigate the application value of the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) of 18F prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) PET/CT combined with the minimum apparent diffusion coefficient (ADCmin) of biparametric magnetic resonance imaging (bpMRI) in predicting pathological upgrading after radical prostatectomy (RP) for prostate cancer. Methods:The data of 89 patients with localized prostate cancer treated at Beijing Hospital from April 2019 to October 2023 were retrospectively analysed. The average age of patients was (68.4±7.0) years old, with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level of 7.7 (5.4, 12.9) ng/ml, prostate volume of 34.6 (26.9, 47.1) ml, tumor diameter of 1.3 (1.0, 1.8) cm, prostate imaging reporting and data system(PI-RADS) score of 5 in 29 cases (32.6%), clinical stage ≥T 3 in 13 cases (14.6%). There were 31 cases (34.8%) in group 1 of targeted biopsy International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP)grading groups, 36 cases (40.4%) in group 2, 11 cases (12.4%) in group 3, and 11 cases (12.4%) in group 4. All patients underwent 18F-PSMA PET/CT and bpMRI examinations before RP. The index lesion, identified as the highest Gleason score in pathological whole-mount sections, were outlined. SUVmax and ADCmin values were calculated from the images' region of interest. Pathological upgrading was defined as the post-RP grade group higher than the targeted-biopsy grade group. Clinical data of patients with and without pathological upgrading were compared. Spearman correlation coefficient analysis was used to assess the correlation between SUVmax and ADCmin. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to evaluate the factors influencing pathological upgrading. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was employed to assess the predictive value of each indicator for pathological upgrading. Results:Among the 89 cases, 31 cases (34.8%) experienced pathological upgrading. Compared with the patients without pathological upgrading, the SUVmax [11.3 (8.1, 16.4) vs. 6.7 (4.6, 9.2)], SUVmax/ADCmin ratio [3.1 (2.0, 4.6) vs. 1.4 (0.9, 2.1)], PSA [9.8 (6.3, 15.6) ng/ml vs. 7.1 (5.1, 10.5) ng/ml], PSA density [0.3 (0.2, 0.5) ng/ml 2 vs. 0.2 (0.1, 0.3) ng/ml 2], and post-RP ISUP grade group [≥3 group 17 cases (54.8%) vs. 13 cases(22.4%) ]were higher in patients with pathological upgrading, while ADCmin [3.8 (3.0, 5.3) ×10 -4 mm 2/s vs. 5.2 (3.6, 6.1)×10 -4 mm 2/s] and targeted biopsy ISUP grade group [≤2 group 27 cases(87.1%) vs. 40 cases(69.0%) ] were lower (all P<0.05). Spearman analysis showed a negative correlation between SUVmax and ADCmin ( R = -0.227, P = 0.032). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that SUVmax ( OR = 1.108, 95% CI 1.020-1.238), ADCmin ( OR=0.607, 95% CI 0.390-0.874), and SUVmax/ADCmin ratio ( OR = 1.815, 95% CI 1.282-2.949) independently predicted pathological upgrading. The AUC of the SUVmax/ADCmin ratio for predicting pathological upgrading (AUC = 0.817) was higher than that of SUVmax (AUC = 0.774) and ADCmin (AUC=0.686), indicating a higher predictive efficiency. Conclusions:SUVmax, ADCmin, and SUVmax/ADCmin ratio can independently predict pathological upgrading in targeted biopsy of prostate cancer. The SUVmax/ADCmin ratio has a stronger predictive value for pathological upgrading.
9.The diagnostic value of 18F-PSMA PET/CT PRIMARY score combined with mpMRI PI-RADS sore in clinically significant prostate cancer
Hui ZHU ; Wenrui XU ; Yue GUO ; Longteng LIU ; Miao WANG ; Huimin HOU ; Chunmei LI ; Wei ZHANG ; Fugeng LIU ; Ming LIU
Chinese Journal of Urology 2024;45(6):439-444
Objective:To explore the diagnostic value of 18F-prostate specific membrane antigen (PSMA) PET/CT PRIMAY score combined with multiparameter MRI (mpMRI) PI-RADS score for clinically significant prostate cancer (CsPCa). Methods:The data of 63 patients with prostate cancer who underwent radical prostatectomy at Beijing Hospital from January 2019 to December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. The median age was 70 (64, 75) years old with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level of 8.46 (5.40, 14.80) ng/ml. All patients underwent 18F-PSMA PET/CT and mpMRI examination before surgery, and pathological large sections of prostate specimens were made after surgery. The prostate lesions were diagnosed and located by two radiologists and one pathologist respectively. Lesions with Gleason scores (GS)≥3+ 4 from the surgical pathology were diagnosed with CsPCa, and lesions with negative or GS=6 were diagnosed with non-CsPCa. The PSMA PET/CT images were evaluated using the PRIMARY study criteria (5-level PRlMARY score): no pattern (score of 1), diffuse transition zone or central zone(not focal) (score of 2), focal transition zone(score of 3), focal peripheral zone(score of 4), or an SUV max of at least 12 (score of 5). The degree of uptake of imaging agent in prostate lesions was semi-quantitatively evaluated using lesion-to-background ratios (LBR) of SUV max. MpMRI was evaluated according to the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) version 2.1. The patients were divided into CsPCa group and non-CsPCa group based on patients and lesions. Mann-Whitney U test and chi-square test were used to compare the differences between groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the independent predictive factors of CsPCa. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal diagnostic threshold for each independent predictor. Predictive models were constructed for PRIMARY score, PI-RADS score, and their combined application, and the diagnostic performance of each model for CsPCa was compared. Results:Of all 63 patients, there were 54 cases in CsPCa group (85.7%) and 9 cases in non-CsPCa group (14.3%).There was significant difference between CsPCa group and non-CsPCa group in the serum PSA level [9.64 (6.1, 15.3) ng/ml vs. 5.6 (4.6, 7.6) ng/ml]( P<0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in age [71 (64, 75) years vs. 65 (63, 69) years], and number of lesions [2 (1, 2) vs. 2 (1, 3)] (all P>0.05). Of all 109 lesions, there were 81 lesions in CsPCa group(including 49 lesions with Gleason score = 3+ 4, 16 lesions with Gleason score=4+ 3, 14 lesions with Gleason score = 8, and 2 lesions with Gleason score>8) and 28 lesions in non-CsPCa group(including 14 lesions with Gleason score = 3+ 3 and 14 with benign prostate lesions). There was significant difference between CsPCa group and non-CsPCa group in PRIMARY score [4 (3, 5) vs. 2 (1, 4)], LBR [2.69 (2.08, 4.48) vs. 1.89 (1.45, 2.48)], PI-RADS score [4 (3, 5) vs. 2 (2, 3)] (all P<0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in the lesion distribution including the number of lesions located in the transition zone [15(18.5%) vs. 8(28.6%)] and in the peripheral zone[66(81.5%) vs. 20(71.4%)]( P>0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that PRIMARY score ( OR=2.134, 95% CI 1.429-3.187) and PI-RADS score ( OR=2.689, 95% CI 1.618-4.469) were independent predictors of CsPCa (both P<0.01). ROC curves analysis revealed that the cut-off value for diagnosing CsPCa was both 3 for PRIMARY score and PI-RADS score. The accuracy for PRIMARY score, PI-RADS score, and their combined complication in diagnosing CsPCa was 72%, 67%, and 83%, respectively. The sensitivity was 72%, 63%, and 91%, and the specificity was 75%, 79%, and 57%, respectively. The positive predictive value was 89%, 89%, and 86%, and the negative predictive value was 48%, 42%, and 70%, respectively. The area under the curve of the PRIMARY score, PI-RADS score, and their combined complication of the ROC curve for CsPCa were 0.733 (95% CI 0.624-0.842), 0.708 (95% CI 0.599-0.817), and 0.743 (95% CI 0.623-0.862), respectively. The diagnostic efficacy of their combined complication was higher than PRIMARY score or PI-RADS score alone (both P<0.01). Conclusions:Both the 18F-PSMA PET/CT PRIMAY score and the mpMRI PI-RADS score have good diagnostic value for CsPCa. The combined application of the two imaging parameters can improve the accuracy, sensitivity, and negative predictive value, which have a higher diagnostic efficiency of CsPCa.
10.Predictive value of renal venous Doppler waveform pattern for 28-day renal dysfunction in critically ill patients
Haijun ZHI ; Jie CUI ; Mengwei YUAN ; Yaning ZHAO ; Xingwen ZHAO ; Tingting ZHU ; Chunmei JIA ; Yong LI
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;33(3):324-331
Objective:This study aimed to explore the performance of renal resistive index (RRI), semiquantitative power Doppler ultrasound (PDU) score, and renal venous Doppler waveform (RVDW) pattern in predicting 28-day renal dysfunction in critically ill patients and establish nomogram model.Methods:This was a prospective, observational study. Critically ill patients admitted to the emergency intensive care unit (ICU) of Cangzhou Central Hospital from January 2018 to October 2022 were included. Patients underwent renal ultrasound examination to obtain RRI, PDU score and RVDW pattern within 24 h after ICU admission. The following clinical variables were collected during the renal ultrasound examination session, including heart rate, mean arterial pressure, type and dose of vasoactive drugs, oxygen therapy parameters, and average urine volume per hour derived from a period of 6 h prior to the ultrasound examination. The data on duration of AKI and mortality were recorded on the 28th day of follow-up. Patients were divided into 28-day normal renal function group and 28-day renal dysfunction group according to 28-day renal dysfunction. 28-days of renal dysfunction was defined as failure to achieve renal function recovery within 28 days of ICU admission. The difference of each index between the two groups was compared. Associated factors for 28-day renal dysfunction were determined by univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses. A nomogram was developed based on the independently factors associated with 28-day renal dysfunction. Survival receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to assess diagnostic performance in predicting 28-day renal dysfunction. Delong’s test was used to compare area under the curves (AUC) between each predictor.Results:187 patients were enrolled for the final analysis: 97 with no AKI, 48 with AKI stage 1, 24 with AKI stage 2, and 18 with AKI stage 3 upon enrollment. At 28-day follow up, 16 patients had renal dysfunction and 2 required continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). The multivariate COX regression showed that RVDW and SCr upon enrollment were the independent risk predictors. Nomogram based on RVDW and SCr upon enrollment showed the best performance in predicting 14-day renal dysfunction (AUC = 0.918, 95% CI:0.871-0.964, P<0.05), and the AUC was statistically significantly higher than single index (all P<0.05). Nomogram also showed the best performance in predicting 28-day renal dysfunction (AUC = 0.924, 95% CI:0.865-0.983, P<0.05), and the AUC was statistically significantly higher than single index (all P<0.05) except for SCr upon enrollment. The optimal cutoff for nomogram in predicting 28-day renal dysfunction was ≤89.5 (sensitivity, 81.2%; specificity, 90.6%; Youden index, 0.719). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the median duration of renal dysfunction in the groups with total nomogram score >85.9 and ≤85.9 was 0 and 22 days (HR=0.220, 95% CI:0.129-0.376, P<0.001). Conclusions:SCr and RVDW pattern within 24 h from ICU admission were independent factors associated with 28-day renal dysfunction in critically ill patients. The value of the nomogram model based on these two factors in predicting 28-day renal dysfunction is superior to each single intrarenal Doppler spectrum indicator and clinical indicator.

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