1.A multivariate risk prediction model of malignant partially cystic thyroid nodules
Chunjie HOU ; Xiujun CAI ; Jinglan TANG ; Fan ZHANG ; Jing WANG
Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2015;(2):147-151
Objective To develop a multivariate logistic regression model , and to predict the risk of ma-lignant partially cystic thyroid nodules .Methods 470 patients(662 nodules)treated with surgery and confirmed by pathological diagnosis were screened out .Their ultrasonographic morphology and vascularity of thyroid nod-ules, thyroid stimulating hormone(TSH)and clinical information were collected and analyzed retrospectively .The model was developed to calculate the individual risk and ROC curve was used to evaluate the predictive index . Results The regression model was:Z=-3.60+1.40X2+2.47X3+1.05X4+0.57X9+0.07X10+1.02X12 ( X2 represents eccentric acute-angle configuration , X3 represents microcalcification , X4 represents cystic-solid margin,X9 represents echogenecity of solid portion , X10 represents TSH,X12 represents gender );M=eZ/1+eZ (M represents probability of malignancy , e represents natural constant 2.72).When applied the model to the ver-ification group, the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, misdiagnosis rate, missed diagnosis rate, negative likeli-hood ratio(LR-)and positive likelihood ratio(LR+)was 96.95%,100%, 96.68%, 3.32%, 0%, 0 and 30.12 respectively.The largest area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC)was 0.88,which proved the model has high diagnostic value .Conclusions The model has high accuracy to predict the risk of malignan-cy.M is closely related to malignant risk of partially cystic thyroid nodules .
2.Risk prediction model of malignant partially cystic thyroid nodules
Chunjie HOU ; Xiaoming FAN ; Li WANG ; Fan ZHANG ; Jinglan TANG ; Jing WANG
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2014;23(2):125-128
Objective A multivariate logistic regression model was built to estimate the risk of malignant partially cystic thyroid nodules.Methods Data of ultrasonographic morphology,microcalcifications,margin,colloid crystals and echogenicity of 766 thyroid nodules (of 506 patients) were analyzed retrospectively.All patients underwent surgery and the diagnosis were confirmed by pathology.The model was built to calculate the individual risk and evaluate the predictive index.Results The regression model was Z =-2.30 + 1.42X2 + 2.39X3 + 1.17X4-1.35 X7 + 0.62X9 ; P =eZ/1 + ez (P represents probability of malignancy,e represents natural constant 2.72).The largest area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) was 0.86.When apply the model to the verification group(266 nodules),the accuracy,sensitivity,specificity,misdiagnosis rate,missed diagnosis rate,negative likelihood ratio and positive likelihood ratio were 93.61%,83.33%,94.63%,5.37%,16.67%、0.18 and 15.52 respectively.Conclusions This model based on the ultrasonographic variables increases the diagnostic accuracy of malignancy in patients with partially cystic thyroid nodules.
3.Ultrasonographic characteristics of the follicular variant of papillary thyroid cancer in children and adolescents
Jiangyan LOU ; Junping LIU ; Yuan CHEN ; Haimiao XU ; Zhenying GUO ; Chunjie HOU ; Dong XU ; Lingyan ZHOU ; Liyu CHEN
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2019;13(2):135-138
Objective To compare the sonographic features as well as clinical histopathological features of follicular variant papillary thyroid carcinoma(FVPTC) and conventional papillary thyroid carcinoma (CPTC) in pediatric patients.Methods From Jan.2006 to Dec.2017,26 FVPTC patients and 82 CPTC patients were enrolled in this study.The clinical histopathological findings and the sonographic features were compared between the two groups.FVPTCs and CPTCs were divided into PTC-like and follicular neoplasm(FN)-like based on sonographic characteristics.Results The mean nodule size of FVPTCs was larger than that of conventional PTCs.Extrathyroid invasion and cervical lymph node metastasis did not have significant difference between CPTC and FVPTC patients(53.8% vs 62.2% and 76.9% vs 82.9%,respectively).Multiple nodules(P=0.000)and distant pulmonary metastases(P=0.024) were more frequent in CPTCs than in FVPTCs(P<0.05).The rate of an ill-defined margin (P=0.000) and calcification (P=0.003)in terms of sonographic features were lower in FVPTCs than conventional PTCs(P<0.05).A Ⅴ+Ⅵ diagnosis of PTC on FNAC of FVPTCs was less common than that of conventional PTCs (P=0.014).Multifocality(P=0.000),extrathyroidal invasion (P=0.000),and lymph node metastasis (P=0.000) were significantly different between PTC-like FVPTCs and FN-like FVPTCs.Conclusion FVPTC in children and adolescents shows a relatively larger size,more benign sonographic features,and a lower diagnostic rate of PTC by FNAC compared with conventional PTCs in pediatric patients.
4.Application value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound lymphography in preoperative planning for lymphaticovenous anastomosis in secondary upper extremity lymphedema
Jinglan TANG ; Litao SUN ; Kefeng LU ; Yongfeng LI ; Lisong ZHU ; Han LIU ; Pei DU ; Chunjie HOU
Chinese Journal of Plastic Surgery 2024;40(7):755-764
Objective:To investigate the value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) as a preoperative planning strategy for lymphaticovenous anastomosis (LVA) in improving the quality of LVA and the outcome of short-term limb volume reduction in patients with secondary upper limb lymphedema.Methods:Patients with breast cancer-related upper extremity lymphedema who underwent LVA at the Department of General Surgery Cancer Center Division of Breast Surgery of Zhejiang Provincial People’s Hospital from August 2021 to August 2023 were enrolled retrospectively. According to whether preoperative ultrasound lymphography was performed, the patients were divided into CEUS assisted group and control group. In the CEUS assisted group, preoperative CEUS lymphography combined with high-frequency ultrasound color Doppler imaging was utilized for precise localization of lymphatic vessels and recipient veins, as well as surgical target planning for LVA. In the control group, preoperative indocyanine green lymphography was employed to guide surgical exploration. Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare the number of LVA surgical exploration incisions per limb and the number of successful anastomoses per limb between the two groups. The success rate of anastomosis (total number of successful anastomoses/total number of surgical exploration incisions) was compared by the chi-square test. The duration of single anastomosis, mean arm circumference, and the difference between preoperative and postoperative mean arm circumference were compared by independent sample t-test. Paired-sample t-test was used to compare the improvement of the mean arm circumference of the operated limb of the two groups after 3 months of follow-up. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results:A total of 47 female patients were enrolled, including 27 patients in the CEUS assisted group, with an average age of (57.1±9.0) years and a median edema course of 2 years. There were 20 cases in the control group, with an average age of (58.1±9.6) years and a median duration of edema of 2 years. The CEUS group, compared with the control group, exhibited a higher number of surgical exploration incisions per limb [6.0 (4.0, 7.0) cases vs. 5.0 (3.0, 6.0) cases], a greater number of successful anastomoses per limb [5.0 (3.0, 6v0) cases vs. 3.0 (2.0, 3.0) cases], and a significantly increased overall success rate of anastomosis [82.8% (125/151) vs. 61.4% (54/88)]. Additionally, there was a significant increase in the preoperative and postoperative mean arm circumference difference [(6.2±3.3) cm vs. (3.9±1.9) cm]. The duration of single anastomosis was significantly shortened [(57.4±16.0) min vs. (92.8±18.5) min], with statistically significant differences observed in all comparisons (all P < 0.05). The preoperative and postoperative mean arm circumference were compared between the CEUS group [(31.4±4.6) cm vs. (25.3±4.7) cm] and the control group [(31.3±4.3) cm vs. (27.5±3.8) cm], respectively, with statistically significant differences observed in both groups (both P < 0.01). Conclusion:CEUS lymphography, as a preoperative planning strategy for LVA, can significantly increase the number and success rate of LVA anastomosis in patients with secondary upper limb lymphedema, shorten the duration of single anastomosis, and improve the short-term effect of limb volume reduction after LVA.
5.Application value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound lymphography in preoperative planning for lymphaticovenous anastomosis in secondary upper extremity lymphedema
Jinglan TANG ; Litao SUN ; Kefeng LU ; Yongfeng LI ; Lisong ZHU ; Han LIU ; Pei DU ; Chunjie HOU
Chinese Journal of Plastic Surgery 2024;40(7):755-764
Objective:To investigate the value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) as a preoperative planning strategy for lymphaticovenous anastomosis (LVA) in improving the quality of LVA and the outcome of short-term limb volume reduction in patients with secondary upper limb lymphedema.Methods:Patients with breast cancer-related upper extremity lymphedema who underwent LVA at the Department of General Surgery Cancer Center Division of Breast Surgery of Zhejiang Provincial People’s Hospital from August 2021 to August 2023 were enrolled retrospectively. According to whether preoperative ultrasound lymphography was performed, the patients were divided into CEUS assisted group and control group. In the CEUS assisted group, preoperative CEUS lymphography combined with high-frequency ultrasound color Doppler imaging was utilized for precise localization of lymphatic vessels and recipient veins, as well as surgical target planning for LVA. In the control group, preoperative indocyanine green lymphography was employed to guide surgical exploration. Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare the number of LVA surgical exploration incisions per limb and the number of successful anastomoses per limb between the two groups. The success rate of anastomosis (total number of successful anastomoses/total number of surgical exploration incisions) was compared by the chi-square test. The duration of single anastomosis, mean arm circumference, and the difference between preoperative and postoperative mean arm circumference were compared by independent sample t-test. Paired-sample t-test was used to compare the improvement of the mean arm circumference of the operated limb of the two groups after 3 months of follow-up. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results:A total of 47 female patients were enrolled, including 27 patients in the CEUS assisted group, with an average age of (57.1±9.0) years and a median edema course of 2 years. There were 20 cases in the control group, with an average age of (58.1±9.6) years and a median duration of edema of 2 years. The CEUS group, compared with the control group, exhibited a higher number of surgical exploration incisions per limb [6.0 (4.0, 7.0) cases vs. 5.0 (3.0, 6.0) cases], a greater number of successful anastomoses per limb [5.0 (3.0, 6v0) cases vs. 3.0 (2.0, 3.0) cases], and a significantly increased overall success rate of anastomosis [82.8% (125/151) vs. 61.4% (54/88)]. Additionally, there was a significant increase in the preoperative and postoperative mean arm circumference difference [(6.2±3.3) cm vs. (3.9±1.9) cm]. The duration of single anastomosis was significantly shortened [(57.4±16.0) min vs. (92.8±18.5) min], with statistically significant differences observed in all comparisons (all P < 0.05). The preoperative and postoperative mean arm circumference were compared between the CEUS group [(31.4±4.6) cm vs. (25.3±4.7) cm] and the control group [(31.3±4.3) cm vs. (27.5±3.8) cm], respectively, with statistically significant differences observed in both groups (both P < 0.01). Conclusion:CEUS lymphography, as a preoperative planning strategy for LVA, can significantly increase the number and success rate of LVA anastomosis in patients with secondary upper limb lymphedema, shorten the duration of single anastomosis, and improve the short-term effect of limb volume reduction after LVA.