Purpose: Active surveillance (AS) is one of the management options for patients with low-risk and select intermediate-risk prostate cancer (PC). However, factors predicting disease reclassification and conversion to active treatment from a large population of pure Asian cohorts regarding AS are less evaluated. This study investigated the intermediate-term outcomes of patients with localized PC undergoing AS. Materials and Methods: This cohort study enrolled consecutive men with localized non-high-risk PC diagnosed in Taiwan between June 2012 and Jan 2023. The study endpoints were disease reclassification (either pathological or radiographic progression) and conversion to active treatment. The factors predicting endpoints were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: A total of 405 patients (median age: 67.2 years) were consecutively enrolled and followed up with a median of 64.6 months. Based on the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk grouping, 70 (17.3%), 164 (40.5%), 140 (34.6%), and 31 (7.7%) patients were classified as very low-risk, low-risk, favorable-intermediate risk, and unfavorable intermediate-risk PC, respectively. The 5-year reclassification rates were 24.8%, 27.0%, 18.6%, and 25.3%, respectively. The 5-year conversion rates were 20.4%, 28.8%, 43.6%, and 37.8%, respectively. A prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD) of ≥0.15 ng/mL2 predicted reclassification (hazard ratio [HR] 1.84, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.17–2.88) and conversion (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.05–2.31). A maximal percentage of cancer in positive cores (MPCPC) of ≥15% predicted conversion (15% to <50%: HR 1.41, 95% CI 0.91–2.18; ≥50%: HR 1.97, 95% CI 1.1453–3.40) compared with that of <15%. A Gleason grade group (GGG) of 3 tumor also predicted conversion (HR 2.69, 95% CI 1.06–6.79; GGG 3 vs 1). One patient developed metastasis, but none died of PC during the study period (2,141 person-years). Conclusions AS is a viable option for Taiwanese men with non-high-risk PC, in terms of reclassification and conversion. High PSAD predicted reclassification, whereas high PSAD, MPCPC, and GGG predicted conversion.

INTRODUCTIONDecreased insulin action (insulin resistance) is crucial in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes. Decreased insulin action can even be found in normoglycaemic patients, and they still bear increased risks for cardiovascular disease. In this study, we built models using data from metabolic syndrome (Mets) components and the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) to detect insulin resistance in subjects with normal glucose tolerance (NGT).

MATERIALS AND METHODSIn total, 292 participants with NGT were enrolled. Both an insulin suppression test (IST) and a 75-g OGTT were administered. The steady-state plasma glucose (SSPG) level derived from the IST was the measurement of insulin action. Participants in the highest tertile were defined as insulin-resistant. Five models were built: (i) Model 0: body mass index (BMI); (ii) Model 1: BMI, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, triglyceride; (iii) Model 2: Model 1 + fasting plasma insulin (FPI); (iv) Model 3: Model 2 + plasma glucose level at 120 minutes of the OGTT; and (v) Model 4: Model 3 + plasma insulin level at 120 min of the OGTT.

RESULTSThe area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (aROC curve) was observed to determine the predictive power of these models. BMI demonstrated the greatest aROC curve (71.6%) of Mets components. The aROC curves of Models 2, 3, and 4 were all substantially greater than that of BMI (77.1%, 80.1%, and 85.1%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONA prediction equation using Mets components and FPI can be used to predict insulin resistance in a Chinese population with NGT. Further research is required to test the utility of the equation in other populations and its prediction of cardiovascular disease or diabetes mellitus.

Adult ; Blood Glucose ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Female ; Glucose ; metabolism ; Glucose Tolerance Test ; Humans ; Insulin Resistance ; Male ; Metabolic Syndrome ; metabolism ; Middle Aged ; Models, Statistical