OBJECTIVE: To observe the effects of abdominal acupuncture and the periodic therapy of Chinese herbal medicine on follicular development and endometrial receptivity in the patients with infertility induced by ovulation failure and differentiated as kidney deficiency in TCM. METHODS: A total of 84 patients with infertility induced by ovulation failure and differentiated as kidney deficiency were randomized into a combined therapy group (27 cases), an abdominal acupuncture group (27 cases) and a western medication group (30 cases). In the combined therapy group, abdominal acupuncture and the periodic treatment of Chinese herbal medicine was provided. In the abdominal acupuncture group, the simple abdominal acupuncture therapy was used. In the western medication group, clomiphene citrate (CC) and human chorionic gonadotrophin (HCG) prescribed. The treatment for one menstrual cycle was taken as one session and 3 sessions of treatment were required except the pregnancy. The folicle development, endometrial thickness and morphology, menstrual condition and TCM symptom score were observed before and after treatment in the three groups, and the clinical efficacy was evaluated. RESULTS: After treatment, the ovulation was recovered to different degrees in the three groups. The ovulation rate was 59.3% (16/27) in the combined therapy group, 55.6% (15/27) in the abdominal acupuncture group and 53.3% (16/30) in the western medication group. The difference was not significant in comparison among the three groups (>0.05). After treatment, the endometrial thickness in the periovulatory period was increased as compared with the thickness before treatment in the combined therapy group and the abdominal acupuncture group (both <0.05). After treatment, the endometrial thickness in the combined therapy group was higher than the western medication group (<0.05). In comparison before and after treatment, the difference in the endometrial morphology was significant in the combined therapy group and the abdominal acupuncture group (both <0.05). In comparison between the combined therapy group and the western medication group, the difference in the endometrial morphology was significant after treatment (<0.05). After treatment, the menstrual condition and TCM symptom score in the combined therapy group and the abdominal acupuncture group were all improved as compared with those before treatment (all <0.05). The score of menstrual condition in the combined therapy group was higher than the western medication group (<0.05) and TCM symptom score in the combined therapy group and abdominal acupuncture group was higher than the western medication group after treatment (all <0.05). The total effective rate was 88.9% (24/27) in the combined therapy group and was 92.6% (25/29) in the abdominal acupuncture group, which was higher than 56.7% (17/30) in the western medication group (<0.01). There was no adverse reaction in the combined therapy group and the abdominal acupuncture group. CONCLUSION Abdominal acupuncture combined with the periodic therapy of Chinese herbal medicine improve the menstrual condition and relieve the clinical symptoms of infertility induced by ovulation failure of kidney deficiency in the patients and the therapeutic effects are better than the medication with CC + HCG. This combined therapy improves the ovulation rate and the endometrial receptivity at periovulatory stage to increase the pregnancy rate. There is no adverse reaction discovered in clinical practice.
Acupuncture Therapy ; Clomiphene ; Drugs, Chinese Herbal ; Female ; Humans ; Infertility, Female ; Ovulation ; Pregnancy

ObjectiveTo predict the incidence trend of influenza-like illness proportion （ILI%） in Shanghai using the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model （SARIMA）， and to provide an important reference for timely prevention and control measures. MethodsTime series analysis was performed on ILI% surveillance data of Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention from the 15^th week of 2015 to the 52^nd week of 2019， and a prediction model was established. Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average （SARIMA） model was established using data from the foregoing 212 weeks， and prediction effect of the model was evaluated using data from the latter 36 weeks. ResultsFrom the 15^th week of 2015 to the 52^nd week of 2019， the average ILI% in Shanghai was 1.494%， showing an obvious epidemic peak. SARIMA（1，0，0） （2，0，0） ₅₂ was finally modeled. The residual of the model was white noise sequence， and the true values were all within the 95% confidence interval of the predicted values. ConclusionSARIMA（1，0，0） （2，0，0） ₅₂ can be used for the medium term prediction of ILI% in Shanghai， and can play an early warning role for the epidemic and outbreak of influenza in Shanghai.