ObjectiveTo investigate the effect of sustained virologic response on disease progression and the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with compensated hepatitis B cirrhosis receiving antiviral therapy with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs). MethodsA total of 542 patients with compensated hepatitis B cirrhosis who attended Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 1 to December 31, 2013, received antiviral therapy, and were followed up for more than 5 years were enrolled, and according to the status of virologic response during follow-up, they were divided into a sustained virologic response cohort with 496 cases and a non-sustained virologic response cohort with 46 cases. With disease progression as the outcome event, general information and examination data were collected during the 5-year follow-up period. The t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed; relative risk and 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to investigate the degree of correlation of factors measured with the progression of liver cirrhosis. The life-table method was used to calculate the 1-, 3-, and 5-year progression-free survival rates, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves; the log-rank test was used for univariate analysis, and the Cox regression model was used for multivariate regression analysis. ResultsFor the 542 patients, the mean progression-free survival time was 62.50 months (95% CI: 61.01-63.92), and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year progression-free survival rates were 94%, 82%, and 71%, respectively. The sustained virologic response cohort had a significantly longer mean progression-free survival time than the non-sustained virologic response cohort ［63.10 months (95% CI: 61.65-64.55) vs 55.95 months (95% CI: 50.19-61.71), χ2=12.058, P=0.001］. Compared with the non-sustained virologic response cohort, the sustained virologic response cohort had significantly lower 5-year cumulative incidence rate of HCC than (20.6% vs 34.8%, χ2=5.759, P=0.016) and 5-year cumulative incidence rate of decompensated cirrhosis (5.0% vs 15.2%, χ2=8.239, P=0.004). Virologic response was an independent risk factor for disease progression (hazard ratio=232, 95% CI: 1.45-3.72). ConclusionSustained virologic response can reduce the incidence rates of complications and HCC, improve long-term prognosis, and prolong survival time in patients with compensated hepatitis B cirrhosis.