1.Static model simulation for routine mumps vaccination in Japan: with a result of mumps-related complications in a Japanese community hospital.
Taito KITANO ; Masayuki ONAKA ; Mariko ISHIHARA ; Atsuko NISHIYAMA ; Naoki HASHIMOTO ; Sayaka YOSHIDA
Clinical and Experimental Vaccine Research 2017;6(2):120-127
PURPOSE: Mumps vaccine has not been included in the routine national immunization program in Japan, leading to low vaccine coverage rates and periodic epidemics approximately every 5 years. Our hospital (a secondary community hospital in Japan) experienced an increased number of mumps-related complications with a nationwide epidemic in 2016. Using previously reported data and mumps-related cases in our hospital, we estimated the cost-effectiveness of routine mumps vaccination in Japan with a static model using current epidemiologic data. MATERIALS AND METHODS: With a decision tree flowchart of mumps infection and adverse events, we estimated the burden of mumps-related complications in our hospital for 5 years, and calculated the current annual national burden. Finally, we compared the current burden and assumptive burden of the stable state after routine vaccination in Japan using a static model. RESULTS: The cost-benefit ratios with sensitivity analysis were 3.69 (1.08-9.52) and 6.84 (1.51-23.73) in independent inoculation and simultaneous inoculation, respectively, from a social perspective in addition to an annual gain of 9,487 (3,227-14,659) quality adjusted life years. CONCLUSION: We contributed additional evidence in terms of cost-effectiveness that routine mumps vaccination should be introduced in Japan with simultaneous inoculation.
Asian Continental Ancestry Group*
;
Cost-Benefit Analysis
;
Decision Trees
;
Hospitals, Community*
;
Humans
;
Immunization Programs
;
Japan*
;
Mumps Vaccine
;
Mumps*
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Software Design
;
Vaccination*