1.Analysis of risk factors for prolonged postoperative hospital stay in patients after spinal tuberculosis lesion removal and fusion with internal fixation and development of a predictive model
Yufeng ZHOU ; Ansu WANG ; Xu ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Spine and Spinal Cord 2024;34(1):53-61
Objectives:To explore the risk factors related to the prolonged postoperative length of hospital stay(LOS)in patients after spinal tuberculosis lesion removal and fusion with internal fixation,and to construct a nomogram prediction model,so as to provide a theoretical basis for the enhanced recovery management of spinal tuberculosis patients.Methods:The clinical data of 142 patients with spinal tuberculosis who underwent lesion removal and fusion with internal fixation in the Department of Orthopedics of the Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University between December 2018 and June 2023 were retrospectively analyzed.The patients were randomly divided into modeling group(n=96)and validation group(n=46)in a 2∶1 ratio.Setting the postoperative LOS>21d as the outcome variable for prolonged LOS,and taking age,gender,alcohol history,smoking history,hypertension,coronary heart disease,diabetes,anemia,postoperative hypoproteinemia,spinal cord injury,tuberculosis in other parts,bone destruction,blood transfusion,removal time of drainage,postoperative complications,operative time,blood loss,preoperative American Society of Anesthesiologists(ASA)score,postoperative ASA score,surgical incision length,pus formation,chemotherapy before surgery,and chemotherapy regimens as independent variables to develop univariate logistic regression model.The risk factors screened after univariate analysis were included for multivariate logistic regression model to determine the independent risk factors for LOS>21d after lesion removal and fusion with internal fixation in patients with spinal tuberculosis and to construct a predictive model for risk factors.The area under the curve(AUC)of receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curve was used to assess the the differentiation of the model;Calibration curve was used to assess the calibration situation of the model;Decision curve analysis(DCA)was used to assess the clinical value and influence of the model on actual decision-making process.Data of validation group was applied to draw ROC curve and calibration curve for external verification.Results:Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that age(OR=1.040,95%CI:1.011-1.069),tuberculosis at other sites(OR=2.867,95%CI:1.157-7.106),and preoperative ASA score(OR=1.543,95%CI:1.015-2.347)were the independent risk factors for prolonged postoperative hospitalization in patients with spinal tuberculosis after lesion removal and fusion with internal fixation.The AUC of ROC curves of modeling group and validation group were 0.767(95%CI:0.671-0.863)and 0.720(95%CI:0.569-0.871),respectively,suggesting the predictive model had good predictive efficiency.The results of the calibration curve analysis demonstrated that the actual curve roughly resembled the ideal curve,and DCA curve revealed that the nomogram had superior clinical benefits.Conclusions:The spinal tuberculosis patients who are at older age,combined with other sites of tuberculosis,and with high preoperative ASA score are prone to prolonged LOS after lesion removal and fusion with internal fixation,and the risk prediction nomogram model developed accordingly has great predictive efficiency.
2.Association analysis of gene polymorphism of osteoprotegerin with coal-burning endemic fluorosis in Guizhou Province
Wei TIAN ; Yanqin YU ; Ansu ZHAO ; Xiuxiu ZHANG ; Chanjuan WANG ; Ting ZHANG ; Keren SHAN ; Yan HE
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2020;39(9):641-646
Objective:To investigate the relationship between gene polymorphism of osteoprotegerin (OPG) and coal-burning endemic fluorosis in Guizhou Province.Methods:In 2018 and 2019, a case-control study was conducted in Bijie City, a typical coal-burning endemic fluorosis area in Guizhou Province, and 260 cases of coal-burning endemic fluorosis patients were selected as case group. According to the "Diagnostic Criteria for Endemic Skeletal Fluorosis" (WS 192-2008), the case group was divided into severe group (130 cases) and mild group (130 cases). At the same time, 130 cases without dental fluorosis and skeletal fluorosis symptoms were chosen as control group in Changshun County, a non-coal-burning endemic fluorosis area in Guizhou Province. Whole blood genomic DNA was extracted, and real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR with TaqMan-MGB probe was utilized to type the OPG gene rs2460985, rs2073618, rs6469804 and rs6993813 four single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) loci of all samples, and genetic model analysis was performed to compare the frequency distribution of its alleles, genotypes and constructed haplotypes in control, mild and severe groups. Results:By Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium test, the genotype frequencies of the four SNP loci all reached genetic balance in control, mild and severe groups ( P > 0.05). There was a statistically significant difference in the genotype frequency of OPG gene rs6469804 locus among the three groups (χ 2 = 10.615, P < 0.05), and the difference in the genotype frequency of this locus between the control group and the severe group was statistically significant (χ 2 = 6.784, P < 0.05). The results of genetic model analysis showed that in comparison between the control group and the severe group, the optimal genetic model of rs6469804 locus was the overdominant genetic model, the frequency distribution of genotypes AA + GG and AG in the control group and the severe group was statistically significant [odds ratio ( OR) = 1.94, 95% confidence interval ( CI): 1.16 - 3.23, P < 0.05], genotype AG was a risk factor for coal-burning endemic fluorosis. In comparison between the control group and the mild group, the optimal genetic model of rs2073618 locus was the recessive genetic model, the frequency distribution of genotypes GG + GC and CC in the control group and the mild group was statistically significant ( OR = 3.17, 95% CI: 1.08 - 9.30, P < 0.05), genotype CC was a risk factor for coal-burning endemic fluorosis. In comparison between the control group and the mild group, haplotypes C-C-G-T and T-G-A-C were risk factors for coal-burning endemic fluorosis (adjusted OR = 2.41, 1.98, 95% CI: 1.29 - 4.50, 1.22 - 3.23, P < 0.05); in comparison between the control group and the severe group, haplotype T-G-A-C was a risk factor for coal-burning endemic fluorosis (adjusted OR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.14 - 3.07, P < 0.05). Conclusion:OPG gene rs6469804 locus genotype AG and rs2073618 locus genotype CC may be risk factors for coal-burning endemic fluorosis.
3.Correlation between mitochondrial DNA copy number and coal-burning-borne endemic fluorosis
Ansu ZHAO ; Wei TIAN ; Yanqin YU ; Ruichao LI ; Chanjuan WANG ; Ting ZHANG ; Keren SHAN ; Yan HE
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2022;41(2):111-116
Objective:To investigate the association between relative mitochondrial DNA copy number (mtDNA-CN) and coal-burning-borne endemic fluorosis (abbreviated as coal-burning-borne fluorosis).Methods:From June 2018 to March 2019, using cross-sectional study, 482 patients with coal-burning-borne fluorosis were selected as the case group in Bijie City, a typical coal-burning-borne fluorosis area of Guizhou Province; meanwhile, 212 healthy individuals from Changshun County, a non-coal-burning-borne fluorosis area in Guizhou Province, were selected as the control group. Questionnaire survey and physical examination were used to collect general condition such as basic information and living habits of the two groups, peripheral venous blood samples were collected, and real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR was used to detect the relative mtDNA-CN in peripheral blood. The correlation between relative mtDNA-CN and coal-burning-borne fluorosis was analyzed by binary and unordered multi-class logistic regression.Results:There were significant differences in the body mass index (BMI), and the distribution of gender rario, marital status and education level between the control group and the case group ( t = 7.91, χ 2 = 5.11, 13.33, 34.32, P < 0.05). The relative mtDNA-CN in the control group was higher than that in the case group [median (quartile): 202 (138, 292) vs 131 (96, 217), Z = - 7.80, P < 0.001]. The results of binary logistic regression analysis [odds ratio (95% confidence interval)] showed that educational level [primary school: 0.572 (0.377 - 0.868), junior high school and above: 0.292 (0.174 - 0.493)], relative mtDNA-CN [131 - < 217: 0.265 (0.144 - 0.488), ≥217: 0.183 (0.100 - 0.335)] and BMI [1.222 (1.142 - 1.307)] were the influencing factors for the risk of coal-burning-borne fluorosis( P < 0.05). In subgroups with different BMI and educational levels, the relative mtDNA-CN was significantly negatively correlated with the risk of coal-burning-borne fluorosis( Ptrend < 0.05), and there was no interaction between mtDNA-CN and BMI and educational levels ( Pinteraction > 0.05). The results of unordered multi-class logistic regression analysis showed that the relative mtDNA-CN were significantly negatively correlated with the risk of dental fluorosis and skeletal fluorosis ( Ptrend < 0.05). Conclusion:The higher the relative mtDNA-CN, the lower the risk of coal-burning-borne fluorosis, suggesting that mtDNA-CN may be a potential biomarker of coal-burning fluorosis.
4.Relationship between intelligence quotient and urinary fluoride of children in coal-burning-borne endemic fluorosis area
Wei TIAN ; Ansu ZHAO ; Yanqin YU ; Chanjuan WANG ; Ting ZHANG ; Keren SHAN ; Qian ZHANG ; Yan HE
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2022;41(2):117-119
Objective:To explore the relationship between children's intelligence and urinary fluoride in Suojia Township of Miao, Yi and Hui Nationalities (referred to as Suojia Township), a coal-burning-borne endemic fluorosis area in Guizhou Province.Methods:In April 2019, 173 children aged 10 to 13 years old were selected from three schools in Suojia Township. According to whether they had dental fluorosis, the children were divided into case group ( n = 104) and control group ( n = 69). Middle segment urine samples of the children were collected and urinary fluoride level was determined by the method of ion-selective electrode. Combined Raven's Test-the Rural in China (CRT-RC2) was used for children's intelligence quotient (IQ) test. Linear regression analysis was used to observe the association between urinary fluoride and IQ, and the results were expressed by regression coefficient ( β) and 95% confidence interval ( CI). Results:Urinary fluoride level of case group was higher than that of control group [(2.14 ± 1.78) vs (1.53 ± 0.98) mg/L], and IQ was lower than that of control group [(92.33 ± 11.68) vs (100.38 ± 11.87) points], and the differences were statistically significant ( t = 2.58, 4.41, P < 0.05). The linear regression equation of urinary fluoride ( X) and IQ ( Y) of case group was Y = 96.99 - 2.86 X. For every 1 mg/L increase in urinary fluoride level, IQ decreased by 2.86 points ( β = - 2.86, 95% CI: - 5.48 - - 0.24). Conclusion:Long-term exposure to fluoride pollution from coal burning may damage children's intelligence, and children's IQ decreases with increase of fluoride level in urine.